River Flood Warning 40, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 081906
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
206 PM CDT THU OCT 08 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-090306-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.091009T0514Z-091013T0853Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0514Z.091011T1200Z.091013T0253Z.NO/
206 PM CDT THU OCT 08 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 1200 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS  3.75 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE
  FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY BEFORE DAWN AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.7 
  FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  RIVERVIEW 
  PARK AND THE OTTAWA COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE INUNDATED.  STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 SOUTH OF MIAMI WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 090105
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
805 PM CDT THU OCT 08 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-090905-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.091009T0307Z-091012T2346Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0307Z.091009T1800Z.091012T1746Z.NO/
805 PM CDT THU OCT 08 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
  
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  700 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.12 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE
  FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.7 FEET BY EARLY
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS FORECAST FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  RIVERVIEW 
  PARK AND THE OTTAWA COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE INUNDATED.  STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 SOUTH OF MIAMI WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

OKC115-090905-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.091009T0303Z-091012T1115Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0303Z.091009T1800Z.091012T0515Z.NO/
805 PM CDT THU OCT 08 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
  
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  700 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.35 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY EARLY
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  BEFORE DAWN .
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE AREA AROUND THE QUAPAW GAGE MAY BE CUT 
  OFF FROM EASY ACCESS.  AGRICULTURAL LANDS AND COUNTY ROADS WILL BE 
  FLOODED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 090704
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
204 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-091504-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091012T1731Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091009T1800Z.091012T1131Z.NO/
204 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  100 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.56 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 22.1 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE 
  NEOSHO RIVER.  RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE INUNDATED AND ACCESS ROADS TO
  THE OTTAWA COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

OKC115-091504-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1200Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091010T0000Z.091012T0600Z.NO/
204 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  100 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.68 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 29.6 FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY BEFORE DAWN.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE AREA AROUND THE QUAPAW GAGE MAY BE CUT 
  OFF FROM EASY ACCESS.  AGRICULTURAL LANDS AND COUNTY ROADS WILL BE 
  FLOODED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 091342
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
842 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-092142-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091012T2146Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T0600Z.091012T1546Z.NO/
842 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
  
* AT  800 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.12 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 21.0 FEET SUNDAY BEFORE DAWN. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-092142-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1900Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091010T1800Z.091012T1300Z.NO/
842 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
  
* AT  800 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.58 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 26.5 FEET EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  SITE WILL BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 091858
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
158 PM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-100258-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T0052Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T0600Z.091012T1852Z.NO/
158 PM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  100 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.27 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 21.0 FEET SUNDAY BEFORE DAWN. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-100258-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1528Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091010T1800Z.091012T0928Z.NO/
158 PM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  100 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.00 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 26.5 FEET EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  SITE WILL BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 100142
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
842 PM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-100942-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091012T1652Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T0600Z.091012T1052Z.NO/
842 PM CDT FRI OCT 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  800 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.48 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 21.3 FEET SUNDAY BEFORE DAWN . THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 100726
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
226 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-101526-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091012T1643Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1200Z.091012T1043Z.NO/
226 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  100 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.49 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 21.3 FEET SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-101526-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T0900Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091010T1200Z.091012T0300Z.NO/
226 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  200 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.20 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 25.5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  SITE WILL BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 101254
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
754 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-102054-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091012T1749Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1200Z.091012T1149Z.NO/
754 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  700 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.58 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 21.4 FEET SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-102054-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T0400Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091010T1800Z.091011T2200Z.NO/
754 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  700 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.14 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 26.4 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  SITE WILL BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 101856
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
156 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-110256-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091012T1944Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1200Z.091012T1344Z.NO/
156 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  100 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.74 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 21.3 FEET SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-110256-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1336Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091011T0000Z.091012T0736Z.NO/
156 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  100 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.56 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 27.8 FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE MONDAY BEFORE DAWN .
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  SITE WILL BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 110108
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
808 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-110908-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091012T2256Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1200Z.091012T1656Z.NO/
808 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  700 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.83 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 20.6 FEET SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-110908-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1308Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091011T0000Z.091012T0708Z.NO/
808 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  700 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.95 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY BEFORE DAWN .
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS NEAR THE GAGE SITE WILL 
  BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.  THE GAGE SITE MAY BE CUT 
  OFF FROM EASY ACCESS.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 110656
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
156 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-111456-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091012T2320Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1800Z.091012T1720Z.NO/
156 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  100 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.00 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 20.7 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-111456-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1309Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091011T0000Z.091012T0709Z.NO/
156 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  100 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.77 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY BEFORE DAWN.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS NEAR THE GAGE SITE WILL 
  BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.  THE GAGE SITE MAY BE CUT 
  OFF FROM EASY ACCESS.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 111259
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
759 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-112059-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T0636Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1800Z.091013T0036Z.NO/
759 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  700 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.06 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 20.7 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-112059-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1432Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091011T0000Z.091012T0832Z.NO/
759 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  700 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.20 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS NEAR THE GAGE SITE WILL 
  BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.  THE GAGE SITE MAY BE CUT 
  OFF FROM EASY ACCESS.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 111849
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
149 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-120249-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T0317Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091012T0000Z.091012T2117Z.NO/
149 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  100 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.27 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 20.6 FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE 
  HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.

