Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2009

Wind Advisory 4, NWS Raleigh, NC

November 11, 200931 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this wind advisory at Nov 11, 2009, 3:37 AM EST for 31 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 11, 2009, 11:21 AM EST. It was in force for 43 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 11, 2009, 3:37 AM EST (08:37 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 11, 2009, 11:21 AM EST
Expired
Nov 13, 2009, 6:00 AM EST
In force
43 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
All 31 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2009-11-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2009-11-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
575 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
426 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS72 KRAH 110837
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
337 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TODAY. THE
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-112300-
/O.NEW.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.091111T2300Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
337 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM FRIDAY.

THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE
OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST... AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
NORTH... WILL PRODUCE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS STARTING LATER
TODAY... AND LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15
TO 20 MPH ARE LIKELY... WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

THE SATURATED GROUND FROM THE WIDESPREAD RAIN MAY LEAD TO SOME
WEAKENING OF TREE ROOT SYSTEMS... AND MAY WEAKEN THE GROUND
AROUND POWER POLES. WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH MAY TOPPLE SOME OF
THESE WEAKLY ROOTED TREES AND POLES... AS WELL AS KNOCK DOWN
BRANCHES AND TOSS AROUND LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE ALERT FOR
POSSIBLE BRANCHES AND OTHER TREE DEBRIS IN THE ROADWAY. 

&&

$$

HARTFIELD
8 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 111621
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1121 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-120030-
/O.EXT.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.091111T1621Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
1121 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN INTENSIFYING LOW
PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST... AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH... WILL PRODUCE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND
PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH
ARE LIKELY... WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

THE SATURATED GROUND FROM THE WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL LEAD TO SOME
WEAKENING OF TREE ROOT SYSTEMS... AND MAY WEAKEN THE GROUND AROUND
POWER POLES. WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH MAY TOPPLE SOME OF THESE
WEAKLY ROOTED TREES AND POLES...LEADING TO SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE ALERT FOR
POSSIBLE BRANCHES AND OTHER TREE DEBRIS IN THE ROADWAY.

$$
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 120328
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1028 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OFF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY. THE
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW... AND A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH... WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-121130-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
1028 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL
COMBINE WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH TO PRODUCE STRONG
WINDS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30
MPH ARE LIKELY... WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. A
FEW GUSTS TO BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

THE SOILS HAVE BECOME SATURATED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE STRONG
AND GUSTY WIND COMBINED WITH THE WET GROUND WILL LIKELY KNOCK DOWN
SOME TREES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY... ESPECIALLY IN
THE MORE URBAN AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS SHOULD
USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE BRANCHES AND OTHER TREE
DEBRIS IN THE ROADWAY.

$$

BADGETT
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 120859
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
359 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OFF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY. THE
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW... AND A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH... WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS
ACROSS THE AREA.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-122130-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
359 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL
COMBINE WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH TO PRODUCE STRONG
WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BLOW 20 TO 30
MPH... WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. A FEW GUSTS
TO BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

SATURATED SOILS FROM VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 36 HOURS
COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY KNOCK DOWN SOME TREES.
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY... ESPECIALLY IN THE MORE URBAN
AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS SHOULD
USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE BRANCHES AND OTHER TREE
DEBRIS IN THE ROADWAY.

$$
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 120943 CCA
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
430 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009

...A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST TODAY. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL
PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-122215-
/O.COR.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
430 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS BETWEEN 30
AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. SPORADIC WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO DOWNED TREES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES
TODAY...SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS REPORTED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS
ABOVE 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS SHOULD
USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE BRANCHES AND OTHER TREE
DEBRIS IN THE ROADWAY.

$$

VINCENT/CBL
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 121646
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1146 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009

...A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN NEAR CAPE
HATTERAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH TONIGHT.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-130200-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
1146 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO DOWNED TREES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES
TODAY...SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS REPORTED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA ON WEDNESDAY. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH WILL BE
COMMON WITH INFREQUENT GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH OR
GUSTS ABOVE 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS
SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE BRANCHES AND
OTHER TREE DEBRIS IN THE ROADWAY.

$$
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 130233
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
933 PM EST THU NOV 12 2009

...A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN NEAR CAPE
HATTERAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO
THE NORTH WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH TONIGHT.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-131045-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
933 PM EST THU NOV 12 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO A FEW DOWNED TREES AND SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 30 TO 40
MPH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE ALERT
FOR POSSIBLE BRANCHES AND OTHER TREE DEBRIS IN THE ROADWAY.

$$
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 130851
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
351 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009

...A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY...

