Alert archive / Alaska / Wind Advisories in 2010
Wind Advisory 49, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this wind advisory at Sep 23, 2010, 4:46 AM AKDT. It took effect at Sep 24, 2010, 7:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 23, 2010, 4:46 AM AKDT (12:46 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 24, 2010, 7:00 AM AKDT
- Expired
- Sep 24, 2010, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
932 WWAK77 PAJK 231246 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 446 AM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...A LARGE AND POWERFUL STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA FRIDAY... .A POWERFUL STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF FRI MORNING AND BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST UNTIL A FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA DURING FRI AFTERNOON. AKZ027-028-232200- /X.UPG.PAJK.HW.A.0006.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ /X.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0011.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN... METLAKATLA 446 AM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE FRI MORNING AND AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ023-026-232200- /X.NEW.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG... WRANGELL...KAKE 446 AM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR MORE FRIDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ029-232200- /X.NEW.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.100924T1800Z-100925T0000Z/ MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER 446 AM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR MORE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$
6 follow-up statements
985 WWAK77 PAJK 231959 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1159 AM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...A LARGE AND POWERFUL STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA FRIDAY... .A POWERFUL STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF FRI MORNING AND BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST UNTIL A FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA DURING FRI AFTERNOON. AKZ027-028-240500- /X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0011.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN... METLAKATLA 1159 AM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE FRI MORNING AND AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ023-026-240500- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG... WRANGELL...KAKE 1159 AM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR MORE FRIDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ029-240500- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.100924T1800Z-100925T0000Z/ MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER 1159 AM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR MORE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$
006 WWAK77 PAJK 240446 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 846 PM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...A LARGE AND POWERFUL STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA FRIDAY... .A POWERFUL STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF FRI MORNING AND BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST UNTIL A FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA DURING FRI AFTERNOON. AKZ027-028-241315- /X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0011.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN... METLAKATLA 846 PM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE FRI MORNING AND AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ023-026-241315- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG... WRANGELL...KAKE 846 PM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR MORE FRIDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ029-241315- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.100924T1800Z-100925T0000Z/ MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER 846 PM AKDT THU SEP 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR MORE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$
181 WWAK77 PAJK 241243 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 443 AM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...A LARGE AND POWERFUL STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA FRIDAY... .A POWERFUL STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF FRI MORNING AND BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST UNTIL A FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA DURING FRI AFTERNOON. AKZ027-028-242115- /X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0011.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN... METLAKATLA 443 AM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ023-026-242115- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.100924T1500Z-100925T0000Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG... WRANGELL...KAKE 443 AM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR MORE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ029-242115- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.100924T1800Z-100925T0000Z/ MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER 443 AM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR MORE THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$
915 WWAK77 PAJK 242032 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1232 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 AKZ027-242145- /X.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-100925T0000Z/ DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK 1232 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. THE STRONG WINDS OVER THE AREA ARE DIMINISHING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGHEST WIND REPORTED IN THE AREA DURING THE EVENT WAS 76 MPH AT HYDABURG. $$ AKZ028-250000- /X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-100925T0000Z/ SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA 1232 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ023-026-029-250000- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-100925T0000Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG... WRANGELL...KAKE...HYDER 1232 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR MORE THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ RWT
339 WWAK77 PAJK 242216 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 216 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 AKZ028-242330- /X.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-100925T0000Z/ SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA 216 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. WINDS OVER THE AREA HAVE DIMINISHED THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGHEST WIND GUST REPORTED NEAR SEA LEVEL WAS 61 MPH AT THE KETCHIKAN AIRPORT...ALTHOUGH A ROOF TOP WIND GUST TO 81 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE AIRPORT ALSO. SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFTOPS WAS REPORTED IN METLAKATLA. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT. $$ AKZ023-026-029-250000- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-100925T0000Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG... WRANGELL...KAKE...HYDER 216 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR MORE THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ RWT
211 WWAK77 PAJK 242357 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 357 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 AKZ023-026-029-250100- /X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-100925T0000Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG... WRANGELL...KAKE...HYDER 357 PM AKDT FRI SEP 24 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Sep 22, 1:02 PM AKDT, 15 hours 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 22, 1:02 PM AKDT, 15 hours 44 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
102 PM AKDT WED SEP 22 2010
.SHORT TERM...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES CONTINUE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CURRENT SATELLITE REVEALS THE MARINE
STRATUS REMAINING WELL WEST OF THE PANHANDLE AND IN THE CENTRAL
GULF. A 985 MB SURFACE LOW NOW NEAR 50N 142W WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT DAY AND ITS ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL WILL BE
THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. USED A
50/50 BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS AND UKMET FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD AS
BOTH THESE MODELS INITIALIZED THE SURFACE LOW NEAR 50N 142W THE
BEST WITH THE 12Z NAM BEING TO SLOW AND WEAK. FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.
