Small Craft Advisory 69, NWS Buffalo, NY

402 
WHUS71 KBUF 160123
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
923 PM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...BRISK WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS MONDAY...

.A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES OVERNIGHT. BRISK WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW ON MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. WAVES
WILL BUILD TO OVER 4 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN SHORES OF THE LAKES BY
MIDDAY AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

LEZ020-040-041-160930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.100816T1300Z-100817T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
923 PM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES OVERNIGHT. BRISK
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW ON MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
WAVES WILL BUILD TO OVER 4 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN SHORES OF THE
LAKES BY MIDDAY MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-160930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.100816T1600Z-100817T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
923 PM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES OVERNIGHT. BRISK
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW ON MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
WAVES WILL BUILD TO OVER 4 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN SHORES OF THE
LAKES BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

250 
WHUS71 KBUF 160804
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
404 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...BRISK WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS MONDAY...

.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATER THIS MORNING.
BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT LATER THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

LOZ042-161615-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.100816T1600Z-100817T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
404 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-161615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.100816T1300Z-100817T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
404 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-161615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.100816T1600Z-100817T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
404 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJP

426 
WHUS71 KBUF 161411
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1011 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...BRISK WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY...

.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATER THIS MORNING.
BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

LEZ020-040-041-162215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100817T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1011 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-044-045-162215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.100816T1600Z-100817T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1011 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

060 
WHUS71 KBUF 161608
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1208 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...BRISK WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY...

.BRISK WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TOWARDS SUNSET AND THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.

LOZ043-170015-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100817T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1208 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-044-045-170015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100817T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1208 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

016 
WHUS71 KBUF 161912
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
312 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...BRISK WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY...

.BRISK WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TOWARDS SUNSET AND THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS BUT WILL BECOME BRISK AGAIN BY LATE TUESDAY
MORNING.

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-170315-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100818T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
312 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM

360 
WHUS71 KBUF 170142
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
942 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-170945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100818T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
942 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

725 
WHUS71 KBUF 170758
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

SLZ022-024-171600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.100817T1600Z-100817T2300Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
358 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-171600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100818T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
358 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

789 
WHUS71 KBUF 171359
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-172200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100818T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
959 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-172200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.100817T1600Z-100817T2300Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
959 AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

116 
WHUS71 KBUF 171945
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
345 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

LEZ040-LOZ042-043-172045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100818T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
345 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DROPPED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

LEZ020-041-LOZ044-045-180200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100818T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
345 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-172300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100817T2300Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
345 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
RSH

566 
WHUS71 KBUF 180157
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
957 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

LEZ020-041-LOZ044-045-180300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-100818T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
957 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
138 PM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF VERY HUMID AIR AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT
WILL BRING AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
TO WESTERN NEW YORK TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH SOME HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ON MONDAY WITH HIGH
PRESSURE LEADING TO GENERALLY DRY AND PLEASANTLY WARM WEATHER
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM UPDATE...BROAD AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT
DRIFTS ACROSS FINGER LAKES REGION AND GENESEE VALLEY AT MIDDAY.
NONE OF THESE ARE PARTICULARLY HEAVY AND EXPECT FURTHER WEAKENING
AS THEY REACH THE NORTH COUNTRY EARLY-MID AFTERNOON. CLOUDS ARE
THINNING ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO WITH EDGE OF SOLID CLOUD NOW JUST
ABOUT TO ENTER FAR WESTERN NY. WE SHOULD SEE SUNSHINE MIXING WITH
THE CLOUD AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON...ZONES HAVE THIS WELL IN HAND
AND TWEAKED GRIDS ACCORDINGLY. THERE WILL STILL BE SOME WIDELY
SCATTERED OR ISOLATED CONVECTION BUT MOST OF THE WEST WILL BE DRY
FOR THE AFTERNOON...LOWERED POPS INTO 20-25 RANGE.