.PERSISTENT LOW PRESSURE NEAR CAPE HATTERAS WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST
TODAY MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-131100-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
351 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO A FEW DOWNED TREES AND SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 30 TO
40 MPH THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. BY MID DAY...WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE LOW PUSHES FURTHER
OFFSHORE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FROM THE
TRIANGLE EAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE ALERT
FOR POSSIBLE BRANCHES AND OTHER TREE DEBRIS IN THE ROADWAY.

$$
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 131110
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
610 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009

...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY...

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-131215-
/O.EXP.KRAH.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
610 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT AS WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED TO
15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH. WHILE THERE WILL BE SOME
GUSTINESS THROUGH MIDDAY...THE THREAT OF UPROOTING TREES HAS
DIMINISHED. THEREFORE...THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 11, 2:35 AM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 2:35 AM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
235 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG AND SLOW MOVING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TODAY...LINGERING JUST OFFSHORE INTO
FRIDAY. AS A RESULT...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAIN AND GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT AND WIND ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED...

THE FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3
TO 7 INCHES LIKELY. IN ADDITION... A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED
FOR THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS
30-40 MPH.

OVERALL: THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF IDA IS STILL EXPECTED TO
TRACK ALONG THE FL/GA BORDER AS A SECOND LOW CENTER DEVELOPS OFF
SAVANNAH LATE TODAY. THE MID LEVEL PV MAXIMUM ASSOCIATED WITH IDA
SHIFTS EAST-NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHEAST SC TODAY AND THIS ENERGY
ALONG WITH VIGOROUS UPPER DIVERGENCE IN THE ENTRANCE REGION OF THE
140+ KT JET OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL GENERATE RAPID DEEPENING OF THE
SURFACE CYCLONE OFF CHARLESTON BY TONIGHT. MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES
WELL ON THIS LOW DEEPENING 10-12 MB BY THURSDAY MORNING JUST OFF OUR
SOUTHERN COAST THEN HOLDING STEADY-STATE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
A PATH JUST OFF CAPE HATTERAS. IN SHORT... EXPECT CLOUDY SKIES WITH
WIDESPREAD AREAS OF RAIN AND STRONG WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL NC.

REGARDING RAINFALL... RAIN CONTINUES TO BE ENHANCED IN THE MID LEVEL
DEFORMATION ZONE FROM NORTHERN GA THROUGH WESTERN NC/VA AS WELL AS
IN THE CONVECTIVE BAND OVER FL AHEAD OF THE IMPRESSIVE MID LEVEL DRY
SLOT OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF. WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOWS AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT AS DEFORMATION RE-FORMS OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS
WITH MODEL PROJECTIONS OF INCREASING STRONG 925 MB MOISTURE
TRANSPORT... EXPECT ANOTHER LARGE RAINFALL MAXIMUM TO DEVELOP MAINLY
ALONG/EAST OF HIGHWAY 1. RECENT SIX-HOUR TOTALS IN THE REGION OF
OVER ONE INCH HAVE BEEN COMMON (INCLUDING AT THE RALEIGH NWS
OFFICE)... AND WITH PRECIP WATER EASILY 300% OF NORMAL... A STEADY
PLUME OF 1.8-2.0 INCH PW NOTED UPSTREAM ON GOES DERIVED BLENDED
TOTAL PW PRODUCTS... AND INTENSIFYING FORCING FOR ASCENT...
CONTINUED STEADY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS A NEAR CERTAINTY. EXPECT
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS TODAY OVER 1.5 INCHES AREAWIDE WITH NUMEROUS
TOTALS OVER 2 INCHES THROUGH NIGHTFALL. AS THE LOW TRACKS SLOWLY UP
ALONG THE SC AND NC COAST THE LONG ATLANTIC FETCH WILL CONTINUE TO
PUMP HIGH MOISTURE INTO CENTRAL NC THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... AND
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT OF 1-3 INCHES
ARE QUITE REASONABLE AND AGREE WELL WITH THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
AND THEIR TRENDS. EXPECT STORM TOTALS OF 3-7 INCHES. WITH ABUNDANT
LEAF LITTER (LIKELY TO BE EXACERBATED BY THE WINDS STRIPPING THE
TREES) POISED TO CLOG STORM DRAINS... STREET FLOODING AND FLOODING
IN CONSTRUCTION ZONES COULD BE MAJOR.

