Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2010

Wind Advisory 2, NWS Albany, NY

January 24, 20104 states

NWS Albany, NY issued this wind advisory at Jan 24, 2010, 3:34 PM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Jan 25, 2010, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 16 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 24, 2010, 3:34 PM EST (20:34 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 25, 2010, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 25, 2010, 4:24 PM EST
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2010-01-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2010-01-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 167 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1440 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

342 
WWUS71 KALY 242034
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
334 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

MAZ001-025-NYZ038-043-054-061-084-VTZ013>015-251000-
/O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0002.100125T0500Z-100125T2300Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...HOOSICK FALLS...CHATHAM...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
334 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...WASHINGTON COUNTY...AS
WELL AS THE TACONICS...BERKSHIRES...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST MONDAY.

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
MUCH OF MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCASIONALLY GUST TO
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS WHERE
CHANNELING OCCURS IN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
849 
WWUS71 KALY 250814
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
314 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

NYZ032-033-042-047-051-058-063-082-252100-
/O.EXB.KALY.WI.Y.0002.100125T1100Z-100125T2300Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN ALBANY-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...
MAYFIELD
314 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN CATSKILLS AND THE EASTERN
ADIRONDACKS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
AFTER SUNRISE. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF 
TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCASIONALLY GUST TO BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS WHERE CHANNELING
OCCURS IN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW. A FEW GUSTS OF OVER 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHEST PEAKS AND MOST EXPOSED LOCALITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION. THESE WINDS CAN ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES AND MINOR DAMAGE.

&&

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038-043-054-061-084-VTZ013>015-252100-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100125T2300Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...HOOSICK FALLS...CHATHAM...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
314 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
THE TACONICS...SOUTHERN GREENS...CONNECTICUT VALLEY AND
BERKSHIRES. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
AFTER SUNRISE. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF 
TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCASIONALLY GUST TO BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS WHERE CHANNELING
OCCURS IN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW. A FEW LOCALITIES ACROSS THE
HIGHEST AND MOST EXPOSE REGIONS COULD EXPERIENCE A FEW GUSTS OVER
55 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION. THESE WINDS COULD ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES AND MINOR DAMAGE. 

&&

$$
624 
WWUS71 KALY 251427
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
926 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

CTZ001-013-NYZ066-252300-
/O.EXA.KALY.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100125T2300Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
926 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT AND THE SOUTHERN TACONICS... 

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
INTO THE AFTERNOON. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF
TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCASIONALLY GUST TO BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS WHERE CHANNELING
OCCURS IN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW. A FEW LOCALITIES ACROSS THE
HIGHEST AND MOST EXPOSE REGIONS COULD EXPERIENCE A FEW GUSTS OVER
55 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION. THESE WINDS COULD ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES AND MINOR DAMAGE.

&&

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038-042-043-047-051-054-058-061-063-082-084-
VTZ013>015-252300-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100125T2300Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT...HOOSICK FALLS...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
926 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
SOUTHERN VERMONT...THE NORTHERN TACONICS...BERKSHIRES...SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...EASTERN CATSKILLS...NORTHERN REACHES OF THE LAKE
GEORGE REGION...AND SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
INTO THE AFTERNOON. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF
TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCASIONALLY GUST TO BETWEEN 45 AND
55 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS WHERE CHANNELING
OCCURS IN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW. A FEW LOCALITIES ACROSS THE
HIGHEST AND MOST EXPOSE REGIONS COULD EXPERIENCE A FEW GUSTS OVER
55 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION. THESE WINDS COULD ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES AND MINOR DAMAGE.

&&

$$
687 
WWUS71 KALY 251647
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1147 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

NYZ039>041-048>050-052-053-059-060-064-065-083-252300-
/O.EXA.KALY.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100125T2300Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALBANY...TROY...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS
1147 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING THE LAKE
GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...CAPITAL DISTRICT...EASTERN MOHAWK
VALLEY...AND THE MID HUDSON VALLEY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCASIONALLY GUST TO
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE WINDS WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE IN THE EARLY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION. THESE WINDS COULD ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES AND MINOR DAMAGE.

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038-042-043-047-051-054-058-061-
063-066-082-084-VTZ013>015-252300-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100125T2300Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
ALTAMONT...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...
MAYFIELD...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...
BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1147 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
THIS AFTERNOON.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCASIONALLY GUST TO
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS WHERE
CHANNELING OCCURS IN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW. A FEW LOCALITIES
ACROSS THE HIGHEST AND MOST EXPOSE REGIONS COULD EXPERIENCE A FEW
GUSTS OVER 55 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION. THESE WINDS COULD ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES AND MINOR DAMAGE.

