Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2009

Wind Advisory 1, NWS Raleigh, NC

January 7, 200931 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this wind advisory at Jan 7, 2009, 3:38 AM EST for 31 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 7, 2009, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 7, 2009, 3:38 AM EST (08:38 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 7, 2009, 9:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 7, 2009, 9:49 PM EST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
All 31 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2009-01-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2009-01-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 674 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
404 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
92 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
674 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
765 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS72 KRAH 070838
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
338 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM FOR THE FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

.A COOL AND MOIST AIRMASS NORTH OF A WARM FRONT HAS RESULTED IN
AREAS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND THE
NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. VISIBILITIES WILL ONLY BEGIN TO IMPROVE
ONCE THE WARM FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK.

LATER THIS MORNING....SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20
AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE. 

NCZ021>028-038>043-072100-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090107T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.090107T1400Z-090108T0500Z/
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON
338 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED AS
VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT.

LATER THIS MORNING...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20
AND 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS
COUPLED WITH A SATURATED TOP SOIL WILL TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND
POWER POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER OUTAGES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NCZ007>011-072100-
/O.NEW.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.090107T1400Z-090108T0500Z/
/O.CON.KRAH.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090107T1100Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS
338 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM
EST EARLY THIS MORNING. 

DENSE FOG OVER THE FAR NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND FAR NORTHERN COASTAL
PLAIN WILL PERSIST THROUGH 6 AM. AROUND DAYBREAK...A WARM FRONT
WILL CROSS THE REGION IMPROVING THE VISIBILITIES.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD
OF YOU.

LATER TODAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30
MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 40 OR 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS
COUPLED WITH THE SATURATED TOP SOIL WILL LIKELY TOPPLE A FEW TREES
AND POWER POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER OUTAGES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NCZ073>078-083>086-088-089-072100-
/O.NEW.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.090107T1400Z-090108T0500Z/
STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...TROY...SOUTHERN PINES...
SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM...
LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
338 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. 

LATER TODAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30
MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 40 OR 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS
COUPLED WITH THE SATURATED TOP SOIL WILL LIKELY TOPPLE A FEW TREES
AND POWER POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER OUTAGES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
7 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 071109
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
609 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN WIND
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

NCZ007>011-072100-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090107T1100Z/
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.090107T1400Z-090108T0500Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS
609 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WIND ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE AREA WILL DISSIPATE THE THICK
FOG. OTHERWISE...LATER TODAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 40 OR 45 MPH.
THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED WITH THE SATURATED TOP SOIL WILL LIKELY
TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER
OUTAGES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NCZ021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-072100-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.090107T1400Z-090108T0500Z/
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-
MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-
SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
609 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 40 OR 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED WITH
THE SATURATED TOP SOIL WILL LIKELY TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER
POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER OUTAGES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

WSS
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 071608
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1108 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF LIGHTER WINDS THROUGH EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO
THE SURFACE AS COLDER AIR SETTLES ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. 
THIS WILL RESULT IN WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...WITH WINDS TO THAT
STRENGTH LIKELY REDEVELOPING AFTER 1 PM OR 2 PM.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-080000-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
1108 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

DURING THE AFTERNOON...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN
TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH. THERE WILL BE FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 40
OR 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED WITH THE SATURATED SOIL
WILL LIKELY TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES...LEADING TO SOME
POWER OUTAGES. WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. ALSO...TAKE CARE TO SECURE
LIGHTWEIGHT...OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

$$

DJF
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 072022
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
322 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF LIGHTER WINDS...STRONG WINDS
ALOFT WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS COLDER AIR
SETTLES ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-080500-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
322 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ONCE
AGAIN TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH. THERE WILL BE FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO
40 OR 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED WITH THE SATURATED SOIL
WILL LIKELY TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES...LEADING TO SOME
POWER OUTAGES. WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. ALSO...TAKE CARE TO SECURE
LIGHTWEIGHT...OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE
WIND.

$$
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 072218
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
518 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

.STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS
COLDER AIR SETTLES ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THIS WILL RESULT
IN WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH IN THE
COASTAL PLAIN.

