Wind Advisory 2, NWS Binghamton, NY

656 
WWUS71 KBGM 080110
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
910 PM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...HIGH WINDS LIKELY ON SATURDAY...

.AN AREA OF INTENSE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS LOWER ONTARIO
ON SATURDAY. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. A CORRIDOR OF
STRONG WINDS IN THE LOWER PART OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE REGION AHEAD OF...AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. MUCH COLDER
AIR POURING IN BEHIND THE FRONT MAY CAUSE THESE STRONG WINDS TO
REACH THE GROUND FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE EVENING.
SCATTERED DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-080915-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.100508T1400Z-100509T0400Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
910 PM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY DURING THE LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ON SATURDAY WITH WIND SPEEDS
INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS BETWEEN
50 AND 60 MPH LIKELY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST DURING THE
EVENING AND DECREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
HOURS.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-PAZ038-039-080915-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.100508T1600Z-100509T0400Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
910 PM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
WITH WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS
BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST DURING
THE EVENING AND DECREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

NYZ062-PAZ040-043-044-047-048-072-080915-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.100508T1800Z-100509T0400Z/
SULLIVAN-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
910 PM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
WITH WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS
BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST DURING
THE EVENING AND DECREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH DURING OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

861 
WWUS71 KBGM 080839
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
439 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...

.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EAST FROM THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO TODAY. STRONG PRESSURE RISES
BEHIND THIS FEATURE WILL PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF
CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. 

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-082000-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.100508T1400Z-100509T0400Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
439 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY DURING THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH LIKELY. WINDS
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST DURING THE EVENING AND DECREASE TO AROUND 15
TO 25 MPH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR
GREATER.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE.  BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
HOURS.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-PAZ038-039-082000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.100508T1600Z-100509T0400Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
439 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT
EDT TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH 
WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS
BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH LIKELY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST DURING
THE EVENING AND DECREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

NYZ062-PAZ040-043-044-047-048-072-082000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.100508T1800Z-100509T0400Z/
SULLIVAN-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
439 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH 
WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS
BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH LIKELY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST DURING
THE EVENING AND DECREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH DURING OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

251 
WWUS71 KBGM 081535
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1135 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...

.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EAST FROM THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO TODAY. STRONG WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE LOW. WINDS WILL GUST TO
NEAR 60 MPH LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE
NORTHERN FINGER LAKES TO THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY. WINDS WILL
GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND
NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-082345-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100509T0400Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
1135 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR
GREATER ARE EXPECTED. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL
HOURS.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-PAZ038-039-082345-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.100508T1600Z-100509T0400Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
1135 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 TO 50 MPH
POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS
EVENING... THEN DECREASE LATE TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

NYZ062-PAZ040-043-044-047-048-072-082345-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.100508T1800Z-100509T0400Z/
SULLIVAN-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
1135 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON... WITH SPEEDS OF 15
TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 TO 50 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING... THEN DIMINISH LATE
TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

MSE

455 
WWUS71 KBGM 081901
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
301 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES TOWARD THE
CANADIAN MARTIMES TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS CIRCULATING AROUND THE STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA INTO
SUNDAY. WIND GUSTS WILL REACH AS HIGH AS 60 MPH FROM THE NORTHERN FINGER
LAKES TO THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY TONIGHT... WITH 40 TO 50 MPH
GUSTS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING... FOLLOWED BY
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL ALSO AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY. CLOUDS AND WIND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN MOST
AREAS NEAR TO JUST ABOVE FREEZING TONIGHT. HOWEVER CLEARING SKIES AND
LIGHTER WINDS MAY ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW FREEZING IN MANY
AREAS SUNDAY NIGHT.

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-090315-
/O.NEW.KBGM.FZ.A.0002.100510T0400Z-100510T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100509T1100Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
301 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WIND
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING... WITH
SPEEDS AVERAGING 20 TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS PAST 50 MPH. THE
WIND WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST
AREAS LATE TONIGHT... AS RAIN SHOWERS MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS WILL BRING EVEN
COLDER WEATHER ON SUNDAY NIGHT... WITH MANY AREAS POSSIBLY FALLING
TO JUST BELOW FREEZING BY MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR
GREATER ARE EXPECTED. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND
PROPERTY ARE POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. BE PREPARED
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES. AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR
SEVERAL HOURS.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-PAZ038-039-090315-
/O.NEW.KBGM.FZ.A.0002.100510T0400Z-100510T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100509T1100Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
301 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE WIND ADVISORY
IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THIS EVENING. SPEEDS
WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 TO
50 MPH. THE WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATE TONIGHT. 