&&

$$

TAW
846 
WWUS71 KALY 252103
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
403 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-252300-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100125T2300Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
403 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THROUGH 6
PM. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCASIONALLY GUST TO BETWEEN 45 AND 55
MPH...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS WHERE CHANNELING OCCURS
IN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION. THESE WINDS COULD ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES AND MINOR DAMAGE.

&&

$$
401 
WWUS71 KALY 252124
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
424 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010


CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-252230-
/O.CAN.KALY.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100125T2300Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
424 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THE WIND GUSTS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW 45 MPH...SO THE WIND ADVISORY
HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 24, 12:49 PM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 12:49 PM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1249 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
AN EXPANSIVE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE MIDWEST WILL ADVANCE
EASTWARD...AND PUSH AN OCCLUDED FRONTAL SYSTEM ACROSS NEW YORK AND
NEW ENGLAND ON MONDAY...BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIALLY
STRONG WINDS. COLDER AIR WILL GRADUALLY FILTER INTO THE REGION
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1130 AM...MADE A FEW CHANGES TO THE REST OF TODAY. STILL
LOOKS LIKE PRECIP WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA...HOWEVER A SMALL AREA OF LIGHT RAIN MAY DEVELOP FROM MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF ALBANY...AS MOISTURE/SOUTHERLY FLOW
INCREASES AND A WEAK WARM FRONTAL TYPE FEATURE MOVES THROUGH. SO
WILL MENTION CHANCE POPS IN THESE AREAS...OTHERWISE DRY FROM
ALBANY NORTHWARD THROUGH TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE WARMING FAIRLY
RAPIDLY OUTSIDE OF SHELTERED VALLEYS NORTHEAST OF ALBANY. MADE
SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS A LOT OF
VARIANCE ACROSS THE AREA. LOW STRATUS CLOUDS RAPIDLY ENVELOPING
THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS WELL.

NO CHANGES TO FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME...HEAVY RAINFALL IS
DELAYED TO MAINLY MONDAY MORNING-AFTERNOON NOW...HOWEVER NARROWING
TIME PERIOD FOR WHEN HEAVY RAIN FALLS WILL STILL RESULT IN A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT...AS WELL AS AREAL/RIVER/ICE JAM FLOODING.

PREVIOUS NEAR TERM DISCUSSION...

AS OF 600 AM...STRATUS CLOUDS ALREADY ENCROACHING ON OUR EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN AREAS. HAVE TOUCHED UP CLOVER AND HOURLY TEMPS...WHICH
IN SOME CASES ARE RISING. THE RISE HAS YET TO BEGIN THE HUDSON
VALLEY AND POINTS EAST BUT IT SHOULD WITH TIME. JUST A "GRID" UPDATE
FOR NOW.

AS OF 400 AM...IT APPEARS THAT TEMPERATURES HAVE PRETTY MUCH
BOTTOMED OUT ACROSS OUR REGION AS HIGH CLOUDS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LARGE STORM...HAVE BEGUN TO MOVE IN OVERHEAD. IN FACT...SOME LOWER
CLOUDS HAVE ALREADY BEE NOTED AS NEARBY AS SCRANTON PA.

TEMPERATURES HAVE DIPPED INTO THE SINGLE NUMBERS WELL NORTH AND EAST
OF ALBANY...GENERALLY TEENS ELSEWHERE. AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES
OFFSHORE...A SOUTHERLY BREEZE 5 TO 15 MPH WILL ENSUE...FIRST
REALIZED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOHAWK VALLEY WEST OF THE
CAPITAL REGION BY SUNRISE...AND MOST PLACES BY MIDDAY. THE BREEZE
WILL BEGIN THE WARMUP WHICH WILL NUDGE TEMPERATURES UP A LITTLE BY
DAWN. DESPITE FADING SUNSHINE...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 30S
MOST PLACES BY MIDDAY...AND TOP OUT CLOSE TO 40 DURING THE
AFTERNOON...EXCEPT MID 30S SHELTERED NORTHERN MOUNTAIN VALLEYS LIKE
KGFL WHERE THE BREEZE WILL BE LIGHTEST.

THE LEADING EDGE OF PRECIPITATION WAS STILL BACK IN THE OHIO VALLEY.
THIS SHIELD WILL EXPAND QUICKLY INTO WESTERN PA AND SW NY DURING THE
MORNING...THEN APPROACH OUR REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON.

