Alert archive / Vermont / Winter Storm Warnings in 2010
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 17, 2010, 2:14 PM EST for Berkshire County, Massachusetts; Bennington County, Windham County, Vermont; Greene County, Ulster County, New York. It took effect at Jan 17, 2010, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 17, 2010, 2:14 PM EST (19:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 17, 2010, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 18, 2010, 9:34 AM EST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Berkshire County, MA, Greene County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 35 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 702 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 49 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 120 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
235 WWUS41 KALY 171914 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 214 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 MAZ001-025-VTZ013>015-180400- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...BENNINGTON... JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO... BELLOWS FALLS 214 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY FOR THE BERKSHIRES OF MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OVER DELAWARE WILL BRING SNOW...PERHAPS MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. THE SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES... WILL ACCUMULATE 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER END OF THIS RANGE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ058-063-180400- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON... NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 214 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OVER DELAWARE WILL BRING SNOW...SLEET AND PERHAPS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. THIS WINTRY MIXTURE WILL ACCUMULATE 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER END OF THIS RANGE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS ALSO EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ047-051-059-064-180400- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN GREENE-EASTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT... CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ 214 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY FOR THE SCHOHARIE VALLEY...HELDERBERGS AND PORTIONS OF THE MID HUDSON VALLEY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OVER DELAWARE WILL BRING SNOW...SLEET AND PERHAPS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. THIS WINTRY MIXTURE WILL ACCUMULATE 3 TO 7 INCHES. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS ALSO EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ001-013-NYZ041-043-048>050-052>054-060-061-065-066-083-084- 180400- /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALBANY...TROY... HOOSICK FALLS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON... ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS... AMENIA...MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS... HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH 214 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY FOR NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT...CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND TACONICS. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OVER DELAWARE WILL BRING SNOW...SLEET AND PERHAPS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. THIS WINTRY MIXTURE WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 5 INCHES. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS ALSO EXPECTED...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE CAPITAL REGION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
5 follow-up statements
924 WWUS41 KALY 172336 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 636 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 MAZ001-025-VTZ013>015-181100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...BENNINGTON... JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO... BELLOWS FALLS 636 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY FOR THE BERKSHIRES OF MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OVER DELAWARE WILL BRING SNOW... PERHAPS MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. THE SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL ACCUMULATE 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER END OF THIS RANGE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET. IN ADDITION...ICE ACCRETION OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ058-063-181100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON... NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 636 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY FOR THE SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OVER DELAWARE WILL BRING SNOW...SLEET AND PERHAPS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. THIS WINTRY MIXTURE WILL ACCUMULATE 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER END OF THIS RANGE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS ALSO EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ038>040-082-181100- /O.EXA.KALY.WW.Y.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS... MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN... AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD 636 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OVER DELAWARE WILL BRING SNOW...SLEET AND A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. SNOW AND SLEET WILL ACCUMULATE 1 TO 4 INCHES. IN ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH...TO UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS WITHIN SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY BETWEEN ELEVATIONS OF 800 AND 1200 FEET. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ001-013-NYZ041-043-047>054-059>061-064>066-083-084-181100- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0002.100118T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER- WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...CATSKILL... COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON... CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON... ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS... AMENIA...MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS... HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH 636 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY FOR NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT...CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...TACONICS AND MID HUDSON VALLEY. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OVER DELAWARE WILL BRING SNOW...SLEET AND PERHAPS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN...INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. SNOW AND SLEET WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 800 FEET. IN ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH COULD OCCUR FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH LESS THAN ONE TENTH EXPECTED WITHIN THE VALLEYS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
656 WWUS41 KALY 180308 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1008 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 MAZ001-025-VTZ013>015-181115- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...BENNINGTON... JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO... BELLOWS FALLS 1008 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY FOR THE BERKSHIRES OF MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA WILL BRING PERIODS OF SNOW...PERHAPS MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL ACCUMULATE 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER END OF THIS RANGE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET. IN ADDITION...ICE ACCRETION OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ058-063-181115- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON... NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 1008 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY FOR THE SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA WILL BRING PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET AND PERHAPS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THIS WINTRY MIXTURE WILL ACCUMULATE 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER END OF THIS RANGE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS ALSO EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ CTZ001-013-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-059>061-064>066-082>084-181115- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE- WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS- EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK... FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...CATSKILL... COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON... CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON... ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS... AMENIA...MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH 1008 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY FOR NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT...THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...TACONICS AND MID HUDSON VALLEY. A COASTAL STORM DEVELOPING OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA WILL BRING PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET AND PERHAPS SOME FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN...INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT. SNOW AND SLEET WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 800 FEET. IN ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH COULD OCCUR FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH LESS THAN ONE TENTH EXPECTED WITHIN THE VALLEYS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND WET ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
