Tornado Warning 7, NWS Albuquerque, NM

834 
WWUS55 KABQ 240225
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
825 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

NMC059-240245-
/O.CON.KABQ.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-100524T0245Z/
UNION-
825 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL UNION COUNTY
UNTIL 845 PM MDT...

AT 821 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SEDAN...OR ABOUT
15 MILES NORTH OF AMISTAD...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SEDAN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW.

GO TO THE LOWEST FLOOR IN YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. AVOID OUTSIDE WALLS
AND WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 10310 3610 10321 3631 10320 3631 10301
      3615 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 0225Z 199DEG 22KT 3616 10314

$$

210 
WWUS55 KABQ 240235
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
835 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

NMC059-240245-
/O.CON.KABQ.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-100524T0245Z/
UNION-
835 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL UNION COUNTY
UNTIL 845 PM MDT...

AT 830 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SKYWARN
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR
SEDAN...OR ABOUT 18 MILES NORTH OF AMISTAD...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL UNION COUNTY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW.

GO TO THE LOWEST FLOOR IN YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. AVOID OUTSIDE WALLS
AND WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 10310 3610 10321 3631 10320 3631 10301
      3615 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 198DEG 24KT 3622 10310

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
816 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

.UPDATE...HAVE ALLOWED WIND ADVISORY TO EXPIRE FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL
AND EASTERN NM...ALTHOUGH SOME LOCALIZED WIND ADVY CONDITIONS MAY
CONTINUE...ESPECIALLY OVER RIDGETOPS AND OPEN AREAS...OVERNIGHT.
SEVERE WX CONTINUING IN NORTHEAST NM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...315 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA WILL CONTINUE
TO SHIFT FURTHER EAST INTO SOUTHWEST UTAH TODAY AND FURTHER
NORTHEAST THIS EVENING BRINGING STRONG WINDS INTO NEW MEXICO. THE
549H5 UPPER LOW WILL BRING STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 40
KNOTS AT 500MB... WHILE AT THE SURFACE EXPECT 25-35 KNOTS DURING
THE PEAK MIXING PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON. FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON AND TROUGH THE EVENING...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER MOST OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. LOWER RH
VALUES OF LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON...SO THERE IS A RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9PM THIS EVENING
OF ALL BUT THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...EXPECT THE SURFACE AND UPPER LOW TO
CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  THIS
WILL ALLOW A SOUTHERLY FLOW TO ADVECT MOISTURE INTO NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER
NORTH THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO WEAKEN AND KEEP THE DRYLINE LOCATED
ALONG THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER
THAN NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE AREA...RANGING FROM THE MID 70S TO THE
LOWER 40S. TUESDAY TROUGH WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG...
THIS WILL ALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO
MIGRATE WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE DAY PROVIDING A
FOCUS FOR MODERATE TO POTENTIALLY STRONG CONVECTION DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON WEDNESDAY WITH A FOCUS ALONG THE EASTERN
SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN
PLAINS.

MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT ACROSS THE CWA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ON
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW.  WITH THIS BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE IN PLACE WE CAN EXPECT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION.  THE COMBINATION OF OROGRAPHIC LIFT
IN AND AROUND THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WILL
COMBINE WITH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE TO CAUSE AN INCREASE TO A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THESE AREAS.

ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA...A DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DOMINATES THE REGION VIRTUALLY
ELIMINATING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A DRY STABLE
AIRMASS MOVES INTO PLACE OVER THE CWA.

TORRES/BENNETT

.AVIATION...
A RETURN TO LOW CLOUDS IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT BUT THE WINDOW FOR
LOW CLOUDS WILL BE SHORTER THAN WHAT WAS OBSERVED THIS MORNING. WENT
AHEAD AND PUT IN A 4 HOUR TEMPO GROUP FOR BOTH ROW AND TCC TO SHOW
THE POSSIBILITIES OF LOW CLOUD INTRUSION TONIGHT. CONFIDENCE ISNT AS
GREAT SO DIDNT USE A PREVAILING GROUP. IN THE NEAR TERM...STRONG
GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN AVN ISSUE. GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 50 KT WILL BE
COMMONPLACE THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONGEST READING MOST
LIKELY AT GUP. AVIATION WEATHER WARNING FOR THE ABQ AIRPORT HAS
ALREADY BEEN SENT OUT WITH HIGHEST GUST TO 33 KT SO FAR.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 09Z. 50

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE BIGGEST CHANGE WAS UPGRADING THE WATCH FOR ZONES 103 AND 107
INTO A WARNING. IT DOES APPEAR THAT SOME AREAS OF ZONE
102...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER WOULD MEET RED FLAG BUT A
PRETTY SMALL AREA OVERALL SO EXCLUDED THAT ZONE. THE WEATHER MODELS
CONTINUE TO DEPICT THE STRONG WIND GRADIENT OVER THE AREA THE REST
OF TODAY...TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE LESSENING WINDS
OVERALL. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE ONCE AGAIN QUITE LOW WITH LOWEST
READINGS FOUND ACROSS CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE FOUND ALONG THE DRYLINE CONTINUES TO MIX OUT BASED ON THE
LATEST OBSERVATIONS. WILL CONTINUE THE RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR
THE ZONES IT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR...VALID TIL 9 PM.