HATE TO FLIP FLOP...BUT HAVE LOWERED POPS FOR THE AFTERNOON AS THIS
MAIN PRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL LIKELY NOT MAKE IT INTO MOST PLACES
BY DARK. INITIALLY...ANY PRECIPITATION FALLING OUT THE CLOUDS WILL
HAVE A HARD TIME REACHING THE GROUND DUE DRY TO AIR IN THE MID AND
LOWER LEVELS RESULTING IN EVAPORATIVE DRYING. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM
DO DEPICT A WEAK WARM FRONTAL FEATURE SETTING UP TO OUR
SOUTH...ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST SURGE OF WARMER AIR HEADING
NORTHWARD FROM THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. THIS FRONT COULD ENHANCE
LOWER LEVELS WITH MOISTURE AND PRODUCE LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE ACROSS
AREAS FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT SOUTH BY LATE IN THE DAY.
OTHERWISE...THE MAIN THRUST OF UPWARD MOTION...ASSOCIATED WITH
VORTICITY ADVECTION AND DEEPER ISENTROPIC LIFT...WILL BRING THE WARM
CONVEYOR PORTION OF THE STORM INTO OUR REGION TONIGHT.

ANY PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS FROM ALBANY SOUTHWARD WILL BE ALL RAIN.
TO THE NORTH...THE COLUMN LOOKS JUST COLD ENOUGH AT THE LOWER LEVELS
ESPECIALLY WHEN COMBINED WITH EVAPORATIVE COOLING...TO PRODUCE A
TOUCH OF SLEET FREEZING RAIN OR EVEN SNOW. HOWEVER...WE WILL KEEP
POPS IN THE CHANCE RANGE THROUGH 00Z AND AGAIN...ANY PRECIPITATION
THAT FALLS THIS AFTERNOON WOULD BE VERY LIGHT.

WENT WITH MET NOS WHICH WERE A LITTLE COLDER THAN THE MAVS. IN SOME
CASES...UNDERCUT THE MET VALUES BY A POINT OR TWO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
IT LOOKS AS IF OUR LOWEST TEMPERATURES OF THE OVERNIGHT SHOULD
OCCUR SHOULD DURING THE EARLY EVENING. THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT WILL
BRING SHOWERY PRECIPITATION...WHICH IN TIME WILL BECOME STEADIER AND
HEAVIER. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BOTTOM OUT RIGHT AROUND FREEZING IN
THE STUBBORN MOUNTAIN VALLEYS NORTH AND EAST OF ALBANY. BY THIS
TIME...THE AIR ALOFT WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT MOSTLY RAIN
(MAYBE MIXED WITH SLEET). THERE IS STILL CONCERN THAT A PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN COULD TAKE PLACE IN THESE COLDER AREAS...BUT OUR
THINKING IS THE INTERVAL MIGHT BE SHORT ENOUGH NOT TO PRODUCE ANY
REAL BUILDUP OF ICE. WE DECIDED TO REMOVE EVEN THE TENTH OF AN INCH
ACCRETION SINCE WE DO EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RISE AFTER ANY INITIAL
FALL DUE TO EVAPORATIVE COOLING...AS WARM ADVECTION REALLY
COMMENCES. OF COURSE...SOME ROADS COULD SLICK UP. WE WERE NOT READY
TO ISSUE ANY FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES AS THIS SCENARIO IS NOT ETCHED
IN STONE (MIGHT STILL AVOID FREEZING RAIN ALTOGETHER) AND IT IS A
SECOND PERIOD EVENT. WE WILL CERTAINLY ADDRESS THIS (AND MANY OTHER
CONCERNS) IN OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

OVER THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE FREEZING AND PROBABLY RISE SOME OVERNIGHT SO THE PRECIPITATION
WILL FALL AS LIQUID...AND THERE SHOULD BE LOTS OF IT. THE RAIN WILL
BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATER TONIGHT ACROSS THE CATSKILLS WHERE AN INCH
COULD FALL BY DAYBREAK. ELSEWHERE RAIN TONIGHT LOOKS LIGHTER.

