Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2009
River Flood Warning 13, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Nov 11, 2009, 7:26 PM EST for Chatham County, North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 12, 2009, 3:40 AM EST. It was in force for 49 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 11, 2009, 7:26 PM EST (00:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 12, 2009, 3:40 AM EST
- Expired
- Nov 14, 2009, 4:40 AM EST
- In force
- 49 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Chatham County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Haw River near Bynum (BYNN7). The gauge peaked at 13.12 ft at Nov 13, 2009, 4:00 AM EST.
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 11 ft
- Moderate stage
- 15 ft
- Major stage
- 17 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02096960, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS42 KRAH 120026
FLWRAH
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
726 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN IN THE HAW RIVER BASIN
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE BY
THURSDAY EVENING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC037-121226-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0013.091112T0840Z-091113T1342Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0840Z.091112T1800Z.091113T0742Z.NO/
726 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAH HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 400 FEET ACROSS. IT
FLOODS PASTURELANDS ON THE RIGHT BANK AND WOODLANDS ON THE LEFT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 10.0 WED 07 PM 11.5 10.5 7.4 5.2 4.5
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$9 follow-up statements
000
WGUS82 KRAH 121000
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
500 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER MUCH OF THE HAW BASIN
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN
IS LIKELY TODAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC037-122200-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091113T1535Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091112T1800Z.091113T0935Z.NO/
500 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 4:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 400 FEET ACROSS. IT
FLOODS PASTURELANDS ON THE RIGHT BANK AND WOODLANDS ON THE LEFT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 11.0 THU 04 AM 10.8 8.5 6.4 5.3
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$000
WGUS82 KRAH 121542
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1042 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
NEUSE RIVER NEAR CLAYTON AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY
NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY
THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC001-130342-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091113T1521Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.091112T0907Z.091113T0000Z.091113T0921Z.NO/
1042 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD BEGINS
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
HAW RIVER
HAW RIVER 18 19.9 THU 10 AM 16.5 6.7 3.8 3.6 3.4
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
HAW RIVER: 471.69
$$
NCC037-130342-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091113T2209Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091113T0000Z.091113T1609Z.NO/
1042 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.3 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 800 FEET ACROSS
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 12.0 THU 10 AM 11.9 7.2 5.3 4.5 4.3
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$
NCC101-130341-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-091113T0824Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.091112T0500Z.091112T1800Z.091113T0224Z.NO/
1042 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR CLAYTON.
* AT 10:16 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.9 FEET BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR OVERFLOW OCCURS ON BOTH BANKS
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
NEUSE RIVER
CLAYTON 9 9.8 THU 10 AM 7.4 2.8 1.9 1.5 1.3
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
CLAYTON: 128.41
$$
NCC101-130341-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-091114T0105Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.091112T1330Z.091113T0000Z.091113T1905Z.NO/
1042 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY
AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SMITHFIELD TOWN PARK, NEAR THE HIGHWAY 70
BRIDGE, FLOODS.
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
NEUSE RIVER
SMITHFIELD 15 15.1 THU 09 AM 16.1 10.7 5.7 4.9 4.7
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
SMITHFIELD: 99.26
$$000
WGUS82 KRAH 130230
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
930 PM EST THU NOV 12 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY
THREE TO AS MUCH AS SIX INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS THE HAW RIVER AND THE NEUSE RIVER BASINS OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. UP TO AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC001-131430-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091113T1617Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.091112T0907Z.091112T2215Z.091113T1017Z.NO/
930 PM EST THU NOV 12 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.
* AT 9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE RIGHT BANK OPPOSITE THE
WATER TREATMENT PLANT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
HAW RIVER
HAW RIVER 18 20.4 THU 09 PM 9.2 6.6 5.2 4.2
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
HAW RIVER: 471.69
$$
NCC037-131430-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091114T0142Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091113T0215Z.091113T1942Z.NO/
930 PM EST THU NOV 12 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 9:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 400 FEET ACROSS. IT
FLOODS PASTURELANDS ON THE RIGHT BANK AND WOODLANDS ON THE LEFT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 12.7 THU 09 PM 8.9 6.5 5.6 5.1
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$
NCC101-131429-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-091114T0150Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.091112T1330Z.091113T0600Z.091113T1950Z.NO/
930 PM EST THU NOV 12 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY
AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SMITHFIELD TOWN PARK, NEAR THE HIGHWAY 70
BRIDGE, FLOODS.