FOR TONIGHT WILL SEE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE PANHANDLE WITH THE 985 MB SURFACE LOW MOVING TO
100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE CHARLOTTES BY LATE TONIGHT WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING INTO DIXON ENTRANCE.
UNFORTUNATELY...THE RAIN BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND KEPT RAIN LIKELY FOR AKZ027 LATE
TONIGHT. WILL SEE LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
OUTER COAST AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT AS THE SOUTHEASTERLY
LLJ 850 MB WINDS INCREASE TO NEAR 45 KNOTS. COULD SEE AN ISOLATED
WIND ADVY GUSTS EARLY ON THURSDAY NEAR PAHY...BUT THERE IS A MUCH
STRONGER STORM AT THE BEGINNING OF LONG TERM AND HAVE STATEMENTS
OUT FOR THAT. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER TONIGHT WILL KEEP MOST
AREAS FROM DROPPING TO FREEZING WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
30S TO LOW 40S.
ON THURSDAY WILL SEE RAIN SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL PANHANDLE THROUGH THE DAY. THE MID LEVEL FRONTAL BAND
WILL SHEAR APART AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND SO EXPECT PRECIP
AMOUNTS TO REMAIN LIGHT. ALSO THE EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW AND
SOUTHEASTERLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL BRING IN DRIER AIR FROM BRITISH
COLUMBIA AND THIS WILL LIMIT PRECIP AMOUNTS NORTH OF FREDERICK
SOUND THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW ALONG THE OUTER COAST AND SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE WITH A STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND 850 MB LLJ WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS. CONCERNED COULD SEE GALE
FORCE WINDS IN CLARENCE STRAIT NEAR THE CHANNELED TERRAIN BUT
WILL WAIT FOR NEWER MODEL RUNS TO SEE HOW QUICKLY THEY SHEAR
APART THE MID LEVEL FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOMORROW. THE RAINFALL ON
THURSDAY WILL END THE ABNORMALLY DRY SEPTEMBER WEATHER PATTERN
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE.
.LONG TERM...MODELS HAVE COME INTO VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE
STORM COMING IN FOR LATE WEEK. LOOKS LIKE A 945-950 MB LOW WILL
TRACK INTO THE S-CENTRAL GULF BY FRI MORNING...WITH A STRONG
OCCLUDED FRONT MOVING INTO THE SE GULF FRI MORNING...THEN N AND E
THRU THE AREA BY FRI EVENING. ALSO LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY BE ONE OR
MORE SECONDARY FRONTAL WRAPS MOVING ONSHORE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
NIGHT. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STRONG WINDS TO
THE AREA...WITH THE STRONGEST EXPECTED OVER THE SRN AREA AHEAD OF
THE FIRST FRONT FRI MORNING INTO AFTERNOON. 850 MB FLOW IS
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 85-95KT RANGE AHEAD OF THE INITIAL
FRONT...BUT WILL BE IN A WEAK WARM ADVECTION PATTERN AT THE SAME
TIME SO NOT AS MUCH WIND WILL TRANSLATE DOWN TO THE SFC AS USUALLY
OCCURS WITH 850 MB FLOW THAT STRONG. STILL...IT IS LOOKING LIKE A HIGH
WIND EVENT FOR ZONES 27 AND 28 FRI MORNING AND AFTERNOON...WITH
POTENTIAL FOR ADVY WINDS AROUND THE WARNING AREA AT THE SAME TIME.
WILL BE ISSUING A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR 15Z FRI TO 00Z SAT FOR ZONES
27 AND 28. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY ADVYS FOR THE REMAINDER AS IT
WOULD BE A 4TH PERIOD STARTING TIME...BUT WILL REISSUE THE SPS FOR
THE ZONES OUTSIDE THE WATCH AREA. WILL ALSO ISSUE A MARINE WEATHER
STATEMENT FOR THE LARGE SEAS AND HIGH WINDS FOR THE SERN
GULF...AFTER A LONG PERIOD OF UNUSUALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.
RAINFALL MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY FRI WITH THE FIRST FRONT...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE SRN AREA. THERE MAY BE BURSTS OF HEAVIER RAIN WITH THE
SECONDARY FRONTAL WRAPS AS WELL FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT. GIVEN
HOW DRY IT HAS BEEN LATELY...DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY FLOODING ISSUES
THOUGH.
DID NOT CHANGE THE FORECAST BEYOND SUN. MODELS GENERALLY SHOW
ANOTHER LOW MOVING NEWD TOWARD THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT DIFFER
ON EXACT TRACK. STILL...LOOKS LIKE A WET AND POTENTIALLY WINDY
PERIOD AS WELL. ALL IN ALL...LOOKS LIKE A RETURN TO MORE TYPICAL FALL
WEATHER FOR THE AREA.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AKZ027-028.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ033-035-036-041>043.
&&
PSS/RWTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Sep 22, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Sep 23, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Sep 23, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Sep 23, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Sep 23, 4:46 AM AKDT | High Wind Warning | AJK | 34 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.