Tornado Warning 15, NWS Raleigh, NC

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 052131
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
531 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCC101-127-195-052215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090505T2215Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WILSON NC-NASH NC-
531 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NASH...
NORTHWESTERN WILSON AND NORTH CENTRAL JOHNSTON COUNTIES...

AT 531 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
STRONGLY INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
EMIT...OR NEAR LINWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS 
TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW IF YOU WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT 
MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7783 3585 7782 3560 7827 3573 7840
      3581 7826 3586 7823 3607 7794 3593 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 227DEG 19KT 3570 7825

$$

VINCENT

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 052137
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
537 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCC101-127-195-052215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090505T2215Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WILSON NC-NASH NC-
537 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NASH...
NORTHWESTERN WILSON AND NORTH CENTRAL JOHNSTON COUNTIES...

AT 533 PM EDT...THE ANTIOCH FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR 
HIGHWAY 96 AND ANTIOCH CHURCH ROAD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  MIDDLESEX BY 550 PM EDT
  BAILEY BY 600 PM EDT
  SIMS BY 605 PM EDT
  6 MILES WEST OF NEW HOPE AND 9 MILES SOUTH OF SPRING HOPE BY 615 PM
  EDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE 
THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW IF YOU WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT 
COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7783 3585 7782 3561 7825 3575 7836
      3581 7826 3586 7823 3607 7794 3593 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 233DEG 16KT 3571 7824

$$

VINCENT

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 052143
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
543 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCC101-127-195-052215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090505T2215Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WILSON NC-NASH NC-
543 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NASH...
NORTHWESTERN WILSON AND NORTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES...

AT 538 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO.  THIS 
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HIGHWAY 222 AT BARNES LAKE ROAD...OR JUST 
NORTHEAST OF EMIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  BAILEY BY 555 PM EDT
  SIMS BY 600 PM EDT
  NEW HOPE AND 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SPRING HOPE BY 615 PM EDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION MAJOR TREE AND HOME DAMAGE 
HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS TORNADO TAKE COVER NOW IF YOU WAIT TO 
SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7783 3585 7782 3563 7821 3577 7833
      3581 7826 3586 7823 3607 7794 3593 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 235DEG 18KT 3574 7819

$$

VINCENT

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 052152
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
552 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCC101-052159-
/O.CAN.KRAH.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090505T2215Z/
JOHNSTON NC-
552 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED NORTHEAST INTO NASH 
COUNTY...THEREFORE THE WARNING FOR JOHNSTON COUNTY HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

IF YOU OBSERVED A TORNADO...DAMAGING WINDS...OR LARGE HAIL...PLEASE
NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR
REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3587 7783 3585 7782 3566 7815 3571 7816
      3572 7818 3572 7820 3575 7824 3582 7825
      3586 7823 3607 7794 3593 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 234DEG 20KT 3577 7815

$$

NCC127-195-052215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090505T2215Z/
WILSON NC-NASH NC-
552 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NASH AND
NORTHWESTERN WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 548 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR 
BAILEY...OR 9 MILES EAST OF LINWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  SIMS BY 600 PM EDT
  9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SPRING HOPE BY 610 PM EDT
  NEW HOPE AND 8 MILES SOUTH OF NASHVILLE BY 615 PM EDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED 
A TORNADO WITH THIS STORM IN FAR NORTHEAST JOHNSTON COUNTY NEAR EMIT 
AT 538 PM. THIS TORNADO HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TAKE 
COVER NOW IF YOU WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE 
TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7783 3585 7782 3566 7815 3571 7816
      3572 7818 3572 7820 3575 7824 3582 7825
      3586 7823 3607 7794 3593 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 234DEG 20KT 3577 7815

$$

VINCENT

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 052202
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
602 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCC127-195-052215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090505T2215Z/
WILSON NC-NASH NC-
602 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NASH AND
NORTHWESTERN WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 600 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BAILEY...OR 14 
MILES EAST OF LINWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS TORNADO HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING MAJOR DAMAGE IN NORTHEAST 
JOHNSTON COUNTY. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION TAKE 
COVER NOW IF YOU WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO  
LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7783 3585 7782 3566 7815 3571 7816
      3572 7818 3572 7820 3575 7824 3582 7825
      3586 7823 3607 7794 3593 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 234DEG 20KT 3580 7807