NCZ009>011-026>028-042-043-078-089-080000-
/O.UPG.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KRAH.HW.W.0001.090107T2218Z-090108T0000Z/
VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-
WAYNE-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HENDERSON...WARRENTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...
SMITHFIELD...WILSON...GOLDSBORO...CLINTON
518 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

A LINE OF SHOWERS IS CURRENTLY CROSSING THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT
SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN SANDHILLS. THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS
REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 50 MPH IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE LINE
OF SHOWERS. THIS LINE IS RAPIDLY MOVING EAST...AND WILL AFFECT THE
COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH 7 PM...INCLUDING THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR.
WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE RAIN
COMES TO AN END. THESE WINDS...COMBINED WITH THE MOIST
SOILS...WILL CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AND PERHAPS EVEN
SOME PROPERTY DAMAGE. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 95 SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION AS THESE WINDS WILL BE BLOWING CROSSWISE TO THE
INTERSTATE. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NCZ007-008-021>025-038>041-073>077-083>086-088-080000-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-DAVIDSON-
RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...WINSTON-SALEM...
GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...
LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM...
LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE
518 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ONCE
AGAIN TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH. THERE WILL BE FREQUENT GUSTS UP
TO 40 OR 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED WITH THE SATURATED
SOIL WILL LIKELY TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES...LEADING TO
SOME POWER OUTAGES. WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS
EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. ALSO...TAKE CARE TO SECURE
LIGHTWEIGHT...OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE
WIND.

$$

JFB
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 080000
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
700 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

.STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS
COLDER AIR SETTLES ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THIS WILL
RESULT IN WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS
60 MPH IN THE COASTAL PLAIN.

NCZ009>011-026>028-042-043-078-089-080500-
/O.CAN.KRAH.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-
WAYNE-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HENDERSON...WARRENTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...
SMITHFIELD...WILSON...GOLDSBORO...CLINTON
700 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

WINDY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE
EVENING ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN. WHILE THE THREAT OF 60 MPH
WINDS HAS DECREASED...THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR WINDS TO
GUST AS HIGH AS 50 TO 55 MPH WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH.
THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED WITH THE SATURATED SOIL WILL LIKELY
TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER
OUTAGES. WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING.
MOTORISTS DRIVING ALONG INTERSTATE 95 SHOULD DRIVE WITH EXTREME
CAUTION AS WINDS WILL BLOW CROSSWISE TO THE ROAD.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. ALSO...TAKE CARE TO SECURE
LIGHTWEIGHT...OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE
WIND.

$$

NCZ007-008-021>025-038>041-073>077-083>086-088-080500-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-DAVIDSON-
RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...WINSTON-SALEM...
GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...
LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM...
LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE
700 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

WINDY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE
EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 40 TO 45 MPH WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE SANDHILLS. THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED
WITH THE SATURATED SOIL WILL LIKELY TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER
POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER OUTAGES. WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY
DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. ALSO...TAKE CARE TO SECURE
LIGHTWEIGHT...OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE
WIND.

$$

JFB
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 080014 CCA
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
713 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT...

.STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.
THIS WILL RESULT IN WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 55 MPH IN THE COASTAL PLAIN EARLY THIS EVENING.

NCZ009>011-026>028-042-043-078-089-080500-
/O.CAN.KRAH.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-
WAYNE-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HENDERSON...WARRENTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...
SMITHFIELD...WILSON...GOLDSBORO...CLINTON
713 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

WINDY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE
EVENING ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN. WHILE THE THREAT OF 60 MPH
WINDS HAS DECREASED...THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR WINDS TO
GUST AS HIGH AS 50 TO 55 MPH WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH.
THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED WITH THE SATURATED SOIL WILL LIKELY
TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER
OUTAGES. WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING.
MOTORISTS DRIVING ALONG INTERSTATE 95 SHOULD DRIVE WITH EXTREME
CAUTION AS WINDS WILL BLOW CROSSWISE TO THE ROAD.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. ALSO...TAKE CARE TO SECURE
LIGHTWEIGHT...OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE
WIND.

$$

NCZ007-008-021>025-038>041-073>077-083>086-088-080500-
/O.CON.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-DAVIDSON-
RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...WINSTON-SALEM...
GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...
LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM...
LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE
713 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

WINDY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE
EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 40 TO 45 MPH WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE SANDHILLS. THESE STRONG WINDS COUPLED
WITH THE SATURATED SOIL WILL LIKELY TOPPLE A FEW TREES AND POWER
POLES...LEADING TO SOME POWER OUTAGES. WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY
DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. ALSO...TAKE CARE TO SECURE
LIGHTWEIGHT...OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE
WIND.

$$

JFB
000 
WWUS72 KRAH 080249
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
949 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY CANCELLED...