$$

OKC115-120249-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1453Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091011T0000Z.091012T0853Z.NO/
149 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  100 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.15 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  SITE WILL BE INUNDATED TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL FEET.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 120115
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
815 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-120915-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T0236Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1700Z.091012T2036Z.NO/
815 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  700 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.39 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE IS NEAR CREST AT THIS
  TIME AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING.  STATE HIGHWAY 
  125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

OKC115-120914-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1815Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091011T0000Z.091012T1215Z.NO/
815 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  700 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.55 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...PARK AND RECREATIONAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  THE GAGE SITE WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 121006
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
506 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OKLAHOMA..
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-121806-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T0236Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1700Z.091012T2036Z.NO/
506 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  400 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.23 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING.  STATE HIGHWAY 
  125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

OKC115-121806-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1815Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091011T0000Z.091012T1215Z.NO/
506 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  400 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.29 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...PARK AND RECREATIONAL AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE 
  MINOR FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 121356
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
856 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-122156-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T0626Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1700Z.091013T0026Z.NO/
856 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  800 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.10 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING.  STATE HIGHWAY 
  125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

OKC115-121426-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091012T1815Z/
/QUAO2.2.ER.091009T0235Z.091011T0000Z.091012T1239Z.NO/
856 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  800 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.89 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CONTINUE FALLING AND 
  REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 121907
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
207 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-130307-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T0705Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1700Z.091013T0105Z.NO/
207 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT 100 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.82 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING.  STATE HIGHWAY 
  125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 130103
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
803 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-130903-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T1000Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1700Z.091013T0400Z.NO/
803 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  700 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.03 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS AROUND MIAMI WILL BE CUT OFF
  FROM EASY ACCESS. RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING.
  STATE HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE THREATENED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 130851
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
351 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-131447-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T1447Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1700Z.091013T0847Z.NO/
351 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  300 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.86 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  
  RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 131328
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
828 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-131908-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T1908Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1700Z.091013T1308Z.NO/
828 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT  700 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.45 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 131557
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1057 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-131627-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-091013T1908Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.091009T0247Z.091011T1700Z.091013T1311Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* AT 1000 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.24 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE FALLING AND
  REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2009

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
MUCH OF THE PERIOD IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
FRONTAL PASSAGE AT KTUL/KRVS AROUND 20Z...HOWEVER FRONT SLOWS
AND PASSES KMLC/KFYV/KXNA AROUND 06 OR 07Z.  LATER AT KFSM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2009/

DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON HEAVY RAIN EVENT EVEN THOUGH THERE
STILL REMAINS CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES ON EXACT TIMING AND AMOUNTS.
LIKELY WILL SEE SEVERAL BANDS OF TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
COURSE OF THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MOVES EASTWARD WITH VERY MOIST TROPICAL-LIKE AIR MASS MOVING
NORTHWARD IN FRONT OF IT AND SHALLOW COLD AIR WAITING IN THE WINGS
TO SLIDE IN FROM THE NORTH AS THE SYSTEM DEPARTS.

WILL LEAVE FLOOD WATCH AS IT IS CURRENTLY EVEN THOUGH IT IS
LIKELY TO BE MID TO LATE MORNING BEFORE WE START SEEING
A SURGE IN BOTH INTENSITY  AND COVERAGE OF THE RAIN IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. MOST MODELS POINT TO LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS
THE PERIOD WHEN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE REACHES A MAXIMUM
AS THE SYSTEM SWEEPS EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ALTHOUGH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE SLIGHTLY LESS IN SOME MODELS...STILL
BELIEVE WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH NEARLY DOUBLE THAT
AMOUNT IN MULTIPLE NARROW BANDS ACROSS THE REGION. EVEN THOUGH
THIS SYSTEM POINTS TO HEAVY RAIN AS THE WORSE PROBLEM...DO
NOT WANT TO DISMISS THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH HAIL
FROM ELEVATED SUPPERCELL STORMS BEING THE MOST OBVIOUS THREAT.