451 WWUS41 KALY 180929 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 429 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 MAZ001-025-VTZ013>015-181700- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...BENNINGTON... JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO... BELLOWS FALLS 429 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR THE BERKSHIRES OF MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF CAPE COD THIS MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE BY THE LATE MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WEST FACING SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS...AND THE HIGH PEAKS OF THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES. SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH THE SNOW AT ELEVATIONS GREATER THAN 500 FEET. ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE A COATING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ058-063-181700- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON... NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 429 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR THE EASTERN CATSKILLS. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF CAPE COD THIS MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE BY THE LATE MORNING. SOME FREEZING RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH THE SNOW AT ELEVATIONS GREATER THAN 500 FEET. ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE A COATING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ CTZ001-013-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-059>061-064>066-082>084-181700- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE- WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS- EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK... FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...CATSKILL... COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON... CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON... ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS... AMENIA...MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH 429 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT...THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL REGION...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...TACONICS AND MID HUDSON VALLEY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF CAPE COD THIS MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE BY THE LATE MORNING. THE HEAVIER TOTALS WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN TACONICS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE SOME FREEZING RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH THE SNOW...IF TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW THE FREEZING MARK IN SOME LOCATIONS. ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE A COATING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
368 WWUS41 KALY 181119 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 619 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 MAZ025-NYZ058-063-181230- /O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX... HOUSATONIC...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN... ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH... PHOENICIA 619 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND THE EASTERN CATSKILLS. THE SNOW HAS TAPERED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...PATCHY DRIZZLE AND POCKETS OF VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UNDER A HALF AN INCH. $$ CTZ001-013-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-059>061-064>066-082>084-181230- /O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE- WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS- EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK... FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...CATSKILL... COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON... CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON... ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS... AMENIA...MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH 619 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE SCHOHARIE VALLEY...HELDERBERGS...MOHAWK RIVER VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...TACONICS...LAKE GEORGE NORTHERN SARATOGA REGION AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. THE SNOW HAS TAPERED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...PATCHY DRIZZLE ...AND POCKETS OF VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UNDER A HALF AN INCH. $$ MAZ001-VTZ013>015-181700- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...BENNINGTON... JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO... BELLOWS FALLS 619 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF CAPE COD THIS MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE BY THE LATE MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WEST FACING SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS...AND THE HIGH PEAKS OF THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES. SOME FREEZING RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH THE SNOW AT ELEVATIONS GREATER THAN 500 FEET. ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE A COATING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END AROUND NOON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$
559 WWUS41 KALY 181434 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 934 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 MAZ001-VTZ013>015-181545- /O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100118T1700Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...BENNINGTON... JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO... BELLOWS FALLS 934 AM EST MON JAN 18 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. ALTHOUGH A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS NOT EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ FRUGIS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 17, 12:41 PM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 12:41 PM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1241 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2010
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED IN THE LOWER TENNESSEE VALLEY...WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST AND IMPACT OUR WEATHER WITH RAIN OR MIXED PRECIPITATION BY
DAYS END...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT ACROSS OUR REGION. THE
STORM WILL HEAD EAST OF CAPE COD LATER ON MARTIN LUTHER KING DAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 830 AM...CIRRUS CLOUD DECK IS QUICKLY ADVANCING NORTHWARD
AHEAD OF THIS STORM SITUATED OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. HAVE
ADJUSTED/INCREASED CLOUD COVER FOR THE REGION. FURTHERMORE...RADAR
REFLECTIVITY REVEALS THE BAND OF PRECIP HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE
MASON-DIXON LINE AS EVEN THE RUC13 IS ABOUT 1 HOUR BEHIND. SO
EXTRAPOLATING UPSTREAM TRENDS AND LATEST RUC13 CORRECTION...PRECIP
SHOULD ARRIVE FOR THE CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NW CT AROUND
21Z. SO MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO THE POP/WX FIELD. PRECIP TYPE
WILL PROVE TO BE A CHALLENGE AS BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD HAVE WARMED
ABOVE FREEZING BUT ITS WET BULB PROFILE SUGGESTS A MIXTURE OF
RAIN/SLEET AND PERHAPS A LITTLE SNOW WITH THE ONSET OF PRECIP. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS WITH FURTHER UPDATES.
