Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Pueblo, CO

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 152251
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
451 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

COC071-160000-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-090716T0000Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
451 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT
FOR EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...

AT 449 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS CENTERED 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF KIM...OR 43
MILES SOUTH OF LA JUNTA...AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

A SECOND STRONG TO SEVERE STORM WAS NOTED 13 MILES WEST OF KIM...AND 
THIS STORM WAS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  KIM.
  RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 10369 3762 10345 3762 10308 3754 10310
      3703 10311 3701 10328 3724 10376
TIME...MOT...LOC 2250Z 225DEG 16KT 3736 10357

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 152304
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
504 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

COC071-160000-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-090716T0000Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
504 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT
FOR EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...

AT 503 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
 THIS STORM WAS CENTERED 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF KIM...OR 43 MILES
SOUTH OF LA JUNTA...AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 25 MPH.

ANOTHER STORM...12 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KIM...WAS MOVING 
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM HAS SHOWN A WEAKENING TREND BETWEEN 
455 PM AND 503 PM. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  OPEN COUNTRY OF EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 10369 3762 10345 3762 10308 3754 10310
      3703 10311 3701 10328 3724 10376
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 259DEG 24KT 3737 10346

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 152310
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
510 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

COC071-160000-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-090716T0000Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
510 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...

AT 509 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
 THIS STORM WAS CENTERED OVER EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...OR 42
MILES SOUTH OF LA JUNTA...AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS SHOWN A WEAKENING TREND BETWEEN 505 PM AND 510 PM. IF 
THIS TREND CONTINUES...THE WARNING WILL BE CANCELLED EARLY. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED WILL BE RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS
COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

&&

LAT...LON 3732 10311 3731 10356 3743 10352 3762 10308
      3754 10310
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 259DEG 24KT 3738 10340

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 152321
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
521 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

COC071-152331-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-090716T0000Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
521 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EAST
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...

HAZARDOUS LIGHTNING MAY STILL BE IN THE AREA.

LAT...LON 3732 10311 3731 10356 3743 10352 3762 10308
      3754 10310
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 259DEG 24KT 3739 10331

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
216 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)

CURRENTLY...COLD FRONT IS SOUTH OF THE NEW MEXICO BORDER...WITH
MOIST UPSLOPE WINDS AND INCREASING SURFACE DEW POINTS OVER MOST OF
THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS. FEW TSRA ALREADY FIRING OVER THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS AT 20Z...AND WITH CAPES ALREADY OVER 1000 J/KG
ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR...EXPECT STORMS TO INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE
OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 0-6KM SHEAR VALUES NOT HUGE...AS MID LEVEL
WINDS ARE FAIRLY LIGHT...BUT STRONG DIRECTIONAL TURNING WITH HEIGHT
YIELDS VALUES APPROACHING 40 KNOTS...WHICH SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
A SEVERE STORM OR TWO BY LATE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...STORMS SHOULD MOVE OFF THE MOUNTAINS AND ONTO THE PLAINS
IN THE EVENING...WITH MODELS SUGGESTING CONVECTION COULD LINGER
ALONG THE RATON MESA THROUGH ABOUT 06Z. WESTERLY SURFACE FLOW BEGINS
TO DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND I-25 CORRIDOR AFTER
06Z...WHICH SHOULD PUSH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EASTWARD BY EARLY THU
MORNING.

THURSDAY...LOW AND MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE NWLY AS UPPER RIDGE
BEGINS TO AMPLIFY OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BOTH NAM AND GFS SUGGEST
VERY PRONOUNCED DRYING FROM THE SURFACE THROUGH 700 MB BY
AFTERNOON...WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING INTO THE 30S OR LOWER OVER MOST
OF THE AREA BY THU EVENING. APPEARS ONLY CHANCE OF CONVECTION WILL
BE THE FAR EAST/SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME MINOR
AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL HANG ON. REMOVED POPS MOST AREAS...AS EVEN
MOUNTAIN CONVECTION LOOKS UNLIKELY WITH SUCH A DRY AIR MASS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB WELL INTO THE 90S OVER THE PLAINS AS
DOWNSLOPE WARMING DEVELOPS...WITH MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS STAYING
VERY WARM AS WELL...WITH READINGS IN THE 80S OVER ALL BUT THE
HIGHEST PEAKS.

.LONG TERM...
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)

UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES OVER THE WESTERN U.S...PLACING MOST OF
COLORADO IN A NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS PATTERN SHOULD DELIVER A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS TO
THE AREA...WITH THE FIRST ARRIVING AS EARLY AS THU
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A REINFORCING SURGE FRI EVENING. AIR MASS
INITIALLY IS FAIRLY DRY THROUGH EARLY FRI...WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE/UPSLOPE FRI EVENING INTO SAT. WILL THUS SEE SOME SLIGHT
COOLING FRI...WITH A LITTLE STRONGER COOLING ON SAT. EXPECT AN
INCREASING CHANCE OF TSRA FROM FRI EVENING INTO SAT AS WELL. FOR
SUN INTO NEXT WEEK...CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN TIMING OF ANY INDIVIDUAL
SURGES...THOUGH PATTERN IS FAVORABLE FOR A CONTINUED INFLUX OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND AT LEAST ISOLATED TSRA OVER THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS EACH DAY. MOISTURE AND OCCASIONAL COLD FRONTS
SHOULD KEEP THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS SEASONABLY
WARM...WHILE WESTERN MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS REMAIN MAINLY HOT AND
DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...KEPT A VCTS GROUP IN ALL TAF FORECASTS THROUGH EARLY
EVENING...WITH BEST CHANCES FOR TSRA AT KCOS AND KPUB...LITTLE LOWER
CHANCE AT KALS. STORMS APPEAR TO BE FAIRLY QUICK MOVING SO FAR THIS
AFTERNOON...SO ANY CIG/VISIBILITY REDUCTION WILL BE BRIEF...THOUGH
HAIL THREAT LOOKS A LITTLE HIGHER TODAY THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS.
STORMS SHOULD END BY 03Z OVER ALL BUT THE FAR SOUTHEAST
PLAINS...WITH CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT.
DRIER AIR OVERSPREADS THE AREA ON THU...REMOVING THE THREAT OF TSRA
FOR AT LEAST ONE DAY.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

10/27

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
654 AM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

COZ058>089-093>099-161300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
654 AM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER THE EASTERN
PLAINS AND INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR.  THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE HAIL UP TO 1 1/2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS TO
70 MPH AND LIGHTNING.  THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER ARE
NEAR THE COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO BORDER.  UPSLOPE FLOW WILL BRING A
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ONTO THE PLAINS AND INTERSTATE 25
CORRIDOR...AND WIND SHEAR IS SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO PRODUCE SEVERE
STORMS.

OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS...ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AND THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH AND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER THE FAR
SOUTHEAST PLAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE NIGHT. SATURDAY
ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS SUNDAY...AND OVER
ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE MAIN THREATS FROM
ANY STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS AROUND
40 MPH. HOWEVER...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS AND
INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR.

06/28

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
215 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

COZ081-085-152045-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
215 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO    THIS
  INCLUDES...FORT CARSON.

AT 213 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SECURITY...OR 13 MILES SOUTH
OF COLORADO SPRINGS...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SECURITY.
  FOUNTAIN.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
346 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

COZ086-152215-
PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
346 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO
   THIS INCLUDES...PUEBLO.

AT 345 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PUEBLO RESERVOIR...OR 16
MILES WEST OF PUEBLO...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PUEBLO RESERVOIR.
  BLENDE.
  PUEBLO.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
426 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

COZ094-152300-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
426 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO

AT 426 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 19 MILES WEST OF KIM...OR 45 MILES EAST OF
TRINIDAD...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  KIM.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.