Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

000 
WWUS82 KTBW 141840 CCA
RFWTBW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
140 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT
FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR DESCENDING UPON THE REGION IN THE 
WAKE OF A COLD FONT PASSAGE. 

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-150645-
/O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0004.090115T1700Z-090115T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0004.090115T1700Z-090115T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0005.090116T1700Z-090116T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090114T2300Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
140 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT
FOUR TO FIVE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AROUND 30 PERCENT.

THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE
HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

FLZ050-150645-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0004.090115T1700Z-090115T2300Z/
PINELLAS-
140 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY. 

A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT
FOUR TO FIVE HOURS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KTBW 142258
RFWTBW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
558 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL
OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL
BUT THE IMMEDIATE COAST FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITIES...

.COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR DESCENDING UPON THE REGION IN THE WAKE
OF A COLD FONT PASSAGE. THIS AIRMASS WILL GET REINFORCED BY A 
SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR FRIDAY...KEEPING DANGEROUS FOR THE NEXT 
SEVERAL DAYS.

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-151230-
/O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090114T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0004.090115T1700Z-090115T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0005.090116T1700Z-090116T2300Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
558 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. 

A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35
PERCENT FOUR TO FIVE HOURS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

FLZ050-151230-
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0004.090115T1700Z-090115T2300Z/
PINELLAS-
558 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35
PERCENT FOUR TO FIVE HOURS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES RIGHT
ALONG THE COAST IN PINELLAS COUNTY ARE EXPECTED TO STAY LOW ENOUGH
TO PREVENT ANY RED FLAG CONDITIONS. HOWEVER EVEN A SUBTLE DECREASE
IN EITHER THE TEMPERATURE OR DEWPOINT FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT DAY
MAY FORCE A WATCH TO BE EXPANDED INTO THIS REGION. STAY TUNED FOR
UPDATES. 

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

$$

RJS

000 
WWUS82 KTBW 150935
RFWTBW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
435 AM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 
ALL COUNTIES...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR LONG DURATIONS 
OF LOW HUMIDITIES FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS...

.COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE INTO THE AREA
TODAY. THIS AIRMASS WILL GET REINFORCED BY A SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR
FRIDAY...KEEPING DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-152300-
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0004.090115T1700Z-090115T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0005.090116T1700Z-090116T2300Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
435 AM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. 

A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35
PERCENT FOUR TO FIVE HOURS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

FLZ050-152300-
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0004.090115T1700Z-090115T2300Z/
PINELLAS-
435 AM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 
PERCENT FOUR TO FIVE HOURS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO STAY COOL ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY RED FLAG CONDITIONS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT 1 TO 3 HOURS OF HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KTBW 151907
RFWTBW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
207 PM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR
ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT CHARLOTTE AND LEE... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITIES FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS...

.COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR IS SETTLING INTO THE AREA. THIS
AIRMASS WILL GET REINFORCED BY A SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR
FRIDAY...KEEPING DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

FLZ062-065-160930-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090115T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0005.090116T1700Z-090116T2300Z/
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
207 PM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
CANCELED THE RED FLAG WARNING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA WILL KEEP AFTERNOON 
TEMPERATURES COOL ENOUGH TO PREVENT LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELED. 

CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT AGAIN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES NEARING CRITICAL LEVELS. 

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060-061-160930-
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090115T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0005.090116T1700Z-090116T2300Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-
207 PM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35
PERCENT FOUR TO FIVE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND SIMILAR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

FLZ050-152300-
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090115T2300Z/
PINELLAS-
207 PM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35
PERCENT FOUR TO FIVE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO STAY COOL ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY RED FLAG CONDITIONS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT 1 TO 3 HOURS OF HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KTBW 152255
RFWTBW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
555 PM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITIES FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS...

.COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR IS SETTLING INTO THE AREA. THIS
AIRMASS WILL GET REINFORCED BY A SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR FRIDAY...
KEEPING DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060-061-161230-
/O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090115T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0005.090116T1700Z-090116T2300Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-
555 PM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES NEARING CRITICAL LEVELS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

FLZ050-160000-
/O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090115T2300Z/
PINELLAS-
555 PM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

$$

FLZ062-065-161230-
/O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0005.090116T1700Z-090116T2300Z/
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
555 PM EST THU JAN 15 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
NEARING CRITICAL LEVELS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
106 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED NEXT FEW NIGHTS...

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - FRIDAY)...WATER VAPOR SHOWS HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
PATTERN WITH A HUGE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST UP INTO ALASKA...WITH
A SIMILAR AMPLITUDE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH AMERICA.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON
SOUTHWARD OUT OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CANADA INTO THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE US...THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. FOR OUR CWA...THIS
WILL BE THE COLDEST AIRMASS TO AFFECT US SINCE JAN 3 2008.