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-080400-
/O.CAN.KRAH.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0500Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
949 PM EST WED JAN 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA. HOWEVER...BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A FEW GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH FURTHER AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

JFB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 7, 3:19 AM EST, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 3:19 AM EST, 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
319 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF CENTRAL NC THIS
MORNING... AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING
DRIER AND CHILLY CONDITIONS TO THE STATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 310 AM WEDNESDAY...

COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN TO AFFECT CENTRAL NC NEXT 24 HOURS.

FIRST...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE CANCELED FRO
MOST OF THE PIEDMONT EXCLUDING THE FAR NORTH AND NW AS WARM FRONT
CONTINUES TO ADVANCE NORTHWARD. VISIBILITIES AT THE NWS OFFICE
HAVE IMPROVED DRAMATICALLY IN THE LAST 30-45 MINUTES AND THIS
TREND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FARTHER NORTH THROUGH RWI SHORTLY. IN
THE TRIAD...RAIN MOVING INTO THE REGION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
WILL LIKELY SCOUR OUT THE FOG. WILL CONTINUE TO EVALUATE BUT WILL
LIKELY NEED TO ADJUST/CANCEL ADVISORY PRIOR TO FORECAST PACKAGE ISSUANCE.

NEXT...PLAN TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NC FOR
TODAY AND THIS EVENING. VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET (60-65KTS AT 925
MB) PROGGED TO CROSS THE EASTERN COUNTIES THIS MORNING. ONCE THE
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...STRONG
SUBSIDENCE IN WAKE OF THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY TRANSFER STRONG WINDS
TOWARD THE SURFACE WITH GUSTS 40 TO 45 MPH LIKELY. SINCE THE TOP
SOIL IS SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINFALL...EXPECT SOME TREES AND
POWER POLES TO BE TAKEN DOWN IN THESE WINDS LEADING TO POWER
OUTAGES. DUE TO THESE FACTORS WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FROM 9
AM TO MIDNIGHT. IN THE TRIAD REGION AND ACROSS THE FAR
NORTH...THE RESIDUAL COOL AIR MASS FROM THE RECENT CAD EVENT WILL
PREVENT THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM MIXING TO THE SURFACE UNTIL THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...FOR SIMPLICITY SAKE AND TO AVOID CONFUSION
WITH A SEGMENTED ADVISORY...WENT AHEAD AND PLACED THESE AREA IN
THE ADVISORY STARTING AT 9 AM. AGAIN...STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY
NOT AFFECT THIS REGION UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS MORNING...BAND OF CONVECTION WILL CROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF
THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. DUE TO VERY STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE
SURFACE...THE STRONGER SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDER MAY BE ABLE TO
TRANSFER THESE WINDS TO THE SURFACE...CAUSING ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. THIS THREAT APPEARS TO BE GREATEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS AND THE EASTERN PIEDMONT INTO THE COASTAL
PLAIN. DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THE INDIVIDUAL CELLS...ANY
WARNINGS ISSUED WILL LIKELY COVER SEVERAL COUNTIES AT A TIME.

FINALLY...TEMPS TODAY A CRAP SHOOT. TEMPS IN THE SANDHILLS AND
SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN ALREADY NEAR PROJECTED FORECAST HIGHS...AND
THE WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES NOT HELPING
MATTERS. WITH BAND OF CONVECTION THIS MORNING...MAY SEE TEMPS DROP
INITIALLY THEN TEMPS RECOVER AS SW WINDS KICK-IN BEHIND EXITING
SYSTEM.

