Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WGUS64 KTSA 030602
FFATSA

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
102 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2009


ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>070-030715-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-090603T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...
TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE
102 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
OKLAHOMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WHILE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT AND
INTO THE MORNING...FLOODING RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
654 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...AVIATION...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ALONG/NORTH OF COLD
FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS.  AS THIS BOUNDARY
PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY LATE EVENING.  ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH AHEAD OF BOUNDARY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
IFR CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN THE STRONGER STORMS...PRIMARILY
DUE TO LOWERED VISIBILITIES. SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD
BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH SLOWLY RISING
CEILINGS IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
509 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
509 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY ...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL
LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT DROPS
SOUTH INTO FAR NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA BY MIDNIGHT. WHILE THE THREAT
OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN LIMITED...THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL EXIST NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTHEAST AND MAY REACH PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TOWARD MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND
WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH WEDNESDAY KEEPING A HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT ACROSS MAINLY NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS ONE OR MORE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING EARLY IN THE DAY. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK...
HOWEVER THE PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW BY THE
WEEKEND AND PROVIDE LIMITED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
844 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

OKZ054>057-030245-
CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-OSAGE OK-WASHINGTON OK-
844 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN CRAIG...NOWATA...WASHINGTON AND EASTERN OSAGE

AT 844 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF LENAPAH TO TALLANT...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
STORMS INCLUDE...NOWATA...DELAWARE...LENAPAH...AVANT...WOLCO...
BARNSDALL...PERSHING...TALLANT...NELAGONEY...OKESA...BARTLESVILLE...
OCHELATA...DEWEY AND HOLLOW.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3693 9517 3645 9608 3658 9640 3700 9561
      3700 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 297DEG 10KT 3698 9549 3659 9620