TONIGHT...HIGH PRES WILL SETTLE OVER FL WITH LIGHT WINDS. THIS
TYPICALLY SETS US UP FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...EXCEPT FOR HIGH
CLOUDS ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES WHICH SHOULD HELP SLOW THE TEMP
FALL THERE. WITH THE FIRST BATCH OF COLD AIR ALREADY OVER OUR
CWA...TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE NATURE COAST
COUNTIES...WITH A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER SPOTS DIPPING DOWN TO
AROUND 27. THUS...FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT FOR LEVY...CITRUS...
SUMTER...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES IN EFFECT...WHICH IS A DOWNGRADE FROM
THE HARD FREEZE WARNING WHICH WAS EARLIER IN EFFECT. RIGHT NOW
NUMBERS APPEAR TO STAY JUST ABOVE HARD FREEZE NUMBERS. SOUTH OF THIS
WARNED AREA...CIRRUS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT TEMP TRENDS...THUS RIGHT
NOW WERE NOT EXPECTING A SIGNIFICANT COVERAGE OF FREEZING
TEMPS...BUT THE NORMALLY COLDER SPOTS IN PASCO...INTERIOR
HILLSBOROUGH...AND WESTERN POLK COUNTIES WILL SEE AN HOUR OR TWO OF
TEMPS RIGHT AROUND FREEZING...OTHERWISE LOWS FROM 33-37 CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF OUR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES EAST OF I-75.
THUS A FROST ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE COUNTIES FROM PASCO
SOUTH TO SARASOTA...AND EAST TO HIGHLANDS COUNTY. WITH WINDS
DROPPING TO AOB 5 MPH TONIGHT...WIND CHILL ADVY NOT NEEDED ATTM.

THURSDAY...LITTLE CHANGE WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH HIGH
CLOUDS...AND QUITE CHILLY WITH HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 50S NORTH TO
LOWER 60S SOUTH.

THURSDAY NIGHT...A SECOND BLAST OF COLD AIR WILL COME DOWN FROM THE
NORTH. IT WILL TURN BREEZY WITH CAA STRENGTHEN...SETTING US UP FOR
AN ADVECTIVE FREEZE EVENT. WE CURRENTLY HAVE A FREEZE WATCH FROM
HILLSBOROUGH AND POLK COUNTIES NORTHWARD TO LEVY (EXCLUDING
PINELLAS). THIS WILL NEED UPGRADED TO A WARNING (HARD FREEZE NORTH
OF HERNANDO) WITH THE OVERNIGHT PACKAGE. IN ADDITION...CAA WILL
RESULT IN BREEZY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT...THUS A WIND CHILL ADVY WILL
BE NEEDED FOR MOST OF OUR CWA...WITH WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO
THE MID 20S ACROSS OUR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES...AND WIND CHILL
VALUES IN THE TEENS NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. WORTH NOTING THAT CIRRUS MAY
GET RATHER THICK OVER US THURSDAY NIGHT...THUS HELPING THE TEMPS
FROM FALLING EVEN LOWER THAN CURRENT FORECAST. HOWEVER SINCE THIS
WILL BE AN ADVECTIVE FREEZE...THE CIRRUS IMPACT SHOULD BE LESSENED.

FRIDAY...A REPEAT OF THURSDAY BUT EVEN COLDER - SUNNY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE LOW 50S ACROSS LEVY COUNTY...MID-UPR 50S CENTRAL
ZONES...AND AROUND 60 SOUTH NEAR FORT MYERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL CLIMATE AND RECORD INFORMATION...FREEZING TEMP
IMPACTS AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE OUR LATEST PUBLIC
INFORMATION STATEMENT WHICH IS ALSO AVAILABLE ONLINE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT - WEDNESDAY)...LITTLE CHANGES FOR THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. A TROUGH PARKED OVER THE EASTERN STATES WILL PUSH A
COUPLE OF WEAK AND DRY COLD FRONT BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE STATE
THROUGH MONDAY. FOR THE MOST PART...STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SHOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY WITH ONLY ISOLATED/20 POPS SUNDAY EVENING
WITH THE SECOND FROPA. YET ANOTHER FRONT SEEMS TO REACH THE AREA ON
TUESDAY...BUT MODELS REMAIN VERY CONSERVATIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH IT.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN COLDER THAN NORMAL THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. PERIODS OF EARLY MORNING FREEZING TEMPS ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES...DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS
EXCEPT FOR SOME BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR VISB AROUND 5SM IN BR AT
TPA...SRQ AND PIE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...FAIR MARINE CONDITIONS ATTM WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE
NEXT BLAST OF COLD AIR...AND SUBSEQUENT STRONG HIGH PRESSURE...MOVES
SOUTH TOWARD THE GULF THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20
KTS FROM THE NORTH BY LATE THURSDAY...AND INCREASE TO 20-25 KNOTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. SCA WILL BE
NEEDED WITH THE 4 AM CWF TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SETTLE DOWN
OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE HIGH BUILDS OVER THE WATERS. THE NEXT WIND
EVENT AND POSSIBLE SCA CONDITIONS WILL COME WITH THE NEXT FRONT
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...COOL BUT VERY DRY. RFW WILL BE NEEDED NEXT FEW DAYS.
THE WARNING CONTINUES TODAY. WILL UPGRADE THE WATCH TO A WARNING FOR
THURSDAY...AND ISSUE ANOTHER FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  39  63  37  56 /   0   0   0   5
FMY  43  67  42  63 /   0   0   0   5
GIF  37  62  36  58 /   0   0   0   5
SRQ  40  64  35  60 /   0   0   0   5
BKV  26  62  28  56 /   0   0   0   5
SPG  45  62  42  56 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR CHARLOTTE-
     CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
     LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR CHARLOTTE-
     CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
     LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-
     HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-
     PASCO-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.

     FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY FOR DE SOTO-HARDEE-
     HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-PASCO-POLK.

     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     CITRUS-HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-LEVY-PASCO-POLK-SUMTER.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY FOR CITRUS-
     HERNANDO-LEVY-SUMTER.

GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...17/PETRO
LONG TERM/AVIATION...22/REYNES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
520 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-141530-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
520 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND
SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY AND TONIGHT. LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL RAPIDLY AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT.
A HARD FREEZE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT AND TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NATURE COAST WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH
TEMPERATURES LIKELY BOTTOMING OUT IN THE MID AND UPPER 20S BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...SOME NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER PASCO...HILLSBOROUGH AND POLK COUNTIES MAINLY
EAST OF THE I 75 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION TO THE COLD TEMPERATURES
AREAS OF FROST WILL FORM OVER THE NATURE COAST...WITH PATCHY
FROST OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.

SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS.  PLAN TO
COVER OR BRING INDOORS THIS EVENING. PETS SHOULD ALSO BE BROUGHT
INDOORS. ALSO...THIS IS A GOOD TIME TO ENSURE THAT YOUR HOME HEATING
SYSTEM IS IN GOOD WORKING ORDER. WRAP OR COVER EXPOSED OUTDOOR
PIPES TO PREVENT THEM FROM BURSTING.

RESIDENTS PLANNING TO BE OUTDOOR TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
SHOULD PREPARE ACCORDINGLY. WEAR SEVERAL LAYERS OF CLOTHING...AS
THEY WILL INSULATE YOU BETTER THAN A SINGLE COAT OR JACKET.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR IS OVERSPREADING WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS DRIER AIR WILL LEAD TO LONG DURATIONS
OF HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED. THESE LOW HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA...SO ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD USE CARE WITH ANY OUTDOOR
OPEN FLAME TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH TH REGION ON THURSDAY. THIS
FRONT WILL USHER IN EVEN COLDER AIR AS A LARGE ARCTIC SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH...WITH ADDITIONAL SUB-FREEZING
TEMPERATURE LIKELY ACROSS THE NATURE COAST...WITH SOME ADDITIONAL
FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE INTO CENTRAL INTERIOR LOCATIONS
MAINLY EAST OF THE I 75 CORRIDOR LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. IN ADDITION TO THE COLD TEMPERATURES WINDS IN THE 10 TO
15 MPH RANGE THURSDAY NIGHT WILL SUPPORT VERY LOW WIND CHILLS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.

PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN NOW TO PROTECT COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS
AND VEGETATION. PETS SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.
ALSO...THIS IS A GOOD TIME TO ENSURE THAT YOUR HOMES HEATING SYSTEM
IS IN GOOD WORKING ORDER.

RESIDENTS PLANNING TO BE OUTDOOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING SHOULD PREPARE ACCORDINGLY. WEAR SEVERAL LAYERS OF
CLOTHING...AS THEY WILL INSULATE YOU BETTER THAN A SINGLE COAT OR
JACKET.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA ON THURSDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF
WATERS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH SEAS BUILDING INTO THE 5 TO
7 FOOT RANGE. THESE INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS WILL LEAD TO HAZARDOUS
BOATING CONDITIONS AND MARINERS AND ALL SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT ARE INEXPERIENCED OR OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...MAY
WANT TO POSTPONE TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE ON
SATURDAY.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
A REINFORCING COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON THURSDAY. THIS DRIER AIR WILL LIKELY LEAD
TO LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOONS. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF
ANY FIRE THAT MAY START...SO ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD USE CARE WITH ANY
OUTDOOR OPEN FLAME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

MCMICHAEL