Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2009
Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Feb 3, 2009, 3:17 PM EST for 26 counties in Georgia; 5 counties in Alabama; 16 counties in Florida. It took effect at Feb 5, 2009, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 3, 2009, 3:17 PM EST (20:17 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 5, 2009, 10:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 5, 2009, 10:00 PM EST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
All 47 counties
Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA
The radar
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1803 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -170 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -57 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTAE 032017 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 317 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH 20 FOOT WINDS AT OR ABOVE 15 MPH AND DISPERSION VALUES WELL ABOVE 75... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .DISCUSSION...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE TRI-STATE REGION OVERNIGHT AND WILL USHER IN A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AND DRY AIR. EVEN THOUGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 40S ON WEDNESDAY...THE EXTREMELY DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE TEENS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS AT OR ABOVE 15 MPH AND VERY HIGH DISPERSION INDICES WHICH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE FIRE DANGER. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS ONCE AGAIN ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY AND A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-032300- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0017.090204T1700Z-090204T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0019.090204T1600Z-090205T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1600Z-090206T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-090203T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 317 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 /217 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ007>019-026>029-034-032300- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0017.090204T1500Z-090205T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0019.090204T1500Z-090205T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1500Z-090206T0300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-090203T2300Z/ INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY- CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 317 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 /217 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ BARRY
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTAE 032311 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 611 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH 20 FOOT WINDS AT OR ABOVE 15 MPH AND DISPERSION VALUES WELL ABOVE 75... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .DISCUSSION...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE TRI-STATE REGION OVERNIGHT AND WILL USHER IN A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AND DRY AIR. EVEN THOUGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 40S ON WEDNESDAY...THE EXTREMELY DRY AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE TEENS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS AT OR ABOVE 15 MPH AND VERY HIGH DISPERSION INDICES WHICH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE FIRE DANGER. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS ONCE AGAIN ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY AND A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-041230- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-090203T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0019.090204T1600Z-090205T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1600Z-090206T0200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 611 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 /511 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ007>019-026>029-034-041230- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-090203T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0019.090204T1500Z-090205T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1500Z-090206T0300Z/ INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY- CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 611 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 /511 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH DISPERSIONS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ JAMSKI
000 WWUS82 KTAE 040855 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 355 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH 20 FOOT WINDS AT OR ABOVE 15 MPH AND DISPERSION VALUES WELL ABOVE 75... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .DISCUSSION...A VERY COLD AND DRY AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. EVEN THOUGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 40S ON WEDNESDAY...THE EXTREMELY DRY AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND VERY HIGH DISPERSION INDICES WHICH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE FIRE DANGER. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS ONCE AGAIN ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY AND A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. FLZ007>019-026>029-034-042030- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0019.090204T1500Z-090205T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1500Z-090206T0300Z/ INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY- CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 355 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 /255 AM CST WED FEB 4 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH DISPERSIONS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-042030- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0019.090204T1600Z-090205T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1600Z-090206T0200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 355 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 /255 AM CST WED FEB 4 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSIONS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
000 WWUS82 KTAE 042027 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 327 PM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH 20 FOOT WINDS AT OR ABOVE 15 MPH AND DISPERSION VALUES WELL ABOVE 75... ...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET TODAY...BUT THE VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AT LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THEREFORE RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. FLZ007>019-026>029-034-050200- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1500Z-090207T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090205T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1500Z-090206T0300Z/ INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY- CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 327 PM EST WED FEB 4 2009 /227 PM CST WED FEB 4 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-050200- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1700Z-090206T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090205T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1600Z-090206T0200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 327 PM EST WED FEB 4 2009 /227 PM CST WED FEB 4 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ BARRY