WE ARE STILL FULLY IN THE WARM SECTOR HOWEVER...AND TEMPS WILL
JUMP INTO L80S WITH ANY SUNSHINE...AND DEW PTS WILL BE IN 70
RANGE. INSTABILITY WILL BE HELD IN CHECK FOR A FEW HOURS BY A WARM
MID LAYER...BUT BY LATE AFT/EARLY EVENING..COOLER AIR WILL BEGIN
ADVECTING IN ALOFT AND INCREASING THE CAPES. COLD FRONT STILL BACK
OVER CNTRL MICH AT 16Z AND WE DO EXPECT CONVECTION TO FIRE IN THE
SOUPY AIRMASS OVER SE MICH INTO WRN OHIO BY MID AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL BE A PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
AS IT ADVECTS EASTWARD. NAM12 CAPES RISE TO 1500 AT BUF AROUND 04Z
WITH LI'S OF -5.

SO...IT APPEARS WE HAVE MARKEDLY LESSENED ANY HYDRO THREAT BUT INCREASED
THE SEVERE THREAT...WITH MAXIMUM RISK OVER THE WEST BETWEEN ABOUT 9
PM AND 1 AM. STAY TUNED. SEE HYDRO SECTION BELOW FOR UPDATE ON
THAT SITUATION.

PREV DISC...THIS EVENINGS FORECAST IS A BIT EASIER...SINCE WE DO
HAVE A BOUNDARY TO FOCUS ON IN THE COLD FRONT. FAIRLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT ON TIMING...WITH THE FRONT PROGRESSING FAIRLY QUICKLY
FROM WEST TO EAST. EXPECT THIS TO FOCUS A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...GENERALLY CROSSING WESTERN
NEW YORK LATE EVENING...AND THE FINGER LAKES AND NORTH COUNTRY
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TODAY SHOULD BE ANOTHER MUGGY DAY...WITH DEW POINTS NEAR 70
EXPECTED. TWEAKED HIGHS ABOVE BIAS CORRECTED SREF BASED ON
YESTERDAY/S HIGHS...AND SOME POTENTIAL FOR SUN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AT 12Z MONDAY...IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN COLD FRONT WILL BE OVER
CENTRAL NEW YORK IN THE MORNING AND THEN MOVE TO THE HUDSON VALLEY
BY 18Z. IN THE 10Z-12Z TIME FRAME WILL KEEP CHC SHWR/TSTM ACROSS
AREAS FROM THE EASTERN FINGER LKS, EASTWARD, WITH THE THREAT OF ANY
LINGERING SHWRS/TSTMS ENDING EAST OF LK ONTARIO BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

EVEN THOUGH THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A DECENT MID LVL SHORT WAVE
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES IN THE MORNING, HIGH PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE, OVER THE OHIO VALLEY, WILL BE SPREADING DRIER AIR INTO
THE REGION. EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES IN THE MORNING IN THE WEST TO
SPREAD EASTWARD REACHING THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION AFTER 18Z.

THE HIGH WILL BE ALSO SPREADING MORE COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS
INTO AREAS FROM THE FINGER LKS WEST DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY
WITH DEW PTS DROPPING INTO THE 50S. HIGHS TEMPS ON MONDAY WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER TO 80 TO 85
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF THE AREA. IT WILL BE A BIT COOLER ACROSS
THE TUG HILL REGION WITH HIGHS THERE IN THE MID 70S.

