Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 121820
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
120 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2009

MOC009-119-145-122100-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-090412T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEWTON MO-BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-
120 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR
BARRY...MCDONALD AND NEWTON COUNTIES...

EARLIER TODAY...PUBLIC INFORMATION WAS RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE THAT A FEW ROADS OVER SOUTHERN BARRY COUNTY WERE 
EITHER FLOODED OR NEAR FLOOD.  WATER IN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS 
CONTINUED TO RISE...THEREFORE ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.  
HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE 
REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING.  

RUNOFF FROM THIS MORNINGS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH 
FLOODING. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3705 9462 3706 9410 3705 9406 3693 9407
      3692 9362 3683 9363 3682 9359 3649 9360
      3649 9461

$$

CRAMER

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 122050
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2009

MOC009-119-145-122101-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-090412T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEWTON MO-BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-
350 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 400 PM CDT FOR BARRY...
MCDONALD AND NEWTON COUNTIES...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3705 9462 3706 9410 3705 9406 3693 9407
      3692 9362 3683 9363 3682 9359 3649 9360
      3649 9461

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
628 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2009

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS/CHALLENGES IN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL
CONTINUE TO DEAL WITH THE STORM SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
ASSOCIATED RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TODAY AND MONDAY.

CURRENTLY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING...AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS NEW MEXICO EARLY THIS MORNING. A VERY DRY
AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT
WILL CONTINUE TO MOISTEN FROM THE WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING.

THE SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD TO
THE NORTHEAST INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING....OVERCOMING THE DRY AIR
ACROSS THE WESTERN CWA AROUND DAYBREAK. THIS RAIN WILL SLOWLY
SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE DAY...WITH MAINLY THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
CWA AFFECTED THIS MORNING...AND ACTIVITY SPREADING ACROSS THE ENTIRE
CWA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SCATTERED ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
OCCUR OVERNIGHT WITH THE BETTER CHANCES OCCURRING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN CWA. THE LOW WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE SOUTH TODAY AND THE
WARM SECTOR WILL ALSO. SO...INSTABILITY AND THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE MAY
BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO HOWEVER.
MAINLY LOOKING AT A NICE STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL
OCCURRING ACROSS THE AREA.

THE LOW WILL TRACK FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO AND THROUGH THE AREA ON
MONDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW AND RELATIVELY WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR IN
PLACE AHEAD OF THE LOW. WITH THE LOW EXPECTED TO BE OVERHEAD ON
MONDAY THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A TEMPERATURE GRADIENT OF
AROUND 10 DEGREES OR SO FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CWA TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN CWA. INSTABILITY WILL ALSO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI MONDAY AS THE LOW TRACKS INTO THE AREA AND
TEMPERATURES ALOFT COOL. THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN A SEVERE
HAIL THREAT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON HOURS. THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND WRAP AROUND RAIN MAY LINGER ACROSS THE AREA...
ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN CWA INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

A COLD AIRMASS WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND
TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED AS LOWS SHOULD
DROP INTO THE 30S. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS CLOUDS WILL LINGER OVER
THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...LIMITING ANY FROST
POTENTIAL. HOWEVER IF THE SKIES CLEAR OUT QUICKER THERE COULD BE
SOME FROST POTENTIAL.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE REGION DURING THE MID PART OF
THE WEEK...WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE AREA.
THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA LATE NEXT WEEK BRINGING
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO THE REGION.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE...COMPLEX FORECAST AS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE REGION AND INTO A DRY
AIRMASS. REGIONAL RADAR INDICATES A WIDE SWATH OF RAINFALL MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE AREA. MUCH OF THIS MOISTURE HAS BEEN SPENT
MOISTENING THE ATMOSPHERE WITH LIGHT RAIN JUST NOW BEING REPORTED
AT JLN. VFR CIG/VIS WILL CONTINUE AT JLN THROUGH MID MORNING...
WITH A TRANSITION TO MVFR BY LATE MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THIS MORNING AT SGF...TRANSITIONING TO
MVFR FROM MIDDAY INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. PERSISTENT LIFT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDWEST WILL MAINTAIN RAIN AT BOTH TAF SITES
ALL DAY AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. AVAILABLE MODEL OUTPUT
AND STATISTICS INDICATE THAT WE SHOULD TRANSITION TO IFR CIGS BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE FOLLOWED ACCORDINGLY. IFR WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH DRIZZLE AND ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS
POSSIBLE.

GAGAN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
840 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-131000-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
840 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  A LARGE SHIELD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS MUCH
  OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI TODAY.  A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO
  FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY OVER SOME AREAS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
  SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI MONDAY.  LARGE HAIL CAN NOT
  BE RULED OUT OVER AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 63.

  YET ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BRINGING A
  CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE NEXT WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WISE / CRAMER