Flash Flood Warning 142, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 161718
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1218 PM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

MOC091-149-162000-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0142.000000T0000Z-090916T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOWELL MO-OREGON MO-
1218 PM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR
OREGON AND SOUTHERN HOWELL COUNTIES...

AT 940 AM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED THAT EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS 
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. HIGH WATER WAS 
OBSERVED OVER ROADWAYS 8 MILES SOUTH OF ALTON.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING.
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 142 AT THE SPRING RIVER WEST OF LANTON...
HIGHWAY 142 AT THE BENNETTS RIVER WEST OF MOODY...
ROUTE K...3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF POTTERSVILLE...
HIGHWAY 142 AT MYATT CREEK 4 MILES EAST OF LANTON...
ROUTE A JUST WEST OF COUCH.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 9213 3674 9211 3681 9166 3682 9111
      3652 9112 3649 9114

$$

KARDELL

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 161956
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
256 PM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

MOC091-149-162001-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0142.000000T0000Z-090916T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOWELL MO-OREGON MO-
256 PM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 300 PM CDT FOR OREGON AND
SOUTHERN HOWELL COUNTIES...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED 
AREA...HOWEVER...RESIDUAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
SOUTHERN OREGON COUNTY INTO THE EVENING HOURS. RISES ON AREA STREAMS 
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED ARE NOT EXPECTED ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD 
THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR 
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING REPLACES THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHERN 
OREGON COUNTY UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 3649 9213 3674 9211 3681 9166 3682 9111
      3652 9112 3649 9114

$$

HATCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
645 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

...OVERVIEW...
MAIN CONCERN WITH THE SHORT TERM WILL BE PRECIPITATION CHANCES
OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES IN THE CWA. STRONG SYSTEM AND COLD
FRONT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN THE LONGER TERM BY MONDAY AND STRONGER
STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE THEN.

...CURRENT CONDITIONS...
COMPLICATED UPPER PATTERN WITH WEAK FLOW OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS
AND A COUPLE OF SLOW MOVING UPPER LOWS AFFECTING AREAS FROM THE
ROCKIES INTO THE MS VALLEY. LOW CURRENTLY AFFECTING WEATHER OVER
THE CWA WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING.
DECENT SHORTWAVE WAS PUSHING SOUTH OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY THIS MORNING AND IS BRINGING DRIER AIR TO THE
SOUTHWEST INTO THE REGION.

...SHORT TERM FORECAST...
DRIER AIR WILL BE ADVECTING IN FROM THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TODAY AND
WILL BATTLE THE MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
PRESSURE OVER ARKANSAS. WITH THE MOVEMENT TO THE SOUTH OF THE
DRIER AIR...SHOULD SEE LESS COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION TODAY...AND
WILL BE MORE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG THE MISSOURI ARKANSAS BORDER
FOR MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. SHOULD
BEGIN TO SEE LESS CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA TODAY AND
EVENTUALLY WORKING ITS WAY SOUTHWARD BY THE END OF THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOW 80S WITH LOWS FROM THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S. DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE
ON THE DECREASE...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN CWA INITIALLY AS THIS
DRIER AIR MASS MOVES INTO THE REGION.

...EXTENDED PERIOD...
EYES WILL TURN TO SYSTEM PUSHING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS
WEEKEND. LATEST GFS DROPS THIS SYSTEM SOUTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON MONDAY AND CLOSES OFF A LOW. DECENT COLD FRONT DEVELOPS
AND PUSHES THROUGH DURING THE DAY MONDAY. COULD SEE SOME STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS SHOULD CURRENT GFS SCENARIO PLAY OUT.
HOWEVER...MODELS HAVE BEEN VERY INCONSISTENT IN THE EXTENDED
LATELY SO WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS FURTHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...

PILOTS FLYING IN AND OUT OF SPRINGFIELD AND JOPLIN AIRPORTS CAN
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
COVER WILL CONTINUE TO HOVER OVER THESE AIRPORTS...AS MOISTURE
CIRCULATES AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS. NORTHEAST BREEZES COULD GUST IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH AT TIMES
THIS AFTERNOON.

THE BRANSON AIRPORT WILL EXPERIENCE SOME AVIATION CONCERNS REGARDING
MVFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN.  A MODERATE TO
HEAVY SHIELD OF RAIN WAS OBSERVED OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS.  A FEW
STRAY SHOWERS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS SHIELD OF RAIN WILL
IMPACT THE BRANSON AIRPORT...POTENTIALLY LEADING TO PERIODS OF MVFR
VISIBILITIES.

CRAMER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
407 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170915-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
407 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER ARKANSAS TODAY WITH DRIER AIR
MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. THIS SHOULD KEEP
MOST OF THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN
MISSOURI AND AREAS TO THE SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT.  SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DROP SOUTHEAST INTO
THE PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION ON MONDAY.  THIS WILL
BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG