Gale Warning 974, NWS Anchorage, AK

519 
FZAK51 PAFC 261556 CCB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
655 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

CORRECTED TYPO ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270300-
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL WEAKEN TO 1009 MB SAT
MORNING THEN MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF HOMER SUN MORNING AT 1006 MB.

$$

PKZ120-270300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9
FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-270300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-270300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
630 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES DURING THE MORNING.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-270300-
PASSAGE CANAL
630 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-270300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-270300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-270300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
630 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN 
THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-270300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
630 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT OR LESS IN THE AFTERNOON.
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 2 FT 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-270300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

283 
FZAK51 PAFC 270031
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271500-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1008 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-271500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-271500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-271500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-271500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-271500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT...EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-271500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-271500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-271500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-271500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST FRI NOV 26 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT TONIGHT. FORECASTS BASED
PRIMARILY ON THE GFS...WHICH IS JUST A TAD FASTER WITH THE SURFACE
FEATURES THAN THE OTHER MODELS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
FAIRLY AMPLIFIED FLOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND ALASKA. UPPER LOW
OVER THE PANHANDLE MOVING SOUTHEAST...WITH A RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. AN "OPEN WAVE" LOW IS OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE PANHANDLE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AND OUT OF THE
AREA TODAY. THE WESTERN BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA TODAY AND INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA TONIGHT. THIS WILL
SUPPRESS THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN RIDGE...ALLOWING A DECENT AMOUNT OF
MOISTURE TO GET ENTRAINED IN THE FLOW FROM THE SOUTH. THIS LOW WILL
SHARPEN UP OVER THE WEEKEND OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...BRINGING
ANOTHER SHOT OF SNOW TO THAT AREA SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A STRONG RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE EASTERN
BERING SEA ON MONDAY BRINGING A SHOT OF COLD AIR TO SOUTHERN ALASKA.
THE RIDGE LOOKS LIKE IT WILL HOLD OUT FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK...THEN
WEAKEN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 130 132 150 172 175 176 179.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG NOV 10