Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 306, NWS Bismarck, ND

July 26, 2010Mercer County, Oliver County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 26, 2010, 10:59 PM MDT for Mercer County, Oliver County, North Dakota. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 26, 2010, 10:59 PM MDT (04:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 26, 2010, 11:45 PM MDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Mercer County, ND, Oliver County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 26, 4:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2010-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1740 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2010-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 56 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1740 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-106 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2513 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 26, 2:14 PM MDT, 8 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 26, 2:14 PM MDT, 8 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
314 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

.SYNOPSIS...

NORTHERN STREAM VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN
ALBERTA HAS AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM LAKE
WINNIPEG SOUTHWESTWARD INTO EASTERN MONTANA. THE NORTHERN STREAM
WESTERLIES ARE A BIT NORTH OF THE BORDER...SO THE FRONT IS SLOW
MOVING. OVER THE U.S....HOWEVER...THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL DIRECT
A SERIES OF IMPULSES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL KEEP
THE PATTERN ACTIVE EVEN AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSES AND BECOMES
STATIONARY JUST TO THE SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM...MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN TODAY IS SEVERE WEATHER.

CURRENTLY...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION OVER SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA HAVE EDGED DEWPOINTS INTO THE UPPER 60S AND
LOWER 70S...RESULTING IN OVER 4000 J/KG OF SURFACE-BASED CAPE.
LARGE SCALE UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION SHOULD SPREAD INTO WESTERN
NORTH DAKOTA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS A MIDDLE LEVEL SHORTWAVE
SLIDES EASTWARD ACROSS MONTANA OUT AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT.

CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INITIATE BETWEEN 22 AND 00 UTC BASED ON
THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL RUNS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT AS 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR IS 35 TO 50 KNOTS BASED ON
LATEST RUC ANALYSIS.

THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL TOMORROW...WITH THE COLD FRONT FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE
DEVILS LAKE BASIN INTO THE LINTON/WISHEK AREA.

THEREAFTER...THE FRONT LOOKS TO BE MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN WITH
PREVIOUS FORECASTS...ALTHOUGH OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION WILL
REMAIN A POSSIBILITY AS AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVES CONTINUE TO
BOMBARD THE DAKOTAS.

LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE AS A COOL
SURFACE HIGH BUILDS DOWN INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS TO PERSIST INTO THE EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIOD AS THE NORTHERN PLAINS REGION REMAINS NEAR OR
UNDERNEATH THE UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM. THIS WILL RESULT IN CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY ALONG WITH NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...

AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE COMBINED WITH AN INCOMING MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN INCREASING CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING FOR ALL TAF SITES. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
GENERALLY BE FOCUSED ALONG A SLOW MOVING SFC/MID LEVEL COLD FRONT
PUSHING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN ND LATE TODAY/EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH
PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW
MORNING. HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT IN MVFR AND
LOWER CIGS/VIS ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WINDS. CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE AROUND AND AFTER 15Z
TUES ACROSS THE NORTH...WITH CHANCES CONTINUING SOUTH THROUGH 18Z
TUES AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS/SHORT TERM...SCHECK
LONG TERM/AVIATION...NH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 26, 1:50 PM MDT, 9 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
250 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-271000-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
250 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010 /150 PM MDT MON JUL 26 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...SOME LIKELY SEVERE WITH HEAVY RAIN...CAN BE
EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE PUSHES EAST ACROSS MONTANA...AND AS A STRONG UPPER
LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA. BOTH OF THESE
FEATURES WILL RESULT IN A SURFACE COLD FRONT TO ADVANCE SOUTH AND
EAST ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT WILL BE VERY LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL BE A POSSIBILITY AS WELL WITH SOME OF THE MORE
INTENSE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP OR WILL BE ONGOING TUESDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH
SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE STATE. THE FOCUS FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
GREATLY DIMINISH BY TUESDAY EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS REMAINS IN AN ACTIVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY ALSO BE NEEDED TUESDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON...SPECIFICALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST
CENTRAL.