BY MONDAY...THE BRUNT OF THE RAIN WILL FALL EVERYWHERE...HEAVIEST
FROM ALBANY WEST BEFORE NOON...AND DURING THE AFTERNOON TO THE EAST.
THE COUNTY WARNING AREA COMES UNDER FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE FROM THE
EXIT REGION OF A 140KT JET AT THE H300 LEVEL. THIS FORCING WILL WORK
IN CONJUNCTION WITH A LOW LEVEL JET AROUND 50KTS AT THE H925 LEVEL
ADVECTING PWAT AIR OVER AN INCH ACROSS OUR WHOLE REGION AND 1.5
INCHES APPROACHING OUR SOUTHERN AREAS. PRECIPITABLE WATER ANOMALIES
ARE PREDICTED TO BE OVER 4 SD ABOVE NORMAL...AND 850 HPA V WIND
ANOMALIES ARE 4-5 SD ABOVE NORMAL. PLUMES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS IN
THE REGION...AS WELL AS PROBABILITIES FOR 1-2" OF RAIN SUGGEST
HIGHER THAN NORMAL CONFIDENCE OF A WIDESPREAD MINOR TO MODERATE
FLOOD EVENT. THE FIST OF THE EXTREME LOW LEVEL JET...WHICH IS WHERE
THE BEST SPEED CONVERGENCE EXISTS...PUNCHES INTO OUR
REGION...ENHANCING THE LOW LEVEL FORCING ALONG WITH AN OCCLUDED/COLD
FRONT APPROACHING SLOWLY FROM THE WEST. THESE FEATURES WILL BETTER
FOCUS THE RAIN INTO A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN. THIS MIGHT PRODUCE ENOUGH
UPWARD MOTION TO TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EVEN IF THE
SHOWALTER INDICES DON/T QUITE APPROACH ZERO (OR LOWER). WILL
CONTINUE CHANCES OF THUNDER IN THE SAME AREAS AS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED WHICH IS BASICALLY SOUTH OF CAPITAL REGION...INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES.

WITH THE FROZEN GROUND...AND SNOW PACK IN SOME
AREAS...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH...WHICH HAVE ALREADY BEEN ISSUED. RAINFALL RATES COULD
APPROACH HALF AN INCH PER HOUR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON
MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IF A THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS.

SEE HYDROLOGY DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS...INCLUDING FROZEN GROUND
AND SNOW PACK.

WINDS COULD BE AN ISSUE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE
NUMBERS INDICATED THAT THIS WOULD BE MORE OF AN WIND ADVISORY
SITUATION AS THE INVERSION WILL REMAIN STRONG...WHICH WOULD INHIBIT
MIXING IN MOST PLACES. OF COURSE...A FEW LOCALITIES ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN COULD SEE FAVORABLE CHANNELING AND REPORT DAMAGING
WINDS. FOR NOW HOWEVER...WILL DEFER ANY DECISION TO HOIST AN
ADVISORY OR HIGH WIND WATCH TO THE DAY CREW. FOR NOW...CAP WIND
GUSTS AT 45 MPH.

IT STILL LOOKS AS IF THE RAIN WILL EXIT EAST OF OUR REGION BY LATE
AFTERNOON MONDAY AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO FILTER BACK. BASED ON
BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES AND WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS...HIGHS
MONDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD REACH WELL INTO THE 40S...SOME MID/UPPER 50S
POSSIBLE NW CT TO POU. BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING OCCURS THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IS
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THE UPPER ENERGY...AND
LAKE MOISTURE BUT RIGHT NOW...ANY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION LOOKS
FAIRLY LIGHT. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT 25 TO AROUND 30....AND HIGHS ON
TUESDAY 35 TO 40 VALLEY AREAS...30 TO 35 HIGHER TERRAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A SURFACE TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL TROF. NOT MUCH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
FEATURES...SO HAVE ONLY FORECAST ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW CHANCE
POPS AS THEY MOVE THROUGH...WITH SNOW SHOWERS THE PCPN TYPE. LOWS
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S.

A SMALL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD INTO THE REGION
FOR WEDNESDAY. MAINLY FAIR WEATHER THAT DAY...BUT HAVE FORECAST A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH
AND CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A SURFACE LOW
TRACKS EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SURGE INTO
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. A BETTER
CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS AS THESE SYSTEMS MOVE THROUGH AND IN THE
COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. HAVE FORECAST POPS GENERALLY
BETWEEN 25 AND 45 PERCENT DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH THE BEST CHANCE
FOR WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY. LOWS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WILL BE IN THE TEENS...HIGHS THURSDAY IN THE MID 20S TO MID
30S...THEN MUCH COLDER THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID SINGLE
NUMBERS TO MID TEENS ALONG WITH A GUSTY WEST WIND.

FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...GFS/ECMWF FORECAST A LOW TO FORM ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY AFTER IT HAS PASSED WELL TO OUR SOUTH. GFS KEEPS ALL
PCPN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW TO OUR SOUTH...WHILE THE ECMWF BRUSHES
THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW. AT
THIS POINT WILL ONLY FORECAST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY AND FOLLOW THE GFS MORE CLOSELY. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL ONLY
BE IN THE MID TEENS TO UPPER 20S...LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE BETWEEN
5 BELOW ZERO AND 10 ABOVE...AND THE HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO AROUND 30.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LIGHT PRECIP IN THE FORM OF LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES IS CURRENTLY
SPREADING TOWARDS SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA. THIS MAY AFFECT THE
KPOU AREA THROUGH THE MID/LATE AFTN HOURS. WITH TEMPS NOW ABOVE
FREEZING...THIS SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF A PLAIN RAIN...ALTHOUGH IT
WILL BE VERY LIGHT SO DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT EFFECT ON VSBYS.
MEANWHILE...STRATUS CLOUDS PUSHING NORTHWARD WILL ALLOW FOR MVFR
CIGS THROUGH THE AFTN HOURS...WITH A CIG AROUND 2 KFT. THIS WILL
CONTINUE FOR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE START OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP...GENERALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH
SHOWERY PRECIP AND SOME MIST DEVELOPING...MVFR CONDITIONS FOR
CIGS/VSBYS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS. THE CIGS MAY EVEN BECOME
IFR...ESP FOR KPOU...AFTER MIDNIGHT...AS THE STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW INCREASES.

AS A STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT APPROACHES...A STEADIER AND MUCH HEAVIER
RAINFALL WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO ALL OF
MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR IFR/LIFR CIGS AND EVEN IFR VSBYS
AT TIMES. THE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...AND EVEN SOME THUNDER
CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT FOR KPOU /BUT CONFIDENCE OF THIS IS
QUITE LOW...SO WILL LEAVE OUT OF THE TAFS FOR NOW/.

THE RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FOR MONDAY AFTN...WITH MVFR
CONDITIONS RETURNING.

E-SE SFC WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. IN
ADDITION...THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL ALLOW FOR WINDS OF 45-55
KTS AT 2 KFT FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. THIS WILL CAUSE
LLWS...SO HAVE INCLUDED IN THE TAFS FOR ALL TERMINALS AFTER 02Z-04Z.

OUTLOOK...
MON...MVFR/IFR...MOD-HVY RAIN. LLWS LIKELY FOR ALL TAF SITES.
MON NGT...MAINLY VFR...CHC -SHRA/-SHSN.
TUE-WED...MAINLY VFR...CHC -SHSN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING...WIDESPREAD MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING...AREAL AND
BASEMENT FLOODING...AS WELL AS ICE JAM FLOODING ON SMALLER RIVERS
AND STREAMS. PLEASE REFER TO ALBFFAALY FOR DETAILS.

NO HYDRO PROBLEMS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...THERE
IS INCREASING PROBABILITY FOR A WIDESPREAD FLOOD EVENT ACROSS THE
ENTIRE HYDRO SERVICE AREA STARTING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT LASTING THROUGH
MONDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL COMBINED WITH FROZEN GROUND...WILL CAUSE
RAPID RUNOFF RESULTING IN POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE EVENT WILL LIKELY TRANSITION INTO
SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING DURING THE
DAY MONDAY...AS RUNOFF CONTINUES AND SNOW MELT IN THE MOUNTAINS
OCCURS.

A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL TRANSPORT ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND
WARM AIR NORTHWARD INTO OUR REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE INTO THE 40S AND POSSIBLY 50S SOUTH OF THE CAPITAL REGION ON
MONDAY.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 1.5 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...WITH
ISOLATED 4+ INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS FAVORED UPSLOPE LOCATIONS OF THE
SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. RAINFALL WILL TAPER
OFF BY LATE MONDAY...ALTHOUGH RIVER FLOODING COULD CONTINUE WELL
PAST THEN.

OR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WITH THE MILD TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WE MIGHT HAVE A SHOT OF
BREAKING A FEW RECORDS HIGHS. FOR EXAMPLE ON JANUARY 25TH...

ALBANY.........RECORD HIGH 61 IN 1938   FORECAST HIGH 53
POUGHKEEPSIE...RECORD HIGH 56 IN 1999   FORECAST HIGH 57
GLENS FALLS....RECORD HIGH 51 IN 1967   FORECAST HIGH 49
PITTSFIELD.....RECORD HIGH 52 IN 1938   FORECAST HIGH 53

THESE VALUES ARE ABOUT 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS FOR JANUARY
25TH!

