Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2010
Small Craft Advisory 80, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Sep 23, 2010, 3:43 PM EDT. It took effect at Sep 24, 2010, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 40 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 23, 2010, 3:43 PM EDT (19:43 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 24, 2010, 11:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 26, 2010, 3:12 AM EDT
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
288 WHUS71 KBUF 231943 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 343 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...STRONG WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO... .DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER LAKE SUPERIOR ON FRIDAY WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND QUEBEC FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN RESPONSE TO THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WITH WAVES BUILDING TO MORE THAN SIX FEET. THE ROUGHEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. NOTICEABLE IMPROVEMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. LEZ040-041-LOZ042-240345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100924T1600Z-100926T0000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 343 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-240345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100924T2200Z-100926T0200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 343 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-240345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100925T0200Z-100926T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 343 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RSH
10 follow-up statements
422 WHUS71 KBUF 240137 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 937 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...STRONG WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO... .DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER LAKE SUPERIOR ON FRIDAY WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND QUEBEC FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN RESPONSE TO THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WITH WAVES BUILDING TO MORE THAN SIX FEET. THE ROUGHEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. NOTICEABLE IMPROVEMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. LEZ020-240945- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100924T1500Z-100926T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 937 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-LOZ042-240945- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100924T1500Z-100926T0000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 937 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-240945- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100924T2100Z-100926T0200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 937 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-240945- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100925T0200Z-100926T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 937 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
424 WHUS71 KBUF 240743 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 343 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...STRONG WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO... .DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN WILL TRACK ACROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY. THE TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN RESPONSE TO THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...WITH WAVES BUILDING TO MORE THAN SIX FEET. WHILE THE ROUGHEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...NOTICEABLE IMPROVEMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-241600- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100924T1500Z-100926T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 343 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-241600- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100924T2100Z-100926T0200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 343 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-241600- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100925T0200Z-100926T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 343 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJR
495 WHUS71 KBUF 241955 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 355 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...STRONG WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO... .DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN WILL TRACK ACROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY. THE TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN RESPONSE TO THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...WITH WAVES BUILDING TO MORE THAN SIX FEET. WHILE THE ROUGHEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...NOTICEABLE IMPROVEMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-250400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 355 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-250400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100924T2100Z-100926T0200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 355 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-250400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.100925T0200Z-100926T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 355 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
170 WHUS71 KBUF 250207 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1007 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...STRONG WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO... .DEEP LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF LAKE HURON WILL TRACK ACROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC TONIGHT...THEN ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY. THE TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN RESPONSE TO THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE NEAR GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...WITH WAVES BUILDING TO MORE THAN SIX FEET. WHILE THE ROUGHEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...NOTICEABLE IMPROVEMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-251015- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1007 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-251015- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1007 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-251015- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1007 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
161 WHUS71 KBUF 250710 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 310 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-251600- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0300Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 310 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-251600- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 310 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-251600- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 310 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJR
991 WHUS71 KBUF 251407 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1007 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-252215- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0300Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1007 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-252215- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1007 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-252215- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1007 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
275 WHUS71 KBUF 251936 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 336 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-260300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0300Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 336 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-260345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 336 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-260345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 336 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
742 WHUS71 KBUF 260142 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 942 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 LEZ020-260245- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0300Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 942 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LOZ043-260800- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 942 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-LOZ042-260300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 942 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-260945- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 942 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
569 WHUS71 KBUF 260304 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1104 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 LEZ040-041-LOZ042-260415- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1104 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. $$ LOZ043-260800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1104 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-045-261000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1104 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
310 WHUS71 KBUF 260712 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 312 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010 ...WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH... .WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AND WAVES SUBSIDE TODAY. LOZ043-260815- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T0800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 312 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AND WAVES SUBSIDE TODAY. $$ LOZ044-045-260815- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-100926T1000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 312 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AND WAVES SUBSIDE TODAY. $$ SFM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 23, 3:40 PM EDT, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 23, 3:40 PM EDT, 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
340 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010
.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT LIFTING WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL BRING
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TO THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE SUMMERLIKE ALONG WITH
NEAR RECORD HEAT AND GUSTY WINDS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A SHARP COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WITH MUCH COOLER AIR TO
FOLLOW ON A MAINLY DRY WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES IN EARNEST TONIGHT...AND AFTER THE TYPICAL
EARLY EVENING DECOUPLING...STRONG DOWNSLOPE SOUTHERLIES SHOULD SET
IN NEAR OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. SO MIN TEMPS WILL BE LATE THIS
EVENING...WITH RISING TEMPS OVERNIGHT. TEMPS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE
SHORE FROM ERIE TO BUFFALO MAY NOT DROP BELOW 70. LOW CHC POPS ONLY
ALONG ST LAWRENCE VALLEY EARLY IN EVENING...OTHERWISE DRY EVERYWHERE.
