High Wind Warning 3, NWS Juneau, AK

099 
WWAK77 PAJK 050731
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1031 PM AKST THU FEB 4 2010

...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE
NORTHWEST JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE FRIDAY...

.A VIGOROUS FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
ALASKA SPREADING STRONG GUSTY WINDS INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA PANHANDLE.

AKZ027-051415-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0003.100205T1700Z-100206T0100Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
1031 PM AKST THU FEB 4 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 4 PM AKST
FRIDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 4 PM AKST
FRIDAY. 

* WIND: SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO 60 MPH OR HIGHER 
  FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST FRIDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ028-051415-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.100205T1500Z-100206T0600Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
1031 PM AKST THU FEB 4 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST
FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST FRIDAY. 

* WIND:EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH FRIDAY THROUGH 
  FRIDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-051415-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.100205T1900Z-100206T0600Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
1031 PM AKST THU FEB 4 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM AKST
FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM AKST FRIDAY.

* WIND: EAST TO SOUTHEAST INCREASING WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE 
  FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

BEZENEK

740 
WWAK77 PAJK 051330
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
430 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE
NORTHWEST JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TODAY...

.A VIGOROUS FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
ALASKA SPREADING STRONG GUSTY WINDS INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA PANHANDLE.

AKZ027-052115-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0003.100205T1700Z-100206T0100Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
430 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND: SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO 60 MPH OR HIGHER THIS
  MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN
AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-052100-
/X.EXB.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.100205T1500Z-100205T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
430 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY. 

* WIND: NORTHEAST WIND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ028-052115-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.100205T1500Z-100206T0600Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
430 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH THIS
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-052115-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.100205T1900Z-100206T0600Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
430 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
AKST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND: EAST TO SOUTHEAST INCREASING WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE
  THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

PSS

570 
WWAK77 PAJK 051836
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
936 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE
NORTHWEST JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TODAY...

.A VIGOROUS FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
ALASKA SPREADING STRONG GUSTY WINDS INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA PANHANDLE.

AKZ027-060100-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100206T0100Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
936 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND: SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO 60 MPH OR HIGHER THIS 
  MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN
AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-060100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-100206T0100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
936 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND: NORTHEAST WIND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH CONTINUING THROUGH
  THE MORNING AND THEN DIMINISHING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-060245-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.100205T1900Z-100206T0600Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
936 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND: EAST TO SOUTHEAST INCREASING WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE 
  THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ028-060245-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-100206T0600Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
936 AM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH THIS 
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

925 
WWAK77 PAJK 060046
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
346 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010


AKZ027-060900-
/X.EXP.PAJK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100206T0100Z/
/X.EXB.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.100206T0300Z-100206T0900Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
346 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND: SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH THIS EVENING WILL
  DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-060200-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-100206T0100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
346 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON. 

THE GUSTY NORTH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW 40 MPH.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.


$$

AKZ028-060900-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-100206T0900Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
346 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. 

* WIND: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH THIS 
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-060600-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-100206T0600Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
346 PM AKST FRI FEB 5 2010

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND: EAST TO SOUTHEAST INCREASING WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE 
  THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
253 PM AKST THU FEB 4 2010

.SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...COMPLEX LOW 600 NM S OF PAKT AT THIS TIME
HAS IR SIGNATURES THAT QUALITATIVELY INDICATE A CYCLOGENESIS
SMALLER AND MORE CONCENTRATED THAN ANY OF THE NWP. THE
NAM12 CAME THE CLOSEST TO HAVING THE ROUGHLY 975 MB LOW
WITHIN 100 NM OF THE OUTER COAST OF THE PNHDL TRACKING
ALONG TO THE NW FRI.  PLEASE NOTE THE HIGH WIND WATCH
FOR ZONE 27 AS WELL AS THE WINDS IN COASTAL MARINE ZONES.

PRIOR TO THE ABV EVENT: SFC TROUGH XTDG E ACRS NRN PNHDL
MOVG N INTO CAN. PRESSURE WAVES TRACKING NNW ALONG THE PNHDL
WILL DIRECT THE CHANGES IN WIND TO BE FM GEN NE FLOW TO
GEN SE FLOW AND BACK THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

 .LONG TERM...MODELS STARTING TO COME MORE IN LINE FOR THE LONG
TERM BUT STILL SEEING SOME DIFFERENCES OUT TO DAY 4...MAINLY
DEALING WITH TRIPLE POINT LOW ON DAY 3 WITH ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BAND MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE. OTHER ISSUES ARE WINDS DURING
HAND OFF PERIOD WITH ADV GUSTS CONTINUING IN ZONES 23 AND 28 AND
IF WARNING CRITERIA IN ZONE 27 WILL DEVELOP. FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE LONG TERM MODELS WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT OVER OUR AREA.

AS REMNANTS OF GULF LOW MOVE NORTHWEST TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMATION
IS WELL DEVELOPED IN THE GFS...WITH WEAKER OPEN TROUGH SHOWN IN
NAM AND CRAS. ECMWF SHOWING LITTLE DEVELOPMENT AND APPEARS TO BE
THE OUTLIER FOR THAT TIME PERIOD. TONED DOWN THIS LOW DEVELOPMENT
BY BLENDING GFS WITH INHERITED GRIDS AND NAM12. TEMPERATURES
DURING THIS TIME WERE DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY BY THE GFS SO CHANCES
OF A SNOW EVENT SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED. NAM TEMPS WELL IN THE SNOW
DEVELOPMENT RANGE BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS GFS. QPF VALUES WHILE
RAISED A BIT FOR THIS TIME STILL BACKED OFF A BIT. SO SNOW AMOUNTS
WERE KEPT IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE OVER 24 HOURS WITH SOME
UNCERTAINTY REMAINING.

WITH THE FRONTAL BAND MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL SEE
CONTINUING HIGH WIND GUSTS OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND OUTER
COAST. 850MB LLJ WITH 60 TO 70 KT WINDS MOVES FAIRLY RAPIDLY
NORTH. CONFIDENCE IN ADVY LVL GUSTS FOR ZONES 28 AND SOUTHERN
PORTION OF ZONE 23 IS ABOVE AVERAGE AS DIRECTION IS MORE SE THAN
E. NOT GREAT CONFIDENCE IN THE WARNING LVL GUSTS LASTING FOR ZONE
27 AS MODELS ARE NOT SHOWING THE LLJ QUITE STRONG ENOUGH...BUT
WITH FEATURES BEING FAIRLY CLOSE TOGETHER MODELS MAY BE WASHING
OUT DETAILS.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM PATTERN SHOWING RIDGE OVER
CANADA WITH LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE W GULF. MODELS IN
SOME DISAGREEMENT ON DETAILS OF SHORTWAVES SPINNING OFF INTO THE N
PACIFIC. USED A BLEND OF INHERITED GRIDS WITH HPC GUID FROM DAY 4
ONWARD. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE START
OF THE LONG TERM. WHILE MODELS ARE MORE IN LINE STILL ENOUGH
DIFFERENCES TO WARRANT SOME CONCERN. REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM
CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE WITH OVER ALL PATTERN AND ONLY FAIR
CONCERNING DETAILS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
     AKZ027.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM AKST FRIDAY FOR AKZ023.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST FRIDAY FOR AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036-041>043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031>035.

&&

JBT/PRB