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     EVENING FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     EVENING FOR NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
     082>084.
MA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     EVENING FOR MAZ001-025.
VT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     EVENING FOR VTZ013>015.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HWJIV/JPV
NEAR TERM...HWJIV/JPV
SHORT TERM...HWJIV/NAS
LONG TERM...GJM
AVIATION...FRUGIS
HYDROLOGY...SND/HWJIV/JPV
CLIMATE...HWJIV
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 5:19 AM EST, 10 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
519 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

MAZ001-NYZ032-038>041-047>054-082-084-251200-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
519 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE BERKSHIRES NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 90...AS WELL AS THE MOHAWK VALLEY...CENTRAL ADIRONDACKS...NORTHERN
CATSKILLS AND GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT OF NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS MIGHT BUFFET MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AS WIND GUSTS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST COULD APPROACH OR EVEN EXCEED
45 MPH ON MONDAY. IF CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO GROWS HIGHER...A
WIND ADVISORY OR HIGH WIND WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

NYZ033-042-043-083-VTZ013>015-251200-
HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
519 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
ADIRONDACKS...UPPER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHERN TACONICS OF EAST
CENTRAL NEW YORK AS WELL AS SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

INITIALLY...THE PRECIPITATION MIGHT START AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REGION WHICH MIGHT PRODUCE
LOCALLY SLICK SURFACES. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES...A FREEZING RAIN
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS MIGHT BUFFET MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AS WIND GUSTS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST COULD APPROACH OR EVEN EXCEED
45 MPH ON MONDAY. IF CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO GROWS HIGHER...A
WIND ADVISORY OR HIGH WIND WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-251200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
519 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND THE SOUTHERN CATSKILLS AND
MID HUDSON VALLEY OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS MIGHT BUFFET MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AS WIND GUSTS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST COULD APPROACH OR EVEN EXCEED
45 MPH ON MONDAY. IF CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO GROWS HIGHER...A
WIND ADVISORY OR HIGH WIND WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. AS THE COLD
FRONT CROSSES THE REGION...IT MIGHT EVEN TRIGGER SCATTERED NON
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS REGION WHICH WOULD ADD TO THE
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 24, 12:26 PM EST, 3 hours 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1226 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

NYZ058-059-063-064-242000-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...
NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ
1226 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE IN THE EASTERN CATSKILLS
THROUGH 3 PM...

AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE AFFECTING PARTS OF THE EASTERN
CATSKILLS...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 3 PM. TEMPERATURES RIGHT
AROUND FREEZING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WILL CLIMB TO THE MID 30S
BY 3 PM. A TRACE OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...AND COULD
PRODUCE SLIPPERY SPOTS ON AREA ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
DESTINATIONS.
Special weather statement, Jan 24, 3:00 PM EST, 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
300 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-242200-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...
HOUSATONIC...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
300 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON VALLEY SOUTHERN TACONICS...AND SOUTHERN
BERKSHIRES THROUGH 6 PM...

SPOTTY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IS CONTINUING TO AFFECT PARTS OF
THE AREA...AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN RIGHT AROUND FREEZING IN SHELTERED
LOCATIONS. SOME LOCATIONS ARE ABOVE FREEZING...WHERE JUST PLAIN
DRIZZLE WILL OCCUR. A TRACE OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...AND
COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED SLIPPERY SPOTS ON AREA ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
DESTINATIONS.
Special weather statement, Jan 24, 3:01 PM EST, 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
301 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-242300-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...
HOUSATONIC...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
301 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON VALLEY SOUTHERN TACONICS...AND SOUTHERN
BERKSHIRES THROUGH 6 PM...

SPOTTY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IS CONTINUING TO AFFECT PARTS OF
THE AREA...AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN RIGHT AROUND FREEZING IN SHELTERED
LOCATIONS. SOME LOCATIONS ARE ABOVE FREEZING...WHERE JUST PLAIN
DRIZZLE WILL OCCUR. A TRACE OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...AND
COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED SLIPPERY SPOTS ON AREA ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
DESTINATIONS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 24, 3:36 PM ESTFreezing Rain AdvisoryALYBerkshire12 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2010Wind Advisories in Vermont, 2010Wind Advisories in Massachusetts, 2010Every wind advisory in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.