Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 51, NWS Tulsa, OK

October 29, 2009Creek County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Oct 29, 2009, 1:57 PM CDT for Creek County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 29, 2009, 1:57 PM CDT (18:57 UTC)
Expired: Oct 30, 2009, 2:07 PM CDT
In force: 24 hr
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Flood severity: Moderate

County Creek County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Polecat Creek near Sapulpa (SPCO2).

Action stage: 21 ft
Minor stage: 21 ft
Moderate stage: 25 ft
Major stage: 30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07165508, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 29, 12:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 12:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1227 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WILL IMPACT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH A WEST TO EAST CLEARING EXPECTED
TOWARD 00Z. MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR WITHIN VICINITY OF THE
STRONGEST STORMS. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR CONDITIONS IS FORECAST FOR
ALL SITES TOMORROW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
ONGOING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CONTINUE EASTWARD WITH
THE COLD FRONT ALSO MAKING IT THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA BY
00Z FRIDAY. SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL APPEARS ISOLATED THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH A POSSIBLE INCREASE IN COVERAGE TOWARD
SOUTHERN AREAS LATER TODAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE THUS FAR
REMAINED WELL WITHIN FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...HOWEVER ANY FURTHER
SLOWING OF THE EVENT MAY PROMPT SOME WATER HEADLINES.  UPDATED
FORECAST WILL ADJUST FOR CURRENT TRENDS AND SLOW DOWN FRONTAL
PROGRESSION A BIT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  46  58  40 / 100  60  30  10
FSM   72  53  58  40 / 100  90  60  10
MLC   74  48  56  40 / 100  60  40  10
BVO   67  45  57  36 / 100  60  20  10
FYV   68  49  53  35 / 100  90  60  10
BYV   68  50  54  38 / 100 100  60  10
MKO   72  48  55  39 / 100  70  30  10
MIO   69  49  55  38 / 100  90  20  10
F10   72  46  56  40 / 100  60  30  10
HHW   76  51  56  39 / 100  70  50  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...07

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 29, 1:07 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
107 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
108 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EAST OF A LINE FROM VINITA TO OKMULGEE.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
        ARKANSAS.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...AND WILL EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
LATER TODAY.  CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE OVER
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...MAKING THIS AREA
THE MOST FAVORED FOR THE RISK OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER.
FURTHER NORTH...LIMITED INSTABILITY WILL KEEP THE COVERAGE
OF SEVERE WEATHER MORE ISOLATED.  STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS
REMAIN IN PLACE AREA WIDE PRODUCING SCATTERED AREAS OF
DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL.  THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS AS THE STORM SYSTEM TRACKS SLOWLY ACROSS
THE AREA.  THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL WILL ALSO INCREASE FOR
AREAS THAT ARE ABLE TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE...WHICH AGAIN
FAVORS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND POSSIBLY WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS.  LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE MAXIMIZED WITHIN
THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY WHICH MAY SUPPORT A SLIGHTLY
HIGHER RISK OF STORM ROTATION.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK MAY YET OCCUR...
HOWEVER LOCAL SPOTTER NETWORKS ARE ENCOURAGED TO ACTIVATE
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH
DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 29, 8:34 AM CDT, 5 hours 23 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
834 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

OKZ054-055-059-060-291415-
OSAGE OK-PAWNEE OK-TULSA OK-WASHINGTON OK-
834 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 915 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WASHINGTON...EASTERN OSAGE...NORTHERN TULSA AND EASTERN PAWNEE

AT 834 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BIGHEART TO NELAGONEY TO 11
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WYNONA TO 20 MILES WEST OF SPERRY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
STORMS INCLUDE...TULSA...PAWHUSKA...AVANT...WYNONA...WOLCO...
BARNSDALL...PERSHING...TALLANT...NELAGONEY...OKESA...BIGHEART...
HULAH...SPERRY...SKIATOOK...BARTLESVILLE...RAMONA...OCHELATA...DEWEY
AND COPAN.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3700 9608 3700 9586 3628 9591 3622 9641
      3647 9633 3676 9640 3700 9625 3700 9609
TIME...MOT...LOC 1334Z 221DEG 33KT 3683 9628 3662 9622
          3641 9624 3624 9633

Special weather statement, Oct 29, 9:10 AM CDT, 4 hours 47 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
910 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

OKZ060-064>066-291500-
CREEK OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-TULSA OK-
910 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN OKMULGEE...EASTERN CREEK AND TULSA

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     OKFUSKEE

AT 909 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAPULPA TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST
OF BEARDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...TULSA...LIBERTY...GRAY...OKEMAH...WELEETKA...BEARDEN...
CLEARVIEW... PHAROAH...CASTLE...MASON...OKFUSKEE...WELTY...
PRESTON...BEGGS...JENKS  ...GLENPOOL...SLICK...MOUNDS...
KIEFER...KELLYVILLE AND SAPULPA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3607 9622 3618 9602 3617 9601 3619 9601
      3628 9582 3529 9610 3529 9643 3530 9644
      3545 9644 3545 9647
TIME...MOT...LOC 1409Z 224DEG 15KT 3605 9618 3541 9643