NH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 26, 8:35 PM MDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
935 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0931 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DRAKE                   47.92N 100.37W
07/26/2010                   MCHENRY            ND   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            OFFICIALS REPORTED 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER ON STREETS IN
            DRAKE.

&&

JMETZ
Local storm report, Jul 26, 8:38 PM MDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
938 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0912 PM     HAIL             9 NE DRAKE              48.02N 100.24W
07/26/2010  M1.00 INCH       PIERCE             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.11 INCHES OF RAIN IN LAST 3 HOURS.

&&

JMETZ
Local storm report, Jul 26, 8:48 PM MDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
948 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0938 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 W HARVEY              47.77N 99.98W
07/26/2010                   WELLS              ND   PUBLIC

            FUNNEL PRODUDED FROM CLOUD AND DISAPPEARED AT 938.
            RELAYED BY KHND RADIO.

&&

JMETZ
Local storm report, Jul 26, 9:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 26, 9:46 PM MDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1046 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

NDZ023-025-270445-
FOSTER-WELLS-
1046 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1041 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER EAST CENTRAL WELLS COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT
40 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS  ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BARLOW BY 1105 PM CDT...
  GRACE CITY BY 1130 PM CDT...
  MCHENRY BY 1145 PM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

AYD
Special weather statement, Jul 26, 10:18 PM MDT, 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1118 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

NDZ018-032-033-270500-
BILLINGS ND-DUNN ND-STARK ND-
1018 PM MDT MON JUL 26 2010

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR SOUTHWESTERN DUNN...NORTHEASTERN
STARK AND EASTERN BILLINGS COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM MDT...

AT 1013 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES WEST OF NEW HRADEC...OR 14 MILES
NORTHWEST OF DICKINSON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  DICKINSON...
  NEW HRADEC...
  GLADSTONE...
  TAYLOR...
  RICHARDTON...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

VINING/HAMILTON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 26, 6:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn54 min
Jul 26, 6:11 PM MDTTornado WarningBISBurke, Mountrail, Renville, Ward49 min
Jul 26, 6:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer54 min
Jul 26, 6:32 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcHenry, McLean, Sheridan, Ward43 min
Jul 26, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McLean, Mercer62 min
Jul 26, 6:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBottineau, McHenry, Renville, Ward49 min
Jul 26, 7:16 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcHenry, Pierce, Sheridan, Wells44 min
Jul 26, 7:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry, Ward22 min
Jul 26, 7:34 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBISMcHenry, Pierce, Rolette3 hr
Jul 26, 7:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer50 min
Jul 26, 7:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry32 min
Jul 26, 7:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry, McLean, Sheridan22 min
Jul 26, 8:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie, Williams56 min
Jul 26, 8:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Sheridan53 min
Jul 26, 8:27 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBISMcLean, Mercer3 hr
Jul 26, 8:32 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISMcHenry, Pierce, Sheridan, Wells3 hr
Jul 26, 8:39 PM MDTTornado WarningBISPierce, Wells23 min
Jul 26, 8:42 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcLean, Sheridan33 min
Jul 26, 8:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry, McLean, Pierce, Sheridan26 min
Jul 26, 8:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Sheridan, Wells51 min
Jul 26, 8:56 PM MDTTornado WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder, Sheridan, Wells15 min
Jul 26, 8:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie, Williams46 min
Jul 26, 9:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Sheridan12 min
Jul 26, 10:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Stutsman, Wells60 min
Jul 26, 10:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, Stark38 min
Jul 26, 11:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMorton51 min
Jul 26, 11:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISOliver31 min
Jul 27, 12:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISWells60 min
Jul 27, 1:07 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder38 min
Jul 27, 1:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Stutsman, Wells60 min
Jul 27, 4:01 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure, Logan, Stutsman59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.