PREV DISCUSSION...
AS OF 630 AM...HAD TO READJUST HOURLY GRIDS AS TEMPERATURES WERE WAY
OFF ACROSS THE KGFL DUE TO THE PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS. TOUCHED UP
CLOUD COVER THERE (AND EVERYWHERE AS WELL). NO CHANGES TO
POPS...WELL A FEW VERY MINOR ONES. TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM AROUND
30 IN NORMALLY COLDER KGFL...TO THE 20S FURTHER SOUTH WHERE THERE
ARE ONLY HIGH CLOUDS.
A SECONDARY COASTAL STORM IS ALREADY FORMING ALONG THE TRIPLE POINT
NEAR WILMINGTON NC. PLENTY OF LIGHTNING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
THIS TRIPLE POINT. PRESSURE FALLS NOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL NC...AS THE
PRIMARY LOW BEGINS TO SPIN VORTICITY TO THE SECONDARY LOW NEAR
WILMINGTON. BOTH STORMS WILL CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEAST. LEADING
EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD IS NEARING THE MASON DIXON LINE.
BOTH THE 06Z NAM AND GFS WERE FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE 00Z RUNS
(ALTHOUGH THE NAM TRENDED SLIGHTLY LOWER IN QPF). THE TIME OF THE
PRECIPITATION LOOKS ABOUT THE SAME...REACHING ALBANY PROPER RIGHT
AROUND DARK. ALL HEADLINES REMAIN IN TACT.
EVEN THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS SOMEWHAT CHALLENGING. LAST
NIGHT...WE ARE THINKING THE SKY WOULD BE CLEAR ACROSS MOST OF OUR
REGION. NOT SO...AS OF 400 AM...LOW CLOUDS...TRAPPED UNDERNEATH AN
INVERSION...AND LIKELY THE RESULT OF A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT
LURKING JUST NORTH OF OUR COUNTY WARNING AREA (CWA)...HAVE
PERSISTED. THESE CLOUDS HAVE NOT ONLY HUNG TOUGH FROM ABOUT KGFL ON
NORTHWARD...BUT SOME LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE HAS BEEN FALLING OUT OF
THEM JUST NORTH OF OUR REGION. THE CLOUDS HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES UP
MUST HIGHER THAN WE EXPECTED. KGFL HAS BEEN STRADDLING WITH 30 MUCH
OF THE NIGHT! ELSEWHERE...WITH THE CLEAR SKY...TEMPERATURES HAVE
DIPPED WELL DOWN INTO THE 20S AND EVEN A FEW TEENS.
WITH TIME...THE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK UP AS MOISTURE IS "POOLED"
AT HIGH LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THE CHALLENGE IS WHEN THIS WILL
HAPPEN...PROBABLY LATER THIS MORNING. THEY WILL BREAK UP PROBABLY
JUST IN TIME FOR THE HIGH CLOUDS TO INCREASE.
HIGH CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO STREAM NORTHWARD...AS THE LOW PRESSURE
BEGINS TO MAKE ITS MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE LEADING EDGE
OF THE ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION SHIELD (FALLING AS PRIMARILY RAIN AT
THIS VANTAGE POINT)...IS MOVING INTO THE VA AT THIS TIME. THE BEST
PRESSURE FALLS ARE LOCATED TO ITS EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH
CAROLINA WHICH IMPLIES THE STORM SHOULD TAKE A MORE EASTWARD JAUNT.
A BAROCLINIC ZONES...LIES SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL SC
AND NC. CLOUD TO LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN NOTED IN THE WARM
CONVEYOR BELT PORTION OF THE STORM...MAINLY OFFSHORE.
