Small Craft Advisory 1027, NWS Anchorage, AK

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
315 AM AKST THU NOV 25 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS REMAIN IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON PRIMARY
WEATHER FEATURES. GULF LOW WILL CONTINUE TO FILL TODAY AND SLOWLY
MOVE EASTWARD FRI MORNING. SHORT LIVED RIDGE IN BERING GIVES WAY TO A
MODEST LOW WHICH MOVES TOWARD NUNAVEK ISLAND FRI NIGHT.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AIR TEMPS HAVE COOLED IN THE SOUTHWEST
IN RESPONSE TO NORTHWEST FLOW. TEMPS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL STILL IN LOW
TO MID 30S EARLY THIS MORNING...EXPECT COOLING THU NIGHT AS UPPER
TROUGH SLIDES EASTWARD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING REGION...A FRONT MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BERING TODAY. MOST OF
THE AREA EAST OF 180 WILL HAVE LOW CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS. WARM PUSH
WITH NEXT SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS FROM PRIBS SOUTH.
MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS OVER EASTERN BERING TODAY WILL DIMINISH THU
NIGHT BUT SHORT LIVED CALM AS MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLIES MOVE IN FRI
MORNING.

SOUTHWEST...LOW CLOUDS IN THE Y-K DELTA WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING
EASTWARD. FRONT MOVES ONSHORE LATE THU NIGHT...INITIALLY SNOW BUT
COULD SEE SOME MIXED PHASED PRECIP BY FRI MORNING NEAR THE COAST.

SOUTHCENTRAL...CONTINUED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THU EVENING.
PROBABLY WILL SEE AREAS OF FOG FRI MORNING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW ON SAT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...RIDGE OVER THE BERING SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH
TO VECTOR SYSTEMS TOWARDS GULF OF ANADYR THROUGH FIRST HALF OF WEEK.
LOOKS AS IF TROUGH OVER GULF ON SUN BECOMES QUASI STATIONARY IN
EASTERN GULF MON AND TUE.  THIS SHOULD BRING SOME SEASONAL TEMPS BACK
TO SOUTHCENTRAL WITH SOME CLEARING MON ONWARDS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STRM 155 170 GALE 150 160 165 180 171 172 175 176 185 132
138
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP NOV 10