Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2010
Small Craft Advisory 252, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Apr 3, 2010, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 3, 2010, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 4, 2010, 7:45 AM AKDT
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
407 FZAK51 PAFC 032257 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-041400- 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 988 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES TO THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA SUN AFTERNOON. A BERING LOW WILL TRACK TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK SUN MORNING AT 990 MB AND THEN MOVE TO 80 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-041400- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 15 FT EAST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ121-041400- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT INCREASING TO N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-041400- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EASTERN SOUND IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EASTERN SOUND. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-041400- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT GUSTING 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT GUSTING 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-041400- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ132-041400- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ138-041400- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-041400- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. EXCEPT SW WIND 15 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-041400- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
077 FZAK51 PAFC 041157 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-050200- 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 990 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES TO THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA SUN EVENING. A BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE TO SHELIKOF STRAIT SUN EVENING AT 988 MB AND THEN MOVE TO 25 NM EAST OF SEWARD MON NIGHT AT 993 MB. $$ PKZ120-050200- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-050200- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-050200- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-050200- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-050200- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ132-050200- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ138-050200- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-050200- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-050200- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
810 FZAK51 PAFC 041544 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 745 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 UPDATED ZONES 120 121 125 129 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-050200- 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 990 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES TO THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA SUN EVENING. A BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE TO SHELIKOF STRAIT SUN EVENING AT 988 MB AND THEN MOVE TO 25 NM EAST OF SEWARD MON NIGHT AT 993 MB. $$ PKZ120-050200- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 745 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT E OF CAPE CLEARE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT E 25 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-050200- RESURRECTION BAY 745 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT...HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-050200- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 745 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT TOWARD MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-050200- PASSAGE CANAL 745 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT TOWARD MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-050200- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ132-050200- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ138-050200- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-050200- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-050200- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN APR 4 2010 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Apr 3, 12:30 PM AKDT, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 12:30 PM AKDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA 1230 PM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A 175 KNOT UPPER JET IS NEARLY ZONAL AS IT RIDES ALONG THE ALEUTIANS OVER TOP OF A LOW AMPLITUDE LONG-WAVE RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE JET THEN DIVES SOUTHEASTWARD AS IT NEARS THE GULF...MOVING AROUND THE BOTTOM OF A HIGH AMPLITUDE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. THERE ARE A COUPLE LOWS OVER THE BERING TRACKING RAPIDLY TO THE EAST IN THIS FAST FLOW. A WEAK VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS PRODUCING CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS WHILE MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL IS ENJOYING A SUNNY DAY. .MODEL DISCUSSION...THE GFS IS SLOWER THAN OTHER SOLUTIONS IN MOVEMENT OF GULF LOW TO THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA AND THE UKMET IS FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE OTHER SOLUTIONS...SO PREFER THE NAM/EC HANDLING OF THIS LOW. ELSEWHERE...MODELS ARE IN SURPRISINGLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TRACK OF BERING LOWS THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...NORTHEAST PACIFIC TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS ALLOWING THE UPPER JET TO EXTEND EASTWARD INTO THE GULF. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A NEW SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WHICH WILL SWING NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL SUNDAY...PULLING THE LOW OVER THE GULF NORTHWESTWARD TO THE KENAI PENINSULA BY LATE SUNDAY AND BRINGING PRECIP MAINLY TO COASTAL LOCATIONS. AN UPPER LOW WHICH IS NOW OVER THE NORTHERN BERING WILL THEN ELONGATE EASTWARD TO SOUTHCENTRAL MONDAY. MULTIPLE WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THIS UPPER CENTER BRINGING PREDOMINANTLY SHOWERS TO THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK...WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVITY REMAINING ALONG COASTAL AREAS. ALTHOUGH SKY COVER WILL GENERALLY BE MOSTLY CLOUDY THERE WILL CERTAINLY BE BREAKS OF SUN IN BETWEEN THE UPPER WAVES. SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE SHORT-WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WILL EXIT TO THE NORTH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AS THE UPPER LOW TRANSITIONS EASTWARD THE NEXT FEW DAYS UPPER WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION RESULTING IN MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...STRONG UPPER JET WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM...SO SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH RESULTING IN GENERALLY SHORT DURATIONS OF PRECIPITATION AND STRONG WINDS. .LONG TERM FORECAST...HEMISPHERIC FLOW LOOKS TO BE VERY PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. THE UPPER JET ALSO LOOKS LIKE IT WILL REMAIN AT A SIMILAR LATITUDE. THEREFORE...EXPECT AN ACTIVE STORM PATTERN ALONG THE ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE GULF WITH WEATHER CHANGING EVERY DAY OR TWO....WHICH IS QUITE COMMON HEADING INTO SPRING. OF COURSE...WITH THIS TYPE OF FLOW IT IS DIFFICULT FOR MODELS TO LATCH ON TO SPECIFIC STORMS VERY FAR OUT...SO FORECAST UNCERTAINTY QUICKLY GROWS AS WE HEAD THROUGH NEXT WEEK. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 125 155 165 170 172 175 176. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. SEB APR 10
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 15 hr | |
| Apr 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Apr 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Apr 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Apr 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Apr 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Apr 4, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Apr 4, 7:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 21 hr | |
| Apr 4, 7:15 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 33 hr | |
| Apr 4, 7:45 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 20 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2010Every small craft advisory in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.