000 WWUS82 KTAE 050224 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 924 PM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET TODAY...BUT THE VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AT LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THEREFORE RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. FLZ007>019-026>029-034-060330- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090205T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1500Z-090206T0300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1500Z-090207T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY- CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 924 PM EST WED FEB 4 2009 /824 PM CST WED FEB 4 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-060330- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1600Z-090206T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1700Z-090206T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 924 PM EST WED FEB 4 2009 /824 PM CST WED FEB 4 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THURSDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ CAMP
000 WWUS82 KTAE 050828 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 328 AM EST THU FEB 5 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY ONCE AGAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY DUE TO THE VERY DRY CONDITIONS. SUNDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO INCREASING MOISTURE AND SHOULD KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. DISPERSIONS WILL REMAIN AROUND 75 TODAY THEN DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE WEEKEND. FLZ007>019-026>029-034-052100- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1500Z-090206T0300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1500Z-090207T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY- CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 328 AM EST THU FEB 5 2009 /228 AM CST THU FEB 5 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-052100- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.090205T1600Z-090206T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1700Z-090206T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 328 AM EST THU FEB 5 2009 /228 AM CST THU FEB 5 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
000 WWUS82 KTAE 051942 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 242 PM EST THU FEB 5 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST UNTIL 6 PM EST FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST UNTIL 5 PM CST FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR INLAND AREAS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...A VERY COLD AND DRY AIRMASS REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND THOUGH THIS AIRMASS WILL GRADUALLY WARM INTO FRIDAY...IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE QUITE DRY. A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON SATURDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. WHILE THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL END RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN GEORGIA AND ALABAMA...PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA WILL POTENTIALLY SEE ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-061100- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0018.090207T1700Z-090207T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-090206T0300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1500Z-090207T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 242 PM EST THU FEB 5 2009 /142 PM CST THU FEB 5 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. ANOTHER RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ008-012-014-015-061100- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-090206T0300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1500Z-090207T0000Z/ COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN- 242 PM EST THU FEB 5 2009 /142 PM CST THU FEB 5 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. ANOTHER RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-061100- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-090206T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0021.090206T1700Z-090206T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 242 PM EST THU FEB 5 2009 /142 PM CST THU FEB 5 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. ANOTHER RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GODSEY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 3, 3:14 PM EST, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 3:14 PM EST, 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
314 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009
...SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR OUTBREAK BEGINS TONIGHT AND CONTINUES INTO
SATURDAY MORNING...
.SYNOPSIS...AT 19 UTC...ARCTIC COLD FRONT WAS MOVING INTO NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA HEADED RAPIDLY FOR THE GULF COAST.
TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY HAVE BEEN DROPPING
RAPIDLY. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ACROSS OUR REGION INTO THE 50S
TODAY...BUT THIS WILL BE LAST TIME THE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE 50
DEGREES UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
&&
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
OVERALL THE MODELS ARE HANDLING THE SITUATION QUITE WELL. THE UPPER
TROF OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY AS COLD
AIR FROM CANADA CONTINUES TO PLUNGE TOWARD THE GULF COASTAL STATES.
OVERALL...THE SOURCE AIRMASS OF THIS COLD AIR IS NOT QUITE AS COLD
AS THE ONE JUST A COUPLE OF WEEKS AGO. HOWEVER...THE MASS FIELDS IN
THE GFS/NAM/EURO ARE ALL MUCH MORE FAVORABLE FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING
BY THURSDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING RUN BY
RUN IN AT LEAST ONE NIGHT...IF NOT TWO...OF LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE
TEENS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
TONIGHT...ARCTIC FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION AS WINDS PICK UP
SIGNIFICANTLY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. WHILE RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL
BE GREATLY LIMITED DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS...COLD ADVECTION BEHIND
THIS BOUNDARY WILL RESULT IN A STEADY TEMPERATURE DROP THROUGHOUT
THE NIGHT. MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A PORTION OF THE
REGION...MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM DOTHAN AL TO FITZGERALD GA WILL
SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE HARD FREEZING RANGE (26 OR LESS FOR 2 HR OR
MORE). IT IS ALSO IN THIS AREA THAT THE SUB 26 DEGREE TEMPERATURES
WILL COMBINE WITH THE 10 TO 15 MPH WINDS AT NIGHT TO PRODUCE WIND
CHILLS IN THE 15 DEGREE OR LESS RANGE AND REQUIRE A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY. CHILLS ELSEWHERE WILL LIKELY ONLY BE IN THE UPPER TEENS
AND LOW 20S...BUT STILL WILL FEEL QUITE COLD. EVERYONE HEADING OUT
IN THE MORNING SHOULD BUNDLE UP AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM THE COLD.