REGARDING THE WIND... AS THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENS RAPIDLY... THE
RESULTING TIGHTENING MSLP GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW AND THE 1032 MB
HIGH CENTERED OVER THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY SHOULD GENERATE WIDESPREAD
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF AT LEAST 15-20 MPH. SREF GUIDANCE SHOWS A
70% PROBABILITY OF 10 M WINDS OVER 20 MPH OVER CENTRAL NC TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY... AND STATISTICAL GUIDANCE HAS FOLLOWED THIS
TENDENCY AS WELL. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW 925 MB WINDS INCREASING TO
40-50 KTS LATER TODAY AND REMAINING AT LEAST THIS STRONG THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE DIFFICULT PART IS DETERMINING HOW MUCH OF THIS
WIND IS GOING TO GET DOWN TO THE SURFACE. WHILE THE LOWEST ONE-HALF
KM SHOULD REMAIN WELL-MIXED WITH NO STABLE INVERSION... GIVEN THE
DEEP LIFT... MECHANISMS FOR FORCING THESE STRONG WINDS GROUND-WARD
WILL BE LACKING. HOWEVER EVEN IF FREQUENT GUSTS ONLY GET UP TO 30-35
MPH... THE SATURATED SOIL WILL MEAN WEAKENED ROOT SYSTEMS AND WEAK
SUPPORT FOR POWER POLES WHICH MAY LEAD TO TREES AND POWER LINES
BEING DOWNED AT LOWER WIND SPEEDS THAN IS TYPICAL. WILL GO AHEAD
WITH A WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NC EFFECTIVE FROM THIS
EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

FINALLY... EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE VERY LITTLE IF AT ALL TODAY...
HOLDING FROM THE LOWER 50S NORTHWEST TO LOWER 60S SOUTHEAST THIS
MORNING BEFORE FALLING SLIGHTLY LATER TODAY. THE DIURNAL TEMP CHANGE
THROUGH THURSDAY LOOKS ANOMALOUSLY LOW... WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S... HIGHS THURSDAY AROUND 50 TO THE UPPER 50S...
AND LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S AS SOME COOLER AIR
STARTS TO GET PULLED INTO THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 215 PM TUESDAY...

TO BE ISSUED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 215 PM TUESDAY...

IN THE EARLY PART OF THIS PERIOD...WHILE THE ECMWF HAS BEEN TRENDING
SLOWER AND FARTHER WEST WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE CAROLINA COAST
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY...THE GFS HAS BEEN TRENDING
SLIGHTLY FASTER AND DRIER WITH ANY POTENTIAL FOR LINGERING
PRECIPITATION ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN ZONES. WHILE THE TRIAD IS
EXPECTED TO BE DRY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY...BASED ON
THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LOW PRESSURE AND MOISTURE FORECAST IN EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OR LOW CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS INTO SATURDAY MORNING EAST. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AS
ALL GUIDANCE BY THEN HAS THE UPPER LOW MOVING FARTHER OFF THE EAST
COAST WITH RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
IN...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA YIELDING
CURRENTLY BELOW SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAINFALL FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. ENOUGH OF A GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO EXIST
SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO PROVIDE FOR LINGERING BREEZY CONDITIONS
THEN...ESPECIALLY EAST.

DIVERGENCE IN THE GUIDANCE TAKES PLACE BY LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
WITH THE SPEED OF THE DIGGING TROUGH MOVING EAST FROM THE PLAINS.
THE 00Z ECMWF WAS THE FASTEST...MAINLY AS IT FORECASTS A SPLIT FLOW
ALLOWING FOR A MORE PROGRESSIVE WEST-TO-EAST MOVEMENT OF THE TROUGH
VERSUS THE 06Z GFS AND DGEX...BOTH OF WHICH DEVELOP MORE OF A CLOSED
LOW THAT MOVES SLOWLY...ESPECIALLY ON THE DGEX...EAST TOWARD THE
MID-ATLANTIC. IF THE ECWMF VERIFIES...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS COULD
ARRIVE AS EARLY AS MONDAY NIGHT GIVEN THE SPEED OF A COLD FRONT
MOVING INTO AND ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. HOWEVER...WITH THAT
MODEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF LIMITS MOISTURE RETURN AND IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT VERY LITTLE SHOWERS OCCUR OR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
FAIRLY DRY WITH THAT MODEL. LATER ARRIVAL OF SHOWER CHANCES TAKES
PLACE WITH THE 06Z GFS AND ESPECIALLY THE 06Z DGEX. THE 12Z GFS HAS
TRENDED SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENTLY...MORE TOWARD THE 00Z ECMWF AND
EVEN FASTER...SO MODEL DIFFERENCES AND RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY ARE
NOT GREAT AT THIS TIME. AT THIS POINT...THERE ARE HIGH CHANCES OF
CHANGES IN STRENGTH AND SPEED OF THE TROUGH AFFECTING THE EASTERN
THIRD OF CONUS OUT DAYS SIX AND SEVEN...SO WILL FORECAST JUST A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
PREPONDERANCE OF THE EVIDENCE AS OF THIS WRITING SUGGESTS...IF ANY
SHOWERS DO OCCUR...THE EVENT WILL BE A LOW QPF ONE.

