High Wind Warning 2, NWS Blacksburg, VA

000 
WWUS71 KRNK 291713
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
113 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...STRONG WEST WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT...

.A COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE
ALONG THE FRONT WILL BE STRENGTHENING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST.
THE WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BECOME STRONGER BY
EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.

NCZ001-018-VAZ015-020-300115-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0002.090329T2000Z-090330T1300Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...INDEPENDENCE...
WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...HOT SPRINGS
113 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE SHARPLY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STRONG OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH...ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN
TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED
ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ010>014-016>019-022>024-300115-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0009.090329T2000Z-090330T1300Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...BLAND...PEARISBURG...
WYTHEVILLE...PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...GALAX...FLOYD...
NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...
LEXINGTON
113 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE SHARPLY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STRONG OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG MAY CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES DUE TO
THE WET SOIL. THEY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS71 KRNK 291846
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
246 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...STRONG WEST WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT...

.A COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE
ALONG THE FRONT WILL BE STRENGTHENING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST.
THE WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BECOME STRONGER BY
EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.

NCZ001-018-VAZ015-020-300300-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0002.090329T2000Z-090330T1300Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...INDEPENDENCE...
WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...HOT SPRINGS
246 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

WEST WINDS ARE GOING TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH ANTICIPATED. THE STRONGER WINDS WILL LAST THROUGH
DAWN...AND THE HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO THE
RIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40
MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER
OUTAGES...DOWNED TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK
FURNITURE...INDOORS.



&&

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ009-300300-
/O.EXA.KRNK.WI.Y.0009.090329T2000Z-090330T1300Z/
SURRY-WILKES-SMYTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...MARION
246 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH CAN
BE EXPECTED THROUGH DAWN...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE RIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WIND ADVISORY MEANS WINDS GUSTS TO UP TO 50 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED. THE RECENT RAINS HAVE CREATED WET SOIL CONDITIONS...AND
THESE WINDS COULD DOWN SMALLER TREES AS WELL AS DEAD ONES. THIS
COULD ALSO IMPACT POWER LINES OVERNIGHT. DRIVING OF HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES WILL ALSO BECOME DIFFICULT. SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR
FURNITURE OR TRASH CANS.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ010>014-016>019-022>024-300300-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0009.090329T2000Z-090330T1300Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...BLAND...PEARISBURG...
WYTHEVILLE...PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...GALAX...FLOYD...
NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...
LEXINGTON
246 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH CAN
BE EXPECTED THROUGH DAWN...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE RIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WIND ADVISORY MEANS WINDS GUSTS TO UP TO 50 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED. THE RECENT RAINS HAVE CREATED WET SOIL CONDITIONS...AND
THESE WINDS COULD DOWN SMALLER TREES AS WELL AS DEAD ONES. THIS
COULD ALSO IMPACT POWER LINES OVERNIGHT. DRIVING OF HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES WILL ALSO BECOME DIFFICULT. SECURE ANY LOOSE
OUTDOOR FURNITURE OR TRASH CANS.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS71 KRNK 300113
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
913 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...STRONG WEST WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT PASSES OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST OVERNIGHT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS
SYSTEM AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL
RESULT IN CONTINUED VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS INTO LATE TONIGHT.

NCZ001-018-VAZ015-020-300915-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090330T1300Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...INDEPENDENCE...
WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...HOT SPRINGS
913 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR STRONGER WILL
PERSIST OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER
OUTAGES...DOWNED TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...
INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ002-003-019-VAZ009>014-016>019-022>024-300915-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-090330T1300Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WILKES-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-
MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-
ROCKBRIDGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...MARION...
BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...PULASKI...RADFORD...
BLACKSBURG...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON
913 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 OR 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR
ALONG THE RIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WIND ADVISORY MEANS WINDS GUSTS TO UP TO 50 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED. THE RECENT RAINS HAVE CREATED WET SOIL CONDITIONS...AND
THESE WINDS COULD DOWN SMALLER TREES AS WELL AS DEAD ONES. THIS
COULD ALSO IMPACT POWER LINES OVERNIGHT. DRIVING OF HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES WILL ALSO BECOME DIFFICULT. SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR
FURNITURE OR TRASH CANS.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS71 KRNK 300725
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
324 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2009

...STRONG WEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT PASSES OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THIS SYSTEM AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL
RESULT IN CONTINUED VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS INTO THIS MORNING.