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S LATE TONIGHT... AS
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS MIX OR CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES.
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS WILL BRING EVEN COLDER WEATHER
SUNDAY NIGHT... WITH LOWS POSSIBLY FALLING TO NEAR OR BELOW
FREEZING IN MANY AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NYZ062-PAZ040-043-044-047-048-072-090315-
/O.NEW.KBGM.FZ.A.0002.100510T0400Z-100510T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100509T1100Z/
SULLIVAN-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
301 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE WIND ADVISORY
IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THIS EVENING. SPEEDS
WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 TO
50 MPH. THE WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATE TONIGHT. 

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE MID 30S IN MOST AREAS LATE
TONIGHT... WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES MIXING
WITH OR CHANGING TO FLURRIES IN MANY AREAS. CLEARING SKIES AND
LIGHTER WINDS WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF EVEN COLDER WEATHER
SUNDAY NIGHT... WITH LOWS FALLING TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING IN
MANY AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

MSE

048 
WWUS71 KBGM 090137
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
937 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM QUEBEC TOWARD THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS
CIRCULATING AROUND THE STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA INTO SUNDAY.
WIND GUSTS WILL REACH AS HIGH AS 60 MPH FROM THE NORTHERN FINGER
LAKES TO THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY TONIGHT...WITH 40 TO 50 MPH
GUSTS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...
FOLLOWED BY GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

COOL WEATHER WILL ALSO AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
CLOUDS AND WIND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN MOST AREAS NEAR TO JUST
ABOVE FREEZING TONIGHT. HOWEVER CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS
SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW FREEZING IN MANY AREAS
SUNDAY NIGHT.

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-090945-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100509T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBGM.FZ.A.0002.100510T0400Z-100510T1000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
937 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. A
FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING... WITH SPEEDS
AVERAGING 20 TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS PAST 50 MPH. THE WIND
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST
AREAS LATE TONIGHT... AS RAIN SHOWERS MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. ON SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS
WILL BRING EVEN COLDER WEATHER...WITH MANY AREAS POSSIBLY FALLING
BELOW FREEZING EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR
GREATER ARE EXPECTED. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND
PROPERTY ARE POSSIBLE WITH WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. BE PREPARED
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS AND WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES. AT HOME...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE WITHOUT POWER FOR
SEVERAL HOURS.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-PAZ038-039-090945-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100509T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBGM.FZ.A.0002.100510T0400Z-100510T1000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
937 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. A FREEZE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH. THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE
TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S LATE TONIGHT... AS
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS MIX OR CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. SUNDAY
NIGHT...CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS WILL BRING EVEN COLDER
WEATHER...WITH LOWS PROBABLY FALLING TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NYZ062-PAZ040-043-044-047-048-072-090945-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100509T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBGM.FZ.A.0002.100510T0400Z-100510T1000Z/
SULLIVAN-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
937 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. A FREEZE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH. THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE
TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE MID 30S IN MOST AREAS LATE
TONIGHT...WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MIXING WITH OR
CHANGING TO FLURRIES. SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHTER
WINDS WILL BRING EVEN COLDER WEATHER...WITH LOWS FALLING TO NEAR
OR BELOW FREEZING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
30 MPH AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND
WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ALL
LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

TAC

667 
WWUS71 KBGM 090316
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1116 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-091130-
/O.CAN.KBGM.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100509T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBGM.FZ.A.0002.100510T0400Z-100510T1000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
1116 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS CANCELED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. WIND SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE REGION AND THE
WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST
AREAS LATE TONIGHT... AS RAIN SHOWERS MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. ON SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS
WILL BRING EVEN COLDER WEATHER...WITH MANY AREAS POSSIBLY FALLING
BELOW FREEZING EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
091130-
/O.CAN.KBGM.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100509T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBGM.FZ.A.0002.100510T0400Z-100510T1000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
1116 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY. WIND SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE AREA AND THE WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED.