TONIGHT...PASSAGE OF INITIAL 850-700MB TROUGH THIS EVENING MAY
CAUSE A FEW SHOWERS EARLY ACROSS THE NORTH. OTHERWISE WINDY
WESTERLY FLOW WILL ADVECT COOLER DRIER AIR. EXPECT WINDS TO
SUBSIDE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA BY MIDNIGHT. MIXING NEAR SURFACE
WILL PREVENT AIR MASS FROM REALIZING FULL COOLING POTENTIAL. WENT
WITH MIN TEMPS NEAR OR ON THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE (MID/UPPER 30S
NORTH TO LOWER 40S SE).

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 AM WEDNESDAY

MODELS HAVE COME IN WETTER BETWEEN 2000-10000FT OVER THE REGION THU
WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER DISTINCT MID LEVEL TROUGH. APPEARS TO
BE ENOUGH LIFT THROUGH THE COLUMN TO GENERATE A FEW INSTABILITY
SHOWERS. DUE TO THE COLD TEMPS ALOFT...MAY SEE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE NORTH IN SPITE OF SURFACE TEMPS NEAR 40 DEGREES. FOR
NOW....WILL HAVE POPS NO HIGHER THAN 20%. WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY
BUT NOT AS STRONG AS THOSE EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT....HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO A TRANQUIL
WEATHER PATTERN. WITH SURFACE HIGH IN VICINITY BY FRIDAY
MORNING...WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE TO NEAR CALM. IF SKIES REMAIN
CLEAR...TEMPS SHOULD FALL INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S. AS HIGH
DRIFTS EAST FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO
MODIFY. HIGH TEMPS FRI BE CLOSE TO NORMAL WHILE MIN TEMPS FRIDAY
NIGHT SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN THU NIGHT...ESPECIALLY
IN THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 236 AM WEDNESDAY...

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A MOSTLY DRY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE ON SATURDAY. JUST AS IN THE PREVIOUS RUNS... THE
MAIN UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS ARE FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTH OF OUR
REGION... WITH VERY LITTLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT IN THE LOWER
LEVELS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. HOWEVER... THE 00Z/ECMWF CONTINUES TO
INDICATE A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THE FRONT... WITH
LITTLE SUPPORT FROM THE 00Z/GFS. FOR NOW... WE WILL MAINTAIN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SATURDAY AT 20 PERCENT. SATURDAY SHOULD
ALSO BE WARMER AS THE SW WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. IF
THERE IS ENOUGH SUNSHINE... THE TEMPS COULD REACH INTO THE 60S EVEN
IN THE NW PIEDMONT. WITH THE EXPECTED INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE.... WE WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT 58-65 NW TO SE.

A COLDER DRY N FLOW WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. THE AIR MASS WILL BE OF MODIFIED POLAR ORIGIN. THE COLDEST
AIR WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY. SUNDAY TEMPS SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. LOWS
35-40 AND HIGHS SUNDAY 50-55 OR SO. FOR MONDAY... LOWS WILL DIP INTO
THE 20S WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO NEAR 50 (VERY CLOSE TO THE 30
YEAR AVERAGE).

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY: MODEL SPREAD CONTINUES TO BE OF CONCERN
AND RESULTS IN A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. AN INCREASINGLY +PNA
PATTERN IS SUPPORTED WHICH SHOULD BUILD A WESTERN U.S. UPPER RIDGE
AND DOWNSTREAM EASTERN U.S. TROUGH. BEFORE THIS OCCURS... THERE
COULD STILL BE SOME INTERACTION OF AN OLD STALLED BAROCLINIC ZONE
ALONG THE GULF COAST AND POSSIBLE EJECTION/INTERACTION OF THE SW US
TROUGH WITH NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY. WE CONTINUE TO FAVOR ANY
CYCLOGENESIS/FRONTAL WAVES REMAINING FAR ENOUGH SOUTH AND EAST OF
CENTRAL NC TO KEEP OUR WEATHER DRY... BUT THE LACK OF RUN TO RUN AND
MODEL TO MODEL CONTINUITY MAKES THIS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1245 AM WEDNESDAY...

CAD WEDGE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD LIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS ALL OF OUR REGION WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE KFAY TERMINAL
(WHERE THE WARM FRONT HAD WORKED JUST NORTH AS OF 1245 AM).

