Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Cleveland, OH

556 
WWUS51 KCLE 041951
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
351 PM EDT FRI JUN 4 2010

OHC033-042000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-100604T2000Z/
CRAWFORD OH-
351 PM EDT FRI JUN 4 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...

AT 348 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
8 MILES EAST OF BUCYRUS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...TIRO AND
CRESTLINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

LAT...LON 4073 8310 4090 8311 4091 8310 4098 8273
      4071 8274
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 268DEG 22KT 4083 8281

$$

WILLARD

647 
WWUS51 KCLE 042003
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 PM EDT FRI JUN 4 2010

OHC033-042014-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-100604T2000Z/
CRAWFORD OH-
403 PM EDT FRI JUN 4 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTH
CENTRAL OHIO EXPIRED AT 400 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 4073 8310 4090 8311 4091 8310 4098 8273
      4071 8274
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 268DEG 22KT 4083 8281

$$

WILLARD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
300 PM EDT FRI JUN 4 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF WEAK ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A DEW POINT BOUNDARY/PSUEDO WARM FRONT EXISTS OVER THE NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY WHILE DEWPOINTS INTO THE LOWER 60S OVER THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF OHIO AND NW PA. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED
THIS AFTERNOON ON THIS BOUNDARY OVER NORTH CENTRAL OHIO. A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS HELPED THE CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT THE PICTURE IS NOT REAL CLEAR. THE STORMS ARE FORMING FROM
A COMBINATION OF THE BOUNDARY...SHORT WAVE AND HEATING. WE WILL
LOSE TWO OF THESE FACTORS OVERNIGHT BUT IT WILL REMAIN FAILY
UNSTABLE. I THINK THE BEST CHC FOR PCPN WILL BE TO THE EAST IN NE
OHIO AND NW PA. MODEL GUIDANCE IS GIVING VERY HIGH POPS FOR
TONIGHT. I AM MORE CONFIDENT IN A HIGH CHC OF A FEW SHORT DURATION
SHOWERS/TSTMS. THE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN MORE OF THE HIT AND RUN
VARIETY. POPS WILL BE HIGH IN THE FORECAST TONIGHT BUT MY GUT
FEELING IS THE PCPN MAY BE MORE OF THE SCATTERED VARIETY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH A VERY FAST
ZONAL FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A QUASI STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL
REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA WHICH SERVE AS A FOCUS AREA FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. ON SATURDAY THE GENERAL PCPN PATTEREN
WILL BE SCATTERED EARLY IN THE DAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS ARE
FAIRLY WEAK IN THE MORNING. AS DAYTIME HEATING AND A WEAK SURFACE
LOW TAKE SHAPE LATER IN THE DAY...THE TSTM ACTIVITY SHOULD
INCREASE. THE NAM IS MUCH MORE AGRESSIVE WITH THE SURFACE LOW THAN
THE GFS AND IF THE NAM SOLUTIONS PLAYS OUT ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE
WEATHER MAY BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE
SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL BE AROUND
THE REGION ON SUNDAY AS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND SOME INSTABILITY
FROM THE COOLER AIR WILL EXIST. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AS MORE STABLE AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON TUESDAY WHILE LOW
PRESSURE SCOOTS BY TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. FAIR WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY AS RELATIVELY DRY AIR HANGS AROUND THE
REGION. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THOUGH IN ADVANCE OF THE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL ABOUT
THURSDAY AND THEN SHIFT EAST AS BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS EAST.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AS
A RESULT OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.  THE STORM WILL EXTEND A TROUGH
NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. SURFACE TROUGH AND POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION WILL
BE THE FOCUS FOR THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

FAIR WEATHER WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS EAST OVER THE REGION.

LEANED RELATIVELY CLOSE TO MOS GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS
PERIOD. GUIDANCE IN LINE WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION RETURNING FOR THE
END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE BREAKING OUT ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MENTIONED TEMPO GROUP FOR STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND EVEN HAIL. ALREADY RECEIVING
REPORTS OF ONE INCH TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WITH SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALSO BEING REPORTED. TROUGH SLIDES
SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND BRINGS WITH IT SHOWERS AND
SOME THUNDERSTORMS. THE THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION AND LOWER
CEILINGS WILL EXTEND INTO TOMORROW AS WELL AS BOUNDARY HANGS
AROUND THE AREA.

.OUTLOOK...AREAS OF NON VFR FRIDAY NIGHT...SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
STORM TRACK ACROSS OHIO VALLY AND LOWER LAKES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ONE LOW TO TRACK NORTH OF THE LAKE TONIGHT PUSHING THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY NORTH OF THE LAKE. ANOTHER LOW RIDES THE FRONT SATURDAY
NIGHT PUSHING THE FRONT BACK SOUTH OF THE LAKE. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FOR LATER SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. NORTHEAST FLOW
WILL COME AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND THEN FINALLY NORTHWEST
BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE LAKE COULD GET A LITTLE CHOPPY
OVERNIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING EAST END BUT EXPECT IT TO BE UNDER
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. A LITTLE MORE WIND SUNDAY AND WE MAY NEED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THEN.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GARNET
NEAR TERM...GARNET
SHORT TERM...GARNET
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...LOMBARDY
MARINE...OUDEMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
121 PM EDT FRI JUN 4 2010

LEZ144>149-164>169-OHZ008>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-051730-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-
LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-
MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-
WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
121 PM EDT FRI JUN 4 2010

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 254 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN
OHIO AND NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL WOBBLE ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO AND CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA TODAY. AFTERNOON HEATING COMBINED WITH CONVERGENCE
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WILL INITIATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BY MID
AFTERNOON.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WHICH MAY LEAD TO
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT LOOKS TO BE STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS BUT LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

LEZ061-142-143-162-163-OHZ003-006-007-051730-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-
121 PM EDT FRI JUN 4 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN
OHIO AND NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL WOBBLE ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO AND CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA TODAY. AFTERNOON HEATING COMBINED WITH CONVERGENCE
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WILL INITIATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BY MID
AFTERNOON.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WHICH MAY LEAD TO
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT LOOKS TO BE STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS BUT LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

GARNET

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
132 PM EDT FRI JUN 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     HAIL             PERRYSVILLE             40.66N 82.31W
06/04/2010  E1.75 INCH       ASHLAND            OH   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

GARNET

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
138 PM EDT FRI JUN 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0138 PM     HAIL             LOUDONVILLE             40.63N 82.23W
06/04/2010  E1.75 INCH       ASHLAND            OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

GARNET

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
156 PM EDT FRI JUN 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             NASHVILLE               40.60N 82.11W
06/04/2010  E1.75 INCH       HOLMES             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GARNET