Red Flag Warning 71, NWS Tallahassee, FL

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 300847
RFWTAE

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
447 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/
TODAY THROUGH 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO
POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35
PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE COMBINATION OF AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 
LOWER 80S AND DEW POINTS IN THE MIDDLE 40S WILL RESULT IN LONG
DURATIONS OF SUB-35 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE FLORIDA
COUNTIES. THEREFORE...THE CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING WILL REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR TODAY. THURSDAY AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES AND DEW
POINTS RISE INTO THE MIDDLE 80S AND UPPER 40S FLORIDA BIG BEND TO
LOWER 50S PANHANDLE...RESPECTIVELY. DURATIONS OF SUB-35 PERCENT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE CLOSE TO RED FLAG CRITERIA IN THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND WILL ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH. BRIEF
DURATIONS OF SUB-35 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED FOR 
THE PANHANDLE COUNTIES.

FLZ015>019-026>029-034-301930-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0069.091001T1800Z-091001T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0071.090930T1700Z-090930T2300Z/
FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
447 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... 
...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FLZ007>014-301930-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0071.090930T1700Z-090930T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-
347 AM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

JAMSKI

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 301919
RFWTAE

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
319 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/
TODAY THROUGH 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ 
THURSDAY THROUGH 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...RED FLAG CONDITIONS CONTINUE UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING DUE TO PROLONGED PERIODS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT.
ON THURSDAY...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO OCCUR
ACROSS THE NORTH FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ARE FORECAST TO DROP BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FOR MOST OF THE
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE EASTERN PANHANDLE HAS BEEN DROPPED FROM
THE WARNING FOR THE DAY TOMORROW...EVEN THOUGH CRITICAL RH VALUES
ARE EXPECTED...THEY ARE NOT FORECAST TO STAY BELOW CRITICAL VALUES
FOR ANY EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME.

FLZ015>019-026>029-034-011130-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.A.0069.091001T1800Z-091001T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0072.091001T1800Z-091001T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0071.000000T0000Z-090930T2300Z/
FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
319 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FLZ007>014-302300-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0071.000000T0000Z-090930T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-
219 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
931 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2009

.DISCUSSION...
FINALLY AUTUMN IS ARRIVING. THE 12 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A
COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTH FL (JUST SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST
AREA)...WITH COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR ADVECTING INTO OUR REGION.
THE EARLY MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE (FORECASTING FAIR WEATHER WITH
MILD TEMPERATURES FOR THIS AFTERNOON) IS ON TRACK AND NO MAJOR CHANGES
WILL BE NEEDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT PASSED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING
AND IS INDICATED BY THE ROPE CLOUD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. A
FEW CI IS MOVING IN BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT GENERALLY EXPECT CLEAR
SKIES TODAY WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING WITH GUSTS UP
TO 20 TO 22 KNOTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET WITH NEAR CALM
WINDS OVERNIGHT. NO RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL WALTON...GADSDEN...
     HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
     LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CALHOUN...GADSDEN...HOLMES...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...
     LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...
     WASHINGTON.

GM...NONE.

&&

AVIATION...GODSEY
REST OF DISCUSSION...FOURNIER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
528 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2009

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-301000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
528 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2009 /428 AM CDT TUE SEP 29 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME
EARLY THIS MORNING OVER AND AROUND DIXIE COUNTY IN THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. ELSEWHERE...NORTHERLY WINDS...CLEAR SKIES
AND MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL SPREAD SOUTH OVER THE AREA
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 80 DEGREES OR
JUST ABOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND INTO
THE MID 80S OVER NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A CLEAR AND CALM NIGHT TONIGHT
COMBINED WITH A VERY COOL AIRMASS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP
BELOW AVERAGE OR INTO THE MID 50S ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS. SOME
ISOLATED COOLER SPOTS MAY OBSERVE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 50S BY
DAYBREAK.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/
TODAY TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS
OF LOW HUMIDITY...

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

CLEAR SKIES COMBINED WITH A MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS WILL
LEAD TO VERY COOL TEMPERATURES EARLY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
MORNINGS. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOWER 50S OVER THE INLAND
LOCATIONS THROUGH THESE PERIODS...WHICH WILL BE BELOW AVERAGE.
EXPECT THIS AIRMASS TO BEGIN TO MODIFY THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WORK WEEK AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL COME ON
FRIDAY AS THE FRONT NEARS THE LOCAL AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.