Alert archive / North Carolina / Winter Storm Warnings in 2009
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this winter storm warning at Feb 3, 2009, 12:30 PM EST for 5 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 3, 2009, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 3, 2009, 12:30 PM EST (17:30 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 3, 2009, 6:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 4, 2009, 5:53 AM EST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
Counties Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Person County, NC, Vance County, NC, Warren County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 838 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -210 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -106 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS42 KRAH 031730 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1230 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 ...ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... NCZ007>011-040930- /O.NEW.KRAH.WS.W.0002.090203T2300Z-090204T1700Z/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS 1230 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST... COMBINED WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE... WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AREAS OF SNOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING AROUND ROXBORO AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH OXFORD AND HENDERSON TO AROUND ROANOKE RAPIDS TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE SNOW FOR SEVERAL HOURS OVERNIGHT... THEN ADDITIONAL SNOW BANDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED TO CROSS THIS AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY NOON WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED... AND LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ021>028-038>043-076>078-040930- /O.NEW.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.090203T2300Z-090204T1700Z/ FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE- DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG... NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO... RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO 1230 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST... COMBINED WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE... WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AREAS OF SNOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING AROUND THE TRIAD AREA AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE TRIANGLE AREA... SMITHFIELD... AND THE ROCKY MOUNT-WILSON AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE SNOW FOR SEVERAL HOURS OVERNIGHT... THEN ADDITIONAL SNOW BANDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED TO CROSS THIS AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY NOON WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED... AND LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ GIH
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS42 KRAH 040621 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 121 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... NCZ007>011-041430- /O.CON.KRAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS 121 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA OVERNIGHT... AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED... WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM WARRENTON TO ENFIELD. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ088-089-041430- /O.EXA.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 121 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH DAYBREAK... AND CONTINUE INTO LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY NOON WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ073>075-083>086-041430- /O.EXA.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...TROY...SOUTHERN PINES... WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD 121 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVERNIGHT... AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ021>028-038>043-076>078-041430- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE- DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG... NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO... RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO 121 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVERNIGHT... PARTICULARLY FROM THE TRIANGLE TO ROCKY MOUNT... SMITHFIELD... AND GOLDSBORO. LESSER AMOUNTS... ONLY A DUSTING TO PERHAPS AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IN SPOTS... WILL OCCUR OVER THE TRIAD. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ MWS/BRV/RHJ
000 WWUS42 KRAH 040741 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 241 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... NCZ007>010-041545- /O.CAN.KRAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON 241 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS DOWNGRADED THE WINTER STORM WARNING TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY... WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A DUSTING TO PERHAPS AN INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED... WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM WARRENTON TO ARCOLA... BEFORE THE SNOW GRADUALLY TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ011-041545- /O.CON.KRAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ HALIFAX- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS 241 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA OVERNIGHT... AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED... WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM ENFIELD TO SCOTLAND NECK. IN ADDITION... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ088-089-041545- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 241 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH DAYBREAK... AND CONTINUE INTO LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY NOON WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ021>028-038>043-076>078-041545- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE- DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG... NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO... RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO 241 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVERNIGHT... PARTICULARLY FROM LILLINGTON AND SMITHFIELD EASTWARD TO ROCKY MOUNT AND GOLDSBORO. LESSER AMOUNTS... RANGING FROM A DUSTING IN THE TRIAD TO AROUND AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION THROUGH THE TRIANGLE... ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW GRADUALLY TAPERS OFF THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ073>075-083>086-041545- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...TROY...SOUTHERN PINES... WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD 241 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT... AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION... BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS MAY DROP THE WIND CHILL INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$
000 WWUS42 KRAH 040925 AAA WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 425 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...SNOW CONTINUING TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA... NCZ011-041400- /O.CON.KRAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ HALIFAX- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS 425 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...PRODUCING AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY ACROSS EASTERN HALIFAX COUNTY THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING...BEGIN TO TAPER OFF BY MID MORNING...AND END ALTOGETHER BY NOON. LOCATIONS IN EASTERN HALIFAX COUNTY COULD STILL SEE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 3 INCHES...WHILE LOCATIONS IN WESTERN HALIFAX COUNTY WILL LIKELY SEE A TRACE TO AN INCH AT MOST OF TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. ADDITIONALLY...ONCE SKIES CLEAR BY EARLY AFTERNOON...BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY DROP WIND CHILL VALUES INTO THE TEENS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE ACROSS HALIFAX COUNTY SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ007-021-022-038-041400- /O.EXT.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1400Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-DAVIDSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...LEXINGTON 425 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ALTHOUGH SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...TEMPERATURES HAVE BEGIN TO PLUMMET BELOW FREEZING...AND LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT OCCURRED TUESDAY EVENING AND EARLY THIS MORNING WILL ALLOW FOR AREAS OF BLACK ICE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE TRIAD. CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPROVE BY LATE MORNING ONCE SKIES BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY. MOTORISTS IN THE TRIAD AREA SHOULD EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING DURING THE MORNING RUSH HOUR. $$ NCZ008>010-088-089-041400- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...HENDERSON...WARRENTON... FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 425 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...PRODUCING AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR IN A BAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN...WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE LIKELY. LOCATIONS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64 WILL GENERALLY SEE ONLY A TRACE TO AN INCH OF STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. ANY REMAINING SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF OR MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY 8 TO 11 AM THIS MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ023>028-039>043-076>078-041400- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM... LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO... RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO 425 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...PRODUCING AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR IN A BAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN...WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE LIKELY. LOCATIONS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64 WILL GENERALLY SEE ONLY A TRACE TO AN INCH OF STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. ANY REMAINING SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF OR MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY 8 TO 11 AM THIS MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ073>075-083>086-041400- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...TROY...SOUTHERN PINES... WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD 425 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...PRODUCING AREAS OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR IN A BAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN...WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE LIKELY. ANY REMAINING SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF OR MOVE EAST OF THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT AND WESTERN SANDHILLS BY ROUGHLY 8 AM THIS MORNING...AND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE CANCELLED BEFORE NOON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ VINCENT