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
NEUSE RIVER
SMITHFIELD 15 16.2 THU 08 PM 10.5 6.1 4.9 4.7
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
SMITHFIELD: 99.26
$$000
WGUS82 KRAH 131001
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
501 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC001-131730-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091113T1730Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.091112T0907Z.091112T2215Z.091113T1130Z.NO/
501 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.
* AT 4:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE RIGHT BANK OPPOSITE THE
WATER TREATMENT PLANT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
HAW RIVER 18 20.1 FRI 05 AM 9.2 6.6 5.2 4.2
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
HAW RIVER: 471.69
$$
NCC037-132201-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091114T0142Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091113T0915Z.091113T1942Z.NO/
501 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 4:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 800 FEET ACROSS
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 13.1 FRI 04 AM 8.9 6.5 5.6 5.1
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$
NCC101-132201-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-091114T0150Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.091112T1330Z.091113T0730Z.091113T1950Z.NO/
501 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 4:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER COVERS THE DIRT ROAD NEXT TO THE WATER
TREATMENT PLANT.
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
NEUSE RIVER
SMITHFIELD 15 16.3 FRI 04 AM 10.5 6.1 4.9 4.7
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
SMITHFIELD: 99.26
$$000
WGUS82 KRAH 131523
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1023 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC001-140323-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091114T1006Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.091112T0907Z.091113T1800Z.091114T0406Z.NO/
1023 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.
* AT 10:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.9 FEET BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE RIGHT BANK OPPOSITE THE
WATER TREATMENT PLANT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
HAW RIVER 18 20.7 FRI 10 AM 11.4 7.2 6.3 5.4 4.4
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
############DELETE STATIONS BELOW THAT ARE NOT APPLICABLE##########
HAW RIVER: 471.69
$$
NCC037-140323-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091114T1640Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091113T0915Z.091114T1040Z.NO/
1023 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 400 FEET ACROSS. IT
FLOODS PASTURELANDS ON THE RIGHT BANK AND WOODLANDS ON THE LEFT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 12.6 FRI 10 AM 10.8 7.2 6.0 5.5 5.1
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
############DELETE STATIONS BELOW THAT ARE NOT APPLICABLE##########
BYNUM: 283.31
$$
NCC101-132257-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-091113T2257Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.091112T1330Z.091113T0730Z.091113T1657Z.NO/
1023 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER COVERS THE DIRT ROAD NEXT TO THE WATER
TREATMENT PLANT.
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
NEUSE RIVER
SMITHFIELD 15 15.7 FRI 09 AM 10.7 7.9 7.8 9.1 9.2
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
############DELETE STATIONS BELOW THAT ARE NOT APPLICABLE##########
SMITHFIELD: 99.26
$$000
WGUS82 KRAH 131954
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
254 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA..
HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC001-140754-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091114T1006Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.091112T0907Z.091113T1800Z.091114T0406Z.NO/
254 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.
* AT 2:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE RIGHT BANK OPPOSITE THE
WATER TREATMENT PLANT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
HAW RIVER 18 20.8 FRI 02 PM 11.4 7.2 6.3 5.4 4.4
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
HAW RIVER: 471.69
$$
NCC037-140754-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091114T1640Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091113T0915Z.091114T1040Z.NO/
254 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 2:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 400 FEET ACROSS. IT
FLOODS PASTURELANDS ON THE RIGHT BANK AND WOODLANDS ON THE LEFT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 12.1 FRI 03 PM 10.8 7.2 6.0 5.5 5.1
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$
NCC101-132024-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-091113T2257Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.091112T1330Z.091113T0730Z.091113T1840Z.NO/
254 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 2:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1:40 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 10.7 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER REACHES THE BASE OF THE ONE MILLION
GALLON TANK AT THE WATER TREATMENT PLANT.
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
NEUSE RIVER
SMITHFIELD 15 14.9 FRI 02 PM 10.7 7.9 7.8 9.1 9.2
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
SMITHFIELD: 99.26
$$
ELLIS000
WGUS82 KRAH 140136
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
836 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC001-141336-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091114T1406Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.091112T0907Z.091113T1800Z.091114T0806Z.NO/
836 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.
