Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Albuquerque, NM

713 
WWUS85 KABQ 301149
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
549 AM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TODAY
   ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND EASTERN PLAINS BELOW
   SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY FROM NEAR THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
   EASTWARD TO THE TEXAS STATE LINE AS WELL AS THE WEST CENTRAL
   HIGHLANDS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
   HUMIDITIES...

.WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM TODAY
AND STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY AS THE SYSTEM DRAWS
CLOSER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM BETWEEN 10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL
LEAD TO VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. THE MOST CRITICAL AREA AND TIME
FRAME LOOKS TO BE ACROSS THE SOUTH AND EAST ON WEDNESDAY. COOLER
AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH A
FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS COULD EXIST ACROSS THE FAR EAST.

NMZ103-104-107-108-310300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0002.100330T1700Z-100331T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
549 AM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ109-310300-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.A.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
549 AM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ106-310300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
549 AM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

DPORTER

813 
WWUS85 KABQ 302120
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
320 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM MDT TODAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS AND EASTERN PLAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK FOR STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
FROM NEAR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY EASTWARD TO THE
TEXAS STATE LINE AS WELL AS THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS BELOW
SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.GUSTY WINDS OBSERVED THIS AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS
EVENING. POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS A
GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA WITH ABOVE NORMAL OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.
THIS WILL LEAD INTO ANOTHER STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. THE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ON
WEDNESDAY AND AFFECT MORE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. THE MAIN
FOCUS AREA WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS THANKS TO WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. THE CRITICAL
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT ONCE AGAIN FURTHER EAST ON THURSDAY AND CLIP
THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS...FOCUSING ON CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES.
COOLER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE REST
OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. 

NMZ104-108-310300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0004.100401T1700Z-100402T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100331T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
320 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-310300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100331T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
320 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NMZ106-109-310300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
320 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$
50

478 
WWUS85 KABQ 310251
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
851 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
FROM NEAR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY EASTWARD TO THE
TEXAS STATE LINE AS WELL AS THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS BELOW
SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS A GOOD
PORTION OF THE AREA WITH ABOVE NORMAL OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES. THIS
WILL LEAD INTO ANOTHER STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. THE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ON
WEDNESDAY AND AFFECT MORE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. THE MAIN
FOCUS AREA WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS THANKS TO WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. THE CRITICAL
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT ONCE AGAIN FURTHER EAST ON THURSDAY AND CLIP
THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS...FOCUSING ON CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES.
COOLER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY.

NMZ104-108-311400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100331T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0004.100401T1700Z-100402T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
851 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-311400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100331T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
851 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-109-311400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0003.100331T1600Z-100401T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
851 PM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
301 PM MDT MON MAR 29 2010

.DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP INDICATES THE UPPER RIDGE IS CRESTING
OVER NM THIS AFTERNOON AND WESTERLY FLOW IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE.
PATCHY HIGH CLOUDS TO THE WEST OVER AZ WILL OVERALL BE INNOCUOUS
TO TONIGHTS AND TUESDAYS FORECAST. EXPECT WARMER LOW TEMPS TONIGHT
AS 700MB TEMPS HAVE MODERATED 2 TO 4C...THE SFC HIGH OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL COLORADO HAS WEAKENED...AND LEE TROUGHING IS ALREADY TAKING
SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN INTO
TUESDAY AS WESTERLY 700MB FLOW INCREASES TO AROUND 30 KTS. A FEW
RECORD HIGHS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS AND WITHIN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. MID LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN
STRONG TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SLIGHTLY MORE HIGH CLOUDINESS LEADING TO
EVEN MILDER LOW TEMPS.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE ANOTHER WARM DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS THE SURFACE
LEE TROUGH STRENGTHENS. STRONGER MIXING INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF
HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL SPELL WIND ADVISORIES
FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AND A FEW
SHOWERS ARE EVEN POSSIBLE OVER THE NW CORNER THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER BREEZY TO WINDY DAY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AS THE
FIRST PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY SLIDES NE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE STATE. TEMPS WILL REMAIN VERY WARM OVER THE EAST WITH COOLER
TEMPS WEST.