THE MODELS HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY COLDER WITH A LITTLE LESS QPF
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM AS THEY FORECAST TO TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER
SOUTH OFF OF LONG ISLAND...ABOUT 50 SOUTH AND EAST OF THE BENCHMARK.
NO PHASING IS STILL EVIDENT WITH THE NORTHERN JET STREAM. THE JET
STRUCTURE IS UNIMPRESSIVE WITH SOUTHERN JETSTREAM WELL BIFURCATED
FROM THE POLAR ONE WELL TO THE NORTH. THE WARM NOSE ADVERTISED IN
EARLIER RUNS...IS NOW FOUND TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA. IN FACT...THE
SYSTEM AS THEY HAVE ACTUALLY TRENDED THE STORM TRACK A LITTLE
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST OFF LONG ISLAND. HOWEVER...WITH ONLY A VERY
WEAK HIGH TO THE NORTH...PRECIPITATION SHOULD HAVE LITTLE TROUBLE
REACHING OUR ENTIRE AREA BY LATER TONIGHT.
THE MODELS ARE IN BETTER CONSENSUS REGARDING THE ARRIVAL OF THE
PRECIPITATION. IT LOOKS AS IF IT WILL NOT REACH OUR SOUTHERN ZONES
UNTIL WELL AFTER NOON...ALBANY PROPER AROUND DARK...AND AREAS NORTH
SHORTLY AFTER 00Z. OF COURSE SLIGHT/CHANCE POPS WERE PLACED IN THE
HOURLY GRIDS BEFORE THE EXPECTED ARRIVAL. IT ALSO APPEARS THAT
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING IN THE 30S WOULD DICTATE IT
WOULD LIKELY START AS RAIN SOUTH OF ALBANY...SLEET AND RAIN MIXED IN
CAPITAL DISTRICT AND EVEN POINTS NORTHWARD.
WENT WITH MET NOS FOR HIGH TEMPS TODAY...WITH A LITTLE TWEAKING (+/-
A DEGREE) HERE AND THERE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN VT...WESTERN
MA... CATSKILLS INCLUDING THE SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND HELDERBERGS. DUE
TO A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY WILL LEAVE THE WATCHES UP
(AS OPPOSED TO ISSUING ANY WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME).
THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL TRACK
OFF THE EAST COAST BY TONIGHT AND MONDAY BRINGING A MIX OF
PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA BY TONIGHT.
AS THE BEST ISENTROPIC LIFT AND RESULTANT UPWARD MOTION IMPACTS OUR
AREA...PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME HEAVIER IN MOST PLACES. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION FROM A RAIN OR MIX...TO ALL SNOW BY
OVERNIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE COOLS INITIALLY THROUGH EVAPORATIVE
COOLING...THEN DYNAMICAL COOLING AND FINALLY MELTING SNOW FLAKES.
ALL THIS COOLING WILL DROP TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE COLUMN AT OR
BELOW FREEZING EVERYWHERE...SO ALL SNOW SHOULD PREVAIL. INITIALLY
THE OPTIMAL DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE WILL BE ABOVE THE BEST UPWARD
MOTION BUT WITH TIME...WILL LOWER AND INTERSECT THE BEST UPWARD
MOTION AFTER MIDNIGHT. THEREFORE SNOW RATIOS COULD VARY QUITE A BIT
WITH THIS STORM...INITIALLY CLOSER TO A 5:1 LIQUID TO SNOW
RATIO...BUT ENDING UP CLOSER TO 10:1 IN THE VALLEY BY LATE
NIGHT...AND 12:1 HIGHER TERRAIN.
IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE BEST FRONTOGENESIS AND LOW LEVEL JET FORCING
WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH NEAR THE I-95 CORRIDOR AS WILL THE HEAVIEST
QPF AMOUNTS. WITH LITTLE OR NO WARM NOSE EXPECTED IN OUR
AREA...STAYING TO OUR SOUTH...LITTLE OR NO FREEZING RAIN IS
EXPECTED...SO THE MAIN THREAT NOW APPEARS TO BE SNOW...MIXED WITH A
LITTLE SLEET...ESPECIALLY TO THE SOUTH OF ALBANY. STILL WE WILL KEEP
THE WATCHES UP EVEN IN THOSE AREAS WHERE 4-8 INCHES OF SNOW IS
MENTIONED...SINCE THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY NOW REMAINS HOW MUCH
PRECIPITATION WILL ACTUALLY FALL AND THE ULTIMATE LIQUID TO SNOW
RATIO. IF PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WHERE TO BE EVEN A LITTLE HEAVIER
THAN WE NOW THINK...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD EASILY EXCEED THE 7 INCH
AMOUNT (IN 12 HOURS) OR EVEN 9 INCH AMOUNT (IN 24) NEEDED TO VERIFY
A WINTER STORM WARNING.
MOST VALLEY AREAS INCLUDING THE IMMEDIATE CAPITAL DISTRICT WILL
LIKELY SEE 2-4"...DUE TO SOME QUESTION ON WHEN THE MIX WILL CHANGE
TO SNOW...AND THE WET NATURE OF THE SNOW. 3-6" OF SNOW IS STILL
FORECAST IN TACONICS...BUT ONLY 1-3 INCHES ACROSS THE LAKE GEORGE
AREA AS THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION TRENDS SOUTHWARD AGAIN LEAVING
ONLY LIGHTER AMOUNTS EXPECT THERE AND INTO THE ADIRONDACKS. FURTHER
EAST...4-10" INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN VT AND WESTERN
MA...WITH 3-6" IN VALLEYS. WE STILL AS MUCH AS 6"-12" COULD
ACCUMULATE ACROSS THE HIGHEST CATSKILLS.
BY MONDAY MORNING...PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME LIGHT AND MOVE
OUT...LIKELY ENDING AS A MIX...AS CENTER OF VERTICAL MOTION
EXITS...ALLOWING FOR SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN...DRIZZLE OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE IN SOME AREAS BEFORE ENDING. SOME PARTIAL CLEARING POSSIBLE
TOWARD SUNSET AS BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW TURNS WEST. VERY LITTLE COLD
ADVECTION ONCE THE STORM EXITS...SO TEMPERATURES SHOULD GET ABOVE
FREEZING FOR HIGHS MONDAY...AND SOME MELTING OF SNOW WILL TAKE
PLACE. WENT WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY 35-40...EXCEPT 40-45 IN
THE MID HUDSON VALLEY.
BY MONDAY NIGHT IT LOOKS AS IF OUR AREA WILL BE UNDER A WEAK RIDGE
ALOFT. CONCERN IS THAT LOW LEVEL CLOUDS COULD REFORM UNDERNEATH A
LOWERING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION ONCE MORE. FOR NOW...CALL IT MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HOWEVER...IT IS POSSIBLE CLOUDS BECOME THICK ENOUGH FOR SOME
FREEZING DRIZZLE TO OCCUR (CLOUD TOPS WOULD LIKELY BE WARMER THAN
-10C). THE NEXT UPSTREAM SYSTEM...A CLOSED UPPER AIR LOW DROPPING
SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA...LOOKS DELAYED UNTIL TUESDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
00Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT FOR THE LONG TERM
PERIOD...WITH BOTH MODELS NOW INDICATING A PERIOD OF INCLEMENT
WEATHER TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A UPPER LOW DROPS
SOUTHEAST OUT OF CANADA AND MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...THEN A LARGE
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS BUILDS SOUTH FROM CANADA WITH FAIR AND
SEASONABLY COLD WEATHER FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
A SURFACE WAVE TRIES TO DEVELOP JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AS
THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES FROM THE NW...BUT MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST
IT WILL FORM TO FAR TO THE SOUTH AND EAST TO HAVE ANY SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ON THE ALY FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LOW
DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE LONG TERM WILL BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT
CHANCE POPS FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY. AFTER THAT
THE FORECAST IS DRY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE AT ALL TERMINALS AS MID LEVEL CLOUDS
CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM.
