Storm Warning 4, NWS Seattle, WA

287 
WHUS76 KSEW 152255
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
255 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

PZZ130-150-153-156-170-173-176-160700-
/O.UPG.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091116T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KSEW.SR.W.0004.091115T2300Z-091117T1800Z/
WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO
60 NM-
255 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY...

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY. THE
GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL THE WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA
CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ132-133-160700-
/O.UPG.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T0400Z/
/O.EXB.KSEW.SR.W.0004.091115T2300Z-091117T1800Z/
EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS-
255 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL THE WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA
CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ135-160700-
/O.UPG.KSEW.SC.Y.0379.000000T0000Z-091117T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T0400Z/
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
255 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ134-160700-
/O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T0400Z/
ADMIRALTY INLET-
255 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ131-160700-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0379.000000T0000Z-091117T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T1400Z-091118T0000Z/
CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
255 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST MONDAY...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
PST MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO
33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF
21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ110-160700-
/O.CON.KSEW.RB.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-091117T2200Z/
GRAYS HARBOR BAR-
255 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
2 PM PST TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM
PST TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR
HARBOR ENTRANCES.

&&

$$

ALBRECHT
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

835 
WHUS76 KSEW 160622
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1022 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

PZZ134-135-161430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T2300Z/
ADMIRALTY INLET-PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
1022 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST TUESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-161430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-091116T2000Z/
/O.EXB.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T0200Z-091117T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO
60 NM-
1022 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST MONDAY...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST
MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO
33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF
21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ130-132-133-161430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-091116T2000Z/
/O.EXB.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T0800Z-091117T2300Z/
WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS-
1022 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST MONDAY...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST
MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO
33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF
21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ131-161430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SC.Y.0379.000000T0000Z-091117T1400Z/
/O.EXT.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T1400Z-091117T2300Z/
CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
1022 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST TUESDAY...
...STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST TUESDAY.
THE STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO
33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF
21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ110-161430-
/O.CON.KSEW.RB.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-091117T2200Z/
GRAYS HARBOR BAR-
1022 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
2 PM PST TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM
PST TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR
HARBOR ENTRANCES.

&&

$$

460 
WHUS76 KSEW 161708
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
908 AM PST MON NOV 16 2009

PZZ132-133-170115-
/O.CAN.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-091116T2000Z/
/O.CON.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T0800Z-091117T2300Z/
EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS-
908 AM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...STORM WARNING HAS ENDED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ENDED THE STORM
WARNING FOR THIS MORNING. A STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-170115-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T0200Z-091117T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO
60 NM-
908 AM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY...

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY. THE
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL THE WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA
CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ130-170115-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T0800Z-091117T2300Z/
WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
908 AM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY...

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY. THE
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL THE WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA
CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ134-135-170115-
/O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T2300Z/
ADMIRALTY INLET-PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
908 AM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ131-170115-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0379.000000T0000Z-091117T1400Z/
/O.CON.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T1400Z-091117T2300Z/
CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
908 AM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST
TUESDAY...
...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST TUESDAY.
A STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO
33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF
21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ110-170115-
/O.CON.KSEW.RB.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-091117T2200Z/
GRAYS HARBOR BAR-
908 AM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
2 PM PST TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM
PST TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR
HARBOR ENTRANCES.

&&

$$

539 
WHUS76 KSEW 162258
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
258 PM PST MON NOV 16 2009

PZZ131-170700-
/O.UPG.KSEW.SC.Y.0379.000000T0000Z-091117T1400Z/
/O.EXB.KSEW.GL.W.0062.091117T0900Z-091117T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T1400Z-091117T2300Z/
CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
258 PM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM PST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM PST TUESDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE STORM WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ132-133-170700-
/O.EXB.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KSEW.SR.A.0003.091117T0800Z-091117T2300Z/
EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS-
258 PM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY. THE STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ135-170700-
/O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0380.091116T2258Z-091117T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T1200Z/
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
258 PM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST
TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO
33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF
21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ134-170700-
/O.EXT.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
ADMIRALTY INLET-
258 PM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ130-150-153-156-170-173-176-170700-
/O.CON.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO
60 NM-
258 PM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL THE WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA
CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ110-170700-
/O.EXT.KSEW.RB.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-091119T0000Z/
GRAYS HARBOR BAR-
258 PM PST MON NOV 16 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM
PST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 PM PST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR
HARBOR ENTRANCES.