000 WWUS42 KRAH 041053 AAA WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 553 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...SNOW ENDING ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64 AND IN THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT... NCZ011-041700- /O.CAN.KRAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ HALIFAX- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS 553 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LIGHT SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS MOST OF HALIFAX COUNTY...THEREFORE THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A TRACE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL HALIFAX COUNTY TO AS MUCH AS ONE INCH IN FAR EASTERN PORTIONS OF HALIFAX COUNTY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN EASTERN HALIFAX COUNTY FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 8 OR 9 AM. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NCZ008>010-023>026-039>041-073-074-041200- /O.CAN.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-RANDOLPH- CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...HENDERSON...WARRENTON... BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...ASHEBORO... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY 553 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS SHIFTED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TRIANGLE INTO THE EASTERN SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN THIS MORNING...AND NO ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64 AND IN THE FAR SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NCZ007-021-022-038-041200- /O.CAN.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1400Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-DAVIDSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...LEXINGTON 553 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. ALTHOUGH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE WAS PREVIOUSLY ALLOWED TO REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 AM THIS MORNING...THE ADVISORY IS NOW BEING CANCELLED. LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES IN THE TRIAD AREA HAVE GENERALLY REPORTED DRY ROAD CONDITIONS THIS MORNING...AND THE THREAT FOR BLACK ICE IS LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. ALTHOUGH THE ADVISORY IS BEING CANCELLED...RUSH HOUR MOTORISTS IN THE TRIAD AREA SHOULD STILL REMAIN CAUTIOUS WHEN DRIVING... PARTICULARLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AND IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED MEASURABLE SNOWFALL TUESDAY EVENING. $$ NCZ088-089-041700- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 553 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CUMBERLAND AND SAMPSON COUNTIES THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING. AFTER SUNRISE...SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF...AND THE ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE CANCELLED BEFORE NOON. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN CUMBERLAND AND SAMPSON COUNTIES WILL GENERALLY BE AN INCH OR LESS...ALTHOUGH A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY SEE A TOTAL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ027-028-042-043-076>078-041700- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD... WILSON...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO 553 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM...AND THE ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE CANCELLED BEFORE NOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ NCZ075-083>086-041700- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090204T1700Z/ MOORE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHERN PINES...WADESBORO... ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD 553 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ALTHOUGH SNOW IS TAPERING OFF ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT... SOME AREA ROADS REMAIN SNOW COVERED AND DANGEROUS ROAD CONDITIONS MAY PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER SUNRISE. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO REMAIN IN EFFECT. LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT HAVE GENERALLY BEEN AT ONE TO TWO INCHES OR LESS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PEOPLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE VERY LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ VINCENT
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 3, 12:30 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 12:30 PM EST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1230 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 .SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST WILL CONTINUE MOVING OUT TO SEA TODAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO OUR AREA. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THROUGH THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 1230 PM TUESDAY... THE STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY / ERN KY/TN CONTINUES TO PRODUCE IMPRESSIVE LIQUID-SNOW RATIOS. UPSTREAM AT IND THIS MORNING... LESS THAN A TENTH INCH LIQUID PRODUCED FOUR INCHES OF SNOW. AS THIS VORTICITY MAXIMUM DIVES THROUGH NC TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... AROUND A THIRD TO NEARLY A HALF INCH OF LIQUID IS EXPECTED FROM ROXBORO EAST THROUGH ROANOKE RAPIDS. GIVEN THE SNOW RATIOS EXPECTED... THIS WOULD PRODUCE ENOUGH SNOW TO JUSTIFY A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN 5 COUNTIES OF CENTRAL NC. WILL PUT UP A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE NEXT TWO TIERS OF COUNTIES SOUTH... INCLUDING THE TRIAD AND TRIANGLE... SMITHFIELD... AND ROCKY MOUNT-WILSON. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE VA LINE OF 2-4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE... WITH 1-2 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY AREA. MORE DETAILS TO FOLLOW. -GIH/WSS EARLIER DISCUSSION FOR TODAY: DRIER AIR ADVECTING INTO CENTRAL NC BEHIND EXITING SYSTEM HAS CLEARED CLOUDS OUT OF ALL BUT THE FAR EAST-NE COUNTIES AS OF 15Z. WITH SEVERAL HOURS OF SUN EXPECTED BUT CLOUDS BEGIN TO INVADE FROM THE WEST...POTENTIAL FOR TEMPS TO RECOVER NICELY...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST AND SE. OBSERVED LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES WERE 5-8M WARMER THAN PREDICTED BY THE MODELS. ADJUSTING PROJECTED THICKNESSES 3-5M FOR THIS AFTERNOON SUGGEST MAX TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. ADJUSTED MAX TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO FROM EARLIER FORECAST. BESIDES ADJUSTING SKY GRIDS TO REFLECT REALITY...OTHER FORECAST PARAMETERS APPEAR ON TARGET.-WSS && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 223 AM TUESDAY... A STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECONDARY SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS STILL FORECAST BY MOST MODELS TO PIVOT THROUGH OUR REGION TONIGHT. THE MODELS ARE GENERAL AGREEMENT IN FAVORING THE TRACK OF THE VORT MAX ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER OUR REGION... WHICH FAVORS THE BEST PVA AND LIFT TO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT BETWEEN 03Z AND 09Z TONIGHT. IN ADDITION... A WEAK SURFACE WAVE IS FAVORED TO DEVELOP OVER OUR NORTH CENTRAL OR NE SECTIONS... WHICH WOULD ALSO FAVOR ANY QPF TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT OR MOST LIKELY IN SOUTHERN VA... PER THE GFS/ECMWF/GEM. THE THICKNESS FORECASTS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A P-TYPE OF SNOW IF WE GET ANYTHING. IN LOOKING BACK AT HISTORICAL CASES WITH SIMILAR LOW LEVEL THICKNESS FORECASTS... THERE ARE REALLY NO SIGNIFICANT EVENTS DOCUMENTED. THIS IS PROBABLY DUE TO THE FORECAST OF THE VERY COLD THICKNESSES. AS FAR AS QPF... MOST OF THE NWP MODELS SPIT OUT A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO NEAR A TENTH OVER THE NORTHERN AND NE ZONES... WITH LITTLE ELSEWHERE. SINCE THE KEETER PARTIAL THICKNESS NOMOGRAM SUGGESTS EITHER VERY LIGHT SNOW OR NOTHING... AND THE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY COLD... WE WILL MAINTAIN OUR CURRENT CHANCE POP FOR LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE N-NE ZONES. IN THIS TYPE OF AIR MASS... EXPECT LOW DENSITY SNOWFALL FEATURING SNOW RATIOS IN THE 15-20:1... THE LIGHT QPF AMOUNTS SUGGEST... EVEN WITH THESE RATIOS... SUGGEST UP TO AN INCH WOULD BE POSSIBLE. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN THIS BECOMING JUST A NUISANCE EVENT... AND FOCUSED JUST NORTH OF THE TRIAD AND TRIANGLE REGIONS. MUCH CAN CHANGE... ESPECIALLY WITH THE TRACK OF THE NW FLOW VORT MAXES. IF THIS SYSTEM COMES FARTHER SOUTH... THEN THE TRIAD AND TRIANGLE AREAS COULD SEE A DUSTING OR UP TO AN INCH. STAY TUNED. FOR NOW... WE WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT FORECAST OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE KEPT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN... WITH SLIGHT CHANCE ELSEWHERE. LOWS SHOULD DIP INTO THE 20S... TO NEAR 30 SE. FOR WEDNESDAY... THE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL SHIFT QUICKLY TO THE EAST DURING THE MORNING AS UPPER VORT SHIFTS EAST AND SOUTH OF THE AREA. STRONG CAA IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER VORT AND ARCTIC HIGH BUILDING DOWN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN US WILL RESULT IN A VERY COLD DAY. HIGHS WEDNESDAY WITH THICKNESSES IN THE 1260S SHOULD BE ONLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S... RANGING TO THE UPPER 30S SOUTHEAST. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... AS OF 300 AM TUESDAY... WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...COLD DRY WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WILL TURN MUCH MILDER FRIDAY. THE ARCTIC HIGH WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF OUR REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...ALLOWING STRONG WAA FRIDAY. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...LOWS THURSDAY WILL BE 15-22. HIGHS THURSDAY WILL ONLY REACH THE 30S...EXCEPT NEAR 40 SOUTH. LOWS FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE 20S. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL MODERATE INTO THE 50S. -PWB THIS WEEKEND: LOOKS LIKE CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA IS IN STORE FOR A PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH BOTH THE LATEST 00Z GFS/ECMWF RUNS SHOWING RIDGING ALOFT ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH...SOUTHEAST STATES...AND THE CAROLINAS...WITH 1000-850 MB THICKNESSES IN THE 1340-1360 METER RANGE SAT/SUN/MON. THE FORECAST ALSO LOOKS DRY THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. WITH THICKNESSES IN THE 1340-1360M RANGE...LOCAL TEMPERATURE RESEARCH WOULD SUGGEST HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID 60S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA ON SAT/SUN...ASSUMING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...AND THIS LOOKS TO BE THE CASE WITH NOTHING MORE THAN SOME CIRRUS OR FEW/SCT MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER...PRIMARILY ON SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK FRONT (ASSOC/W A SHORTWAVE SCOOTING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST...GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND) APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY...HOWEVER...THE OVERALL FORCING IS VERY WEAK ACROSS CENTRAL NC...PRIMARILY IN ASSOC/W WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY...WITH THE BEST UPPER LIFT WELL NORTH OF THE AREA...AND WOULD EXPECT ANY PRECIP ON SUNDAY TO REMAIN ALONG/WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS AND ALONG/NORTH OF THE MASON-DIXON LINE. LOW TEMPS ON SAT MORNING EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE LOWER/MID 30S...WITH ABOVE NORMAL LOW TEMPS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ON SUN MORNING. EARLY NEXT WEEK: RIDGING ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE CAROLINAS ON MONDAY... DOWNSTREAM OF A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM IN THE MIDWEST...WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC IN THE WAKE OF THE BOUNDARY PASSAGE ON SUNDAY. THE LATEST 00Z GFS/ECMWF THICKNESSES FOR MONDAY HAVE COME IN A BIT LOWER...RANGING FROM 1325-1350M ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WOULD SUGGEST HIGH TEMPS A LITTLE COOLER THAN OVER THE WEEKEND...IN THE LOWER 60S. HOWEVER...GIVEN THAT THIS IS SO FAR OUT IN THE FCST...WILL ONLY TREND DOWN A DEGREE OR SO AND WILL WAIT FOR CONSISTENCY IN LATER MODEL RUNS. -VINCENT && .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 615 AM TUESDAY... THIS MORNING: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EVERYWHERE BY 12-16Z THIS MORNING AS AN OFFSHORE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM THE AREA. AS OF 11Z VFR CONDITIONS WERE ALREADY PRESENT AT INT/GSO TAF SITES...AND IFR/MVFR CONDS AT THE RDU/FAY TAF SITES SHOULD BECOME VFR BY 12-14Z. THE RWI TAF SITE MAY SEE IFR/MVFR CONDS LINGER THROUGH 16Z AT LATEST BEFORE THE TRANSITION TO VFR. A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND COLD ADVECTION UNDERWAY...EXPECT THE MIXED LAYER TO RAPIDLY DEEPEN...AND NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10-15 KNOTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A FEW GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20-25 KNOTS POSSIBLE MID/LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS AFTERNOON: VFR CONDITIONS IN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. A 10-15 KNOT NORTHWEST WIND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST...ALTHOUGH ANY HIGHER GUSTS SHOULD BECOME MORE SPORADIC AS FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW FLOW IN THE MIXED LAYER DECREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING: A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE W/NW THIS EVENING/TONIGHT...MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW AND ASSOCIATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS TO THE AREA...PRIMARILY IN THE 00-12Z WED TIME FRAME. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD AS THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC WED NIGHT AND RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE AREA THU THROUGH THE WEEKEND. -VINCENT && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR NCZ021>028-038>043-076>078. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR NCZ007>011. && SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD NEAR TERM...GIH/WSS SHORT TERM...BADGETT LONG TERM...VINCENT AVIATION...VINCENT
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 9:56 AM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 956 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-040900- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE- 956 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PIVOTS ACROSS THE REGION. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW TONIGHT APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE TRIANGLE INTO THE NORTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S. DUE TO THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES IN PLACE...EVEN LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN MEASURABLE SNOWFALL. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH RESPECT TO THE EVENTUAL TRACK... INTENSITY... AND AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM. RESIDENTS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS...AND TRANSPORTATION OFFICIALS IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ042-043-073>078-083>086-088-089-040900- JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON- RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 956 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PIVOTS ACROSS THE REGION. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW TONIGHT APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE TRIANGLE INTO THE NORTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S. DUE TO THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES IN PLACE...EVEN LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN MEASURABLE SNOWFALL. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH RESPECT TO THE EVENTUAL TRACK... INTENSITY... AND AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM. RESIDENTS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS...AND TRANSPORTATION OFFICIALS IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 3, 7:35 AM EST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 735 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 NCZ021>023-038-039-031400- FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO 735 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2009 ...SPOTTY BLACK ICE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT THIS MORNING... RESIDUAL MOISTURE LEFTOVER FROM LAST NIGHTS RAIN COUPLED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES HAS ALLOWED PATCHES OF BLACK ICE TO FORM. THE SPOTTY BLACK ICE IS MORE LIKELY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING ACROSS THE TRIAD REGION THROUGH 9 AM. TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ABOVE FREEZING BY 9 AM...MELTING ANY SPOTTY BLACK ICE THAT HAS DEVELOPED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 12:30 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | Alamance, Anson, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham and 25 more | 20 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in North Carolina, 2009Every winter storm warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.