THICKNESSES SUPPORT HIGHS CLOSE TO THE GFSX MOS...FROM ABOUT 70 TO
75 OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH EITHER A FRONTAL PASSAGE OR AN INCREASE IN
CLOUDS...HIGHS SHOULD FALL BACK AT LEAST INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S
BY TUESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE MORE DIFFICULT BASED ON THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT...SO HAVE NOT STRAYED FAR FROM GFSX MOS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 100 AM WEDNESDAY...

OVERVIEW:
VERY POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS WITH RAIN...PRIMARILY IFR CEILINGS/
MVFR VISIBILITIES...AND STRENGTHENING GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL NC TODAY...CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY.

A STRONG SLOW-MOVING COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO
DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST US COAST LATER TODAY...PERSISTING OFF THE
CAROLINA/SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS UNUSUAL
STORM SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN RAIN...IFR CONDITIONS AND STRONG GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY INTO THURSDAY...WITH ONLY A
SLOW IMPROVEMENT FROM THE WEST BEGINNING ON FRIDAY. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN BY SATURDAY AS THE COASTAL LOW FINALLY MOVES
AWAY FROM THE CAROLINA/SOUTHEAST COAST.

24-HOUR TAF DETAILS:
A STRONG WARM/MOIST ADVECTION REGIME TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE IDA WILL CAUSE RAIN TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AND CEILINGS TO LOWER INTO THE IFR CATEGORY
(AND PERHAPS LIFR) EVERYWHERE BY SUNRISE THIS MORNING. CEILINGS
SHOULD TAKE LONGEST TO LOWER AT KRWI...WHERE RESIDUAL DRY AIR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS DOMINATED
CENTRAL NC IN RECENT DAYS WILL BATTLE THE DEVELOPING LIFT/MOISTURE
THE LONGEST. AFTER SUNRISE...CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IFR OR
MARGINAL MVFR/IFR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 10-15 KT RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 KTS BY SUNRISE THIS MORNING...FURTHER INCREASING
TO 15-20 KTS SUSTAINED WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS BY MID/LATE
MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE
CAROLINAS TIGHTENS BETWEEN STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES
THE DEEPENING COASTAL LOW. FCST SOUNDINGS ARE ACTUALLY SHOWING 40-50
KT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AS LOW AS 1000-1500 FT AGL LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME WE ARE STILL
UNCERTAIN W/REGARD TO THE AMOUNT OF MIXING THAT WILL OCCUR IN THE
LOWEST 2000 FT IN THIS TIME PERIOD...HOWEVER...IT GOES WITHOUT
SAYING THAT THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE WIND GUSTS IN THE
30-40 KT RANGE. GIVEN THE STRENGTH/GUSTINESS OF SURFACE WINDS
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...DO NOT ANTICIPATE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
CRITERIA TO BE MET. -VINCENT

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR NCZ007>011-
024>028-041>043-077-078-088-089.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR NCZ021>023-
038>040-073>076-083>086

&&

SYNOPSIS...VINCENT
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...BL/JO
LONG TERM...DJF
AVIATION...VINCENT/MWS
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 10, 4:00 PM EST, 11 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
400 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009

NCZ007>011-024>028-041>043-077-078-088-089-112100-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
400 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

MODERATE TO HEAVY TONIGHT... WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO TWO
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS COULD PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

STEADY RAIN... OCCASIONALLY HEAVY... WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE
THURSDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS MAY
OCCUR.

STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH... WITH
GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH...ARE ANTICIPATED. GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH
WET SOIL MAY RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREES RESULTING IN SOME POWER
OUTAGES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING AND
RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING ONE INCH.

NCZ021>023-038>040-073>076-083>086-112100-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-
400 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

RAIN MAY BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY TONIGHT... WITH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 64
BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

STEADY RAIN... OCCASIONALLY HEAVY... WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF AROUND 4 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS MAY
OCCUR.

STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND PERSIST
INTO THURSDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH... WITH GUSTS
TO 30 TO 35 MPH... ARE ANTICIPATED. GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH WET
SOIL MAY RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREES RESULTING IN SOME POWER
OUTAGES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING AND
RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING ONE INCH.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 11, 7:41 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHGuilford3 hr
Nov 11, 8:14 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHDurham, Orange, Wake6 hr
Nov 11, 8:28 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHAnson, Cumberland, Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland6 hr
Nov 11, 9:11 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHChatham, Harnett, Johnston, Lee, Randolph, Sampson6 hr
Nov 11, 12:45 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHJohnston30 hr
Nov 11, 12:45 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHJohnston50 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2009Every wind advisory in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.