&&

$$

650 
WHUS76 KSEW 171125
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
325 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2009

PZZ130-150-153-156-170-173-176-171930-
/O.CAN.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.GL.A.0028.091118T2000Z-091119T1400Z/
WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO
60 NM-
325 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...STORM WARNING HAS ENDED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON. A
GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE STORM
WARNING HAS ENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ135-171930-
/O.CAN.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0381.091117T1125Z-091117T2100Z/
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
325 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING HAS ENDED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
GALE WARNING HAS ENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO
33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF
21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ132>134-171930-
/O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.GL.A.0028.091118T2000Z-091119T1400Z/
EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS-
ADMIRALTY INLET-
325 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ131-171930-
/O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-091117T2100Z/
CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
325 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ110-171930-
/O.EXT.KSEW.RB.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-091119T0200Z/
GRAYS HARBOR BAR-
325 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
PST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 PM PST WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR
HARBOR ENTRANCES.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED TO INCLUDE AVALANCHE SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
400 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

.SYNOPSIS...A WARM FRONT WILL BRING RAIN TO WESTERN WASHINGTON
TODAY. A VIGOROUS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON
AND SOUTHWEST BRITISH COLUMBIA TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HEAVY
RAIN WILL FALL IN THE OLYMPICS AND AT TIMES IN THE NORTH CASCADES.
ANOTHER STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR
THURSDAY. THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WARM FRONT TODAY AND STALLED BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE
AREA TNGT THRU MON NITE. A PLUME OF WET +4C AIR IN SW FLOW ARND 50KT
AT 850MB AIMED AT THE OLYMPICS...AND THE FLOW WILL BACK TO MORE SLY
THRU MONDAY KEEPING HEAVY RAIN IN THE OLYMPICS. THE LOWLANDS MIGHT
BE WETTER TODAY THAN ON MON...BUT THEN BECOMING WINDIER THRU MON.
THE NAM FOR EXAMPLE HAS RAIN OVER THE REGION TODAY BUT CREATES LARGE
DRY AREAS IN THE PRECIP FCST OVER THE LOWLANDS MONDAY...WHILE
KEEPING THE HVY RAIN GOING IN THE OLYMPICS AND NORTH CASCADES. I
THINK THE POPS ARE PROBABLY TOO HIGH MONDAY FOR THE LOWLANDS AND
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF BEING IN THE DRIER WARM SECTOR OF THE
SYSTEM FOR A PERIOD. FAIRLY CERTAIN IS THAT THE WINDIEST SPOTS WILL
BE THE COAST AND NORTH INTERIOR NORTH OF EVERETT...AND A WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR THE NORTH
INTERIOR/ISLANDS/ADMIRALTY INLET AREA.

LOOKING AT THE BIG PICTURE...THERE IS A BROAD UPPER TROF IN THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC W/ A RATHER STRONG NWLY JET STREAM NEAR THE WRN
ALEUTIANS (AS STRONG AS 180KT IN THE ECMWF) AND BOTH THE GLOBAL
MODELS KEEP AROUND A 145KT JET ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROF AND
INTO B.C. THRU MON. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF JET STREAKS THAT INDUCE A
STRONGER GRADIENT AT TIMES...AND IF YOU LOOK AT THE NAM THERE ARE
SEVERAL SFC LOW PRES TROFS AND LOW CENTERS THAT CRUISE NE ALONG THE
FNTL BAND THEN MOVE INTO B.C. BUT IN GENERAL THE PRES GRADIENT
DOESNT CHANGE A LOT OVER WRN WA AND THE WINDS ALOFT ARE FAIRLY
STRONG AND STEADY...SO I HAVE BROADBRUSHED A WET BLUSTERY FCST. THE
MESOSCALE MODELS HAVE GALE TO STORM FORCE SLY WINDS AT TIMES OVER
THE ORE AND WA COASTAL WATERS SO I WILL KEEP THE HIGH WIND WATCH
GOING FOR THE COAST. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A DEEP SFC LOW WILL FORM
OFFSHORE MONDAY AND TRACK TOWARD VANCOUVER ISLAND MON NITE SO THAT
COULD BE THE FINALE TO THIS SYSTEM...HOWEVER THE UW MESO ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS DO NOT SHOW MUCH CONSENSUS ON THAT YET.  19

