Tornado Warning 14, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

000 
WWUS52 KTBW 162101
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
501 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

FLC015-071-162115-
/O.CON.KTBW.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090816T2115Z/
CHARLOTTE FL-LEE FL-
501 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN LEE AND SOUTHWESTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTIES...

AT 500 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM 
PRODUCING A TORNADO LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF PINE ISLAND...OR 13 
MILES NORTHWEST OF CAPE CORAL...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  PINE ISLAND.
  BOCA GRANDE.

THE PUBLIC AND LAW ENFORCEMENT HAS REPORTED A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN IN 
THE CAPE CORAL AREA AT 442 PM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE TORNADO GO TO A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IN
A STRONG AND WELL CONSTRUCTED BUILDING. CARS AND MOBILE HOMES ARE NOT
SAFE IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN A DITCH OR CULVERT AND
COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 2662 8217 2665 8216 2664 8219 2672 8229
      2680 8229 2693 8217 2680 8214 2678 8217
      2680 8221 2677 8220 2677 8224 2674 8225
      2670 8224 2669 8219 2672 8216 2664 8208
      2671 8210 2683 8206 2670 8191 2655 8206
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 131DEG 17KT 2673 8210

$$

JOHNSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
207 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - TUESDAY)...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS
UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE AND WILL KEEP A LARGE AREA OF
SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE OFFSHORE
WATERS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. A LARGE CANOPY OF MID/UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS IS EXTENDING INTO THE COASTLINE FROM PINELLAS NORTHWARD
THROUGH LEVY COUNTY. SUBSIDENCE WILL CONTINUE TO ESTABLISH OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA WHILE CLAUDETTE DEPARTS TO OUR NW
TONIGHT. POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE CWA
THROUGH THE EVENING.

MEANWHILE...A TUTT LOW MOVES TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE WITH
ADDITIONAL DRY AIR ALOFT BEHIND IT. CHANCES FOR RAIN DECREASE ON
MONDAY TO LOW END SCATTERED 30 PERCENT. L/L MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE AS THE SUBSIDENT AIRMASS ABOVE WILL CAP VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THEREFORE...EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID DAY
TOMORROW WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S.

ON TUESDAY...WEAK LOW PRESSURE ALOFT DEVELOPS BEHIND THE TUTT
PASSAGE WITH MOST MODELS BRINGING BACK INCREASING POPS AS DL
MOISTURE COMBINES WITH SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES FOR AFTERNOON SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. WITH PREVAILING EASTERLIES...HIGHER CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS WILL BE TOWARDS THE COAST OVER THE TAMPA BAY AREA AND
SOUTHWARD. 40/50 PERCENT POPS EAST TO WEST REMAIN IN THE FORECAST
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT - SUNDAY)...EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES WITH
THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF FLORIDA. THIS WILL LEAD TO LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING COASTAL SEA BREEZES WITH THUNDERSTORMS MORE
VIGOROUS NEAR THE COAST. THIS PATTERN CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY. BY
SATURDAY THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH SURFACE AND ALOFT WEAKENS
AND FLOW BECOMES WEAKER ALSO. FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON EAST
AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES WILL CONVERGE IN THE CENTRAL PENINSULA
WHERE THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE.

&&

.AVIATION... RAIN OFFSHORE ASSOCIATED WITH CLAUDETTE IS PRODUCING
SUBSIDENCE OVER THE PENINSULA AND LIMITING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT SOME LATE AFTERNOON DEVELOPMENT WITH SOME
MVFR CONDITIONS AT AIRPORTS...OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...RECENTLY NAMED TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE...LOCATED SOME 40
MILES WEST OF THE OFFSHORE NORTHERN WATERS...WILL KEEP SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD
TROUGH THE EVENING WITH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND SEAS 5 TO 7
FEET. SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED WITH STRONGER STORMS
THAT COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 40 KNOTS. CLAUDETTE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH WINDS AND SEAS
SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT. STAY TUNED TO YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE
LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN FLORIDA
AND THE LATEST BULLETINS ABOUT TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE FROM THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  77  91  77  91 /  20  30  20  50
FMY  75  93  76  92 /  20  30  20  50
GIF  75  94  74  93 /  20  30  20  40
SRQ  76  91  76  91 /  20  30  20  50
BKV  73  93  73  91 /  20  30  20  40
SPG  79  90  79  90 /  20  30  20  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON
     SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20
     NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...22/AR
LONG TERM/AVIATION...CP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
327 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-170730-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
327 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. GUSTY WINDS...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS OVER COASTAL WATERS WILL CREATE A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY AT BEACHES ALONG WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CREATE WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WATERS
WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. SEAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 5 TO 7 FOOT
RANGE IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO
SUWANNEE RIVER. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
DAILY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THIS COMING WEEK
ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES. DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN ALL THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

JOHNSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
347 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

FLZ051-055-162030-
MANATEE-HILLSBOROUGH-
347 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HILLSBOROUGH AND
NORTHERN MANATEE COUNTIES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH...WILL AFFECT FORT
LONESOME...WIMAUMA...SUN CITY CENTER AND RUSKIN

...UNTIL 430 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME
DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2773 8248 2776 8247 2776 8244 2780 8241
      2784 8239 2788 8241 2798 8232 2770 8208
      2752 8231 2773 8250
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 135DEG 18KT 2771 8223

JOHNSON