A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE MID 30S IN MOST AREAS LATE
TONIGHT...WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MIXING WITH OR
CHANGING TO FLURRIES. SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHTER
WINDS WILL BRING EVEN COLDER WEATHER...WITH LOWS FALLING TO NEAR
OR BELOW FREEZING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
157 PM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOST LOCATIONS. MUCH
COOLER AIR...AND WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS A SECONDARY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. RAIN
SATURDAY WILL CHANGE TO A RAIN SNOW MIX OVERNIGHT AS TEMPS COOL
INTO THE LOWER 30S. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN WORK INTO THE AREA BY
LATE SUNDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW DRIER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATED AS OF 11 AM...
12Z GUIDANCE COMING IN THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO SHOW A HIGH WIND
POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG LOW MOVING ACROSS LOWER
ONTARIO ON SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR THE FLAT PLAINS SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO...AND OF COURSE FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A CORE OF 50-70
KT WINDS AT 850 MB TRANSLATES ALONG THE SRN SHORE OF THE LAKE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH 40 KTS EXTENDING FURTHER SOUTH INTO CNY.
ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE COUPLET IS A BIT FAR NORTH...BUT WE SHOULD
STILL SEE GOOD MIXING WITHIN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO WARRANT
POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS ABOVE 55 MPH AT TIMES FROM PEO-SYR-RME.
HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR OUR NORTHERN
ZONES...AND WILL NEED TO EVALUATE FOR UPGRADE TO WARNING THIS
AFTERNOON...AND ALSO PROBABLE ADVISORY FOR REST OF CWA.

OTHERWISE TODAY...ONLY MINOR TWEEKS TO FIRST PERIOD TO TIME IN
CLOUDS AND DYING NOCTURNAL CONVECTION FROM OHIO. AIRMASS IS DRY
AND STABLE HERE...THUS ONLY EXPECTING SOME LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY
DEVELOPING IN WESTERN ZONES BY LATE AFTERNOON. REST OF FCST LOOKS
REASONABLE WITH EXPECTATION OF ELEVATED CONVECTION THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT NORTH...WITH COLD FRONTAL SHOWERS/TS POSSIBLE
SOUTHERN HALF LATE. WILL FINE TUNE THIS WITH AFTERNOON PKG.

PREVIOUS DISCN FROM OVERNIGHT...
VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN SHAPING UP FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
WE MIGHT AS WELL GET RIGHT TO THE DETAILS. EARLY MORNING WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING POTENT UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WITH ITS SFC REFLECTION LOCATED NEAR
THE KANSAS CITY AREA. A SURFACE WARM FRONT REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS
THE TENN RVR VLY AND SOUTHEAST WITH STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION IN
THE FORM OF A 60 KT LLJ FUELING AN ACTIVE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE MIDWEST THIS MORNING. WITH TIME TODAY...SFC LOW WILL
CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES BEFORE
TAKING UP ARRIVING NEAR THE DETROIT AREA BY 00Z THIS EVENING. AS
THIS FEATURE PROGRESSES NORTHEAST...SFC WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN
LIFTING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION...WITH
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE OHIO VLY THIS
AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUDS IN ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE
INTO THE REGION DURING THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON...WITH WARM AIR
ADVECTION SHOWERS REMAINING POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN ZONES
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AS ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE INCREASES
ALONG/NORTH OF ADVANCING WARM FRONT. FEEL BULK OF THE DAY SHOULD
BE DRY TODAY AS FORECAST AREA WILL RESIDE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT
THUS PREVENTING LOW-LEVELS FROM DESTABILIZING. DIFFICULT TEMP
FORECAST AS 00Z GFS STILL SUGGESTS WARM FRONT ADVANCING AS FAR
NORTH AS THE WYOMING VLY BY THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER ALL OTHER
MODELS KEEP BOUNDARY WELL SOUTH UNTIL TONIGHT. THUS HAVE FOLLOWED
THE COOLER MET NUMBERS FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS BASED ON GOOD FRONTAL
POSITION AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE WRF AND ECMWF.

