River Flood Warning 167, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
932 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATES OUT FOR NEW TORNADO WATCH 806 UNTIL 12Z/6AM. WARM FRONT
DRAPED NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR WITH MOISTURE PLENTY THICK ON
THE SOUNDING...BUT STILL SOME DRY AIR ALOFT. THE AFTERNOON ROUND
OF TSTM ACTIVITY IS STILL LIFTING OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TIER...WHILE MORE DEVELOPMENT COMING IN OVER THE SOUTHWEST CORNER.
MEANWHILE...THE FRONT AND UPPER LOW COMING OUT INTO CENTRAL TX...NOW
PAST ABILENE. FLASH FLOODING IS A GREAT CONCERN INTO THE
OVERNIGHT AS WELL AS THE TORNADO THREAT. SEVERAL AREAS QUITE
SOAKED FROM FIRST ROUND. AS THE SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS AND MOVES OUR
WAY...WE WILL TRANSITION INTO AN INCREASED DAMAGING WIND THREAT FROM
ANY BOWING SEGMENTS BY DAYBREAK. /24/

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CIGS FOR MOST WITH CONVECTIVE ISSUES AS WELL BRINGING DOWN
VSBY AND VARYING SFC WINDS. SOUTHEAST FLOW OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT TO
SOUTHWEST ALONG THE FRONT AND REMAIN RATHER GUSTY INTO THE
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS LIKELY AS THE COLD AIR SPREADS
BACK INTO THE REGION AFTER DAYBREAK. WE/LL KEEP MVFR AT LEAST AS
COLD AIR DEEPENS AND WIND VEER MORE WESTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
VFR EXPECTED BEYOND TOMORROW AND INTO THE WEEKEND. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  56  56  30  47  30 / 100  70  10  10  10
MLU  60  60  31  47  30 / 100  70  10  10  10
DEQ  54  54  25  43  26 / 100  70  20  10  10
TXK  54  54  29  43  30 / 100  70  20  10  10
ELD  57  57  29  46  28 / 100  70  20  10  10
TYR  49  49  28  45  30 / 100  70  10  10  10
GGG  51  51  26  47  30 / 100  70  10  10  10
LFK  52  55  30  50  31 / 100  70  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ001>006-010-012>014.

OK...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: OKZ077.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES:
     TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-150-151-153.

&&

24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1149 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010-012>014-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-150-151-153-241230-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-
BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-
GREGG-HARRISON-RUSK-PANOLA-SHELBY-
1149 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

STRONG AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO DRAG A STRONG COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE FOUR STATE REGION. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT
LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF A HOPE ARKANSAS TO BOSSIER CITY
LOUISIANA TO MANY LOUISIANA LINE. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

BY LATE THIS EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO
A SQUALL LINE AND MOVE EASTWARD. THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL TRANSITION MORE TO DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN AS THE
SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL
STILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

HEAVY RAINFALL FROM 3 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THIS RAINFALL
COULD LEAD TO FLOODING PROBLEMS...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

AT THIS TIME...THE SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS EAST
TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...CROSSING INTO NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FOUR
STATE REGION BY NOON THURSDAY. BEYOND THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE
PROBABILITY FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY
BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

LAZ011-017>022-TXZ149-152-165>167-241230-
RED RIVER-SABINE LA-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-
CHEROKEE-NACOGDOCHES-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1149 AM CST WED DEC 23 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

STRONG AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO DRAG A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE FOUR STATE REGION. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP BY THIS
AFTERNOON...AFFECTING LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF A HOPE ARKANSAS TO
BOSSIER CITY LOUISIANA TO MANY LOUISIANA LINE. DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

BY LATE THIS EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO
A SQUALL LINE AND MOVE EASTWARD. THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL TRANSITION MORE TO DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN AS THE
SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL
STILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY TODAY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO
PONDING OF ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

AT THIS TIME...THE SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS EAST
TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...CROSSING INTO NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FOUR
STATE REGION BY NOON THURSDAY. BEYOND THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE
PROBABILITY FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE
NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
908 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0906 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ATLANTA                 33.12N 94.16W
12/23/2009                   CASS               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLOODING ON MAIN ST CAUSING CARS TO BE WASHED ON
            SIDEWALKS.

&&

JTALLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1027 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LUFKIN                  31.33N 94.73W
12/23/2009                   ANGELINA           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD DAMAGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF LUFKIN. TREES DOWN
            ON HOUSES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

JTALLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1041 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     FLASH FLOOD      FULTON                  33.61N 93.81W
12/23/2009                   LITTLE RIVER       AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            AN UNDERPASS ON HWY 355 IN FULTON IS FLOODED BY HEAVY
            RAIN.

0945 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HOPE                    33.67N 93.59W
12/23/2009                   HEMPSTEAD          AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING IS REPORTED AT THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD
            332 AND COUNTY ROAD 209.

&&

18

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1257 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     TORNADO          NACOGDOCHES             31.61N 94.65W
12/23/2009                   NACOGDOCHES        TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON HWY 7. REPORT OF 1 HOME WITH THE
            PORCH ROOF REMOVED AND OTHER DAMAGE TO THE HOME.

1002 PM     TORNADO          LUFKIN                  31.33N 94.73W
12/23/2009                   ANGELINA           TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A BUILDING COLLAPSED AND THE ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF AN
            APARTMENT IN TOWN. NO REPORT OF INJURIES.

&&

MBERRY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
104 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

TXZ153-166-167-240730-
SABINE-SAN AUGUSTINE-SHELBY-
104 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 130 AM CST...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN EASTERN TEXAS...
     SHELBY...SAN AUGUSTINE AND SABINE...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     BLAND LAKE...GENEVA...MACUNE...ROSEVINE AND SAN AUGUSTINE...

AT 103 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MACUNE...OR 28 MILES SOUTH OF CENTER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. ALSO THIS STORM IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF ROTATION AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITORED CLOSELY.

18