Red Flag Warning 34, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lee County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 220144
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
844 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ SUNDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 5 PM
EST /4 PM CST/ SUNDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...DUE TO
ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AND COOL AIR TO THE
REGION. THE DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THE DRY
AIR FULLY IN PLACE BY MONDAY...ALL ZONES IN THE FORECAST AREA ARE
ANTICIPATED TO REACH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND FIRE
WEATHER WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING IN
PLACE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR AT
LEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

FLZ007>019-026>029-034-221230-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0034.090222T1700Z-090222T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
844 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 /744 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/
TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>146-221230-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0034.090222T1800Z-090222T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-
844 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 /744 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
TO 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO 25 PERCENT OR LESS FOR
AN EXTENDED DURATION ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL APPROACH 20 PERCENT.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH AS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT ARE ANTICIPATED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

GAZ147-148-155>161-221230-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
844 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

DUVAL

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 220931
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
431 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6
PM EST /5 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 5 PM
EST /4 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...DUE TO
ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
THIS MORNING. IN ITS WAKE...EXPECT ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF DRY
AND COOL WITH HIGH PRESSURE FORECAST TO BUILD NORTH OF THE REGION
TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. IT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE ON WEDNESDAY. THE
ARRIVING DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE DRY AIR FULLY 
ENTRENCHED BY MONDAY...THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA IS ANTICIPATED 
TO REACH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SO FIRE WEATHER WATCHES
REMAIN IN EFFECT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA BEFORE THE AIRMASS 
MOISTEN UP INTO THE WEEKEND. 

FLZ007>019-026>029-034-230000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0034.090222T1700Z-090222T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
431 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 /331 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST /11 AM CST/
TODAY TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST /11 AM CST/
TODAY TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>146-230000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0034.090222T1800Z-090222T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-
431 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 /331 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ TO
5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ TO
5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT ARE
ANTICIPATED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

GAZ147-148-155>161-230000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
431 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.


$$

BLOCK

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 222002
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
302 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND 
FLORIDA BIG BEND...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORID BIG BEND...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ MONDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA
BIG BEND...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
GEORGIA... 

.DISCUSSION...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH PASSED THROUGH THE
AREA EARLIER THIS MORNING...ANOTHER VERY DRY AND COOL AIRMASS IS
ARRIVING FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING
WORK WEEK. THE ARRIVING AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FROM LATE MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS APPEAR ONCE AGAIN TO BE WIDESPREAD DURING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A SLOW INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATER PORTION OF THE WORKWEEK...HOWEVER AT
THIS TIME...THE FORECAST LOOKS TO REMAIN RAIN FREE THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY NIGHT.

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>146-230030-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0035.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1700Z-090225T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-090222T2200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-
302 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 /202 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO ONGOING DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
COMBINED WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OVER 20 MPH...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6
PM EST /5 PM CST/ MONDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS...

DRY AIR IS ARRIVING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND LOWER
20S. IN ADDITION TO THESE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...NORTHWEST
WINDS HAVE BEEN GUSTING FREQUENTLY OVER 20 MPH. ALTHOUGH NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER DURING MONDAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP TO 25 PERCENT OR BELOW FOR UP TO FIVE HOURS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT BRIEFLY IN THE UPPER TEENS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ007>019-026>029-034-230030-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0035.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1700Z-090225T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-090222T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-
CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
302 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 /202 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE
TO ONGOING DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

DRY AIR IS ARRIVING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING THROUGH THE UPPER 20S AND 30S.
IN ADDITION TO THESE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...NORTHWEST
WINDS HAVE BEEN GUSTING FREQUENTLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH. ALTHOUGH
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER DURING MONDAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR UP TO 8 HOURS
DURING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE ANTICIPATED TO DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT IN SPOTS
FOR UP TO 4 HOURS AND BOTTOM OUT BRIEFLY IN THE UPPER TEENS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

GAZ147-148-155>161-230030-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0029.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0035.090223T1700Z-090223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0030.090224T1700Z-090225T0000Z/
COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
302 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ MONDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS...

