Red Flag Warning 13, NWS Amarillo, TX

Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

567 
WWUS84 KAMA 100243
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
943 PM CDT SUN MAY 9 2010

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-101200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0013.100510T1500Z-100511T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
943 PM CDT SUN MAY 9 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM CDT
MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM CDT
MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES.

STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY MORNING BETWEEN 30 TO
40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE
STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
LESS THAN 10 PERCENT WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND A FIRE DANGER RATING OF HIGH OR
GREATER WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BEAL

285 
WWUS84 KAMA 100841
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
341 AM CDT MON MAY 10 2010

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-102100-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0013.100510T1500Z-100511T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
341 AM CDT MON MAY 10 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES.

STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING THEN INTENSIFY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE
STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES LESS THAN 10 PERCENT WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND A FIRE DANGER RATING OF HIGH OR
GREATER WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

YOU ARE ADVISED TO POSTPONE ALL OUTDOOR BURNING UNTIL CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. BE EXTREMELY CAREFUL TO AVOID STARTING OUTDOOR FIRES...AND
BE SURE TO PROPERLY EXTINGUISH ALL SMOKING MATERIALS.

&&

$$

JJB

673 
WWUS84 KAMA 102005
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
305 PM CDT MON MAY 10 2010

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-110200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-100511T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
305 PM CDT MON MAY 10 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES DUE TO
VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. WIND
SPEEDS BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH COMBINED
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 10 PERCENT WILL KEEP CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND A FIRE DANGER RATING OF HIGH OR
GREATER WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

YOU ARE ADVISED TO POSTPONE ALL OUTDOOR BURNING UNTIL CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. BE EXTREMELY CAREFUL TO AVOID STARTING OUTDOOR FIRES...
AND BE SURE TO PROPERLY EXTINGUISH ALL SMOKING MATERIALS.

&&

$$

CLK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1229 PM CDT SUN MAY 9 2010

.AVIATION...
THE LOW CLOUDS THAT HAVE PERSISTED FOR MUCH OF THE MORNING ARE
SLOWING ERODING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. THE
DECREASED CLOUD COVER AT KDHT AND KGUY HAVE ALLOWED STRONGER WINDS TO
REACH THE SURFACE AND KAMA SHOULD FOLLOW A SIMILAR TREND ONCE SKIES
BEGIN TO CLEAR. GENERALLY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
PERIOD WITH WIND SPEEDS THIS AFTERNOON AROUND 20 KTS WITH GUSTS NEAR
30 KTS POSSIBLE. AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY THIS EVENING...LOW
CLOUDS SHOULD REDEVELOP AS MOISTURE STREAMS INTO THE AREA. SOME FOG
IS ALSO NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION WHICH COULD RESULT IN MVFR CONDITIONS
OR LOWER. IN ADDITION...SOME THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT CANNOT BE RULED
OUT THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT BUT SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE FAR EASTERN
PANHANDLES.

A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY SWEEP ACROSS THE TAF SITES BY NOON ON
MONDAY SCOURING OUT THE MOISTURE AND TAKING ANY RAIN CHANCES WITH IT.
AS THE DRYLINE PASSES...CLOUD COVER WILL QUICKLY DECREASE AND WINDS
WILL BECOME QUITE STRONG AND GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST.

NUTTALL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 552 AM CDT SUN MAY 9 2010/

AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS HAVE STARTED TO MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH AGAIN AFTER
CLEARING THE FROM THE GUY AND DHT TAF SITES. BELIEVE GUY HAS THE BEST
CHANCE AT SOME 4000 FOOT CIGS AGAIN THIS MORNING...BUT HAVE DECIDED
TO LEAVE DHT OUT OF THE LOWER CLOUDS FOR NOW. THE 3K TO 4K FOOT LAYER
SHOULD BREAK UP IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD BE
INCREASING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GET GUSTY BY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
THEY SHOULD DECREASE SOME FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT...BUT THIS TIME THEY SHOULD BE
DOWN IN THE MVFR RANGE OR LOWER. WE MAY NEED TO ADD THE MENTION OF
FOG DURING A LATER FORECAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 341 AM CDT SUN MAY 9 2010/

DISCUSSION...
SOME SEMBLANCE OF A DRYLINE BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE NW
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE SKIES HAVE CLEARED...ROUGHLY FROM BOISE
CITY TO CLOVIS WHERE SURFACE WINDS WERE SOUTH OR SWLY. SE WINDS
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE PANHANDLES. WITH STRENGTHENING
SE FLOW EXPECTED TODAY...THE DRYLINE LIKELY TO MAKE LITTLE PROGRESS
EASTWARD TODAY. RETAINED THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR ISOLD TSTMS
FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE
AND INCREASED INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL JET EXISTS.

AS STRONG SURFACE AND UPPER LOW MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA ON MON...
STRONG WEST AND SW WINDS WILL PUSH THE DRYLINE RAPIDLY EASTWARD INTO
WESTERN OK BY EARLY AFTN TAKING ANY RAIN CHANCES WITH IT. VERY WINDY
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA MON AFTN. A COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO SAG INTO
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TUE. LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY
WITH STRENGTH OF THIS INITIAL FRONT AND JUST HOW FAR SOUTH IT TRAVELS
BEFORE STALLING. FRONT MAY LIFT NORTH SOME ON WED BEFORE ALL MODELS
AGREE THE FRONT SURGING SOUTH OF THE ARE WED NIGHT. CONSIDERABLY
COOLER AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIODS. PERSISTENT 5H TROUGH OVER THE SW US WILL KEEP THE PANHANDLES
IN SW FLOW ALOFT FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH WEAK DISTURBANCE RIDING OVER
THE POST FRONTAL AIRMASS OVER THE PANHANDLES. AS A RESULT...POPS INCLUDED
FROM WED THROUGH SAT NIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL FRI AND FRI NIGHT. ALTHOUGH TIMING CONFIDENCE LOW DUE TO
DISPARAGING MODEL SOLUTIONS.

STAYED VERY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE ALL PERIODS...WITH SOME MINOR TWEAKING
WITH MAX TEMPS WED THROUGH FRI. VERY WARM MON...THEN TRENDIING BELOW
NORMAL WED THROUGH SAT.

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS AFTN ACROSS THE EXTREME WESTERN
SECTIONS OF THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES DUE TO 20 KT WINDS AND MIN RH
VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT. CRITICAL FIRE WX CONCERNS ACROSS ALL OF THE
PANHANDLES ON MONDAY. WEST TO SW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KTS WITH GUSTS TO
45 KTS AND RH VALUES WELL BELOW 15 PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL
BE ISSUED FOR MONDAY. ELEVATED FIRE WX CONCERNS ACROSS THE SW TX
PANHANDLE AGAIN TUE...BEFORE RELATIVELY MOIST AND COOL CONDITIONS
PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WX CONCERNS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
     COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...
     HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...
     MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...
     SHERMAN...WHEELER.

OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.

&&

06/11

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
440 AM CDT SUN MAY 9 2010

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-092100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
440 AM CDT SUN MAY 9 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
PANHANDLES. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS...BUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME. CAUTION IS ADVISED ON AREA LAKES DUE TO BREEZY SOUTHERLY
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLES MONDAY
AND EARLY MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES. A WIND ADVISORY MAY ALSO BE REQUIRED ON MONDAY FOR THE
PANHANDLES DUE TO THE EXPECTED STRONG WINDS.

CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
FOR MUCH OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. STORMS THROUGH THIS
PERIOD ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

GOEHRING