Flash Flood Warning 138, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 050746
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
246 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2009

MOC009-153-209-213-051300-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0138.000000T0000Z-090905T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
STONE MO-BARRY MO-TANEY MO-OZARK MO-
246 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT FOR
OZARK...SOUTHEASTERN BARRY...SOUTHERN STONE AND SOUTHERN TANEY
COUNTIES...

AT 241 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL 
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RADAR ESTIMATED ONE TO TWO INCHES OF 
RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN 
EXCESS OF FOUR INCHES. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY 
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.  THE RIDGEDALE AREA IN 
SOUTHWEST TANEY COUNTY...AND PORTIONS OF OZARK COUNTY BETWEEN 
THORNFIELD AND UDALL ARE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

ROUTE T AT LICK CREEK 6 MILES SOUTH OF GAINESVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9389 3659 9384 3661 9332 3679 9212
      3650 9213 3649 9388

$$

FOSTER

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 051149
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
649 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2009

MOC009-153-209-213-051156-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0138.000000T0000Z-090905T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
STONE MO-BARRY MO-TANEY MO-OZARK MO-
649 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR OZARK...
SOUTHEASTERN BARRY...SOUTHERN STONE AND SOUTHERN TANEY COUNTIES...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. 
HOWEVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND LOW WATER 
CROSSINGS. THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH AN AREAL 
FLOOD WARNING.  IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO 
YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.


LAT...LON 3650 9389 3659 9384 3661 9332 3679 9212
      3650 9213 3649 9388

$$

FOSTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1132 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2009

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LOW CENTERED ALONG THE KS/MO BORDER ATTM WILL BE THE MAIN
SHORT TERM CONCERN.

AREAS OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION HAVE PRODUCED ISOLATED HEAVY
RAIN. MOST OF THE RAIN HAS OCCURRED IN COUNTIES ALONG AND NORTH OF
OF I-44. AREAS SOUTH OF I-44 HAVE HAD ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION...AND
THAT HAS BEEN MAINLY CONFINED TO AREAS WEST OF MO HWY 65. HARD TO
PINPOINT ANY ONE AREA FOR RAINFALL TONIGHT WITH NEAR TERM MODELS
HAVING TROUBLE WITH CONVECTION/CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. IN
GENERAL...SHOULD SEE BETTER RAIN CHANCES SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST WITH
TIME ALONG AND EAST OF THE WEAKENING MID LEVEL TROUGH/SHEAR
AXIS...AND WHERE BETTER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT EXISTS. HAVE
LIKELY POPS GOING FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER ROUGHLY THE
SOUTHEAST TWO THIRDS TO HALF OF THE CWFA. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY...HAVE MOST OF THE PRECIP CHANCES CONFINED TO SOUTH CENTRAL
MO COUNTIES. THIS COULD LINGER INTO MONDAY IN THE FORM OF SOME
ISOLD/WDLY SCT DIURNAL CONVECTION IF THE UPPER TROUGH LINGERS.
CERTAINLY NOT LOOKING AT A WIDESPREAD WASHOUT FOR THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS FASTER
LIFTING THE UPPER SHEAR AXIS EAST VERSUS THE GFS (AND DRYER OVER
OUR AREA)...AND PREFER THE ECMWF IN MOST SITUATIONS.

A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES THROUGH THE LOWER MO/MID MS RIVER VLYS
LATE MONDAY-EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND HAVE LEFT THIS PERIOD GENERALLY
DRY. THERE IS FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MED RANGE MODELS IN
MOVING A STRONG SHORTWAVE THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND THE UPPER
MIDWEST WED/THU. MODEL TRENDS HAVE BEEN A LITTLE SLOWER WITH THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FROPA THROUGH OUR AREA...AND HAVE CONFINED POPS TO
THE LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY TIME FRAME. DSA

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...MOST OF THE RAINFALL WITH THE UPPER LOW WAS
AFFECTING LOCATIONS EAST OF THE TERMINAL FORECAST POINTS. STILL
HAVE CEILINGS DROPPING FLIGHT CATEGORY INTO MVFR/IFR OVERNIGHT AS
CEILINGS BEGIN TO LOWER. VISIBILITIES EXPECTED TO ALSO DROP TO
AROUND 2SM OVERNIGHT BEFORE IMPROVING BY MID MORNING SATURDAY.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-060100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
752 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
CONTINUES TO MOVE FROM ALONG THE MISSOURI KANSAS BORDER INTO
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED...HOWEVER SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH THE WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW
SHIFTING EAST THE MISSOURI OZARKS SUNDAY NIGHT. NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
946 PM CDT FRI SEP 04 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     FLOOD            SALEM                   37.65N 91.54W
09/04/2009                   DENT               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOW WATER CROSSING IN SALEM FLOODED.

&&

KARDELL