A 45-50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET PRECEDING AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
START TO MIX DOWN IN THE LATE MORNING AS TEMPS SHOULD ALREADY BE
NEARING 80 DEGREES. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND ACROSS THE NIAGARA
FRONTIER WITH 20 TO 25 MPH GUSTING TO 35 MPH WINDS ELSEWHERE.
EVEN WITH THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...850MB TEMPS IN THE UPPER TEENS
CELSIUS WILL BOOST SURFACE TEMPS TO THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES.
THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE FORECAST AREA BY
LATE AFTERNOON WITH LIKELY POPS FOR THUNDERSTORMS. GFS AND NAM ARE
RATHER RELUCTANT TO PROVIDE MUCH MORE THAN CHANCE POPS...BUT BUMPED
THE POPS UP A CATEGORY BASED MORE ON THE WARMTH OF THE AIRMASS AHEAD
OF THE FRONT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY
EVENING AS A POTENT SHORTWAVE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF
ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WHILE THERE WILL BE AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
SNYOPTIC FORCING FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THE MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND OVERALL INSTABILITY LEVELS ARE NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE. WILL
CARRY HIGH CHC POPS FROM CONTINUITY FOR A QUICK MOVING LINE OF
CONVECTION THAT SHOULD GENERALLY CLEAR THROUGH THE REGION BY
MIDNIGHT. SKIES WILL THEN RAPIDLY CLEAR IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
IT WILL REMAIN WINDY FRIDAY NIGHT AS WELL. A WELL ALIGNED 'PINCHED'
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL WORK ITS WAY ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
DURING THE COURSE OF FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH A 50 KT LOW LEVEL COLD
ADVECTION JET HELPING WINDS GUST TO NEARLY 40 MPH NEAR LAKE ERIE AND
ACROSS PARTS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.
WHILE IT WILL BE QUITE MILD FRIDAY EVENING...TEMPERATURES WILL TAKE
QUITE A TUMBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT. H85 TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER
TEENS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PLUMMET TO ARND +4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING...AS MERCURY READINGS WILL SETTLE IN TO THE MID TO UPPER
50S.
AS THE CANADIAN SHORTWAVE EXITS ACROSS MAINE ON SATURDAY...A
LINGERING TROFFINESS THROUGH THE MID LEVELS WILL SAG SOUTH ACROSS
LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THIS TROUGH IN
COMBINATION WITH SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT FROM THE +4C AIRMASS WILL
PRODUCE SOME CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE LAKE ONTARIO BORDERING COUNTIES
AND THE NORTH CONTRY...AND COULD EVEN TOUCH OFF A BRIEF SHOWER OR
TWO. WILL USE SLGT CHC POPS FOR THE BULK OF THE REGION FOR
SATURDAY...WITH HIGHER POPS FROM OSWEGO COUNTY NORTHWARDS. WITHOUT
THE PRESENCE OF A CRUSHING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION...THESE POPS WOULD
BE NOTABLY HIGHER.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO BETWEEN 60 AND 65...EXCEPT
OVER THE WRN SOUTHERN TIER WHERE MANY AREAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 50S.
IT WIL BE CHILY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH MERCURY READINGS GENERALLY IN
THE LOW TO MID 40S.
FOR SUNDAY...EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO NOVA SCOTIA WILL ALLOW
FOR PARTIAL SUNSHINE ACROSS OUR REGION. IT WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL
AS WELL WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM 60 TO 65.
THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE
AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP H5 CLOSED LOW WILL TAKE SHAPE OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WHILE A DEEPENING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL
START TO ADVECT SOME ATLANTIC MOISTURE UP ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC
STATES TO OUR SOUTHERN TIER...THE NIGHT WILL BE DRY AND PLEASANT.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MAIN WEATHER FEATRURE DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE AN ANOMALOUSLY
DEEP H5 CLOSED LOW OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THE ECMWF AND GFS
HAVE BEEN FIGHTING EACH OTHER DURING THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS ON HOW TO
RESOLVE THIS FEATURE...AND IT LOOKS AS IF THE BATTLING WILL
CONTINUE.