ON A SIDE NOTE...THE GFS FOR SOME TIME NOW HAS BEEN INDICATING SOME
NON-ZERO QPF ACROSS OUR NE ZONES IN GA...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF TIFTON
TONIGHT. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO VERY FAVORABLE DYNAMICAL FORCING WHEN
ONE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. TIME HEIGHTS
SHOW A VERY SHALLOW MOISTURE LAYER UP TO 850 MB. EVEN THOUGH SOME
MOISTURE IS PRESENT...IT DOES NOT APPEAR DEEP ENOUGH OR LAST LONG
ENOUGH FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. THE GFS IS THE ONLY MODEL TO SQUEEZE
SOMETHING OUT...SO WILL NOT INCLUDE IT IN THE FORECAST. IT
SHOULD BE NOTED...HOWEVER...IF ANYTHING DOES FALL OUT OF THIS
SHALLOW LAYER ACROSS OUR NE GA ZONES...IT WOULD BE OF THE FROZEN
VARIETY.
WEDNESDAY...IN A WORD...BLUSTERY TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO WARM
INTO THE 40S WITH VERY STRONG COLD ADVECTION...DESPITE FULL
SUNSHINE. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS WILL
ONLY ADD TO THE DISCOMFORT. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SURFACE RIDGE WILL SETTLE CLOSER TO THE REGION BUT
WILL REMAIN OFF TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE EVENING. THERE WILL STILL BE
SOME LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE EVENING...BUT WINDS SHOULD BE GOING
CALM CLOSER TO DAYBREAK. THERE STILL CONTINUES TO BE A SPREAD
BETWEEN THE MAV/MET GUIDANCE OF AROUND 5 TO 8 DEGREES AT SOME OF OUR
SITES. THE 00Z MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN WAS AROUND 15 DEG AT TLH...OR ABOUT
A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN THE 12Z OPRNL GUIDANCE. GIVEN THAT THE
MODELS HAD A COLD BIAS LAST OUTBREAK...WILL GO A LITTLE CLOSER TO
THE NAM MOS...WHICH HAS UPPER TEENS IN MANY OF THE INLAND AREAS AND
MID 20S AT THE COAST. I WOULD IMAGINE THE MAV GUIDANCE WILL
GRADUALLY WARM WITH TIME AS WE APPROACH THURSDAY MORNING.
THURSDAY...SURFACE HIGH WILL CENTER DIRECTLY OVER THE REGION AS
ADVECTION CHANGES FROM COLD TO NEUTRAL. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO
NEAR 50 IN THE AFTERNOON WITH LIGHTER WINDS.
THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE RIDGE SETTLING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD...THIS
MAY END UP BEING THE COLDEST MORNING ACROSS SOME PORTIONS OF THE
REGION...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BIG BEND. THE GUIDANCE
IS PICKING UP ON THE FACT THAT THIS SHOULD ALSO BE THE COLDEST NIGHT
WITH THE MAV AT TLH ALREADY DOWN TO 13. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN VALUES ARE
A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THIS...SO WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST ABOVE THE MAV GUIDANCE...BUT STILL A LITTLE COLDER THAN
WHAT I INHERITED. LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE WESTERN CWA WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY WARMER...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST WHERE
ONLY A LIGHT FREEZE IS EXPECTED.
RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE INFORMATION FOR TLH:
THURSDAY FEBRUARY 5......16 IN 1996
FRIDAY FEBRUARY 6........18 IN 1966
&&
.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUE.
LARGE SCALE PATTERN SHIFTS AS DIGGING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S INDUCES BROAD UPPER RIDGE TO SPREAD/BUILD ESE INTO
ERN HALF OF CONUS WITH AXIS DOWN INTO NRN GULF AS ERN TROUGH LIFTS
INTO THE ATLC. SO LOCAL FLOW INITIALLY BECOMES MORE ZONAL THAN
RISING HEIGHTS AS RIDGE BUILDS N AND E. AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH WILL
SINK S/SE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA AND THEN INTO WRN ATLC
ALLOWING LOCAL FLOW TO VEER TO E/SE ON BACK SIDE OF HIGH AND BRING
IN SOME CLOUDS. FOR FRI EVENING THRU END OF FORECAST PERIOD...DRY
CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE WITH A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS OVERHEAD.
MIN TEMPS WILL MODERATE TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S AND REMAIN BELOW
CLIMO FRI NIGHT...THEN SLOWLY INCREASING EACH DAY SAT-MON NIGHT. MAX
TEMPS WILL ALSO RISE ABOVE CLIMO FOR SAT-MON.
&&
.MARINE...TONIGHT THROUGH SAT.
