River Flood Warning 14, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
737 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
THE MADISON COUNTY SUPERCELL IS LOSING SOME ORGANIZATION
AS IT NEARS OUR CWA BORDER.  MESOSCALE ANALYSIS GRIDS AT
7PM INDICATED A MARKED REDUCTION IN CAPE TO 700 MB DURING
THE PAST HOUR THAT COINCIDED WITH THE LOSS OF CELL
ORGANIZATION.

THE STORM-RELATIVE WINDS REMAIN VERY SUPPORTIVE OF
DEEP STORM-SCALE ROTATION SO SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL
REMAIN WITH THE CELL AT LEAST UNTIL IT LEAVES OUR FORECAST AREA.

WE HAVE RECEIVED NO TORNADO REPORTS...BUT SPOTTERS DID FIND
MELTING HAIL IN THE AURORA AREA THAT WAS STILL 2.5 INCHES IN
DIAMETER.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
514 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
515 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING...INCREASING AGAIN LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SLIDES SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO THE FORECAST
AREA.  THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT HAS BEEN FROM LARGE
HAIL.  EARLIER TODAY...WIDESPREAD EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IMPACTED
MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WITH LOCALIZED AREAS RECEIVING IN
EXCESS OF 7 INCHES OF RAIN.  WITH ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY
RAINS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE RISK OF
WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING EXISTS ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.  ALL INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR ANY FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS AS VERY LITTLE RAINFALL WILL BE REQUIRED FOR
DANGEROUS FLOODING TO DEVELOP.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA.  THE MOST
LIKELY IMPACTS WILL BE FROM CONTINUED EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WITH
DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE.  IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH
FLOODING...SEVERAL AREA MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN
IN FLOOD WITH ASSOCIATED ROAD CLOSURES POSSIBLE.  SCATTERED
SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  A BRIEF DRY PERIOD FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK
BEFORE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
WORK WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
RAPID ONSET OF FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY GIVEN THE RECENT
HEAVY RAINS.  RESPONSES FOR BOTH FLOODING AND SEVERE
WEATHER MAY BE REQUIRED OVER THE NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
655 PM CDT FRI MAY 01 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             HINDSVILLE              36.14N 93.86W
05/01/2009  E1.75 INCH       MADISON            AR   PUBLIC

&&

JBM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
718 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

ARZ001-010-020100-
BENTON AR-WASHINGTON AR-
718 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     NORTHERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHERN BENTON

AT 718 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
SAVOY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ROCKY COMFORT...SHADY GROVE...HARMON...
ROGERS...LOWELL...HEALING SPRINGS...CAVE SPRINGS...MONTE NE...
FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...FARMINGTON...RHEA...VINEY GROVE...
WEDINGTON...SAVOY...GOSHEN...WHEELER...JOHNSON...SONORA...
TONTITOWN...ELM SPRINGS AND OAK GROVE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3635 9407 3607 9394 3599 9440 3616 9448
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 249DEG 21KT 3611 9433

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
720 PM CDT FRI MAY 01 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     HAIL             AURORA                  36.00N 93.70W
05/01/2009  E1.75 INCH       MADISON            AR   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

GEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 01 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     HAIL             2 N AURORA              36.03N 93.70W
05/01/2009  E2.50 INCH       MADISON            AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL FOUND 10 TO 15 MINUTES AFTER STORM PASSED. RELAYED
            VIA AMATUER RADIO.

&&

JBM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
726 PM CDT FRI MAY 01 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE AURORA             36.02N 93.68W
05/01/2009                   MADISON            AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWNED. RELAYED VIA AMATEUR
            RADIO.

&&

JBM

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>