DRY AIR IS ARRIVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 20S.
ALTHOUGH NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER DURING MONDAY...RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO 25 PERCENT OR BELOW FOR UP
TO FIVE HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT BRIEFLY IN THE
UPPER TEENS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

14-MROCZKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
250 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

.SYNOPSIS...AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THE TALLAHASSEE REGIONAL AIRPORT
(TLH) TIED THE PRECIOUS RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 23 DEGREES THIS
MORNING...AND APALACHICOLA (AAF) SET A NEW RECORD OF 31 UNDER THE
CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS WHICH ALLOWED FOR IDEAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING. NONE OF THE REPORTING COOP SITES WERE ANY COLDER THAN
TLH...BUT SEVERAL LOCATIONS DID REPORT LOWS IN THE MID 20S WHICH DID
VERIFY A GOOD PORTION OF THE FCST HARD FREEZE. THIS AFTERNOON...
TEMPS CONTINUE TO RECOVER QUITE STEADILY UNDER ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...
WITH HIGHS STILL EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER TO MID 60S OVER MOST
AREAS. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...AS THE SFC RIDGE GRADUALLY SLIDES
EAST OF THE AREA...WINDS ARE VEERING AROUND TO THE ESE AND SE...BUT
ARE GENERALLY IN THE 10 KT RANGE WITH 2 FT SEAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...IN THE VERY PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WITH THE
MEAN TROF WELL ENTRENCHED OVER THE EASTERN U.S...THE NEXT IN A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL LOWS IS ALREADY MARCHING EASTWARD FROM THE
GREAT LAKES TOWARDS NEW ENGLAND...WHICH WILL HELP PUSH A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR CWA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. DESPITE A
THIN LINE OF SHOWERS WHICH IS CURRENTLY HOLDING TOGETHER ALONG A NE
TO SW LINE JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY...THE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL BE DECREASING WITH
TIME AS THE FRONT APPROACHES OUR AREA...SO EXPECT LITTLE MORE THAN A
BRIEF SHOWER OR PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN WHEN IT ENTERS OUR VICINITY AS
THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE SHORT DURATION
RETURN FLOW. THEREFORE...EXPECT THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY MEASURABLE
LIGHT RAIN TO BE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...ESPECIALLY OVER
PARTS OF SE AL WHERE A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...MAY ONLY CARRY SILENT 10 POPS...BUT
CANNOT RULE OUT A TRACE OF RAIN IN A LIGHT SPRINKLE OR 2. BEHIND
THIS FRONT ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AND DRY AIR WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION FROM THE NW...BUT DO NOT EXPECT THIS AIR MASS TO BE QUITE AS
COLD AS THE ONE FROM THIS PAST WEEKEND. THEREFORE...DO NOT ANTICIPATE
ANOTHER HARD FREEZE ON SUN OR MON NIGHT...BUT A COUPLE OF WIDESPREAD
LIGHT FREEZES CERTAINLY APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
INTERIOR.