TEMPERATURES ARE PROBLEMATIC AND VERY DEPENDENT ON HOW QUICKLY
THE WIDESPREAD RAIN DEVELOPS DURING THE MORNING. HAVE UNDERCUT
FORECAST HIGHS SOME DUE TO CLOUDS AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION
FORMING BY LATE MORNING AND HOLDING TEMPERATURES BELOW GUIDANCE.
HIGH TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO BE REACHED AROUND MIDDAY AS CLOUDS
THICKEN AND RAIN BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD.

HAVE ADJUSTED POPS TO A SLIGHTLY SLOWER BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND NAM
AND ALSO HAVE USED THE COOLER MET/ECMWF TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

WIDE VARIOUS IN LATEST RUNS OF THE MID RANGE MODELS AND HAVE
PLAYED THE MIDDLE OF THE ROAD BUT SHADED TOWARDS THE COOLER
SIDE DUE TO THE MORE LIKELY PATTERN SHIFT TOWARD AN AMPLIFIED
PATTERN LATE NEXT WEEK OVER WESTERN CANADA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  48  55  43 / 100 100  40  10
FSM   77  59  59  45 /  80 100  80  10
MLC   76  53  58  44 /  90 100  70  10
BVO   70  46  54  38 / 100 100  20  10
FYV   73  52  57  41 /  80 100  80  10
BYV   72  55  55  41 /  80 100  80  10
MKO   75  52  57  43 / 100 100  60  10
MIO   70  47  54  41 / 100 100  40  10
F10   75  48  56  43 / 100 100  50  10
HHW   81  59  61  47 /  70 100  80  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM FRIDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-OKZ055-
     OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-
     OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-
     OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM FRIDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-
     ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....15
AVIATION...21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
530 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
530 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2009

...HEAVY RAIN A SURE BET...EXACTLY WHERE..LESS SURE...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...LATE MORNING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...LATE MORNING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
NEAR TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A SCREAMING LOW LEVEL JET AT TIMES BETTER THAN 50 KNOTS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXCESSIVE PRECIPITATION...AND A LIMITED THREAT
OF EMBEDDED HP SUPERCELLS.

A LIKELY SCENARIO WOULD BE FOR EXISTING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO BECOME NUMEROUS AND WIDESPREAD AS THE DAY WEARS ON AND THE COLD
FRONT IN KANSAS APPROACHES. THIS WILL TURN INTO A HEAVY RAIN EVENT
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS AND AN
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COLD FRONT GUARANTEES
REPEAT OR TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREA.

THE SEVERE THREAT...MAY...BE MITIGATED BY A RAIN COOLED LAYER
NEAR THE SURFACE..PREVENTING DAMAGING WINDS. SHOULD THERE BE
ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND SURFACE HEATING...THE SEVERE THREAT
WOULD BECOME GREATLY ENHANCED AND COULD INCLUDE A TORNADO THREAT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH ABOUT TO THE INTERSTATE 44 AREA BY DARK
TONIGHT AND TO MIDDLE ARKANSAS BY DAYLIGHT FRIDAY. THIS PUTS
THE HEAVIEST 12 HOUR RAINFALL PRIMARILY FROM ABOUT THE INTERSTATE 44
AXIS AND NORTH TODAY AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL
RATES COULD REACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. WIDESPREAD TWO TO FOUR
INCH AMOUNTS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...WITH DOUBLE THAT
POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED BANDS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
CONTINGENCY PLANS FOR A HEAVY RAIN EVENT SHOULD BE FOLLOWED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THERE COULD BE A SMALL THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
NEAR THE RED RIVER IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
MAIN STREAM RIVER FLOODING WILL BE A POSSIBILITY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN.

COOL WEATHER AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH
THE NEXT THREAT IN STORMS ABOUT MID-WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
SHOULD THE FORECAST RAINFALL BE REALIZED...RIVER FLOODING
MAY BECOME AN ISSUE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.