Alert archive / Arkansas / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 27, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 13, 2009Crawford County, Sebastian County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at May 13, 2009, 9:02 PM CDT for Crawford County, Sebastian County, Arkansas. It took effect at May 14, 2009, 8:31 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2009, 9:02 PM CDT (02:02 UTC)
In effect from
May 14, 2009, 8:31 AM CDT
Expired
May 17, 2009, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Crawford County, AR, Sebastian County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Arkansas River at Van Buren (VBUA4).

Action stage
22 ft
Minor stage
22 ft
Moderate stage
26 ft
Major stage
31 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07250500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 13, 8:46 PM CDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 8:46 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, May 13, 5:11 PM CDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
511 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
511 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.
TORNADO RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY EVENING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY EVENING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA....
ONSET...EARLY EVENING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY EVENING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT EARLY
THIS EVENING. A CAPPING INVERSION HAS ALLOWED STRONG INSTABILITY
TO BUILD SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. HOWEVER... THE CAP HAS
SUFFICIENTLY WEAKENED AS EXPECTED... ALLOWING STORMS TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT.

THE INITIAL STAGES OF CONVECTION WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS WITH
TORNADIC POTENTIAL AND VERY LARGE HAIL. THE STRONGEST WIND FIELDS
WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE REGION WHICH IS LIKELY TO LEAD TO
STORMS ORGANIZING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND PUSHING SOUTHWARD
AS THEIR COMBINED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STRENGTHENS. THIS SCENARIO WILL
LIMIT THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL WITH TIME. ALTHOUGH THE STRONG
INSTABILITY WILL MAINTAIN THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT HAIL AND
OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STORM INITIATION WILL BE
SLOW MOVING AND EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL PROVIDE A ZONE FOR REPEATED
STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGION... WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... WITH A FLOOD WATCH FOR SEVERAL RIVERS
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND... WITH
YET ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.  SHOULD THIS HEAVY RAIN DEVELOP... THEN BOTH
FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN OVER
THE WEEKEND.  THE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS TO CHANGE BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH POTENTIAL FOR A DRY PERIOD ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 13, 8:16 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
816 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

OKZ056-057-140200-
CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-
816 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN CRAIG AND NOWATA

AT 816 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES
EAST OF LENAPAH...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...NOWATA...DELAWARE...LENAPAH...
CENTRALIA...HOLLOW...PYRAMID CORNERS AND CENTRAILIA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3699 9508 3669 9515 3668 9579 3700 9558
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 268DEG 29KT 3686 9552

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 7:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Washington53 min
May 13, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee57 min
May 13, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Washington64 min
May 13, 8:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACraig, Nowata44 min
May 13, 8:34 PM CDTTornado WarningTSANowata, Osage, Washington41 min
May 13, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Mayes, Nowata, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa and 1 more66 min
May 13, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Ottawa81 min
May 13, 9:10 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchTSAMuskogee3 hr
May 13, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner52 min
May 13, 9:45 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Ottawa45 min
May 13, 9:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee44 min
May 13, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Osage, Tulsa, Wagoner55 min
May 13, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Rogers, Tulsa30 min
May 13, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee24 min
May 13, 10:21 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAMayes, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner54 min
May 13, 10:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa53 min
May 13, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee, Rogers and 1 more61 min
May 13, 10:38 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAOsage, Tulsa112 min
May 13, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Mayes, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner49 min
May 13, 10:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAOsage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner2 hr
May 13, 10:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee58 min
May 13, 11:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah67 min
May 13, 11:13 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACherokee, Creek, Tulsa, Wagoner2 hr
May 13, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Haskell, LeFlore, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee and 2 more59 min
May 14, 12:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore, Sequoyah56 min
May 14, 12:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more81 min
May 14, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha62 min
May 14, 1:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha71 min
May 14, 1:28 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSALeFlore, Sequoyah92 min
May 14, 1:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha75 min
May 14, 8:01 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMcIntosh29 min
May 13, 10:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSABenton35 min
May 13, 10:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMadison23 min
May 13, 11:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll, Madison, Washington55 min
May 13, 11:52 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSABenton, Carroll113 min
May 13, 11:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Madison, Washington63 min
May 14, 1:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian30 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.