.LONG TERM...THE NEXT VIGOROUS FNTL SYS IS TIMED FOR PM WED OR
THURSDAY...FOR NOW THE GFS TAKES A DEEP SFC LOW IN THE 970S TO THE
CHARLOTTES WED EVENING AND THEN A SECONDARY LOW IN THE 990S TO NEAR
TOFINO MIDDAY THU...AND ANOTHER SFC LOW PRES TROF TO FOLLOW THU
NITE. IT LOOKS WET AT TIMES THRU NEXT WEEKEND...BUT THE DETAILS HAVE
NOT BEEN CONSISTENT IN THE MODELS AND THE ECMWF IS A NOTCH COOLER
AND FASTER WITH THAT SYSTEM. BOTH MODELS HAVE A COOL UPPER TROF
ALONG THE WEST COAST BY FRI WITH A FLAT DIRTY RIDGE OFFSHORE AND
ADDITIONAL SYSTEMS UPSTREAM. 19

&&

.HYDROLOGY...HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL IN THE OLYMPICS AND OVER VANCOUVER
ISLAND AND SOUTHWEST BRITISH COLUMBIA...AND HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
FOR THE NORTHERN CASCADES THRU MON NITE. THE MODELS HAVE
CONSISTENTLY SPARED THE CASCADES SOUTH OF ABOUT STEVENS PASS.
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED ON THE GREEN RIVER.

THE LATEST MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS FOR THE OLYMPICS...AROUND A FOOT OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT
48HRS. A FEW EXTREME POINTS HAVE A FORECAST OF 17INCHES FROM THE 4KM
WRFGFS. THAT MODEL SHOWS HEAVY RAIN IN THE NORTHERNMOST CASCADES AND
SO WHATCOM COUNTY IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE
OLYMPICS...AND YOU CAN SEE A FEW HOT SPOTS SUCH AS MOUNT RAINIER AS
WELL IN THE GUIDANCE...HOWEVER THE UW MODEL MIGHT BE TOO WET WITH
THAT AND I THINK THE BIG PICTURE FROM THE GFS40 IS WORTH A LOOK...IT
SHOWS A 10INCH BULLSEYE FOR THE OLYMPICS WITH ONLY 2INCHES ARND
MOUNT RAINIER. THE 48HR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR MOST OF THE INTERIOR
LOWLANDS AND THE CASCADES SOUTH OF STEVENS PASS IS NOT IMPRESSIVE.
SINCE THE MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN BACKING THE FLOW TO MORE
SSW THRU MONDAY...WHICH FAVORS HAMMERING VANCOUVER ISLAND AND THE
OLYMPICS...WHILE SPARING THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH CASCADES...THE FLOOD
WATCH CONTINUES TO LOOK GOOD FOR THE OLYMPIC COUNTIES PLUS WHATCOM
COUNTY.

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE AND WET THRU NEXT WEEKEND.
THE NE PACIFIC WILL HAVE A STRONG JET STREAM AND PROGRESSIVE FRONTAL
SYSTEMS. THE SYSTEM TIMED FOR WED NITE OR THURSDAY LOOKS LIKE A
TYPICAL STRONG FNTL SYS AND NO REAL CHARACTERISTICS OF A FLOODING
EVENT...BUT WOULD CERTAINLY DELAY THE RIVERS RECEDING AND MIGHT VERY
WELL CAUSE THE SKOKOMISH RIVER IN MASON COUNTY TO JUMP BACK UP TO
FLOOD STAGE...IF IT HAS EVEN RECEDED BY THEN. NEXT WEEKEND IS A
NOTCH WARMER AND RATHER WET IN BOTH THE GLOBAL MODELS AND WILL NEED
TO BE WATCHED...IF YOU COMBINED THE WETTER AND WARMER GFS WITH THE
COOLER AND MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF AND IMAGINE AN AVERAGE SOLUTION IT
IS POSSIBLE THAT A MORE WLY SO CALLED ATMOSPHERIC RIVER OF MOISTURE
COULD PERSIST OVER WRN WA FOR 48-72HRS. 19

&&

.AVIATION...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...BACKING SLIGHTLY AND GRADUALLY
STRENGTHENING DURING THE PERIOD. A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEAST
INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON FROM VANCOUVER ISLAND WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OF
THE AREA THIS MORNING. THEN A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND SOUTHWEST FROM
SOUTHWEST BRITISH COLUMBIA ACROSS THE WASHINGTON OFFSHORE WATERS
TODAY AND TONIGHT WHILE MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD. SOUTHEAST SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL GRADUALLY RISE
DURING THE PERIOD. THE AIR MASS WILL BE STABLE AND MOIST.

