Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Albuquerque, NM

478 
WWUS85 KABQ 310251
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
851 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
FROM NEAR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY EASTWARD TO THE
TEXAS STATE LINE AS WELL AS THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS BELOW
SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS A GOOD
PORTION OF THE AREA WITH ABOVE NORMAL OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES. THIS
WILL LEAD INTO ANOTHER STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. THE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ON
WEDNESDAY AND AFFECT MORE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. THE MAIN
FOCUS AREA WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS THANKS TO WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. THE CRITICAL
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT ONCE AGAIN FURTHER EAST ON THURSDAY AND CLIP
THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS...FOCUSING ON CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES.
COOLER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY.

NMZ104-108-311400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100331T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0004.100401T1700Z-100402T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
851 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-311400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100331T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
851 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-109-311400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
851 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

664 
WWUS85 KABQ 311238
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
638 AM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT FROM NEAR
   THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY EASTWARD TO THE TEXAS
   STATE LINE AS WELL AS THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS BELOW
   SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS
   DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE NOTED ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE
AREA THIS MORNING WITH ABOVE NORMAL READINGS. THIS WILL LEAD INTO
ANOTHER STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY AFTERNOON. THE CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS SEEN YESTERDAY WILL EXPAND THIS AFTERNOON AND AFFECT
MORE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. THE MAIN FOCUS AREA WILL BE FOUND
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS THANKS TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. THE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT FURTHER
EAST ON THURSDAY AND CLIP THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS...FOCUSING ON
CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES. COOLER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS
ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
ON THURSDAY.

NMZ104-108-010300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0004.100401T1700Z-100402T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
638 AM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-106-107-109-010300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
638 AM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

DPORTER

380 
WWUS85 KABQ 312131
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
331 PM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT FROM NEAR   
THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY EASTWARD TO THE TEXAS   
STATE LINE AS WELL AS THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS BELOW   
SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THURSDAY ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEASTERN
AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER GRANDE VALLEY...
THE SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS...AND THE EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN POOR IN
AREAS EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TONIGHT. THE FOCUS FOR
STRONG WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL SHIFT INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS LATE THURSDAY MORNING INTO
EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH QUICKLY
AFTER SUNSET THURSDAY AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE ABOVE
CRITICAL VALUES.

NMZ104-108-010300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0004.100401T1700Z-100402T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0004.100401T1700Z-100402T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
331 PM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND WILL REDEVELOP AGAIN THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-106-107-109-010300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
331 PM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

424 
WWUS85 KABQ 010239
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
839 PM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THURSDAY ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEASTERN AND
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN POOR IN AREAS EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN OF NEW MEXICO TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. ALSO...A BELT OF VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL BE SHIFTING
EASTWARD OVER THE STATE...THE FOCUS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT INTO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS
LATE THURSDAY MORNING INTO EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET THURSDAY AND HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL INCREASE ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

NMZ104-108-011400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0004.100401T1700Z-100402T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
839 PM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL REDEVELOP
AGAIN LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-106-107-109-010345-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
839 PM MDT WED MAR 31 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

ALTHOUGH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL SOME...AND HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL CREEP ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. THUS...THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AND THE NORTHEASTERN HIGHLANDS
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
257 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

.DISCUSSION...
SHARP DRY SLOT EVIDENT ON THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS SLIDING
EAST THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED IN
MOST AREAS AS A RESULT. DEEP ATMOSPHERIC MIXING TODAY HAS ALLOWED
WIND SPEEDS TO APPROACH ADVISORY LEVELS IN A FEW CLIMATOLOGICALLY
WIND PRONE AREAS. DOWNSLOPING AND EXTREMELY DRY AIR HAS AIDED MAX
TEMPS REACHING AROUND 20F ABOVE NORMAL...WITH A FEW RECORDS ALREADY
BROKEN. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOME AFTER SUNSET AS VERY DRY AIR AND
CLEAR SKIES LEAD TO SHALLOW THERMAL INVERSIONS OVERNIGHT.

12Z MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO AGREE ON THE OVERALL PICTURE HOWEVER
SOME FLIP FLOPPING HAS OCCURRED. THE 12Z GFS IS NOW AN OUTLIER WITH
RESPECT TO THE NAM/ECMWF/UKMET WITH THE STRENGTH AND PLACEMENT OF
SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL FEATURES EARLY THURSDAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY.
THE 12Z NAM/ECMWF ARE NOW TRENDING TOWARD A CLOSED LOW DEVELOPING
OVER THE NORTHERN MTS BY 12Z FRIDAY WITH AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF LIGHT
TO MODERATE PRECIP STRETCHING FROM SW TO NE ALONG A SHARP MID LEVEL
TROUGH AXIS THURSDAY NIGHT. TRENDED GUIDANCE TOWARD THE METMOS FOR
THIS PACKAGE WHICH ONLY RAISES POPS A TAD FOCUSING ON THURSDAY NIGHT.
HPC QPF VALUES SUGGEST PRECIP THE BAND WILL PROVIDE BETWEEN 0.05-0.15
INCHES OF LIQUID...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG WEST/SOUTHWEST
FACING SLOPES WITH THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