NCZ001-018-VAZ015-020-301300-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090330T1300Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...INDEPENDENCE...
WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...HOT SPRINGS
324 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

WEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR STRONGER WILL
PERSIST THIS MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
THE HIGHER RIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER
OUTAGES...DOWNED TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...
INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ002-003-019-VAZ009>014-016>019-022>024-301300-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-090330T1300Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WILKES-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-
MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-
ROCKBRIDGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...MARION...
BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...PULASKI...RADFORD...
BLACKSBURG...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON
324 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

WEST WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 OR 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
RIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WIND ADVISORY MEANS WINDS GUSTS TO UP TO 50 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED. THE RECENT RAINS HAVE CREATED WET SOIL CONDITIONS...AND
THESE WINDS COULD DOWN SMALLER TREES AS WELL AS DEAD ONES. THIS
COULD ALSO IMPACT POWER LINES OVERNIGHT. DRIVING OF HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES WILL ALSO BECOME DIFFICULT. SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR
FURNITURE OR TRASH CANS.

&&

$$

RCS

000 
WWUS71 KRNK 301321
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
921 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2009

...WEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA TODAY.


NCZ001-018-VAZ015-020-301430-
/O.EXP.KRNK.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090330T1300Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...INDEPENDENCE...
WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...HOT SPRINGS
921 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TODAY. THE HIGH WINDS THAT ACCOMPANIED YESTERDAYS
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE...WITH NEAR CALM
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD.

$$

NCZ002-003-019-VAZ009>014-016>019-022>024-301430-
/O.EXP.KRNK.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-090330T1300Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WILKES-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-
MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-
ROCKBRIDGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...MARION...
BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...PULASKI...RADFORD...
BLACKSBURG...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON
921 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2009

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS THAT ACCOMPANIED
YESTERDAYS FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE...WITH NEAR
CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
356 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES LATER TODAY. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
SWING EAST THROUGH OUR AREA THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
SUNDAY NIGHT ON STRONG WEST WINDS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE WEDGE IS FINALLY ERODING ON THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
EDGES...THOUGH I EXPECT MUCH OF THE SW VA PIEDMONT TO STAY IN THE
WEDGE TILL THE OCCLUDED FRONT PASSES THROUGH THIS MORNING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...BUT WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE OVER THE SHALLOW WEDGE. I
HAVE KEPT SOME EARLY MORNING POPS IN- HIGHEST ACROSS THE NRN CWA
CLOSER TO THE UPPER LOW AND WHERE THERE IS SOME WEAK INSTABILITY
IN THE WEST...I KEPT IN A CHC OF TSTMS EARLY. BY 1100 AM...I HAVE
REMOVED POPS IN THE EAST...AND LOWERED POPS TO LOW CHC/SLIGHT CHC
IN THE MTNS AS CURRENT RADAR/OBS DOES NOT SHOW MUCH BEHIND THE
FRONT...AND LOW LEVEL WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE SW MUCH OF
THE DAY...NOT GOOD UPSLOPE. HIGH TEMPS TODAY WERE A CHALLENGE. IN
THE WEST- PARTICULARLY THE FAR WESTERN SLOPES AREAS...COLDER AIR
MOVES IN RIGHT AROUND 800 AM. I SUSPECT THAT THEY WILL SEE FALLING
TEMPS OUT THAT WAY. THEN FURTHER EAST...I HAVE TEMPS STEADYING OUT
REST OF THE MTNS TOWARD NOON...AND MILD TEMPS IN THE PIEDMONT.
KEPT THEM IN THE LOWER 70S IN THE FAR EAST...WELL ABOVE GUIDANCE.
FINALLY...THERE WILL BE A FEW HOURS OF STRONGER WINDS JUST AHEAD
OF AND BEHIND THE FRONT THIS MORNING...BUT NOT HIGH ENOUGH FOR
ADVISORIES ANYWHERE. WILL LET THE WIND ADVISORY IN TAZEWELL AND
MERCER COUNTIES EXPIRE AT 400 AM.

