Red Flag Warning 35, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 230201
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
901 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
FLORID BIG BEND...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ MONDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-
CENTRAL GEORGIA...

.DISCUSSION...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH PASSED THROUGH
THE AREA EARLIER THIS MORNING...ANOTHER VERY DRY AND COOL AIRMASS
IS ARRIVING FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK. THE ARRIVING AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FROM LATE MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS APPEAR ONCE AGAIN TO BE WIDESPREAD DURING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A SLOW INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATER PORTION OF THE WORKWEEK...HOWEVER AT
THIS TIME...THE FORECAST LOOKS TO REMAIN RAIN FREE THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY NIGHT.

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-231015-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0035.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1700Z-090225T0000Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
901 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 /801 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/
TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/
TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS...

DRY AIR IS ARRIVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 20S.
ALTHOUGH NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER DURING MONDAY...RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO 25 PERCENT OR BELOW FOR
UP TO FIVE HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT BRIEFLY IN
THE UPPER TEENS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ007>019-026>029-034-231015-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0035.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1700Z-090225T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
901 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 /801 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO
7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

DRY AIR IS ARRIVING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING THROUGH THE UPPER 20S AND 30S.
IN ADDITION TO THESE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...NORTHWEST
WINDS HAVE BEEN GUSTING FREQUENTLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH.
ALTHOUGH NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER DURING MONDAY...RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR UP TO
8 HOURS DURING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE ANTICIPATED TO DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT
IN SPOTS FOR UP TO 4 HOURS AND BOTTOM OUT BRIEFLY IN THE UPPER
TEENS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 230904
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
404 AM EST MON FEB 23 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS MORNING
UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING DUE TO VERY LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES
ABOVE 75...

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AS WELL AS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS EVENING DUE TO LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON DUE
TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35
PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AS WELL AS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION TODAY IN THE 
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. 
THIS DRY AIRMASS WILL CREATE VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ALL ACROSS
THE REGION. THE AIRMASS WILL ONLY MOISTEN SLIGHTLY ON TUESDAY AS WINDS VEER
TO SOUTHEASTERLY AND PULL IN A LITTLE GULF MOISTURE. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK...PUTTING AN END TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS BY WEDNESDAY.

FLZ007>019-026>029-034-240200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0035.090223T1500Z-090224T0100Z/
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1600Z-090225T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
404 AM EST MON FEB 23 2009 /304 AM CST MON FEB 23 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/
THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING. 

EXCEPTIONALLY LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...WITH SOME LOCATIONS
APPROACHING 10 HOURS OF CRITICALLY LOW VALUES. DURATIONS WILL BE
LESS ON TUESDAY...BUT CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE STILL
EXPECTED. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-240200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1900Z-090224T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0035.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
404 AM EST MON FEB 23 2009 /304 AM CST MON FEB 23 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST /11 AM CST/
TODAY TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA AND ALABAMA. MINIMUM VALUES IN THE
UPPER TEENS CAN BE EXPECTED. INCREASING MOISTURE ON TUESDAY MAY
LIMIT THE AREA OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS TO AREAS ALONG THE
CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER...SO THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE CANCELLED
TODAY FOR COUNTIES NEAR THE INTERSTATE 75 CORRIDOR. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

38-GODSEY

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 231955
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
255 PM EST MON FEB 23 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/
THIS EVENING DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AS
WELL AS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS EVENING DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO 
EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25
PERCENT...

...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON...AND IS RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT. THE AIRMASS WILL MOISTEN
SLIGHTLY ON TUESDAY AS WINDS VEER TO EAST AND SOUTHEAST...HOWEVER
WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL STILL ALLOW CRITICAL LEVELS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY TO BE REACHED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE AREA. SOUTHEAST
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT HIGHER LEVELS OF MOISTURE NORTHWARD
INTO WEDNESDAY...WHICH SHOULD END THE THREAT FOR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

GAZ146>148-155>161-232300-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1900Z-090224T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0035.000000T0000Z-090223T2300Z/
COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-
LOWNDES-LANIER-
255 PM EST MON FEB 23 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

VERY DRY AIR IN PLACE IS COMBINING WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S
THIS AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITION WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT. THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON WHEN COOLING TEMPERATURES
SHOULD ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RISE BACK ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS
STILL ANTICIPATED TO DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT OR SLIGHTLY LOWER
FOR 2 TO 3 HOURS TUESDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER CRITICAL DURATIONS OF
THESE LOWER VALUES ARE NO LONGER ANTICIPATED AND WINDS WILL BE
WELL BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>145-240030-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1900Z-090224T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0036.090224T1800Z-090224T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0035.000000T0000Z-090223T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-
255 PM EST MON FEB 23 2009 /155 PM CST MON FEB 23 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY...