PRECIP WILL ARRIVE AT KPOU BY 21Z...REDUCING VSBYS/CIGS TO MVFR
LEVELS FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE IFR CONDITIONS TAKE OVER FOR THE
NIGHT. PRECIP WILL INITIALLY BE IN THE FORM OF A RAIN AND SLEET
MIX...BUT WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW AND SLEET AS THE
FALLING PRECIP HELPS COOL THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE ATMOSPHERE BY
LATER IN THE EVENING. MEANWHILE...PRECIP WILL REACH KALB AFTER
DARK...LIKELY BY 23Z...AND KGFL BY 01Z. A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL
FALL AT EACH TERMINAL FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE THE COLUMN IS COLD
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW. SIMILAR TO KPOU...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL
BE IN PLACE FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE THE PRECIP INCREASES IN INTENSITY
AND IFR CONDITIONS DOMINATE FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AT TIMES...LIFR
VSBYS/CIGS ARE POSSIBLE AT ALL TERMINALS OVERNIGHT...ESP AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WHEN VSBYS MAY LESS THAN 1 MILE FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF TIME.
AFTER DAYBREAK...PRECIP WILL TAPER OFF...ENDING THE IFR CONDITIONS.
CIGS WILL RISE TO 3-4 KFT FOR THE MORNING HOURS...BUT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TRAPPED BENEATH AN INVERSION MAY ALLOW FOR SOME MIST OR
HAZE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...KEEPING FLYING CONDITIONS MVFR.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...WITH EAST TO
NORTHEAST WINDS ALL NIGHT LESS THAN 10 KTS. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO A
NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION BEHIND THE STORM ON MONDAY MORNING AT
SIMILAR SPEEDS.
OUTLOOK...
MON PM...MVFR/VFR. MIST/LOW CLOUDS LIFTING...NO SIG WX.
TUE...VFR. NO SIG WX.
WED...MVFR/VFR. CHC -SHSN/-SHRA.
THU...VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
IT NOW APPEARS THAT MORE SNOW (OR MIX) WILL FALL WITH OUR UPCOMING
MILLER A TYPE STORM WITH LESS RAIN TONIGHT ACROSS OUR HSA.
ALSO...THE WATER EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION LOOKS A BIT LOWER THAN
BEFORE...WITH THE MAXIMUM AMOUNTS REMAIN UNDER AN INCH...CLOSER TO
THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH. THEREFORE...WE DO NOT EXPECT ENOUGH RAIN
TO FALL TO PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT RISES ON ANY RIVERS AND PRODUCE
ANY ICE JAMS.
THE PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OUT ON MONDAY. THE NEXT
DISTURBANCE...SLATED FOR TUESDAY...WILL BE MORE IN THE FORM OF SNOW
OR SNOW SHOWERS ONLY WITH MIXING SOME RAIN AT TIMES IN VALLEY
LOCATIONS. EITHER WAY...THIS PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY NOT CAUSE ANY
HYDRO PROBLEMS EITHER.
FOR DETAILS ON THE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING FLOODING...PLEASE REFER TO
THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK ISSUED THIS PAST FRIDAY...JAN 8. THE SECOND
SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR FRIDAY JANUARY 22ND 2010.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
FOR NYZ047-051-058-059-063-064.
MA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
FOR MAZ001-025.
VT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
FOR VTZ013>015.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HWJIV
NEAR TERM...HWJIV
SHORT TERM...HWJIV
LONG TERM...GJM
AVIATION...FRUGIS
HYDROLOGY...HWJIV
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANYHazardous weather outlook, Jan 17, 5:15 AM EST, 8 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 515 AM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 MAZ001-025-NYZ047-051-058-059-063-064-VTZ013>015-181200- NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER- BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 515 AM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...THE CATSKILLS...SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND HELDERBERGS OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AS WELL AS SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT. CTZ001-013-NYZ032-033-038>043-048>050-052>054-060-061-065-066- 082>084-181200- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON- SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON- SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- 515 AM EST SUN JAN 17 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT AND EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD TONIGHT AND BE OFF THE COAST OF CAPE COD BY MONDAY. THIS STORM WILL BRING MAINLY SNOW...INITIALLY BEGINNING AS A MIX OF RAIN SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE AMOUNT OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL NOT REACH WARNING LEVELS. HOWEVER...THERE STILL COULD LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH MAY LEAD TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2:14 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Fulton, Greene, Herkimer and 8 more | 16 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Vermont, 2010Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2010Winter Storm Warnings in Massachusetts, 2010Every winter storm warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.