Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 17, 2010Ontario County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 17, 2010, 6:18 PM EDT for Ontario County, New York. It was in force for 19 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2010, 6:18 PM EDT (22:18 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 2010, 6:37 PM EDT
In force
19 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Ontario County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 284 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2010-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2010-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-92 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1221 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 17, 4:56 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 17, 4:56 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 17, 5:04 AM EDT, 13 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
504 AM EDT SAT JUL 17 2010

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-180915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
504 AM EDT SAT JUL 17 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL CROSS
LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY NIGHT AND GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN VERY HEAVY RAIN AND
PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-180915-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
504 AM EDT SAT JUL 17 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL CROSS
LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY NIGHT AND GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN VERY HEAVY RAIN AND
PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 17, 1:28 PM EDT, 4 hours 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
128 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2010

NYZ005-171800-
CAYUGA NY-
128 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 125 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL.  THIS STORM
  WAS LOCATED NEAR WEEDSPORT...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM ALONG WITH A
QUICK BURST OF RAIN AND GUSTY WIND.

LAT...LON 4311 7649 4303 7648 4302 7649 4303 7668
      4306 7668 4310 7668 4311 7657 4313 7649
      4313 7647

THOMAS
Special weather statement, Jul 17, 2:45 PM EDT, 3 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
245 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2010

NYZ005>008-172000-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
245 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2010

AT 245 PM A THUNDERSTORM HAD RAPIDLY DEVELOPED ALONG THE CAYUGA
AND OSWEGO BORDER JUST SOUTHEAST OF HANNIBAL. THIS STORM IS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. IF IT
HOLDS ITS CURRENT STRENGTH AND PATH, IT WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF
FULTON AOUND 3, AND BE IN THE VICINTY OF CENTRAL SQUARE BY 315
PM, AND NORTH OF CONSTANTIA BY 330 PM. IT WILL THEN MOVE INTO
WESTERN LEWIS COUNTY BY 4. OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

MRP
Local storm report, Jul 17, 3:44 PM EDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 17, 3:49 PM EDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 17, 5:38 PM EDT, 40 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 17, 5:48 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 8:11 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF109 min
Jul 17, 1:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCayuga32 min
Jul 17, 2:48 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF87 min
Jul 17, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFOswego46 min
Jul 17, 3:35 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF55 min
Jul 17, 5:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF60 min
Jul 17, 5:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson57 min
Jul 17, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus51 min
Jul 17, 7:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFAllegany42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New York, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.