Flash Flood Watch 10, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
101 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1243 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A STRONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS CAUSE WINDS TO GUST BRIEFLY
TO AROUND 40 MPH AND TRIGGERED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY
DIMINISHING WITH THIS BOUNDARY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
MARGINALLY SEVERE WITH HIGH WINDS BEING THE STRONGEST THREAT.

SOME AREAS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA RECEIVED AROUND 3 INCHES OF RAIN
LAST NIGHT AND TODAY AND AN ADDITIONAL ONE OR 2 INCHES COULD CAUSE
FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT.

HEAT INDEX VALUES AHEAD OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL PEAK AT 100
TO 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS
KANSAS WILL DRIFT SOUTH THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THURSDAY THAT
BOUNDARY WILL ACCELERATE SOUTH IN RESPONSE TO A SIGNIFICANT
UPPER TROUGH DROPPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PLAINS. THUNDER
CHANCES IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA... WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...WILL PEAK THURSDAY IN RESPONSE TO THE TROUGH AND
FRONT.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1107 AM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

OKZ054>064-067-171700-
CRAIG OK-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-NOWATA OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA
OK-PAWNEE OK-ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-WASHINGTON OK-
1107 AM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL NOON CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN WAGONER...ROGERS...NORTHERN DELAWARE...CRAIG...
     OTTAWA...SOUTHERN NOWATA...WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...
     NORTHERN CREEK...TULSA...MAYES AND PAWNEE

AT 1104 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM PYRAMID CORNERS TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MARAMEC...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. COUNTIES THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE NORTHWESTERN WAGONER...ROGERS...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...CRAIG...OTTAWA...SOUTHERN
NOWATA...WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...NORTHERN
CREEK...TULSA...MAYES AND PAWNEE COUNTIES THROUGH NOON CDT.

THESE STORMS ARE ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT IS RAPIDLY MOVING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WHILE THE STORMS ARE SHOWING
A SLOW WEAKENING TREND THEY STILL WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AS THEY PASS THROUGH THESE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3697 9461 3649 9463 3587 9608 3586 9620
      3598 9663 3616 9663 3617 9682 3697 9498
TIME...MOT...LOC 1604Z 270DEG 14KT 3682 9512 3613 9681

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1153 AM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

OKZ054-057-060>068-070-171745-
CHEROKEE OK-CRAIG OK-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-MUSKOGEE
OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
1153 AM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1245 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN OKMULGEE...NORTHWESTERN WAGONER...SOUTHERN ROGERS...
     DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...CREEK...
     TULSA AND MAYES

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE...NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE AND NORTHWESTERN
     OKFUSKEE

AT 1152 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLEORA TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF SHAMROCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 50
MPH.

LAT...LON 3666 9462 3631 9458 3544 9660 3596 9663
      3668 9500
TIME...MOT...LOC 1652Z 330DEG 18KT 3660 9499 3586 9661

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1220 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 PM     HAIL             2 E PEORIA              36.92N 94.63W
08/17/2009  E0.75 INCH       OTTAWA             OK   PUBLIC

&&

JDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1228 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

ARZ001-010-OKZ060-062>071-171815-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CHEROKEE OK-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH
OK-MUSKOGEE OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-WASHINGTON
AR-
1228 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 115 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHWESTERN BENTON

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OKMULGEE...WAGONER...DELAWARE...NORTHERN ADAIR...SOUTHERN
     CREEK...SOUTHERN TULSA AND SOUTHERN MAYES

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     MUSKOGEE...CHEROKEE AND OKFUSKEE

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN MCINTOSH

AT 1228 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF MAYSVILLE TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WAGONER TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SLICK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

THE WIND GUSTS BEHIND THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAVE BEEN DECREASING OVER
TIME...BUT THESE STORMS REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH.

LAT...LON 3661 9461 3650 9461 3650 9443 3625 9404
      3566 9491 3565 9512 3561 9513 3530 9642
      3574 9655 3608 9544 3664 9465
TIME...MOT...LOC 1728Z 298DEG 24KT 3653 9463 3601 9540
          3573 9634

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
125 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-OKZ063-068>070-171930-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CRAWFORD AR-DELAWARE
OK-MADISON AR-MUSKOGEE OK-WASHINGTON AR-
125 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     WASHINGTON...WESTERN CARROLL...NORTHERN CRAWFORD...BENTON AND
     NORTHWESTERN MADISON

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE AND SOUTHERN CHEROKEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE AND ADAIR

AT 125 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF BELLA VISTA TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WATTS TO 6 MILES EAST OF FORT GIBSON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3603 9376 3558 9419 3562 9447 3565 9448
      3565 9465 3574 9534 3614 9472 3650 9440
      3650 9340
TIME...MOT...LOC 1825Z 273DEG 19KT 3653 9427 3613 9461
          3580 9514