VERY DRY AIR IN PLACE IS COMBINING WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S
THIS AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITION WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT. THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST/5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON WHEN COOLING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RISE BACK ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ007>019-026>029-034-240030-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1600Z-090225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0036.090224T1600Z-090225T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0035.000000T0000Z-090224T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
255 PM EST MON FEB 23 2009 /155 PM CST MON FEB 23 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY...

VERY DRY AIR IN PLACE IS COMBINING WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
50S TO NEAR 60 THIS AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT. MANY LOCATIONS ARE
REPORTING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DOWN INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND
LOWER 20S. THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST/7
PM CST THIS EVENING WHEN COOLING TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALLOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RISE BACK ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

14-MROCZKA

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 240124
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
824 PM EST MON FEB 23 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE AIRMASS WILL MOISTEN SLIGHTLY ON TUESDAY AS
WINDS VEER TO EAST AND SOUTHEAST...HOWEVER WARMER TEMPERATURES
WILL STILL ALLOW CRITICAL LEVELS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO BE
REACHED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE AREA. SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT HIGHER LEVELS OF MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO
WEDNESDAY...WHICH SHOULD END THE THREAT FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

FLZ007>019-026>029-034-241100-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0035.000000T0000Z-090224T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0036.090224T1600Z-090225T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
824 PM EST MON FEB 23 2009 /724 PM CST MON FEB 23 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>145-241100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0036.090224T1800Z-090224T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-
824 PM EST MON FEB 23 2009 /724 PM CST MON FEB 23 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 6 PM EST
/5 PM CST/ TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MROCZKA/GIBBS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
235 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING.
LOCAL RADARS SHOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PATCHY LIGHT RAIN OUT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT MOVING INTO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO DIMINISH AS IT MOVES INTO OUR WESTERN ZONES.
HOWEVER...SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY LINGER UNTIL JUST AFTER DAYBREAK
SO WE WILL KEEP A 20 POP FOR NORTH FLORIDA THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE
...WE WILL RECEIVE A RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLD AND DRY AIR IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT AND SKIES WILL GRADUALLY BECOME CLEAR AT ALL ZONES
BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN WELL
TO THE NORTH AS IT SLIDES DOWN INTO THE MIDWEST ON MONDAY AND THEN
EASTWARD TO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION TUESDAY. THEREFORE ALTHOUGH WE
WILL SEE SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY
MORNING BUT WE ARE NOT EXPECTING A HARD FREEZE OR RECORD LOW
TEMPERATURES LIKE WE SAW WITH THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM. MAX TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...AT SURFACE...DRY COOL
PATTERN OF LATE WEEKEND INTO EARLY WORK WEEK WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT
DURING TUESDAY AS HIGH SLIDES TO THE EAST VEERING WINDS TO ESE TUES
NIGHT AND SELY BY WED...BUT WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING BACK TO
THE WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA AND ACROSS THE GULF COAST
STATES. MEANWHILE...ALOFT WITH H5 TROUGH WELL INTO ATLC...LOCAL
UPPER FLOW BECOMES NEAR ZONAL (FLAT RIDGE) BY WEDNESDAY WITH WEAK
RIDGING DEVELOPING ON THURS. THUS A DRY STABLE AIR MASS WILL PROVIDE
PLEASANT DRY WEATHER INTO FRIDAY.

ON FRIDAY...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT FURTHER SOUTH AS ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE DROPS OUT OF CANADA AND INTO THE MIDWEST AND BEGINS TO
AMPLIFY NEXT TROUGH...THEN OVER MID-CONUS...ESE REACHING ERN CONUS
BY EARLY WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW DEEP LAYER LOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE
MIDWEST WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT DRAGGED SEWD. HOWEVER...IT
REMAINS NW OF AREA UNTIL UPPER TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH ON SAT.
ECMWF MORE IN LINE WITH GFS COMPARED TO 24 HRS AGO AND BOTH ARE A
LITTLE MORE BULLISH IN BRINGING FRONT THRU LATE FRI OR EARLY SAT
WITH A BAND OF MOISTURE THROUGH ON FRI AND FRI NIGHT. STILL DYNAMICS
WEAK AND THIS REFLECTED IN LOW POPS AND UNIMPRESSIVE QPF.