&&

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AT SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE AND A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL LINGER INTO
THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF THE HIGH WILL
GET NO CLOSER THAN THE OHIO VALLEY AND THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES...STILL LOOKING AT SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS MOST
INTERIOR LOCATIONS TUESDAY MORNING (EXCEPTION MAY BE SE ALA/SW GA)
BUT ABOVE HARD FREEZE LEVELS. HIGH SLIDES TO THE EAST ON TUESDAY
WITH VEERING WINDS TO ELY TUES AND SELY BY WED...BUT HIGH CONTINUES
TO RIDGE WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. MEANWHILE...ALOFT H5
TROUGH EXITS EWD INTO ATLC BY TUES AND UPPER FLOW BECOMES NEAR ZONAL
(FLAT RIDGE) BY WEDNESDAY WITH WEAK RIDGING DEVELOPING TOWARD ON
THURS. THEN...ANOTHER SHORT WAVE DROPS OUT OF CANADA AND INTO THE
MIDWEST AND BEGINS TO AMPLIFY MID-CONUS TROUGH SEWD. THIS WILL ALLOW
DEEP LAYER LOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE MIDWEST. THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD WITH GFS MORE BULLISH BRINGING IT THRU LATE FRI
OR EARLY SAT WITH A THIN BAND OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF IT ON FRI. ECMWF
WITH WEAKER FRONT FIZZLING OUT NW OF CWA AND LITTLE IF ANY MOISTURE
REACHING CWA...ESPECIALLY EAST OF APALACH RIVER. THIS FAR OUT FOR
LEAN TOWARDS DRIER SOLUTION SO AOB 20 PCT POPS END OF EXTENDED
PERIOD. AS FAR AS TEMPS...AFTER BELOW NORMAL MON NIGHT-TUES NIGHT
EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH TEMPS
ABOVE CLIMO...REACHING THE LOW-MID 70S THURS-FRI BEFORE ADDED CLOUDS
ASSOCD WITH FRONT DROP TEMPS TO CLIMO OR NEAR 70. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL CREEP UP TO CLIMO...MID-UPPER 40S WED NIGHT AND ABOVE
CLIMO...LOW 50S THURS AND FRI NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...S-SW WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OUT AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT...AND THEY WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO HIGH END
SCEC OR LOW END SCA OUT OF THE NW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY.
DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY AS TO JUST HIGH THE WINDS WILL BECOME...WILL
HOLD OFF ON A HAZARD GRID FOR THIS PACKAGE. THE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
THEN DIMINISH SLIGHTLY DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY...WITH ANOTHER NE
NOCTURNAL SURGE TO SCEC/SCA LEVELS ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH CLEAR SKIES TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
FORECAST TERMINALS INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH A GENERALLY
LIGHT SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST FLOW. WILL BEGIN TO SEE AN INCREASE IN HIGH
LEVEL AND THEN MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS
A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS FRONT WILL
CROSS THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYLIGHT HOURS
OF SUNDAY. MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THIS FRONT LATE TONIGHT...AND A SHOWER OR SPRINKLE AT KDHN CAN NOT
BE RULE OUT. HOWEVER...ANY SHOWERS WILL BE BRIEF AND LIGHT WITH
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF VIS RESTRICTIONS. VFR CONDITIONS THEN PREVAIL
INTO THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS SUNDAY WITH A GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 KNOTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WITH THE COOL AND DRY PATTERN NOW WELL ESTABLISHED
...SEVERAL DAYS OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH THE REGION
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...RECENT RAINFALL HAS PUSHED THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER ABOVE
ACTION STAGE AT THOMASVILLE (GA) AND CONCORD (FL)...BUT THESE STAGES
SHOULD LEVEL OUT THEN FALL VERY SOON BEFORE ANY MINOR FLOODING
BECOMES A CONCERN. ALSO...WITH THE UPCOMING PATTERN EXPECTED TO BE VERY
DRY...THE PROSPECTS FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCUMULATION IS
QUITE SLIM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  35  63  27  63  28 /  10  10  00  00  00
PANAMA CITY  43  61  32  61  35 /  20  05  00  00  00
DOTHAN       37  59  28  60  32 /  30  05  00  00  00
ALBANY       37  59  26  61  29 /  20  10  00  00  00
VALDOSTA     35  63  27  62  29 /  10  10  00  00  00
CROSS CITY   37  66  28  63  31 /  10  10  00  00  00

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON ALL ZONES.

     RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY AFTN ALL ZONES.

     FIRE WX WATCH MONDAY AFTN ALL ZONES.

GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTN ALL ZONES.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...
     DOUGHERTY...EARLY...IRWIN...LEE...MILLER...MITCHELL...
     QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.

     FIRE WX WATCH MONDAY AFTN ALL ZONES.

FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING ALL ZONES.

     RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALL ZONES.

     FIRE WX WATCH MONDAY AFTN ALL ZONES.

GM...NONE.

&&

AVIATION/FIRE WX...MROCZKA
PUBLIC/MARINE...GOULD
LONG TERM...BLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
538 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-221045-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
538 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 /438 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A COLD START TO THE DAY THIS MORNING WITH SUB-FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
SOME INTERIOR LOCATIONS ARE EXPERIENCING A HARD FREEZE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S. A VERY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL
ENHANCE THE WILDFIRE THREAT ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION SHOULD ANY
OCCUR TODAY. THERE IS JUST A SMALL CHANCE FOR RAIN OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT MAINLY WEST OF AN ALBANY TO PANAMA CITY LINE AHEAD OF THE
NEXT COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
A LIGHT FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. OTHERWISE
IT WILL BE DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

BARRY