$$

VINCENT

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 052205
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
605 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCC127-195-052215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090505T2215Z/
WILSON NC-NASH NC-
605 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR EASTERN
NASH AND NORTH CENTRAL WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 604 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED ABOUT 5 MILES NORTH OF 
SIMS...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NASHVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 
MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  NEW HOPE...9 MILES WEST OF SHARPSBURG AND 9 MILES SOUTH OF
  NASHVILLE BY 615 PM EDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS TORNADO HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING MAJOR DAMAGE IN NORTHEAST 
JOHNSTON COUNTY. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION TAKE 
COVER NOW IF YOU WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO  
LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7783 3585 7782 3574 7807 3582 7813
      3594 7806 3607 7794 3593 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 235DEG 20KT 3580 7805

$$

VINCENT

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 052218
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
618 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCC127-195-052227-
/O.EXP.KRAH.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090505T2215Z/
WILSON NC-NASH NC-
618 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NASH AND NORTH CENTRAL WILSON COUNTIES
EXPIRES AT 615 PM EDT...


THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING CONTINUES. ANOTHER TORNADO 
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 645 PM FOR NORTH CENTRAL WILSON... 
NORTHWEST EDGECOMBE AND SOUTHERN NASH. 

IF YOU OBSERVED A TORNADO...DAMAGING WINDS...OR LARGE HAIL...PLEASE
NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR
REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3587 7783 3585 7782 3574 7807 3582 7813
      3594 7806 3607 7794 3593 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 235DEG 20KT 3580 7805

$$

11

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
317 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT OVER CENTRAL NC WILL PUSH NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT LATER TONIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT
ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST ACROSS CENTRAL NC WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 305 PM TUESDAY...

BEST CHANCE OF CONVECTION...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE SEVERE WILL EXIST
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF CENTRAL NC THROUGH 00Z. BREAKS IN
OVERCAST HAVE DEVELOPED...WARMING TEMPS WELL INTO THE 70S. THIS HAS
RESULTED IN SURFACE BASE CAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG WITH MIXED
LAYER CAPE 500-750 J/KG. 0-1KM HELICITY NEAR THE SC BORDER HOVERING
NEAR 150 M2/S2. SFC BOUNDARY  HAS HELD STEADY PAST FEW HOURS
STRETCHING FROM RWI-SOUTH OF RDU-ASHEBORO. WATER VAPOR DOES DEPICT
TAIL OF S/W ROTATING THROUGH MOUNTAINS AT THIS TIME. THIS FEATURE
MAY INITIATE CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT. IF THIS
OCCURS...STORMS SHOULD RAPIDLY DEVELOP AND POSSIBLY BECOME SEVERE.
WILL NEED TO MONITOR STORMS THAT INTERSECT OR MOVE ALONG BOUNDARY AS
HELICITY WILL BE ENHANCED ALONG THIS FEATURE...INCREASING TORNADIC
THREAT.

AIR MASS STABILIZES LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS WHERE WILL BE
IN THE SUBSIDENCE REGION OF EXITING S/W. MAY SEE A STRAY SHOWER
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY BUT MOST LOCALES WILL BE DRY. IF
MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS THIN/DEPART...MAY SEE WIDESPREAD FOG/LOW
STRATUS WITH POCKETS OF DENSE FOG POSSIBLE. .
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 254 PM TUESDAY...

MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH BEST INSTABILITY PROGGED TO
OCCUR EAST OF HIGHWAY 1. MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF NEXT MCV WITH
GFS/CANADIAN AS MUCH AS 6-9 HOURS FASTER THAN NAM-WRF. ECMWF A BIT
OF A COMPROMISE. CONSIDERING GFS USUALLY TOO FAST...FAVOR SLOWER
TIMING OFFERED BY NAM-WRF WITH SOME ADJUSTMENTS. EXPECT SCATTERED
CONVECTION TO FIRE DURING MAX HEATING WITH LITTLE IN THE MANNER OF
ORGANIZATION. EXPECT STORMS TO ORGANIZE INTO BROKEN SEGMENTS BY OR
AFTER 00Z AS MCV AND ASSOCIATED BULK SHEAR OF 35-40KTS BEGINS TO
AFFECT AREA. MAY SEE A FEW SEVERE STORMS AFTER SUNSET WITH MAIN
THREAT DAMAGING DOWNBURST  AND LARGE HAIL. IF WASHED OUT BOUNDARY
MAINTAINS PRESENCE...SLIGHT TORNADIC POTENTIAL WILL EXIST. FAVOR
WARMER MOS GUIDANCE FOR MAX TEMPS WED AS SLY FLOW INCREASES AFTER
15Z.  IF SUBSTANTIAL BREAKS DEVELOP...MAX TEMPS MAY END UP BEING 3
DEGREES WARMER.