BIG SHOW BEGINS TONIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL LOW PROGRESSES EASTWARD.
ARRIVAL OF THIS FEATURE WILL RESULT IN COOLING TEMPS ALOFT AND
AN INCREASING THREAT FOR STORMS AS MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN.
MEANWHILE ALONG THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EAST FROM THE
CENTRAL LAKES TO NEAR TRENTON ONTARIO BY 12Z SAT WITH THIS FEATURE
RAPIDLY OCCLUDING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. AS THE SYSTEM
TRACKS NORTHEAST...SFC WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH WITH MODELS
INDICATING FEATURE WILL MAKE IT TO NEAR THE NYS THRUWAY BEFORE
OCCLUDED STRUCTURE TAKES OVER AS COLD FRONT ADVANCES FROM THE
WEST. AS THIS IS GOING ON...THE STRONG LLJ NOTED PREVIOUSLY WILL
ALSO MOVE INTO THE REGION...EFFECTIVELY PUMPING HIGH AMOUNTS OF
GULF MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS CWA. FEEL STORM THREAT WILL ARRIVE
IN TWO WAVES WITH THE FIRST BEING CONFINED ALONG/NORTH OF
ADVANCING WARM FRONT...WITH MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY BEING ELEVATED
IN NATURE. 0-6KM BULK SHEAR VECTORS ARE VERY IMPRESSIVE WITH
FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT
INDICATING SUBSTANTIAL VEERING WITH HEIGHT. MAIN LIMITING FACTOR
FOR ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE WX WILL BE POOR TIMING AS LOW-LEVELS WILL
STABILIZE AFTER SUNSET BASED ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS TAKEN FROM NEAR
AVP. THAT SAID...ANY SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO
LOCATIONS NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT WITH MODIFIED NAM12 AWIPS SOUNDINGS
YIELDING 5-600 JOULES OF ELEVATED CAPE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY.
ADDITIONALLY WINDS WILL BE VERY STRONG ALOFT WITH SUGGEST THE
POSSIBILITIES THAT STORMS WILL BE SHEARED APART AS THEY BEGIN
DEVELOPING. SPC MAINTAINS BEST SEVERE RISK WEST OF THE AREA WHICH
I AGREE WITH BASED ON MORE FAVORABLE TIMING. ONLY CONCERN IS THAT
IF MCS DEVELOPS ACROSS THE OHIO RVR VLY IT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
OF TRACKING EAST ALONG THE WARM FRONT. OBVIOUSLY CONVECTIVE
TRENDS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING HOWEVER
HIGH RESOLUTION CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS SUGGEST ANY HIGHLY
ORGANIZED BOW STRUCTURES WILL ERODE AWAY BY EVENING WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING.

SECOND ROUND OF STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES EAST
THROUGH THE REGION AFTER 05Z TIME FRAME. BY THIS TIME...SFC LOW
WILL BE RAPIDLY OCCLUDING NORTH OF OUR AREA. OVERALL SEVERE THREAT
WITH THIS THIS SECOND ROUND OF STORMS WILL BE RATHER LOW DUE TO
THE ABOVE LISTED REASONS. HAVE INCREASED POPS TO CATEGORICAL
ACROSS THE FAR THE FINGER LAKES AND POINTS NORTH WHERE BEST
ISENTROPIC LIFT IS FORECAST ALONG/NORTH OF WARM FRONT. BULK OF
SHOWERS WILL LIKELY COME IN LATE FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS NORTHEAST PA
ALONG ADVANCING COLD FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
REGION WILL RESIDE IN A POST FRONTAL AIRMASS ON SATURDAY WITH
A SECONDARY LOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE OCCLUDED FRONT
ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY SAT MORNING. THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST
INTO WESTERN QUEBEC DURING THE DAY AND AS IT DOES SO...FEATURE
WILL SEND A SECONDARY FRONT SOUTHWARD AND HENCE A REINFORCING SHOT
OF COLD AIR ACROSS OUR REGION. STRONG PRESSURE RISES ARE FORECAST
BEHIND THE SECONDARY LOW WHICH WILL RESULT IN SUSTAINED WINDS OF
25 TO 35 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. HIGHEST WINDS WILL LIKELY
BE CENTERED ACROSS THE LAKE PLAIN AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES WITH
THESE LOCATIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO MAX PRESSURE RISES.
MOMENTUM TRANSFER TOOL AVAILABLE ON BUFKIT SUGGESTS WINDS GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 40 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE
RATES PROVIDING A FAVORABLE SCENARIO FOR MAXIMUM MIXING. WILL HOLD
OFF ON ANY HEADLINES FOR NOW BUT ITS LIKELY THAT DAYSHIFT WILL
HAVE TO CONSIDER THE ISSUANCE AN ADVISORY FOR THE SAT AFTERNOON
TIMEFRAME. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL KEEP THREAT FOR SHOWERS GOING
ON SAT WITH RAIN CHANGING TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX AFTER SUNSET AS
THERMO PROFILES COOL UNDER A PRONOUNCED COLD AIR ADVECTION REGIME.
POTENTIAL FOR SNOW EXISTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL WHERE FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW FAVORABLE MOISTURE PROFILES FOR ICE CRYSTAL
GENERATION. FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL WINDS SUGGEST POSSIBLE LAKE
ENHANCEMENTS AS H85 TEMPS CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. MAY SEE AN INCH OR TWO ACROSS NORTHERN ONEIDA
COUNTY...HOWEVER LOCATIONS FURTHER REMOVED FOR MAX WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE APPEAR TO EXPEDIENCE A DRYING IN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH
ZONE OVERNIGHT AND WILL MAINTAIN MENTION OF RA/SN FOR NOW.