MONDAY NIGHT...THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE OFF THE EAST
COAST...WHILE A WEAK HIGH BUILDS INTO THE LOWER LAKES AND BRINGS
DRIER AIR AND COOLER AIR TO OUR AREA. IT WILL BRING RELIEF TO AIR
CONDITIONING USAGE AS LOWS MONDAY NIGHT SHLD DROP INTO THE 50S
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH EVEN A FEW UPPER 40S ACROSS INTERIOR
SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK SECONDARY COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT IT WILL BE MOISTURE
STARVED. EXPECT THE SFC HIGH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY TO STILL KEEP THE
SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY. THE HIGH WILL KEEP FAIR WEATHER OVER THE REGION
TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SLIDE EAST TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY AND
IT STILL IS EXPECTED TO KEEP DRY AIR OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE RISK OF A FEW
SHOWERS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
FORECAST TO SET UP OVER THE LOWER LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY. THE
ANTICIPATED INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND CHANCE FOR SHOWERS MAY KEEP
MAX DAYTIME TEMPERATURES A LITTLE BELOW 80...A RARE OCCURRENCE FOR
THIS WARM SUMMER.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
130 PM UPDATE...EARLIER AREA OF SHOWERS HAS PULLED EAST OF THE
GENESEE VALLEY BUT MVFR CIGS LINGER TO THE WEST. THESE SHOWERS
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH MID AND LATE AFTERNOON
WITH MVFR CIGS AT KART. DRIER AIR WILL WORK IN FROM THE WEST AND
SCATTER CIGS OUT TO VFR FOR A FEW HOURS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS
FAR EAST AS THE GENESEE VALLEY...BUT A BROKEN AREA OF CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT SHOULD WORK ACROSS THE REGION FROM
ABOUT 01-02Z AT KIAG TO 04Z AT KROC TO 08Z AT KART. NOT CONFIDENT
ENOUGH TO CATEGORIZE IT SO WILL GO WITH A "VCTS" FOR ALL SITES
EXCEPT KART. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH A
FEW HOURS OF MVFR CIGS IN THE UPSLOPE WESTERLY FLOW...THEN VFR BY
14-16Z ACROSS THE WESTERN SITES. BRISK WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL PREVAIL FROM LATE MORNING ON DURING MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...GENERALLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND WAVES BEGINNING TO DIMINISH ON LK ONTARIO AT MID
MORNING...ENOUGH TO PULL SCA THERE. FRESH SOUTHERLIES WILL RESULT
IN CHOPPY WATER...WITH HIGHER WAVES TOWARD THE CANADIAN SHORES
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS/WAVES SUBSIDE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...BUT WILL PICK UP AGAIN BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.
MARGINAL...BUT MAY NEED HEADLINES IN SOME OF OUR WATERS ON MONDAY
IN A SW FLOW.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MORNING RAINFALL WITH THIS INITIAL BATCH GENERALLY UNIMPRESSIVE WITH
MOST AREAS UNDER 0.2 INCH...BUT 0.5 TO 1 INCH ACROSS PARTS OF
LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COS (ISOLD 1.6). ACTIVITY SHOULD BE GENERALLY
SCATTERED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON. PW VALUES DROP AS
AFTERNOON WEARS ON...FROM NEAR 2 INCHES TO 1.5 INCHES. 700 MB WIND
FIELDS ARE LIGHT...SO ANYTHING THAT DOES POP THIS AFT WILL BE SLOW
MOVING...BUT WINDS SHOULD PICK UP BY EARLY EVENING ALLOWING
ACTIVITY TO MOVE FASTER. CANT RULE OUT A FEW ISOLD DOWNPOURS BUT
ANY FLOOD RISK IS LESSENING. FFG IS HIGH AS WELL. DOWNPOURS CAN
ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL CONVECTION THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...BUT
THESE STORMS SHOULD BE ON THE MOVE AND NOT LAST TOO LONG AT ANY
ONE LOCATION.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...APFFEL/SFM
SHORT TERM...JJP
LONG TERM...TJP
AVIATION...SFM
MARINE...APFFEL/JJP
HYDROLOGY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
534 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085-160945-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
534 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND INTO
TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. THERE IS ALSO THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD PRODUCE URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ005>008-160945-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
534 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042-043-062-063-160945-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
534 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND INTO
TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ044-045-064-065-SLZ022-024-160945-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
534 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO AND
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
252 PM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

NYZ001-002-152000-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
252 PM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...

AT 245 PM NWS DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A CLUSTER OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR WILSON...AND RANSOMVILLE AND SLOWLY DRIFTING EASTWARD. THESE
STORMS ARE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH REDUCED
VISIBILITIES...AND PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

WITHIN THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS ARE RAINFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH
PER HOUR...AND DUE TO THE SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT SEVERAL LOCATIONS
WILL LIKELY PICK UP A QUICK INCH OF RAINFALL. THESE STORMS ARE
ALSO PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

THESE STORMS WILL ALSO EFFECT LOCATIONS ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO
SHORELINE BETWEEN WILSON AND LATER TOWARDS THE VICINITY OF POINT
BREEZE.

THESE STORMS WILL NEAR THE NEWFANE AND OLCOTT AREAS AROUND 250
PM...AND THE BARKER AREA BETWEEN 255 PM AND 310 PM. AS ACTIVITY
HOLDS TOGETHER IS WILL CROSS INTO NORTHERN ORLEANS COUNTY JUST
AFTER 3 PM.

THOMAS