* AT 8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE RIGHT BANK OPPOSITE THE
WATER TREATMENT PLANT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
HAW RIVER 18 19.9 FRI 08 PM 8.6 6.6 5.9 5.3
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
HAW RIVER: 471.69
$$
NCC037-141336-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091114T1600Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091113T0915Z.091114T1000Z.NO/
836 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 400 FEET ACROSS. IT
FLOODS PASTURELANDS ON THE RIGHT BANK AND WOODLANDS ON THE LEFT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 11.6 FRI 08 PM 7.7 6.1 5.7 5.5
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$000
WGUS82 KRAH 140145 CCA
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
836 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC001-141336-
/O.COR.KRAH.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091114T1406Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.091112T0907Z.091113T1800Z.091114T0806Z.NO/
836 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.
* AT 8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE RIGHT BANK OPPOSITE THE
WATER TREATMENT PLANT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
HAW RIVER 18 19.9 FRI 08 PM 15.6 8.6 6.6 5.9 5.3
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
HAW RIVER: 471.69
$$
NCC037-141336-
/O.COR.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091114T1600Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091113T0915Z.091114T1000Z.NO/
836 PM EST FRI NOV 13 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 400 FEET ACROSS. IT
FLOODS PASTURELANDS ON THE RIGHT BANK AND WOODLANDS ON THE LEFT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 11.6 FRI 08 PM 10.8 7.7 6.1 5.7 5.5
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$000
WGUS82 KRAH 140940
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
440 AM EST SAT NOV 14 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY
HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM AFFECTING CHATHAM COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
NCC001-141010-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091114T1406Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.091112T0907Z.091113T1800Z.091114T0652Z.NO/
440 AM EST SAT NOV 14 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.
* AT 4:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1:52 AM SATURDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.6 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD BEGINS
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE WED THU
HAW RIVER
HAW RIVER 18 17.0 SAT 04 AM 8.6 6.6 5.9 5.3
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
HAW RIVER: 471.69
$$
NCC037-141010-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-091114T1600Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.091112T0927Z.091113T0915Z.091114T0740Z.NO/
440 AM EST SAT NOV 14 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE HAW RIVER NEAR BYNUM.
* AT 4:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 2:40 AM SATURDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 7.7 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WIDENS UP TO 400 FEET ACROSS. IT
FLOODS PASTURELANDS ON THE RIGHT BANK AND WOODLANDS ON THE LEFT
&&
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 8AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE WED THU
HAW RIVER
BYNUM 11 10.8 SAT 04 AM 7.7 6.1 5.7 5.5
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:
BYNUM: 283.31
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 11, 3:06 PM EST, 4 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 3:06 PM EST, 4 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 306 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009 .SYNOPSIS... A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE A PROLONG PERIOD OF RAIN AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 300 PM WEDNESDAY... PERSISTENT MODERATE RAINFALL HAS TEMPORARILY ABATED ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH FOCUS FOR PROLONG MODERATE/HEAVY RAINFALL SHIFTING TO THE COAST ALONG A STALLED SURFACE-850MB BOUNDARY. HAVE RECEIVED SEVERAL-NUMEROUS REPORTS OF RAIN TOTALS SO FAR BETWEEN MESO ANALYSIS DEPICTS SURFACE PRESSURES CONTINUING TO FALL IN VICINITY OF THE NE SC/SE NC COAST...INDICATION OF THE COASTAL LOW DEVELOPING/STRENGTHENING. 18Z SURFACE PLOT DEPICTS 1034MB HIGH CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO/SW QUEBEC. NEAR TERM MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT THIS WEATHER FEATURE WILL REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY. FINALLY...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LOOP SUGGEST UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPING/STRENGTHENING OVER UPSTATE SC WITH DRIER AIR ALOFT BEING PULLED NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN NC AT 18Z. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROGGED TO SLOWLY DRIFT SE OVERNIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED H7 LOW GRADUALLY DEEPENING S-SE OF CENTRAL NC. THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF THE STRENGTHENING LOW (SURFACE AND LOFT) TO OUR S-SE AND THE STATIONARY POSITION OF THE CANADIAN HIGH TO OUR NORTH WILL RESULT IN A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FETCH OFF THE ATLANTIC INTO CENTRAL NC THIS EVENING THROUGH THU. THE POSITION OF THE 700MB LOW SUGGEST THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR PRECIP BANDING TO OCCUR IN VICINITY OF THE NW PIEDMONT. THUS EXPECT MODERATE TO POSSIBLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP OR SPREAD BACK INTO THE NW PIEDMONT THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO THU. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES PROBABLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY EXTEND E-NE ALONG THE VA BORDER COUNTIES AS WELL. WILL MAINTAIN FLASH FLOOD WATCH ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FOR NOW. HOWEVER...IF IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS WILL SET-UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN COUNTIES AND THE HEAVY RAIN WILL BE CONFINED TO THE COASTAL TROUGH NEAR SHORE...THEN CANCELING THE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES WARRANTED. AS SURFACE LOW SLOWLY DEEPENS FROM 1003MB THIS EVENING TO 997MB BY THU MORNING...EXPECT STEADY INCREASE IN THE NEAR SURFACE WINDS. STILL EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 15-20KTS TONIGHT INTO WITH FREQUENT GUSTS 30-35KTS. SATURATED TOP SOIL COMBINED WITH THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREES/POWER POLES LEADING TO SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES. TEMPS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OR COOLING JUST 2-3 DEGREES FROM CURRENT LEVELS. THU...SLOW MOVEMENT OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN STATUS QUO CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT AXIS OF MODERATE RAINFALL TO LINGER OVER THE NW PIEDMONT...POSSIBLY EXTENDING FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW DRIFT E-SE. MOS GUIDANCE SUGGEST TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE DAY IN THE NORTH AND WEST. 850MB FLOW NOT SHOWING MUCH CAA DURING THE DAY. AT THIS TIME FAVORED TEMPS STEADY THROUGH THE DAY WITH A GRADUAL DROP OFF IN THE AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN CATEGORICAL POPS MOST LOCALES ASIDE FROM SOUTHERN PIEDMONT WHERE LIKELY POPS WILL SUFFICE. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 305 PM WEDNESDAY... THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT: LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS IS EXPECTED SLOWLY MOVE/LIFT OFF TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST AND BECOME VERTICALLY STACKED. AS THIS HAPPENS CHANCE FOR RAIN FINALLY BEGIN TO DECREASE ACROSS THE AREA. STILL EXPECTED WE COULD SEE AT LEAST ANOTHER QUARTER OF INCH OR MORE ACROSS THE NORTH ON THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE THE BEST LIFT MOVES OFF TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. EXPECT MORE IN THE WAY OF AREAS OF DRIZZLE THAN RAIN BY FRIDAY... AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO WORK INTO THE REGION IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BREEZY ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING... WITH WIND GUST OFF UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST. WILL MAINTAIN CURRENT WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY. HOWEVER... FUTURE SHIFTS WILL NEED TO LOOK AT THE POTENTIAL OF POSSIBLY EXTENDING THE WIND ADVISORY (AT LEAST IN THE EAST) INTO THE DAY ON FRIDAY... AS MODEL SOUNDING INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR WINDS GUSTS OF UP TO 25 TO 30 MPH. EVEN THOUGH WINDS THIS STRONG WOULD NOT PROMPT A WIND ADVISORY... GIVEN THE SATURATED SOIL THIS MAY BE A CASE WHERE WINDS IN THIS RANGE ARE ABLE TO DOWN TREES. LOWS ON FRIDAY MORNING LOOK TO GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL REMAIN ON THE CHILLY SIDE... AS SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY TO OVERCAST ALL DAY LONG... WITH DRIZZLE POSSIBLE. THUS... EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S ACROSS THE NORTHEAST TO NEAR 60 IN THE SOUTHWEST... WHERE WE MAY SEE A LITTLE CLEARING. SKIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN AT LEAST PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY ON FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING... WITH THE CONTINUE THREAT OF PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOW AGAIN ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT: MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE AREA... ALONG WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SKIES TO BECOME PARTLY SUNNY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY AFTERNOON AND A WARMING TREND. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS TO RANGE FROM THE MID 60S IN THE NORTHEAST (WHERE WE WILL SEE THE LEAST AMOUNT OF CLEARING) TO THE LOWER 70S IN THE WEST (WHERE WE SHOULD SEE THE MOST SUN). WITH CLEARING SKIES AND WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE... WE MAY SEE SOME GOOD RADIATIONAL FOG ON SUNDAY MORNING... THANKS TO THE MOIST SOILS. OVERNIGHT LOWS ON SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 220 PM WEDNESDAY... SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT: MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS BEGINS TO SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. HOWEVER... WITH WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STILL IN CONTROL SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY/CLEAR. AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES ARE PROGGED TO BE IN THE 1375 TO 1380 METER RANGE ON SUNDAY. WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECT... THIS SHOULD YIELD HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE AREA... WITH POSSIBLY SOME UPPER 70S ACROSS THE SOUTH. WITH GOOD RADIATION COOLING CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING TEMPERATURE SHOULD FALL FAIRLY QUICKLY ON SUNDAY EVENING AND BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. HOWEVER... A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING INTO/APPROACHING THE AREA ON MONDAY MORNING. THE 00Z/11 EC IS FASTER WITH THIS FEATURE THAN THE 12Z/11 GFS... AND DEPICT THE BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE ARE OVERNIGHT. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY... HOWEVER... IT WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND SUBSEQUENTLY KEEP OVERNIGHT LOW UP SEVERAL DEGREES. HOWEVER... WITH TIMING DIFFERENCE AND STILL SEVERAL DAYS OUT... WILL LEAVE LOWS AS IS FOR NOW. IN THE EVENT WE ARE ABLE TO STAY CLEAR OVERNIGHT... WE COULD SEE SOME WIDESPREAD FOG DEVELOP... THANKS IN PART TO THE COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAT WE ARE CURRENTLY RECEIVING. MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT: A 1031 MB HIGH CENTERED OVER QUEBEC AND ONTARIO IS EXPECTED TO BUILD SOUTHWARD AND INTO OUR REGION. THIS SHOULD HELP TO SEND A WEAK DRY BACKDOOR COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA ON MONDAY. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY ON MONDAY. HOWEVER... LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES ARE EXPECT TO FALL BY 15 TO 25 METERS. THIS SHOULD HELP TO HOLD HIGH TEMPS DOWN A GOOD BIT FROM READING ON SUNDAY. THUS... EXPECT HIGH TEMPS TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WITH AN INCREASING MOIST EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW ON MONDAY NIGHT... AS THE HIGH SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE EAST AS AN UPPER LOW AND ATTENDANT SURFACE FRONT APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST.... SKIES SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE AREA. TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY: CLOSED MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE INVOF KS/MO BY 12Z ON TUESDAY... AND IS FORECAST TO LIFT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY WEDNESDAY. AS IT DOES... MID TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AND A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION. IT STILL LOOKS LIKE SURFACE COLD FRONT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOULD INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN ON TUESDAY EVENING/NIGHT... WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY... WITH THE FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS DURING THIS TIMEFRAME SHOULD GENERALLY BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S... WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. && .AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... AS OF 1234 PM WEDNESDAY... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OFFSHORE THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL FUNNEL PLENTY OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE INTO CENTRAL NC RESULTING IN OVERCAST SKIES AND WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY RAIN THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE A PROLONG PERIOD MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WEATHER FEATURE COMBINED WITH THE DEEPENING LOW OFFSHORE WILL TIGHTEN THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER CENTRAL NC RESULTING IN STRONG SURFACE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THU NIGHT. EXPECT NE WINDS 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS IN THE 30S. ADVERSE AVIATION WEATHER MAY LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MAY BE SLOW TO EXIT THE REGION. IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. MAY SEE A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT CROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR NCZ007>011- 024>028-041>043-077-078-088-089. WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR NCZ007>011-021>028- 038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089. FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR NCZ021>023- 038>040-073>076-083>086. && SYNOPSIS...WSS NEAR TERM...WSS SHORT TERM...BSD LONG TERM...BSD AVIATION...WSS
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 11, 2:09 PM EST, 5 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 209 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009 NCZ007>011-024>028-041>043-077-078-088-089-121000- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH- EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 209 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE LENGTHY DURATION....CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY BECOME RAIN SWOLLEN AND LEAVE THEIR BANKS. IN ADDITION...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH. NCZ021>023-038>040-073>076-083>086-121000- FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-STANLY- MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE- 209 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE LENGTHY DURATION....CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY BECOME RAIN SWOLLEN AND LEAVE THEIR BANKS. IN ADDITION...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 3:21 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RAH | Alamance | 49 hr |
| Nov 12, 5:40 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford | 25 min |
| Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph | 3 hr |
| Nov 12, 8:32 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Edgecombe, Halifax, Nash, Warren, Wilson | 6 hr |
| Nov 12, 9:04 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph | 4 hr |
| Nov 12, 9:51 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Edgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Warren | 4 hr |
| Nov 12, 1:08 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Guilford | 6 hr |
| Nov 12, 1:51 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Halifax | 3 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.