Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2009

Tornado Watch 293

May 13, 200922 counties in Illinois; 21 counties in Iowa; 27 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 13, 2009, 2:39 PM CDT for 22 counties in Illinois; 21 counties in Iowa; 27 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2009, 2:39 PM CDT (19:39 UTC)
Expired
May 13, 2009, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 70 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Knox County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marion, Polk, Warren38 min
May 13, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXAdair, Putnam, Schuyler, Sullivan30 min
May 13, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Sullivan27 min
May 13, 5:26 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXLinn, Sullivan34 min
May 13, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXAdair22 min
May 13, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn28 min
May 13, 5:55 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXKnox65 min
May 13, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXAdair30 min
May 13, 6:04 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNScotland41 min
May 13, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Macon23 min
May 13, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Macon30 min
May 13, 6:39 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXKnox, Lewis66 min
May 13, 6:46 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNClark, Scotland59 min
May 13, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Shelby51 min
May 13, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Shelby41 min
May 13, 7:35 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXAdams55 min
May 13, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMacon22 min
May 13, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNHancock65 min
May 13, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion38 min
May 13, 8:15 PM CDTTornado WarningILXSchuyler45 min
May 13, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLewis26 min
May 13, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Pike39 min
May 13, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Morgan, Scott45 min
May 13, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Montgomery, Pike38 min
May 13, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Montgomery27 min
May 13, 9:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXSchuyler8 hr
May 13, 10:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXCass, Morgan, Scott8 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2009-05-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2009-05-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 332 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
556 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
332 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
344 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

399 
WWUS20 KWNS 131942
SEL3  
SPC WW 131942
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-140300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 293
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       PARTS OF SOUTHERN IOWA
       PARTS OF WESTERN ILLINOIS
       PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LAMONI IOWA TO 70 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BURLINGTON IOWA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...WITH STRONG TROUGH/WIND MAX PASSING BY TO THE NORTH AND
AIR MASS ACROSS WATCH AREA BECOMING MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND ONLY
WEAKLY CAPPED...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE SOON.  PRIMARY FOCUS
WILL BE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT NOW INTO SWRN IA TO NERN
KS AND EWD ALONG WARM FRONT VICINITY IA/MO BORDER.  STRONG VEERING
SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WHICH WILL INCLUDE NOT ONLY LARGE
HAIL AND WIND THREAT BUT ALSO TORNADOES.  STORMS SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP
EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AS COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD THRU THE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 9:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 54 more63 min
May 13, 1:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clinton, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Macoupin and 7 more30 min
May 13, 1:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Hancock, Jersey and 3 more23 min
May 13, 3:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Cumberland and 24 more5 hr
May 13, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass and 50 more88 min
May 13, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Champaign, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt, DuPage and 26 more5 hr
May 13, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Crawford, Edwards, Effingham, Franklin and 17 more85 min
May 12, 8:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon93 min
May 13, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Caldwell, Camden and 26 more6 hr
May 13, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Carroll, Cass, Cooper and 11 more90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2009Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2009Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2009Every tornado watch in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.