SYSTEM DEPARTS TO THE NORTHEAST ON SUN WITH DRY CONDITIONS THEN
EXPECTED BOTH SUN NIGHT AND MON AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS
THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM
WITH COOL NW FLOW EXPECTED THRU MON NGT. ONE MORE NIGHT OF NEAR
FREEZING TEMPS EXPECTED THRU 12Z TUE WITH PATCHY FROST LIKELY OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA.

BY TUE AFTN...WINDS SHIFT ARND TO THE SOUTH AHD OF NEXT
SYSTEM WITH TEMPS SLOWLY MODERATING. 00Z EURO BRINGS WMFNT THRU
TUE NGT/WED MRNG WITH LOPRES CENTERED OVR WRN GREAT LKS REGION.
EXPECT SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY TSTMS TO ACCOMPANY FRONT THRU THE AREA
BY MID-WEEK. PCPN WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH MOST OF THE PD...THO
UL RIDGING WL TRY TO MV EAST FOR A BRIEF PD OF TIME TWD THE END OF
THE WEEK.

BOTH 00Z GFS/ECMWF FAIRLY CONSISTENT ON OVERALL EVOLN OF SYSTEM
THRU THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. THEY BEGIN TO DIVERGE LATE IN
THE PD WITH GFS MVG LOW INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND WHILE EURO DIVES IT
SOUTH TWD MID-ATLANTIC. EITHER WAY...APPEARS THAT MOST OF THE
EXTNDD WL FEATURE OFF AND ON CHCS FOR SHOWERS UNTIL HIPRES BEGINS
TO BUILD IN THURSDAY. ACCOMPANYING THE HIPRES WL BE TEMPS
BEGINNING TO APPCH NORMAL VALUES AGAIN BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SFC LOW WILL TRACK NE INTO WRN NY TNGT...WITH STRONG CDFNT MOVG
EWD ACRS CNTR NY AND NE PA 08-14Z. STRONG WSW WINDS TO FOLLOW THIS
FNT.

VFR WILL PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTN INTO THE EARLY
EVNG HRS WITH MID/HI OVC. CONVECTION OVER THE OH VLY XPCTD TO WORK
INTO THE RGN AFTER 03Z...WITH ANOTHER BATCH LIKELY WITH THE CDFNT
PSSG. PROFILES SHOW SIG SPEED/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR DVLPNG OVRNGT ACRS
THE FCST AREA DUE TO VCNTY OF WMFNT...AND INTRODUCED LLWS FOR THE
OVRNGT HRS ALL SITES. SHRA/PSBL TSRA SPCLY IN THE 006-12Z TIME
FRAME WITH SCT MVFR. WINDS TNGT BECMG S TO SE AND INCREASING TO
10-20 KTS...WITH G25-30 PSBL AT HIER LOCATIONS ITH/BGM. WINDS BECMG WSW
SAT MRNG 20-25 KTS WITH G35-45 KTS PERSISTING INTO SAT EVNG.

OUTLOOK...

SAT NIGHT/SUN...SCT MVFR/IFR IN -SHRA/-SHSN.

SUN NGT - MON NGT...VFR.

TUE - WED...MVFR/IFR IN PDS OF RAIN.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE
CONT GREEN UP AND PDS OF RAIN CONTG.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
     FOR NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CMG
NEAR TERM...JAB
SHORT TERM...CMG
LONG TERM...PVN
FIRE WEATHER...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1114 AM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-081515-
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-
1114 AM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF A WARM FRONT
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS WEST OF THE REGION TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...SOME
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY BEHIND A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION.

BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH WEAK WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES
ALOFT WILL ALLOW OVERNIGHT LOWS TO FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MANY
LOCATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT. MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE FREEZE
CONDITIONS AND ALL WITH OUTSIDE PLANT INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-081515-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
1114 AM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF A WARM FRONT
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS WEST OF THE REGION TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...SOME
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL. THE MOST FAVORED LOCATIONS
FOR SUCH ACTIVITY INCLUDE THE FINGER LAKES AND MOHAWK RIVER
VALLEY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH WEAK WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES
ALOFT WILL ALLOW OVERNIGHT LOWS TO FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MANY
LOCATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT. MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE FREEZE
CONDITIONS AND ALL WITH OUTSIDE PLANT INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-081515-
SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-
LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
1114 AM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY BEHIND A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION.

BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH WEAK WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES
ALOFT WILL ALLOW OVERNIGHT LOWS TO FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MANY
LOCATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT. MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE FREEZE
CONDITIONS AND ALL WITH OUTSIDE PLANT INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

13