WINDS ARE DECREASING TO THE WEST AS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
EDGES EASTWARD INTO THE MARINE AREA. THIS RIDGE WILL DROP RAPIDLY
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS SIGNIFICANTLY AHEAD
OF THE APPROACHING ARCTIC FRONT. WINDS WILL ACCELERATE INTO THE 25
TO 30 KNOT RANGE WITH THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE
EXPECTED GIVEN THE INTENSITY OF THE COLD AIRMASS BEHIND IT. THESE
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES CLOSER TO THE WATERS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. WE MAY SEE A SCT
TO OCCASIONAL MID LEVEL CIG OVERNIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ARCTIC
FRONT AS IT PUSHES THROUGH. THE BIGGEST CONCERN FOR THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE THE WINDS. WE WILL HAVE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON 10 TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KTS. WINDS WILL
BRIEFLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING BEFORE INCREASING OVERNIGHT TO AROUND
15 KTS WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KTS WHICH WE EXPECT TO CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...VERY DRY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL
CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA AT LEAST THROUGH
THURSDAY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH DISPERSION WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE 27 47 18 52 17 / 0 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 30 48 26 53 30 / 0 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 24 45 20 51 24 / 0 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 25 45 19 52 20 / 5 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 26 45 18 50 19 / 0 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 27 48 18 53 17 / 0 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.
HARD FREEZE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...
HENRY...HOUSTON.
HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.
GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...
CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...
EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...
MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...
THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...
CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...
EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...
MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...
THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...
CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...
EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...
MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...
THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.
HARD FREEZE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...
BERRIEN...BROOKS...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...
DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...
LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...
SEMINOLE...TERRELL...THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.
HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...CALHOUN...CLAY...
DOUGHERTY...EARLY...IRWIN...LEE...MILLER...MITCHELL...
QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...CALHOUN...CLAY...
DOUGHERTY...EARLY...IRWIN...LEE...MILLER...MITCHELL...
QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL WALTON...
DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND
WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...
MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.
HARD FREEZE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL
WALTON...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...
INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...
LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 9 PM EST /8 PM
CST/ WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...
COASTAL WALTON...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...
HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO 10 PM EST /9 PM
CST/ THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...
COASTAL WALTON...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...
HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FROM DESTIN TO THE
SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
&&
AVIATION/FIRE WX....BARRY
LONG TERM...BLOCK/WOOL
REST OF DISCUSSION...GODSEYHazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 5:36 AM EST, 9 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 536 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-041100- COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN- CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL- IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 536 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 /436 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2009/ ...FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITH HARD FREEZES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHTS... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. MARINERS HEADING OUT THIS MORNING WILL ENCOUNTER NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 25 KNOTS WITH SEAS UP TO 9 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. WINDS AND SEAS ARE BOTH EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS BEFORE PICKING UP ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT AFTER THE PASSAGE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. WINDS TONIGHT COULD OCCASIONALLY GUST TO GALE FORCE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL USHER IN COLDER AIR TO THE REGION AND A WIDESPREAD FREEZE IS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 20S IN MOST AREAS WITH TOTAL FREEZE DURATIONS OF 4 TO 5 HOURS. DRY CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WILL ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF ANY WILDFIRES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY... BUT MARINERS ARE STILL ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION IF HEADING OUT WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL GRIP THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD HARD FREEZES ARE EXPECTED BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHTS. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 20 DEGREES THURSDAY MORNING WITH TOTAL FREEZE DURATIONS OF AROUND 12 HOURS. LOWS FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S WITH FREEZE DURATIONS OF AROUND 10 HOURS. MILDER AIR WILL ARRIVE FOR THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP. 18-WOOL
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 3:17 PM EST | Red Flag Warning | TAE | Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 20 more | 30 hr |
| Feb 3, 3:36 PM EST | Hard Freeze Watch | TAE | Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 20 more | 18 hr |
| Feb 3, 3:36 PM EST | Hard Freeze Warning | TAE | Baker, Ben Hill, Calhoun, Clay, Dougherty, Early and 10 more | 16 hr |
| Feb 3, 3:45 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | TAE | Baker, Ben Hill, Calhoun, Clay, Dougherty, Early and 10 more | 17 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2009Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2009Red Flag Warnings in Alabama, 2009Every red flag warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.