Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
930 PM CDT THU JUL 8 2010

.UPDATE...EVENING WEATHER DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

PERSISTENT LITTLE SHOWER CONTINUING TO MAINTAIN SOME STRENGTH OVER
THE HEART OF THE BHM METRO AREA AND SOUTH.  IT IS THE LAST HOLDOUT
IN A DAY THAT FEATURED ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE WEST...ALONG WITH
NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES.  MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
FORECAST...LEAVING ISOLATED CONVECTION IN THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO...AND JUST A FEW OTHER ADJUSTMENTS TO TONIGHT'S TEMP AND DEWPOINT
GRIDS.  OTHERWISE...WILL HOPEFULLY BE A RATHER QUIET EVENING.
UPDATES ARE OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS TO PREDOMINATE THROUGH THE NEXT 24HRS...WITH HIGH
PRESSURE IN CONTROL.  SHOWERS/STORMS ONGOING JUST BEFORE FORECAST
ISSUANCE TIME ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH WITH SUNSET.  DRY AIR MIXED
INTO THE LOW LEVELS AS CONDITIONS WARMED UP THIS AFTERNOON...SO ANY
FOG SHOULD BE LIGHT (STAYING GREATER THAN 3 MILES) AND ISOLATED
(LASTING AN HOUR OR LESS).

CUMULUS FIELD SHOULD START DEVELOPING AROUND 09/1600Z. SHOWER/STORM
COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED...SO NO NEED TO INCLUDE THEM
IN THE FORECASTS AT THIS TIME.

NOTICE...KEET TAF WILL HAVE (AMD LTD TO VIS WIND AND WX) AMENDED TO
THE END OF THE FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF 2010. THE CEILOMETER DATA
WILL BE GOING THROUGH NUMEROUS TEST AND MONITORED FOR ACCURACY.

/61/

&&

.CLIMATE...

ANNISTON TIED THE RECORD HIGH OF 100 DEGREES TODAY...WHICH WAS LAST
ACHIEVED IN 1977.  BIRMINGHAM...TUSCALOOSA...AND MONTGOMERY WERE ALL
SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW THEIR RESPECTIVE RECORDS.

RECORD HIGHS FOR FRIDAY JULY 9...

ANNISTON        100 (1980)
BIRMINGHAM      102 (1930)
MONTGOMERY      106 (1881)
TUSCALOOSA      100 (1969)

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1150 AM CDT THU JUL 8 2010

ALZ011>015-017>050-091800-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
1150 AM CDT THU JUL 8 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

08/MNK