A STRONG 55 TO 65KT LOW-LEVEL JET FROM THE SW WILL OVERSPREAD THE
AREA THIS MORNING AT 2-3K FEET AGL. AS THE WINDS STRENGTHEN ALOFT...
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE AN ISSUE AT ALL TAF SITES THIS
MORNING.OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE THE TERMINALS AT KINT...
KGSO... AND KRDU (DEEP IN THE LOW LEVEL COLD AIR DAMMING EVENT)
WHERE THE SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT NE-E... AND THE WINDS AT 2-3K
FEET WILL BE SW AT 55-65KT. EVEN IN THE WARM SECTOR AT KFAY... LLWS
WILL STILL BE AN ISSUE EVEN WITH SW WINDS AT 10-20KT AT THE SURFACE.

THE 00Z/07 NAM APPEARS REASONABLE IN BRINGING THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
NORTHWARD THROUGH KRDU AND KRWI BETWEEN 09Z-12Z. THUS... THE SURFACE
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SSW AND BECOME GUSTY TO 25KT. CEILINGS COULD
BRIEFLY LIFT TO MVFR OR POSSIBLY VFR IN THE WARM SECTOR EARLY THIS
MORNING.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING... LIKELY IN TWO SURGES. THE INITIAL FRONT WILL PUSH
AWAY THE LOW CIGS AND MOISTURE AND TURN THE WINDS TO THE SW. THE
SECOND WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO THE NW AND BRING MUCH DRIER AIR INTO
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON LIFTING THE CIGS TO MVFR TO VFR. STRONG AND
GUSTY SURFACE WINDS WILL BE AN ISSUE AT ALL TERMINALS THIS
AFTERNOON.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY
BEHIND THE FRONT. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY THEN ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY WITH BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT
FOR NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BADGETT
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...BADGETT
AVIATION...BADGETT
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 6, 11:35 PM EST, 4 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1135 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-071100-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-
1135 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO MAY OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT THOUGH SMALL...IS GREATEST OVER THE
SANDHILLS AND THE COASTAL PLAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A
HALF TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS. STRONG
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH MAY OCCUR WITH THE STORMS ALONG WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH
FREQUENT WIND GUST BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MILES AN HOUR LIKELY LATE
WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY. SINCE THE TOP SOIL WILL BE
SATURATED FROM THE RECENT RAIN...THESE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
DOWNING A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES. THIS MAY LEAD TO SPORADIC
POWER OUTAGES.

NCZ073>078-083>086-088-089-071100-
STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1135 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO MAY OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT THOUGH SMALL...IS GREATEST OVER THE
SANDHILLS AND THE COASTAL PLAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A
HALF TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS. STRONG
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH MAY OCCUR WITH THE STORMS ALONG WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH
FREQUENT WIND GUST BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MILES AN HOUR LIKELY LATE
WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY. SINCE THE TOP SOIL WILL BE
SATURATED FROM THE RECENT RAIN...THESE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
DOWNING A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES. THIS MAY LEAD TO SPORADIC
POWER OUTAGES.

JFB

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 6, 9:48 PM EST, 5 hours 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
948 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-070500-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO
948 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

...FOG LOWERING VISIBILITIES BELOW A HALF A MILE TONIGHT...

AREAS OF FOG AND DRIZZLE ARE REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN THE
TRIANGLE AREA...EAST TOWARD GOLDSBORO AND SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN
PINES AREA. VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER TO A HALF A MILE ARE
POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN LOWER DRAINAGE OR RURAL AREAS.
VISIBILITIES WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE NORTHWEST AS
THE WARM FRONT ADVANCES NORTH LATER TONIGHT.

TRAVELERS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION TONIGHT IN THEIR TRAVELS UNTIL
VISIBILITIES IMPROVE. THE USE OF LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS WHILE
TRAVELING IS STRONGLY ENCOURAGED.

LATER TONIGHT A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED IF VISIBILITIES
DONT IMPROVE OR DETERIORATE.

PAGANO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 6, 11:34 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryRAHAlamance, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Edgecombe, Forsyth and 13 more6 hr
Jan 7, 8:59 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston, Sampson, Wayne61 min
Jan 7, 9:12 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wilson51 min
Jan 7, 9:23 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax37 min
Jan 7, 5:18 PM ESTHigh Wind WarningRAHEdgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Johnston, Nash, Sampson and 4 more115 min

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2009Every wind advisory in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.