TONIGHT...THE UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS ACROSS THE AREA BY EVENING. THIS
COLD POOL WILL LIKELY BRING GOOD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS INTO THE MTNS
WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF >7 C/KM. ALSO...WITH SOME SUN ANS
SFC HEATING...LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME NEAR 10C/KM...AND THERE
IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. FOR NOW I HAVE RAISED
POPS TO HIGH CHC...WITH SOME LIKELY ON WESTERN SLOPES OF
GREENBRIER...BUT THEY MAY NEED TO BE RAISED EVEN HIGHER. WITH
SHARPLY FALLING TEMPS AS WELL...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A CHANGE TO
WET SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BEFORE THE SHOWERS END...THOUGH I
DO NOT EXPECT ANY ACCUMULATION.

THE MAIN CONCERN TONIGHT IS WITH THE WINDS. ONCE THE UPPER TROUGH
PASSES OVER...MUCH STRONGER SUBSIDENCE BRINGS PRESSURE RISES OF
>6MBS IN THE 6 HOUR PERIOD FROM 00 TO 06Z. MODEL DATA SHOWS WIND
GUSTS NEAR 50 KNOTS ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NC
MTNS AND GRAYSON COUNTY...ALSO BATH COUNTY. WE WILL ISSUE A HIGH
WIND WARNING FOR THOSE LOCATIONS BEGINNING 400 PM. THE REST OF THE
MTNS THAT GENERALLY SEE STRONGER GUSTS WITH A WEST WIND...
INCLUDING THE NEW RIVER AND ROANOKE VALLEYS...WILL HAVE A WIND
ADVISORY. WITH THE SATURATED GROUND...EVEN AREAS WITH WIND ADVISORY
GUSTS COULD SEE SOME DOWNED TREES. HAVE STAYED ON THE WARM SIDE OF
GUIDANCE FOR LOWS TONIGHT...EXCEPT FOR THE HIGH ELEVATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST ON MONDAY WITH
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION. ANY LINGERING SNOW
SHOWERS/FLURRIES ACROSS THE WEST WILL END EARLY. THE WIND WILL ALSO
RELAX AS WE GO INTO THE AFTERNOON. COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS MONDAY WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S. EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...DOWNSLOPING WINDS AND DRIER AIR WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
WARM INTO THE 60S...BUT THE WIND MAY MAKE IT FEEL COLDER. OVERNIGHT
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGING ALOFT WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RADIATE DOWN INTO THE 30S WITH SOME FROST
POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND RURAL AREA IN THE EAST. DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY...WINDS COME BACK AROUND TO THE EAST AS ANOTHER WEDGE
SETS UP OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. OVERRUNNING MOISTURE WILL
BRING AN INCREASE IN THE CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTH LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THEN SPREADS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. A SURFACE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS ON
WEDNESDAY. THE WEDGE...BEING REINFORCED BY OVERRUNNING
PRECIP...SHOULD KEEP CONVECTION SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA.
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THIS LOW...CONVECTION MAY REACH SOUTHSIDE
VA...BUT CURRENT PROJECTS HAS BULK OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN THIS PERIOD WITH A SERIES OF
FRONTS PASSING THROUGH EVERY 1 TO 2 DAYS. MODELS ARE IN SOMEWHAT
AGREEMENT ON TIMING +/- 6-12 HOURS WITH THE PATTERN...BUT DIFFER
ON SFC LOW LOCATIONS AND STRENGTH. FOLLOWING A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/12Z HPC GUIDANCE AND 00Z GEFS FOR NOW.

FOR WED NIGHT...WEAK SFC HIGH BUILDING INTO OUR AREA BY THURSDAY
MORNING. LOOK FOR LINGERING SHOWERS INTO WED NIGHT. FOR NOW...AM
GOING TO KEEP THURSDAY AS A DRY PERIOD BETWEEN THE COASTAL SYSTEM
AND THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM DIGGING INTO THE SRN PLAINS.

THE SRN PLAINS SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THU NIGHT
WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING QUICKLY EAST THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY
MORNING. TIMING AGAIN AN ISSUE...WITH THE OP GFS/00Z ECMWF AND
HPC GOING WITH A FASTER MOVEMENT. THE ENSEMBLES AREA SLOWER BUT
STRONGER WITH THE SFC LOW...AND FURTHER SOUTH. WILL HAVE POPS
INCREASING INTO THE WEST THURSDAY NIGHT...AND KEEP LINGERING LOW
CHANCE POPS INTO FRIDAY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM. AGAIN WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH YET
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM DROPPING OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE SRN
PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT-SAT. BASED ON THE TIMING OF THESE SYSTEMS
APPEARS NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL BE SAT NIGHT.

TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL AS THE
AIR MASS IS MORE PACIFIC IN ORIGIN WITH UPPER FLOW STAYING MORE
SW-WEST DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IN-SITU WEDGE OF COOL AIR NEAR THE SURFACE BEING TOPPED BY WARM
AND MOIST AIR ALOFT...AND THIS WILL MAINTAIN MAINLY IFR/LIFR
CEILINGS AT ROA...LYH AND DAN UNTIL A FRONTAL PASSAGE 12 TO 14Z.
IN THE WEST...BLF AND LWB WILL BE MVFR...POSSIBLY A FEW PERIODS OF
IFR...TILL THE FRONT PASSES 08 TO 10Z. ALL SITES WILL HAVE SOME
LLWS UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES...WITH THE SHALLOW SFC STABLE LAYER
AND AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY JET A FEW THOUSAND FEET UP. AFTER
FROPA THIS MORNING...GUSTY SW WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON. MOST SITES SHOULD BE VFR AFTER FROPA-
BLF WILL LIKELY DROP BACK TO MVFR WITH UPLSOPE WRLY FLOW. AS THE
UPPER TROUGH PASSES ACROSS THE REGION TOWARD EVENING...INCREASING
SUBSIDENCE WILL BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE SFC. MOST SITES WILL
SEE WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS...GUSTING TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS. ROANOKE
WILL LIKELY SEE EVEN STRONGER WINDS. THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL
LAST THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. UPLLSOPE FLOW SHOULD
KEEP BLF AND LWB MVFR OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY RELAX MONDAY AS WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA...MAINTAINING VFR WEATHER AND UNRESTRICTED
FLIGHT CONDITIONS. APPROACH OF ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCE AND
ASSOCIATED FRONT MAY BRING A GRADUAL DETERIORATION BACK INTO THE
MVFR RANGE...AND POSSIBLY IFR...TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
BEFORE CLEARING ON BACKSIDE OF SYSTEM BRINGS IMPROVEMENT LATER
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MODERATE DOWNSLOPING WINDS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE WILL DRIVE SURFACE
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DOWN INTO THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON MONDAY EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE. DESPITE INITIALLY MOIST FUELS
FOLLOWING RECENT RAINS...THE BRISK WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL RESULT IN A SLOWLY INCREASING FIRE DANGER THREAT EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR
     VAZ010>014-016>019-022>024.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY
     FOR VAZ015-020.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR
     NCZ002.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY
     FOR NCZ001-018.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJ
NEAR TERM...JJ
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...WP
AVIATION...JH/JJ
FIRE WEATHER...RCS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
442 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ009>020-022>024-WVZ043>045-292045-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-
GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-
ROCKBRIDGE-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
442 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MAY
BRING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BEHIND A COLD
FRONT ON SUNDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING BY DAYBREAK MONDAY. WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 50 MPH
ACROSS AND NEAR SOME OF THE HIGHER RIDGES...WHICH MAY RESULT IN
SOME DOWNED TREES DUE TO NEARLY SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS FROM
RECENT RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ007-WVZ042-292045-
TAZEWELL-MERCER-
442 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MAY
BRING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BEHIND A COLD
FRONT ON SUNDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING BY DAYBREAK MONDAY. WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 50 MPH
ACROSS AND NEAR SOME OF THE HIGHER RIDGES...WHICH MAY RESULT IN
SOME DOWNED TREES DUE TO NEARLY SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS FROM
RECENT RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-292045-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
442 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MAY
BRING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BEHIND A COLD
FRONT ON SUNDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING BY DAYBREAK MONDAY. WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 35 MPH AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OR NEAR THE FOOTHILLS...WHICH MAY
RESULT IN SOME DOWNED TREES DUE TO NEARLY SATURATED GROUND
CONDITIONS FROM RECENT RAINFALL.

VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY...WITH AFTERNOON
READINGS LESS THAN 25 PERCENT. DESPITE INITIALLY MOIST FUELS
FOLLOWING RECENT RAINS...THE BRISK WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN A SLOWLY INCREASING FIRE DANGER THREAT
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.