Special weather statement, Oct 29, 9:57 AM CDT, 4 hours before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
957 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

OKZ054-060-061-064-067-291530-
CREEK OK-OSAGE OK-ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
957 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1030 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN WAGONER...SOUTHWESTERN ROGERS...SOUTHEASTERN
     OSAGE...EASTERN CREEK AND TULSA

AT 956 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM TULSA TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF SAPULPA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THE STRONGEST PORTION OF THE LINE IS NEAR
SAPULPA. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...TULSA...GRAY...CATOOSA...VERDIGRIS...SAND
SPRINGS...JENKS...BROKEN ARROW AND SAPULPA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3626 9563 3598 9577 3597 9620 3627 9605
TIME...MOT...LOC 1456Z 214DEG 27KT 3617 9601 3594 9607

Special weather statement, Oct 29, 10:17 AM CDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1017 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

OKZ060-061-064>067-071-291600-
CREEK OK-MCINTOSH OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-ROGERS OK-TULSA
OK-WAGONER OK-
1017 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1100 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OKMULGEE...NORTHWESTERN WAGONER...SOUTHERN ROGERS...SOUTHEASTERN
     CREEK AND TULSA

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN OKFUSKEE

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN MCINTOSH

AT 1016 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNDS TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BEARDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME PRODUCE STRONG SPORADIC WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...TULSA...WILSON...LIBERTY...
CATOOSA...OKEMAH...WELEETKA...BEARDEN...CLEARVIEW...PHAROAH...
CASTLE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...HENRYETTA...BRYANT...DEWAR...
SCHULTER...MORRIS...PRESTON...BEGGS...BALD HILL...HECTORVILLE...
LEONARD...BIXBY...JENKS...GLENPOOL...BROKEN ARROW...STONEBLUFF...
ONETA...MOUNDS...KIEFER AND SAPULPA.

LAT...LON 3617 9606 3623 9560 3586 9574 3586 9576
      3582 9576 3528 9597 3528 9599 3529 9599
      3529 9643 3530 9644 3537 9644
TIME...MOT...LOC 1516Z 207DEG 32KT 3591 9607 3531 9629

Local storm report, Oct 29, 12:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1205 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1114 AM     TSTM WND DMG     S WELEETKA              35.34N 96.14W
10/29/2009                   OKFUSKEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            METAL BARN DAMAGED. SEVERAL POWER POLES SNAPPED.

&&

JDS

Special weather statement, Oct 29, 1:22 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
122 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

OKZ067-068-070-071-291845-
CHEROKEE OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-WAGONER OK-
122 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 145 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN MUSKOGEE AND WESTERN CHEROKEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN WAGONER

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN MCINTOSH

AT 122 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM WAINWRIGHT TO ONAPA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
OKAY...EUFAULA...CHECOTAH...ONAPA...RENTIESVILLE...MUSKOGEE...
OKTAHA...KEEFETON...WAINWRIGHT...SUMMIT AND FORT GIBSON.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3605 9519 3570 9516 3526 9561 3560 9564
TIME...MOT...LOC 1822Z 219DEG 44KT 3559 9555 3543 9554

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 29, 6:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Kay	46 min
Oct 29, 6:20 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	40 min
Oct 29, 6:25 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	50 min
Oct 29, 7:16 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	44 min
Oct 29, 7:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee	44 min
Oct 29, 8:02 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa	58 min
Oct 29, 8:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee	52 min
Oct 29, 8:34 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Washington	41 min
Oct 29, 8:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa, Washington	35 min
Oct 29, 9:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee, Tulsa	50 min
Oct 29, 9:14 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa	61 min
Oct 29, 9:42 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	3 hr
Oct 29, 9:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	33 min
Oct 29, 10:17 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa	43 min
Oct 29, 11:05 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee, Okmulgee	40 min
Oct 29, 11:18 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, McIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	117 min
Oct 29, 11:40 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Pittsburg	50 min
Oct 29, 11:41 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa and 1 more	4 hr
Oct 29, 11:55 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	50 min
Oct 29, 12:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee	47 min
Oct 29, 1:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Wagoner	39 min
Oct 29, 1:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	23 min
Oct 29, 1:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	61 min
Oct 29, 1:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	30 min
Oct 29, 2:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes	44 min
Oct 29, 2:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	23 min
Oct 29, 2:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Latimer	32 min
Oct 29, 2:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer	39 min
Oct 29, 2:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	46 min
Oct 29, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah	46 min
Oct 29, 3:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Ottawa	30 min
Oct 29, 3:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	LeFlore	42 min
Oct 29, 4:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	23 min
Oct 29, 4:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Benton, Washington	43 min
Oct 29, 5:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll, Madison, Washington	48 min
Oct 29, 6:36 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Crawford, Washington	84 min
Oct 29, 6:56 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Franklin	94 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2009 Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.