WINDS WILL GRADUALLY LIGHTEN UP A BIT MID/LATE EVENING BUT REMAIN
MODERATE MOST AREAS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST READINGS
WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE
LESS LIKELY TO DECOUPLE FROM THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT. A DISTINCT WIND
SHIFT SHOULD OCCUR LATER TONIGHT AS A MID LEVEL COLD FRONT SLIDES
OVER THE AREA. WINDS WILL TURN FROM A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION TO A
SOUTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY WESTERLY DIRECTION. ABUNDANT MOISTURE FOUND
ALONG THE DRYLINE WILL BACK INTO FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO TONIGHT BUT
THE WIND SHIFT MONDAY MORNING WILL PUSH IT BACK INTO TEXAS.
THUS...ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED PRETTY MUCH
AREAWIDE ON MONDAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY POOR TO MODERATE
RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN THREE QUARTERS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THE BIGGEST CHANGE ON MONDAY WILL BE THE STABILITY OF
THE AIRMASS OVER NEW MEXICO. LOOK FOR A MORE STABLE AIRMASS OVERALL
VERSUS WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THUS...HAINES
INDEX VALUES WILL BE IN THE 5 CATEGORY VERSUS 6. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO MODERATE SOME DUE TO THE MID LEVEL FRONTAL
PASSAGE. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE WEST WHILE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. A SLIVER OF NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE FOUND NEAR THE TEXAS STATE LINE.

THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE ENTERING A 4 TO 6 DAY WEATHER SCENARIO
THAT IS PRETTY TYPICAL FOR JUNE. THE DRYLINE WILL BECOME ACTIVE FROM
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS IT SLOSHES BACK AND FORTH DIURNALLY
ACROSS THE STATE. IT DOES APPEAR MORE AND MORE NOW THAT THE ABUNDANT
MOISTURE FOUND ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE DRYLINE WILL PUSH AS FAR WEST
AS THE ARIZONA STATE LINE AND PERHAPS BEYOND. DURING THE AFTERNOONS
SOME OF THE DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL MIX THAT MOISTURE OUT AT THE
SURFACE BUT AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES...HIGHER HUMIDITY SHOULD BE FOUND
ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE PATTERN WILL
SHIFT STARTING ON TUESDAY ALTHOUGH SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY READINGS
DURING THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS.
THIS SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY AREA WILL GET SHUNTED FURTHER TO THE
WEST...NEAR THE ARIZONA STATE LINE...ON WEDNESDAY AND PUSH OUT OF
THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MINIMUM HUMIDITY READINGS IN THE MID 20S TO
MID 40S WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE EAST.

AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES...HAINES INDEX VALUES WILL ALSO FALL AND
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN A 3/4 EAST OF THE DRYLINE. IT SHOULD ALSO BE
MENTIONED THAT SCATTERED WETTING STORMS WILL FORM EACH AFTERNOON AND
LAST INTO THE EVENING...ESPECIALLY FAVORING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA. A MIX OF A WET AND DRY FOOTPRINT TO THE INDIVIDUAL
STORMS WOULD BE FOUND BETWEEN THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY WHILE DRIER STORMS WOULD BE FOUND NEAR THE ARIZONA
STATE LINE. THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD BE ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS ALTHOUGH SOME AFTERNOON BREEZINESS...RANGING FROM
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WOULD BE FOUND DURING THE PEAK
HEATING PERIOD EACH DAY. MODERATE TO STRONG GAP WINDS WOULD OCCUR
ALONG THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIODS.

IT APPEARS RIGHT NOW THAT THE PEAK PERIOD FOR THE HIGHER HUMIDITY
WOULD BE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALL BE DEPENDENT ON HOW THE
WESTERN TROUGH MOVES. IF IT REMAINS ALONG THE WEST COAST WHILE THE
UPPER RIDGE REMAINS EITHER OVER NEW MEXICO OR TO THE EAST...THEN THE
MORE MOIST PATTERN WILL CONTINUE. THE BREAK DOWN IN THIS PATTERN IS
BEING DEPICTED BY THE WEATHER MODELS NEXT WEEKEND ALTHOUGH THE LONG
RANGE MODELS DIFFER SLIGHTLY ON HOW THE PATTERN BREAKS DOWN. THIS
WILL BE CRUCIAL AS TO WHETHER STRONGER WIND WOULD FOLLOW THIS
HUMIDITY/THUNDERSTORM PERIOD.

50

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ101>103-105>107-109.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM MDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ103-107.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ501-502-505-506-508-509.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
541 AM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

NMZ501>540-241200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
541 AM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH
DEVELOPING FROM THE ARIZONA BORDER TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY
LATE MORNING WILL EXPAND TO MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO BY EARLY AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL TAPER OFF
ONLY GRADUALLY OVERNIGHT. GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW
HUMIDITIES WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY..THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
LOW. HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS OVER THE NORTHEAST PLAINS WILL REMAIN GUSTY
BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS COMBINED
WITH CONTINUED LOW HUMIDITIES WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
OVER THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING EACH
AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS MAY PRODUCE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...AND LOCAL DOWNPOURS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WIND SPEEDS...WIND
IMPACTS...AND WILDFIRE STARTS THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING
1.888.386.7637.

SHY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
727 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             LOGAN                   35.36N 103.44W
05/23/2010  M2.75 INCH       QUAY               NM   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002001

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
746 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     HAIL             5 NW NARA VISA          35.65N 103.17W
05/23/2010  M1.75 INCH       QUAY               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002002

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
750 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             LOGAN                   35.36N 103.44W
05/23/2010  M1.75 INCH       QUAY               NM   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002001

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
751 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     HAIL             11 NNW SEDAN            36.28N 103.22W
05/23/2010  M0.75 INCH       UNION              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002003

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
801 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     TORNADO          11 NNW SEDAN            36.28N 103.22W
05/23/2010                   UNION              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002004

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
814 PM MDT SUN MAY 23 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     HAIL             CLAYTON                 36.45N 103.17W
05/23/2010  M0.88 INCH       UNION              NM   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002005

ELB