Flash Flood Warning 40, NWS Birmingham, AL

532 
WGUS74 KBMX 091505
FFSBMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1005 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

ALC075-091700-
/O.CON.KBMX.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-100609T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAMAR AL-
1005 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR LAMAR
COUNTY...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER CONTINUED TO DETECT THE 
POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGHOUT LAMAR COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO DETROIT...
CREWS AND BEAVERTON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH AND A HALF ARE POSSIBLE 
IN THE WARNED AREA OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS. ESPECIALLY FLOOD PRONE 
AREAS WILL STILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING...AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 
DEVELOPS IN EAST MISSISSIPPI.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3406 8820 3406 8799 3403 8798 3402 8795
      3382 8794 3367 8795 3368 8825

$$

GOGGINS

624 
WGUS74 KBMX 091556
FFSBMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1056 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

ALC075-091604-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-100609T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAMAR AL-
1056 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR LAMAR              
COUNTY...HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED OVER THE AREA...AND THE THREAT FOR 
FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3406 8820 3406 8799 3403 8798 3402 8795
      3382 8794 3367 8795 3368 8825

$$

GOGGINS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
556 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

.UPDATE...FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WATCHING WITH ANTICIPATION AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY OFF TO OUR
NORTHWEST SLOWLY EDGES ITS WAY TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. EVEN AT THIS
LATE HOUR...STILL HAVE QUESTIONS AS TO WHETHER IT ACTUALLY MAKES
IT THROUGH OR EVEN TO OUR CWA...AS DECENT LARGE SCALE RIDGING
BEGINS TO NOSE IN OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE OUTCOME WILL LIKELY BE PLENTY OF CONVECTION UPSTREAM
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT THAT STRUGGLES TO MAKE IT THIS FAR
SOUTH. HOWEVER...AT THIS JUNCTURE CAN'T RULE OUT SOME STORMS
PROGRESSING INTO THE NORTHERN CWA LATER TODAY...WITH AN OUTSIDE
SHOT FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE SAME GENERAL VICINITY.
AS THE BOUNDARY PUSHES OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST AND EAST AS THE
RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD TOMORROW...EXPECT MUCH OF THE SAME AS
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA.
MODELS ARE CONTINUE TO HINT THAT WE MAY BEGIN EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THROUGH THE BEST
HEATING OF THE DAY. LOOKED OVER SOME OF THE PROSPECTS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER TODAY AND TOMORROW...AND AS EXPECTED THE INSTABILITY
PARAMETERS ARE DECENT...BUT WITH THE RATHER WEAK TO NO FLOW...THE
CHANCES REMAIN RATHER SMALL. HOWEVER..IT IS NOT BEYOND A STRETCH
TO THINK SOMETHING ORGANIZED COULD GET GOING WITH A FOCUSED
BOUNDARY IN PLACE...BUT IT DOESN'T APPEAR HWO WORTHY AT THIS TIME.

AS WE TRANSITION INTO FRIDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND...THE
AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO DOMINATE THE PATTERN AND
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON.
IT DOES LOOK LIKE EARLY SUMMER WILL BE IN FULL EFFECT WITH THE
HIGH PROGGED TO BE AROUND 596...SO EXPECT THE TYPICAL WEAK SURFACE
FLOW...HIGH DEWPOINTS...AND TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...AS HIGHS COULD TOP OUT IN THE MIDDLE 90S.

EARLY NEXT WEEK...WE WILL DEAL WITH YET ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THAT WILL DIVE SOUTHWARD. HAD BEEN CONVINCED THAT THIS FRONT WOULD
STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT THROUGH THE AREA...BUT THE MODELS ARE COMING
TO A LITTLE CLEARER CONSENSUS...WITH THE FRONT CLEARING CENTRAL
ALABAMA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR SO. WE COULD END UP WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF LOWER HUMIDITY AND VIRTUALLY CLEAR SKIES BY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME LEFT SOME MINIMAL
AFTERNOON POPS IN THE FORECAST TO COVER ANY UNCERTAINTY AS WE MOVE
TOWARDS THE LONG TERM.

17/KLAWS

&&

.AVIATION...12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A LITTLE ACTIVITY IS BEGINNING TO FIRE UP AT ISSUANCE TO THE NW OF
TCL.  THESE TS WILL MOVE WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE SITE UNTIL LATER
THIS MORNING WHEN MORE COVERAGE BEGINS TO AFFECT ALL NORTHERN
SITES.  UNFORTUNATELY...WITH THE NATURE OF THESE STORMS...WILL HAVE
TO AMD AS THESE SLIDE THROUGH THE AREA...AND JUST PREVAIL VCTS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  THE GOOD NEWS IS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
SEEN THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD...UNLESS A STORM PASSES OVER A
SITE...IN WHICH THERE MAY BE SOME SHORT-LIVED MVFR CIGS OR IFR VIS.

NOTICE...KEET TAF WILL HAVE (AMD LTD TO VIS WIND AND WX) AMENDED TO
THE END OF THE FORECAST UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE WHILE CEILOMETER DATA
IS BEING MONITORED FOR ACCURACY.

27

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

17/27

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
558 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

ALZ011>015-017>050-101059-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
558 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

27