MODELS GENERALLY AGREE IN THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE
ONGOING WEDNESDAY EVENING OVER A GOOD PORTION OF OUR REGION. THIS
WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST
TO MOVE EAST ACROSS OUR REGION DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
PERIODS. CONVECTION SHOULD SHIFT EASTWARD FROM THE PIEDMONT INTO
THE COASTAL PLAIN DURING THE LATE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD... WITH THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY REACH THE COASTAL PLAIN REGION BY AROUND 12Z
THURSDAY. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON A PROJECTED LULL IN THE
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL BE DUE TO SUBSIDENCE ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH SHOULD BE OVER OUR
REGION. QPF STORM TOTALS IN THE 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH RANGE ON
AVERAGE... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT OF
60-65 EXPECTED... WITH THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE PREFERRED SE.
HIGHS THURSDAY SHOULD RETURN TO THE 78 TO 85 RANGE NW TO SOUTH
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS... AS A 35 TO 45KT SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET S-SW IS FORECAST TO BECOME ALIGNED OVER
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NC LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS
SHOULD COMBINE WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY AND MODEST SHEAR TO
SUPPORT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT. THE ONE FACTOR THAT MAY
REDUCE THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
CENTRAL NC (MOSTLY DURING THE DIURNAL COOLING PERIOD OVERNIGHT DOWN
EAST). THE THREAT OF SEVERE SHOULD END BEFORE 12Z THURSDAY. &&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 254 PM TUESDAY...

THURSDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE QUIET AS CONVECTIVE TRIGGERS APPEAR TO BE
ABSENT. A LIGHT SW FLOW SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES UP IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES (A GOOD 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL).

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ALTHOUGH THE MEAN FLOW BECOMES
MORE ZONAL OR WESTERLY... MODELS SUGGEST THAT THERE SHOULD BE SOME
CONVECTIVE TRIGGERS TRAVERSING OUR AREA. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF NC FRIDAY... THEN
SLOWLY RETREAT AS A WARM FRONT SATURDAY. A STRONGER COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NC FROM THE NW LATE SATURDAY. THERE SHOULD
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO INCREASE THE POP INTO THE
CHANCE CATEGORY FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY. THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LARGELY DIURNALLY
DRIVEN EXCEPT FOR SATURDAY NIGHT WHEN THE COLD FRONT SHOULD
SUPPORT CONVERGENCE AND LIFT INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. LOWS WILL
CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL ABOVE NORMAL (IN THE 60S) FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. HIGHS WILL ALSO AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL... MOSTLY IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S THROUGH SUNDAY.

SUNDAY INTO MONDAY... THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTH OF
NC SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY... AS A SURFACE HIGH IS
FORECAST TO SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND
STATES. POP SHOULD BE CONFINED TO AREAS TO OUR SOUTH NEAR THE
FRONT. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD BECOME NE-E RATHER QUICKLY
LEADING TO POTENTIAL CLOUDINESS EARLY NEXT WEEK. IT WILL BE COOLER
BEHIND THE FRONT WITH LOWS IN THE 50S AND HIGHS IN THE 70S MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY (VERY CLOSE TO THE 30 YEAR NORMALS).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 142 PM TUESDAY...

IFR/LIFR CEILINGS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT
WILL GRADUALLY LIFT INTO MVFR CONDITIONS BY 20-22Z AS LOW LEVEL
HEATING GRADUALLY LIFTS CEILINGS. MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE
AS MOIST AIRMASS AND HEATING WILL MAINTAIN CEILINGS BETWEEN
1500-2500 FT. APPROACH OF AN DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL SUSTAIN
SCATTERED CONVECTION THROUGH 02Z ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT IFR
CONDITIONS NEAR THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND STORMS.

EXPECT A LULL IN THE CONVECTION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. NEARLY SATURATED AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN LIFR CEILINGS AND
POSSIBLY LIFR VISIBILITIES AS SKIES ALOFT BRIEFLY CLEAR...CAUSING
NEAR SURFACE LAYER TO COOL TO THE DEWPOINT. FOG AND LOW STRATUS THAT
FORM WILL LIFT BETWEEN 13-15Z WED.

WEDNESDAY...A MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN
BROKEN CEILINGS BETWEEN 2000-3500 FT BY AFTERNOON. A S-SW WIND
SUSTAINED 8-12 KTS WITH GUSTS 19-23KTS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN
VICINITY OF KFAY AND KRWI WHERE HEATING MAY BE A BIT STRONGER. AIR
MASS WILL AGAIN SUPPORT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ...MAINLY AFTER 16Z. EXPECT CONVECTION TO PERSIST WELL
INTO THE NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES AND CROSSES
THE REGION AFTER 00Z.

STABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THU INTO THU NIGHT WHILE A RETURN TO
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND PERIODS OF ADVERSE AVIATION CONDITIONS
ANTICIPATED FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BADGETT
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...WSS/BADGETT
LONG TERM...BADGETT
AVIATION...WSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1205 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-060930-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-
1205 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING AS A STALLED FRONT RESIDES ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.
SOUTH OF THE FRONT...MAINLY SOUTH OF US 64....THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT
WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AS THE AIRMASS DESTABILIZES
IN THE AFTERNOON.

AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG STORMS
THAT DEVELOP AND TRAVEL ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE STORMS APPEARS TO BE GREATEST BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES ACROSS THE AREA
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS DEVELOPING MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 95.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE ATTENDANT SURFACE WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY EVENING BRINGING THE CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS TO ALL OF
CENTRAL NC LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING AND INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ONCE
AGAIN THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL...WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.

RESIDENTS ACROSS CENTRAL NC ARE ADVISED TO MAINTAIN AWARENESS OF
LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WATCHES AND OR WARNING OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IMPACT THE
AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS.

NCZ088-089-060930-
CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1205 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 244 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING AS A STALLED FRONT RESIDES ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.
SOUTH OF THE FRONT...MAINLY SOUTH OF US 64....THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT
WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AS THE AIRMASS DESTABILIZES
IN THE AFTERNOON.

AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG STORMS
THAT DEVELOP AND TRAVEL ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE STORMS APPEARS TO BE GREATEST BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES ACROSS THE AREA
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS DEVELOPING MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 95.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ATTENDANT SURFACE WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE
AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING BRINGING THE CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS TO ALL
OF CENTRAL NC WEDNESDAY EVENING AND INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ONCE
AGAIN THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL...WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.

RESIDENTS ACROSS CENTRAL NC ARE ADVISED TO MAINTAIN AWARENESS OF
LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WATCHES AND OR WARNING OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IMPACT THE
AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
501 PM EDT TUE MAY 05 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     TORNADO          5 S BAILEY              35.70N 78.10W
05/05/2009                   WILSON             NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO DAMAGE TO RESIDENCE ON ROCK RIDGE SCHOOL ROAD.
            POSSIBLE INJURY.

&&

BLAES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
502 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCZ023-024-039-040-052200-
ALAMANCE-CHATHAM-ORANGE-RANDOLPH-
502 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST
RANDOLPH... NORTHERN CHATHAM... AND SOUTHERN ORANGE COUNTIES THROUGH
545 PM...

AT 501 PM EDT... DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERAL STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM COLERIDGE TO 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PITTSBORO... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR HASTY AROUND 505 PM EDT...SILER
CITY AROUND 510 PM EDT...CARRBORO AROUND 545 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

BADGETT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
502 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCZ010-011-026-027-041-052200-
FRANKLIN-HALIFAX-NASH-WAKE-WARREN-
502 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS WARREN...HALIFAX...
FRANKLIN...NASH AND WAKE COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM EDT...

AT 502 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PILOT...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTH OF LINWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR BUNN AROUND 510 PM EDT...
CASTALIA AROUND 550 PM EDT...CENTERVILLE AROUND 555 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. THESE
WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN LARGE TREE LIMBS. LIGHT OBJECTS
SUCH AS TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND AWNINGS COULD
BE TOSSED AROUND.

DONT WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. INSTEAD...MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES
OR THE FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY
FROM YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

WSS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
508 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

NCZ073-074-052215-
MONTGOMERY-STANLY-
508 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS MONTGOMERY AND STANLY
COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

AT 508 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PLYLER...OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALBEMARLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 20 MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR PLYLER AROUND 515 PM EDT...
ALBEMARLE AROUND 530 PM EDT...BADIN AROUND 550 PM EDT...BADIN LAKE
AROUND 600 PM EDT...ELDORADO AROUND 610 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING ONE INCH DURING THE
NEXT HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH
CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

WSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
511 PM EDT TUE MAY 05 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 WNW WILSON            35.76N 78.01W
05/05/2009                   WILSON             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD LOOKING NORTHEAST FROM I-95
            AND U.S. 264.

&&

BLAES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
517 PM EDT TUE MAY 05 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 NNW WILSON            35.78N 77.95W
05/05/2009                   WILSON             NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED ON COUNTRY CLUB DRIVE AT NC 58.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

BLAES