Freeze Warning 1, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
230 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

** UPDATE **

HENRY COUNTY ALABAMA EMERGENCY MANAGER CALLED TO REPORT THAT
THEY WERE GETTING MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES WITH THE BAND
OF SNOW THAT MOVED IN FROM THE NORTH. TEMPERATURES AT THE TIME
WERE IN THE UPPER 30S BUT THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE DROPPING INTO THE MID 30S
BEFORE THE SNOW MOVES OUT OF THE REGION. WE WENT AHEAD AN ISSUED
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ALL SE AL ZONES AND GENERALLY NORTH
OF A LINE FROM THE CITIES BLAKELY AND TIFTON IN OUR GEORGIA ZONES.
SEE A LISTING OF COUNTIES IMPACTED IN OUR WWA SECTION BELOW.

...SENT EARLIER...

.SYNOPSIS...AT 1 PM EST...THE UPPER LOW HAS MOVED EAST TO A POSITION
NEAR MACON GEORGIA. THIS DISTURBANCE IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE
UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND BRISK WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40
MPH TODAY. NOT ONLY THAT BUT THERE WERE SEVERAL SIGHTINGS OF LIGHT
SNOW OR FLURRIES ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA ZONES AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. LOCAL AND UPSTREAM
RADARS AT 1 PM SHOWS RETURN ECHOES EXCLUSIVITY IN THE FORM OF SNOW
OVER EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. THE SNOW IS
ACCUMULATING ON THE GROUND WELL TO THE NORTH OF OUR CWA WHERE
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOWER 30S. AT LAST REPORT...AUBURN HAD
BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES AND IT IS STILL SNOWING HEAVILY IN AND AROUND
THE COLUMBUS AREA WHERE EARLIER THEY REPORTED A THUNDER SNOWSTORM.
HOWEVER...NO ACCUMULATIONS IN OUR TRI-STATE REGION WHERE
TEMPERATURES WERE HOLDING IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. THE ONE
CONCERN IS A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW APPROACHING OUR
NORTHWEST GEORGIA ZONES WHERE THE TEMPERATURE AT EUFAULA ALABAMA
(JUST NORTH OF HENRY COUNTY) IS 36 DEGREES. WE WILL MONITOR THIS
BAND CLOSELY AS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND OUR NORTHWEST
GEORGIA ZONES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...THE CURRENT THINKING
IS THAT LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON
OVER OUR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA ZONES AND THE NORTHERN TIER GEORGIA ZONES
THIS EVENING AND THEN ONLY OVER THE NORTHERNMOST GEORGIA ZONES UNTIL
AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE TEMPERATURES DURING THAT TIME FRAME ARE STILL
FORECAST TO BE AT LEAST IN THE MID 30S SO LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE UPPER LOW
DEPARTS WELL TO OUR NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. AS THE SKIES CLEAR...THE
TEMPS WILL DROP BELOW THE FREEZING MARK AT ALL LOCATIONS...EXCEPT
THE IMMEDIATE FLORIDA COAST BY DAYBREAK MONDAY. SINCE WE ARE NOW IN
THE MONTH OF MARCH...OUR LOCAL POLICY IS TO ISSUE FREEZE WARNINGS
FOR EVERY FORECAST FREEZE OCCURRENCE. THUS...A FREEZE WARNING WILL
BE POSTED FOR ALL ZONES TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...THE WIND ADVISORY WILL
CONTINUE IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL NOT
COMPLETELY DIMINISH BUT WE ARE NOT EXPECTING WIND CHILL CRITERIA TO
BE MET. IT WILL BE SUNNY ON MONDAY BUT STILL WELL BELOW CLIMO AS
AFTERNOON TEMPS ONLY REACH THE LOWER TO MID 50S. ANOTHER LIGHT
FREEZE IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS
POSSIBLY EXPERIENCING HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...THE 00 UTC GFS...ECMWF...
AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...AS THEY ALL FORECAST DEEP LAYER RIDGING TO DEVELOP OVER
THE SOUTHEAST. THIS MEANS FAIR WEATHER AND A WARMING TREND THROUGH
THE PERIOD. DIFFERENCES ARISE LATE NEXT WEEKEND AS THE ECMWF BREAKS
DOWN THE RIDGE AND ALLOWS A COLD FRONT TO COME THROUGH OUR
AREA...WHILE THE GFS AND ENSEMBLE MEAN MAINTAIN THE DEEP LAYER
RIDGING AND FAIR/WARM WEATHER. THE MAJORITY WILL RULE FOR NOW SO WE
WILL FORECAST NICE EARLY SPRING WEATHER.

&&

.MARINE...GALE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. WINDS AS OF 1 PM WERE STILL GUSTING OVER 35 KTS AT THE
BUOYS. THE GALE WARNING WILL BE REPLACED WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
FOR ALL LEGS UNTIL AT LEAST UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA BY LATE MONDAY OR
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 20
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH EXPECTED UNTIL LATE EVENING...THEN WINDS
WILL SLOWLY DECREASE AND GUSTS END BY OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL PICK UP
SOME MON 13Z-18Z. MVFR CIGS TO LINGER (2-3K) BEFORE CLEARING OUT
FROM W-E BEGINNING AROUND MIDNIGHT. THEN CLEAR SKIES THRU PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF THE
STRONG COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL LEAD TO
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR FLORIDA ZONES MONDAY AFTERNOON SO WE
ARE UPGRADING THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING. RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER ALL OF OUR CWA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE IN PLACE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  27 55 27 58 28/ 00 00 00 00 00
PANAMA CITY  33 54 33 59 35/ 00 00 00 00 00
DOTHAN       28 50 27 55 32/ 00 00 00 00 00
ALBANY       27 50 27 56 28/ 20 00 00 00 00
VALDOSTA     30 52 27 57 29/ 10 00 00 00 00
CROSS CITY   27 56 26 59 28/ 00 00 00 00 00

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM CST MONDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...
     HOUSTON.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.

GA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...CALHOUN...
     CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...IRWIN...LEE...
     MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...TIFT...
     TURNER...WORTH.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...CALHOUN...
     CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...
     GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...
     MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...
     THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...
     CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...
     EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...
     MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...
     THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...
     BERRIEN...BROOKS...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...
     DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...
     LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...
     SEMINOLE...TERRELL...THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.

FL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL WALTON...DIXIE...
     FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...
     JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...
     MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT EST /11 PM CST/ TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
     /8 AM CST/ MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...
     COASTAL WALTON...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...
     HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
     LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 8 PM EST /7 PM
     CST/ MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...
     COASTAL WALTON...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...
     HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
     LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL WALTON...
     DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND
     WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...
     MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

GM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ALL ZONES.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST MONDAY
     FOR ALL ZONES.

&&

BLOCK/BARRY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
642 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-021145-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
642 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2009 /542 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...GALE WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST...

...LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA TODAY...

A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING.
VERY COLD AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
REGION BEHIND THIS FRONT...AND SNOW HAS BEEN REPORTED AT NUMEROUS
SITES IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA...IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
UNUSUALLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. SOME OF THIS
SNOW MAY MAKE IT INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST
GEORGIA...AND PERHAPS A FEW FLURRIES EVEN AS FAR SOUTH AS INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. BECAUSE THE SURFACE WILL
REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING...LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS
EXPECTED. ANY SNOW THAT DEVELOPS WILL END LATER TODAY. ELSEWHERE...IT
WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY...WINDY...AND COLD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
LIGHT FREEZES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.
OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

FOURNIER