THERE IS STRONG CONSENSUS THAT A DEEP CLOSED H5 LOW WILL BE IN THE
VCNTY OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TO START THIS PERIOD...BUT THEN THE
VARIOUS PACKAGES DIVERGE. THE GFS HAD BEEN SHOWING A RETROGRADING
CLOSED LOW IN EARLIER RUNS...BUT IT IS NOW THE MOST PROGRESSIVE BY
LIFTING THE FEATURE OUT ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. MEANWHILE...THE PREVIOUSLY FAVORED ECMWF LOOKS MORE LIKE
THE OUTLIER AS IT INITIALLY LIFTS THE H5 LOW ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY...THEN REFORMS ANOTHER CUTOFF OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AS IT
SUGGESTS ANOTHER POTENT SHORTWAVE WILL DROP INTO THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH. ONCE AGAIN...WILL HAVE TO DEFER TO THE EXPERTISE OF THE HPC
MODEL ANALYZERS FOR OUR GUIDANCE.
WITHOUT GETTING INTO SPECIFICS (DUE TO MODEL INCONSISTENCIES)...
A DEEPENING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ON MONDAY WILL QUICKLY ADVECT
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE NORTHWARDS ACROSS OUR REGION WITH A
DIFFLUENT FLOW AND APPROACHING SFC WAVE ADDING THE LIFT TO GENERATE
SOME FAIRLY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
LEFTOVER MOISTURE IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING H5 LOW ON WEDNESDAY
COULD PRODUCE A FEW MORE SHOWERS...BUT AT THIS POINT...IT APEPARS
THAT THIS WILL BE A DRIER DAY THAN TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT IS THEN PROJECTED TO WORK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
ON THURSDAY. THIS COULD TOUCH OFF A COUPLE MORE SHOWERS AS WELL.
AS MENTIONED YESTERDAY...REGARDLESS OF THE TIMING AND EXTENT OF THE
RAINFALL DURING THIS PERIOD...THE DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES AT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROKEN CLOUDS ACROSS WESTERN NY ARE EXPECTED TO THIN AND DISSIPATE
BY EARLY EVENING AS SURFACE WINDS VEER A LITTLE AND THE UPPER
IMPULSE SLIDES TO THE EAST. VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL TAFS SITES THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AND THE EARLY HALF OF FRIDAY AT LEAST.
THERE WILL BE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR SETTING UP THIS EVENING AND
STRENGTHENING OVERNIGHT WITH 40 TO 50 KNOT SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS AT
AND ABOVE 2000FT.
OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...VFR.
FRIDAY NIGHT...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF EVENING SHWRS/THUNDERSTORMS.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR.
TUESDAY...MVFR/IFR IN SHOWERS.
&&
.MARINE...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT TO THE NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO LATER THIS
EVENING. EASTERLY WINDS ON LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE
FRONT PASSES OVERNIGHT...TURNING BRISK TO STRONG SOUTHERLY FRIDAY.
WAVES WILL BE MUCH HIGHER ON THE CANADIAN SIDE OF THE LAKES BUT
MARINE FLAGS WILL BE NEEDED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON ON ALL THE NEARSHORE
WATERS...SIMPLY BECAUSE OF THE WINDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES START
ON LAKE ERIE AND WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO AT NOON ON FRIDAY AND EASTWARD
ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND TO THE
EASTERN SHORE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS LAKE ONTARIO FRIDAY EVENING...WITH
STRONG WESTERLIES TO FOLLOW LATER AT NIGHT AND SATURDAY...INCREASING
WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS FOR FRIDAY 9/24 ARE IMPRESSIVE...BUT THEY WILL BE
APPROACHED. ALL WERE SET IN 1970...
BUF...88.
ROC...90.
ART...88.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
LEZ040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 10 PM EDT
SATURDAY FOR LOZ043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY
FOR LOZ042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SUNDAY
FOR LOZ044-045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...WCH
NEAR TERM...WCH
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...WCH
CLIMATE...SFMHazardous weather outlook, Sep 23, 5:08 AM EDT, 10 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 508 AM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 NYZ001-002-010-011-240915- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- 508 AM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM UPPER MICHIGAN TO WESTERN QUEBEC FRIDAY...THEN TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT. IT WILL BECOME RATHER WINDY IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW ON FRIDAY...WITH SOME WIND GUSTS POSSIBLY APPROACHING WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE. LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING...A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE LOW WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ003>008-012>014-019>021-085-240915- MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING- LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 508 AM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM UPPER MICHIGAN TO WESTERN QUEBEC FRIDAY...THEN TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT. LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING...A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE LOW WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-240915- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 508 AM EDT THU SEP 23 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM UPPER MICHIGAN TO WESTERN QUEBEC FRIDAY...THEN TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT. LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING...A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE LOW WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF JJR
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2010Every small craft advisory in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.