12Z GFS/ECMWF ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIP
WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT ALONG
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE TROUGH AXIS. 700MB TEMPS DROP TO -8C
ALLOWING RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW ABOVE 6000 FEET...WITH ONLY LIGHT
ACCUMS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. AS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AXIS SLIDES
THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY INSTABILITY DRIVEN PRECIP IS EXPECTED IN
THE AFTERNOON. TEMPS WILL BE MUCH COLDER WITH READINGS IN THE 50S
AND 60S. ZONAL FLOW WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE OVER THE
WEEKEND WITH MODERATING TEMPS. GUYER

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL AIRPORTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS.
INCREASING WINDS ON TUESDAY AND SHOULD SEE SOME GUSTS BETWEEN 30 TO
37 KTS SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST AND ALONG AND TO THE EAST
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 09Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE MADE FOR THE UPCOMING CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER PERIOD WAS UPDATING THE WATCH FOR TUESDAY TO A RED FLAG
WARNING AND ADDING ZONE 103 TO THE CRITICAL AREA. ALSO DECIDED TO GO
WITH A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AS THAT DAY LOOKS TO BE THE
MOST CRITICAL ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA.

LEADING INTO THE UPCOMING EVENT PERIOD...HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL BE
RATHER POOR TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. ESPECIALLY CENTERED
OVER THE MID SLOPE AND HIGHER PEAK AREAS WHERE A SIGNIFICANT DRY
SLOT CURRENTLY RESIDES. LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL ALSO SEE A MIXTURE OF
POOR TO FAIR RECOVERIES WITH READINGS IN THE MID 20S TO NEAR 40
PERCENT.

THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS GATHERING STRENGTH OVER THE PACIFIC AND
WILL EDGE CLOSER TO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AS A RESULT...
STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN AND EVENTUALLY
MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES ON TUESDAY. LOW AND
MID LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM TO
BETWEEN 10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AS A RESULT...HUMIDITY
READINGS WILL BE QUITE LOW AND FOR A LONGER DURATION AFTER THE POOR
RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. THE DRIEST HUMIDITY DAY OF THE WEEK LOOKS TO BE
ON TUESDAY. HAINES INDEX VALUES WILL ALSO RISE INTO THE 5 TO 6
CATEGORY. DECIDED TO THROW IN ZONE 103 AS IT APPEARS THAT MORE OF
THAT ZONE WILL BE AFFECTED BY RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND FOR A LONGER
PERIOD. ZONE 105 SUCH AS NEAR GALLUP MAY ALSO SEE A FEW HOURS
BUT DOESNT APPEAR TO BE OVER A LARGE ENOUGH AREA TO WARRANT A
CONCERN THERE. IT DOES APPEAR THAT PATCHES OF HIGHER CIRRUS WILL
FLOW OVER THE STATE BUT PROVIDE MORE FILTERED SUNSHINE AT TIMES
VERSUS MITIGATING SIGNIFICANT FIRE POTENTIAL.

ANOTHER ROUND OF POOR TO FAIR RECOVERIES WILL BE OBSERVED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT ALTHOUGH AS THE
UPPER TROUGH DRAWS CLOSER TO THE STATE...RECOVERIES WILL IMPROVE
SOME ACROSS THE WEST AND NORTH BUT REMAIN THE LOWEST ACROSS THE
SOUTH AND EAST...ESPECIALLY EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS.
RIDGETOP WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY AND REMAIN RATHER
WINDY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

IT APPEARS THAT THE MAIN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY WILL BE WEDNESDAY
AS THE UPPER TROUGH SITUATES ITSELF OVER ARIZONA WITH THE WARM
SECTOR OR MOST UNSTABLE PORTION TO THE SYSTEM BEING PLACED OVER
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NM. THIS COUPLED WITH A STRONG FLOW ALOFT
SHOULD TRANSLATE TO SOME STRONG ALTHOUGH HELTER SKELTER AT TIMES
WINDS AT THE SURFACE. ANOTHER ROUND OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE
READINGS WILL BE OBSERVED ALTHOUGH SOME COOLING WILL BE FELT ACROSS
THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN TIER THANKS TO INCREASES IN CLOUD COVER
THERE. EASTERN AREAS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. AS A RESULT...HUMIDITY WILL IMPROVE SOME ACROSS THE WEST AND
NORTH BUT REMAIN QUITE LOW ACROSS THE EAST WITH SINGLE DIGITS
EXPECTED AFTER POOR RECOVERIES. HAINES INDEX VALUES ALSO APPEAR TO
RANGE BETWEEN 5 TO 6 ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS BUT LOWERING
ACROSS THE WEST AS THE DAY GOES ALONG. DECIDED TO HOIST A WATCH FOR
WEDNESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS AS THIS TIME PERIOD
REPRESENTS PRE GREENUP. CRITICAL CONDITIONS PRIMARILY RUNNING FROM
THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND ADJACENT LOWLANDS EASTWARD TO THE TEXAS
STATE LINE BUT EXCLUDING SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK AREAS OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS. SOME EASTERN PORTIONS OF ZONES 105 AND 109...BELOW 7500
FEET WILL MOST LIKELY OBSERVE A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS BUT
WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS FROM WEST TO EAST THERE THANKS TO CLOUD
COVER AND LOWERING HAINES...DECIDED TO NOT INCLUDE THOSE ZONES.