TEMPS WILL BE VERY CHILLY FRIDAY WITH MAINLY DRY NW FLOW BEHIND THE
DEPARTING UPPER WAVE. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S WEST WITH A
FEW 60S POSSIBLE IN THE EAST. MORE QUASI-ZONAL FLOW WILL DEVELOP
SATURDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH INCREASING WINDS AND
MORE WARM TEMPS. GUYER

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL AIRPORTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS.
WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY WITH WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 30 TO 40 KT ACROSS
SOME LOCATIONS INCLUDING MOST OF THE TERMINAL SITES. THESE STRONG
WINDS WILL DECOUPLE OR LESSEN SOME THIS EVENING ACROSS MOST
LOCATIONS EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHEST TERRAIN. A RESUMPTION OF STRONG
WINDS IS EXPECTED LATE WED MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AND ONCE AGAIN
AFFECT MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. GUSTS LOOK TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER
WITH MORE AREAL COVERAGE THAN TODAY.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 09Z. 50

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
RED FLAG CONDITIONS BEING HIT ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF OUR EAST.
SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS ALSO RECEIVING LOW
HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS. WILL CONTINUE TO LET THE CURRENT
HIGHLIGHTS RIDE AND NOT ADD ANY ADDITIONAL AREAS SINCE CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE SOME EARLY EVENING AS THE SUN ANGLE LESSENS AND MIXING
BECOMES LESS.

NOT A LOT OF CHANGES MADE TO THE FIRE WEATHER GRIDDED FORECAST. DID
LOWER HUMIDITY VALUES SLIGHTLY FOR TONIGHT ALTHOUGH POOR RECOVERY VALUES
WERE ALREADY PREDICTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA. WIND FORECAST LOOKED
REAL GOOD FOR WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH DID LOWER THEM 1 TO 3 MPH ACROSS
SOME LOCATIONS PER LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE AND FORECAST TRENDS. IT
DOES APPEAR THAT THE STRONGER WIND DAY OVERALL LOOKS TO BE LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY TIME PERIOD AS THE MID LEVEL JET MAX MOVES
OVER NEW MEXICO. EITHER WAY YOU SLICE IT...GUSTY WINDS OVERLAID WITH
LOWER HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY. ALSO STRUGGLED WITH THE
IDEA OF INCLUDING ZONE 105 INTO THE MIX SINCE CLOUD COVER WILL BE
LESS ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE ZONE UNTIL LATER. THE MODELS ARE
FORECASTING A TIGHT CLOUD GRADIENT BETWEEN THE THINNER...HIGHER
CIRRUS OVER CENTRALS PORTIONS OF THE STATE VERSUS A THICKER MID
LEVEL CLOUD DECK ACROSS WESTERN NM. DECIDED TO GO WITH THE CURRENT
WATCH CONFIGURATION AND WILL BE UPGRADING THIS SAME AREA TO A
WARNING IN THE NEXT HOUR. ALTHOUGH NOT QUITE AS UNSTABLE AS ONE
WOULD SEE IN MAY OR JUNE...INSTABILITY WILL BE PRETTY HIGH ON
WEDNESDAY AND GENERALLY MATCHES UP WITH A HAINES 5 WITH LOCALLY 6
VALUES ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO GENERALLY BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FAVORING THE EASTERN PLAINS. ESPECIALLY AFTER A WARM START
TONIGHT.

WEATHER MODELS HAVE BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT OVERALL WITH THE CRITICAL
WEATHER CONDITIONS MOVING EASTWARD ON THURSDAY. THERE IS ENOUGH
FORECAST CONFIDENCE TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE EASTERN
PLAINS...FAVORING THE TEXAS STATE LINE AND ROOSEVELT AND CURRY
COUNTIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON. INCREASES IN CLOUD COVER...RISING
HUMIDITY AND LOWERING HAINES VALUES WILL ENGULF THE REST OF THE
FORECAST AREA AS THE TROUGH OVERHEAD.

PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH PASSAGE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY WILL VARY QUITE A BIT AND MOST LIKELY FAVOR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN SUCH AS FOUND ACROSS THE SOUTH AND NORTH. THIS APPEARS TO BE
A QUICK HITTING SYSTEM SO WETTING PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL WILL BE
LIMITED ACROSS THE LOWLANDS AND SOME MID SLOPE AREAS. ALTHOUGH THERE
IS A BIT OF A FOCUS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS AMONGST SOME OF THE
MODELS.