NO POPS IN EXTENDED PERIOD EXCEPT FRI AFTN AND NIGHT (30 PCT
SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS AFTN NW THIRD OTHERWISE 20 PCT OR LESS SHOWERS).
AS FAR AS TEMPS...AFTER BELOW NORMAL TUES NIGHT (ESPECIALLY ERN
THIRD) EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH
TEMPS AROUND CLIMO (CLIMO IS 70 DEGREES)...REACHING THE LOW-MID 70S
THURS-FRI BEFORE ADDED CLOUDS/ RAIN ASSOCD WITH FRONT DROP TEMPS TO
BELOW CLIMO WEST AND TO AROUND CLIMO EAST ON SAT AND TO BELOW CLIMO
EVERYWHERE ON SUN. LOW TEMPERATURES TUES NIGHT BELOW CLIMO (CLIMO IS
AROUND 44) THEN WILL CREEP UP TO CLIMO...AND TO ABOVE CLIMO THURS
AND FRI NIGHT BEFORE INCHING DOWN TO AROUND CLIMO SAT NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST GULF THIS MORNING. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO BUILDING SEAS TODAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
OFFSHORE MARINE SEGMENTS. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS BUT DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY WE WILL FORECAST WINDS AROUND 20
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON
MONDAY AND REMAIN BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...A WEAK SE MOVING COLD FRONT WILL REACH SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AFTER MIDNIGHT DURING THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS...AND THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AFTER
SUNRISE. HIGH CLOUDS INITIALLY WILL THICKEN AND LOWER INTO SUNRISE
AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONT...AND BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CEILINGS AND
LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT PASSES...MAINLY
ACROSS ALABAMA AND GEORGIA. THIS REFLECTED IN SREF CIG GUIDANCE. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AGAIN BEHIND THE FRONT... AND WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND GUSTY LATER TODAY. THEY
WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE FROM W-E BY MID-AFTERNOON AND VEER TO
NORTH...GENERALLY LESS THAN 5 MPH BY LATE EVENING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WITH THE COOL AND VERY DRY PATTERN NOW WELL
ESTABLISHED...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH THE REGION
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. INHERITED REF FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF FL
AND SE ALA AND POTIONS OF GA LOOKS RIGHT ON MARK. NO BRAINER FIRE WX
WATCH LOOKS GOOD FOR EVERYWHERE ON MONDAY. SO WILL MAKE NO CHANGES
FROM INHERITED WARNING/WATCH.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...RECENT RAINFALL HAS PUSHED THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER ABOVE
ACTION STAGE AT THOMASVILLE (GA) AND CONCORD (FL)...BUT THESE STAGES
SHOULD LEVEL OUT THEN FALL VERY SOON BEFORE ANY MINOR FLOODING
BECOMES A CONCERN. ALSO...WITH THE UPCOMING PATTERN EXPECTED TO BE
VERY DRY...THE PROSPECTS FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCUMULATION
IS QUITE SLIM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  63 28 61 28 63/ 20 00 00 00 00
PANAMA CITY  61 34 61 36 64/ 20 00 00 00 00
DOTHAN       57 29 58 32 61/ 10 00 00 00 00
ALBANY       62 27 60 27 61/ 10 00 00 00 00
VALDOSTA     62 27 60 27 62/ 10 00 00 00 00
CROSS CITY   68 28 62 27 66/ 10 00 00 00 00

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 4 PM CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...
     HOUSTON.

GA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...
     DOUGHERTY...EARLY...IRWIN...LEE...MILLER...MITCHELL...
     QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...CALHOUN...CLAY...
     COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...
     IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...MITCHELL...
     QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...THOMAS...TIFT...
     TURNER...WORTH.

FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM
     CST/ SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...
     COASTAL WALTON...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...
     HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
     LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL WALTON...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...
     GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...
     JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...
     WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

GM...NONE.

&&

BARRY/BLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
535 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-231045-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
535 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 /435 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE
REGION IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. THE DRY AIRMASS
WILL ENHANCE THE WILDFIRE THREAT ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION. SMALL
CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION OVER THE LOCAL WATERS
TODAY. A LIGHT FREEZE IS EXPECTED FOR ALL INTERIOR LOCATIONS BY
DAYBREAK MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
ANOTHER LIGHT FREEZE IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...WE WILL
SEE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WITH ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES BY
MID WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE LATE FRIDAY OR
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE VERY DRY AT LEAST THROUGH TUESDAY ENHANCING THE WILDFIRE
THREAT ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

BARRY