PERHAPS SOME WETTING PRECIPITATION WILL ENTER THE PICTURE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND ONCE AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH AXIS
TRANSLATES OVER THE STATE. THERE IS STILL SOME MODEL DISCREPANCY IN
THE LOOK OF THIS TROUGH TRANSLATION SO WETTING PRECIPITATION
POTENTIAL VARIES. THE ECMWF IS MORE BULLISH WITH A CONTINUED CLOSED
LOW PRESENCE THAN THE GFS. EITHER WAY...HUMIDITY VALUES WILL IMPROVE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS TEMPERATURES COOL. IT STILL APPEARS
THAT THERE COULD BE A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
FAR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON THURSDAY BUT MORE MARGINAL
AT THIS TIME DUE TO RISING HAINES VALUES AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER.
GUSTY WINDS SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTH AND EAST ON THURSDAY.

HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD LOWER SOME ON FRIDAY ACROSS THE WEST BUT
STILL REMAIN HIGHER PRETTY MUCH AREAWIDE AS THE SYSTEM PUSHES OFF TO
THE EAST. WIND VALUES WILL ALSO COME DOWN. RIDGING IS EXPECTED FOR
THE WEEKEND WITH WARMING AND DRYING CONDITIONS. THE NEXT PACIFIC
WAVE PASSAGE IS TABBED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK BY THE LONG RANGE MODELS.
STILL UP IN THE AIR AS FAR AS POTENTIAL FOR LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS
AT THIS TIME BUT SOMETHING TO WATCH SINCE IT IS THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  33  73  39  69 /   0   0   0   5
DULCE...........................  20  68  25  66 /   0   0   0  10
CUBA............................  22  71  26  67 /   0   0   0   5
GALLUP..........................  24  74  34  65 /   0   0   0   5
EL MORRO........................  25  73  30  68 /   0   0   0   5
GRANTS..........................  25  75  32  70 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  26  74  30  70 /   0   0   0   5
GLENWOOD........................  32  79  33  75 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  17  61  25  61 /   0   0   0  10
LOS ALAMOS......................  30  67  39  65 /   0   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  32  67  36  66 /   0   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  24  63  28  64 /   0   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  22  63  21  60 /   0   0   0   0
ANGEL FIRE......................  20  61  22  61 /   0   0   0   0
TAOS............................  26  68  31  68 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  29  76  33  74 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  31  73  36  70 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  32  75  37  72 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  38  77  44  74 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  40  79  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  35  81  43  78 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  36  79  44  77 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  29  83  39  79 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  35  79  43  77 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  35  83  43  80 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  30  72  34  68 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  29  76  36  75 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  35  74  41  72 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  33  78  39  74 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  35  79  40  77 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  36  70  40  70 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  35  67  34  69 /   0   0   0   0
RATON...........................  29  76  36  76 /   0   0   0   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  37  75  40  72 /   0   0   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  43  84  46  82 /   0   0   0   0
ROY.............................  42  82  42  80 /   0   0   0   0
CONCHAS.........................  40  90  44  88 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  41  88  48  85 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  42  89  47  88 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  41  86  47  87 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  39  87  46  88 /   0   0   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  39  88  46  87 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  38  91  46  89 /   0   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  39  83  46  82 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  39  77  45  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-106>108.

&&

GUYER/50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
554 AM MDT MON MAR 29 2010

NMZ501>540-301200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
554 AM MDT MON MAR 29 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL CROSS NEW MEXICO DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK. SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS...MAINLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...WHILE RAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS. STRONG WINDS AND CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THE SYSTEM.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN IN MANY AREAS TUESDAY...AND A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO. SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER WEDNESDAY WHEN MUCH OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO MAY EXPERIENCE WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH AND
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. THE STRONG WINDS WILL LINGER ALONG AND EAST
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN THURSDAY...WHERE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY ALSO PERSIST.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

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