COOLER CONDITIONS AND A SIGNIFICANT RISE IN HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY AS THE TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST.
HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD ACTUALLY LOWER SOME ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL AREAS ON FRIDAY COMPARED TO READINGS OBSERVED ON THURSDAY. I
DID GO AHEAD AND RAISE THE WIND FORECAST UP A BIT MORE BASED ON THE
PLACEMENT OF THE TROUGH AND STILL EXPECTING A MODERATE TO POSSIBLY
STRONG FREE AIR WIND FLOW. WIND DIRECTIONS WOULD BE MORE
NORTHWEST/NORTH ACROSS THE AREA.

THE LONG RANGE MODELS ARE STILL INDICATING A DRIER WEEKEND WITH
RISING TEMPERATURES AND LOWERING HUMIDITY. AS THE PREVIOUS SHIFT
INDICATED...WIND FLOWS LOOK TO BE BREEZY DURING THE PEAK HEATING
PERIOD ON SATURDAY BUT STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
PACIFIC WAVE PASSAGE. I DID INCREASE WINDS SLIGHTLY ON SATURDAY. THE
MODELS DIFFER SLIGHTLY BETWEEN WHICH DAY AMONG MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WILL SEE THE STRONGEST WINDS. EITHER WAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO A PROGRESSIVE BREAK
DOWN IN THE UPPER RIDGE AND CORRESPONDING DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  38  69  40  50 /   0   0  30  50
DULCE...........................  26  65  32  46 /   0   0  40  60
CUBA............................  28  67  33  48 /   0   0  20  40
GALLUP..........................  31  67  35  47 /   0   0  30  50
EL MORRO........................  30  69  33  51 /   0   0  20  50
GRANTS..........................  29  72  33  54 /   0   0  10  40
QUEMADO.........................  29  71  34  50 /   0   0  20  40
GLENWOOD........................  32  74  36  60 /   0   0  10  30
CHAMA...........................  27  61  30  41 /   0   0  50  70
LOS ALAMOS......................  36  66  36  54 /   0   0  10  30
PECOS...........................  37  68  36  54 /   0   0   5  20
CERRO/QUESTA....................  29  63  30  51 /   0   0   5  30
RED RIVER.......................  28  60  28  44 /   0   0  10  50
ANGEL FIRE......................  30  61  29  47 /   0   0   5  40
TAOS............................  30  67  32  53 /   0   0   5  30
ESPANOLA........................  34  75  36  62 /   0   0   5  20
SANTA FE........................  36  71  35  58 /   0   0   5  40
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  37  73  37  60 /   0   0   5  30
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  44  74  43  62 /   0   0   0  30
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  45  76  45  64 /   0   0   0  20
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  40  78  43  66 /   0   0   0  20
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  43  75  44  65 /   0   0   0  20
LOS LUNAS.......................  38  79  40  69 /   0   0   0  20
RIO RANCHO......................  44  75  44  65 /   0   0   0  30
SOCORRO.........................  39  80  44  70 /   0   0   0  10
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  36  72  41  60 /   0   0   5  30
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  37  73  38  66 /   0   0   0   5
CLINES CORNERS..................  39  70  41  60 /   0   0   5  20
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  42  74  42  66 /   0   0   0  10
CARRIZOZO.......................  40  74  46  68 /   0   0   0  10
RUIDOSO.........................  42  65  43  60 /   0   0   0  20
CAPULIN.........................  40  66  41  64 /   0   0   5  10
RATON...........................  36  74  37  67 /   0   0   5  20
LAS VEGAS.......................  40  72  39  62 /   0   0   0  20
CLAYTON.........................  48  84  45  77 /   0   0   0   5
ROY.............................  46  80  46  73 /   0   0   0   5
CONCHAS.........................  48  86  46  76 /   0   0   0   5
SANTA ROSA......................  47  84  47  78 /   0   0   0   5
TUCUMCARI.......................  48  88  48  81 /   0   0   0   5
CLOVIS..........................  46  85  48  80 /   0   0   0   5
PORTALES........................  46  86  47  82 /   0   0   0   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  43  87  47  80 /   0   0   0   5
ROSWELL.........................  43  88  48  84 /   0   0   0   5
PICACHO.........................  48  82  49  77 /   0   0   0   5
ELK.............................  45  75  47  72 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ502-505-506-508-509-512>515-521>529-532-533-539-540.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ103-104-106>109.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ104-108.

&&

GUYER/50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

NMZ501>540-311200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK ALONG AND EAST OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
GUST FROM 40 TO OVER 50 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO. THE STRONG WINDS MAY PERSIST THROUGHOUT WEDNESDAY NIGHT
IN THE MOUNTAINS. LOW HUMIDITIES WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONG WINDS
RESULTING IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN MANY LOCATIONS ON
BOTH DAYS.

SUNDAY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN...WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS COULD
PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

MONDAY...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY RETURN TO MUCH OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. GUSTS OVER 50 WILL BE POSSIBLE. CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

44