RAIN HAS BEEN SLOWLY FILLING IN ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE WITH CONDITIONS
GENERALLY DETERIORATING TO MVFR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THERE WILL
BE LITTLE IMPROVEMENT THROUGH TONIGHT AS PERIODS OF RAIN CONTINUE
WITH MVFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING...AND OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE DURING HEAVIER RAINFALL. AS MENTIONED ABOVE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE PERIOD...RISING TO 40 KT AT 5000 FT
THIS MORNING IN THE 16Z-20Z TIME FRAME.

KSEA...SOUTHERLY WIND 5-10 KT RISING TO 7-14 KT THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD DETERIORATE TO MVFR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS AND MORE OR LESS STAY THAT WAY THROUGH TONIGHT. CEILINGS WILL
BE MAINLY IN THE 2000-3000 FT RANGE. MCDONNAL

&&

.MARINE...SOUTHEASTERLY GALES DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT CLOSE TO FORECAST
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...ENTRANCES TO THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA...
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS...AND AS A BONUS ADMIRALTY INLET. THE WARM
FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON FROM VANCOUVER
ISLAND WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. HOWEVER A
STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWEST FROM SOUTHWEST BRITISH
COLUMBIA WILL THEN SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION LATER TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT.

STRONGER SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL DEVELOP AS THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES...SO THE GALES WILL GENERALLY CONTINUE AND EVEN
STRENGTHEN. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A FAIRLY STRONG POTENTIAL
FOR STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND AT THE WEST
ENTRANCE TO THE STRAIT LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...THOUGH
THEY DIFFER CONSIDERABLY ON DETAILS OF TIMING AND LOCATION. AT THIS
TIME I WILL STAY WITH A STORM WATCH.

AFTER THE FRONT PASSES MONDAY NIGHT...MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME
DIFFICULTY IN TIMING INDIVIDUAL WEATHER SYSTEMS. BUT THE MODEL
CONSENSUS IS FOR AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE PASSAGE OF SEVERAL VIGOROUS FRONTAL WAVES. THE
CURRENT BROAD BRUSH APPROACH FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY STILL
LOOKS APPROPRIATE GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE DETAILS. MCDONNAL

&&

.AVALANCHE...RECENT RELATIVELY LARGE AMOUNTS OF COLDER..WEAKER SNOW
SHOULD BE LOADED AND STRESSED BY INCREASINGLY HEAVY...DENSER SNOW OR
RAIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN THE OLYMPICS AND
NORTHERN WA CASCADES. AS A RESULT A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE
AVALANCHE DANGER IS LIKELY. WATCHES ARE ALREADY OUT AND WILL ISSUE
APPROPRIATE WARNINGS SHORTLY. HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HEADED
FOR THE OLYMPICS AND NORTH...WHERE PERIODS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION
WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO LATER MONDAY BEFORE FREEZING LEVELS LOWER
MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. THOUGH THE PRECIPITATION BULLSEYE
APPEARS CENTERED MOSTLY NORTH AND OLYMPICS...THE RESULTS OF THE
HIGHER FREEZING LEVELS AND MORE MODEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS FURTHER
SOUTH SHOULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT INCREASES IN THE AVALANCHE
DANGER IN ALL AREAS. EARLY SEASON BACK COUNTRY TRAVELERS SHOULD
RATCHET BACK THEIR TIME IN AND EXPOSURE TO STEEPER AVALANCHE TERRAIN
UNTIL THE RECENT SNOWPACK BEGINS TO STABILIZE ...EITHER THROUGH
SETTLEMENT OR AVALANCHES. MOORE

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...HIGH WIND WATCH CENTRAL AND NORTH WASHINGTON COAST LATE TONIGHT
     THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
    .WIND ADVISORY SAN JUAN...WESTERN WHATCOM AND SKAGIT COUNTIES...
     ADMIRALTY INLET AREA AND EVERETT AND VICINITY.
    .FLOOD WATCH FOR VARIOUS COUNTIES IN WESTERN WASHINGTON.

PZ...GALE WARNING FOR COASTAL WATERS...ENTRANCES TO THE STRAIT OF
     JUAN DE FUCA...ADMIRALTY INLET...NORTHERN INLAND WATERS.
    .SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL STRAIT...PUGET SOUND AND HOOD
     CANAL.
    .SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GRAYS HARBOR FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS.
    .STORM WATCH COASTAL WATERS AND WEST ENTRANCE STRAIT THIS
     EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

FOR AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION...PLEASE SEE
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATESTWEBAFD.HTML.