Red Flag Warning 19, NWS Pueblo, CO

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 220256
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
856 PM MDT SAT MAR 21 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
225 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS...TELLER...FREMONT...EL PASO...HUERFANO...PUEBLO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT...KIOWA...PROWERS AND BACA
COUNTIES...FROM 1200 TO 2100 LOCAL TIME SUNDAY FOR STRONG WIND
GUSTS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING. WIND GUSTS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO
BE 30 TO 35 MPH AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 15
PERCENT. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH THE DRY
FUELS...WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ERRATIC FIRE
BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE SHOULD START.

COZ221-222-225>237-221900-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0019.090322T1800Z-090323T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
856 PM MDT SAT MAR 21 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY. 

THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND
PLAINS. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH THE
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING.
WIND GUSTS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE 30 TO
35 MPH AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT. THESE
WEATHER CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH THE DRY FUELS...WILL RESULT IN
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF
FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE SHOULD START.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 221020
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
420 AM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
225 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS...TELLER...FREMONT...EL PASO...HUERFANO...PUEBLO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT...KIOWA...PROWERS AND BACA
COUNTIES...FROM 1200 TO 2100 LOCAL TIME TODAY FOR STRONG WIND
GUSTS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE
25 TO 35 MPH AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 15
PERCENT. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH THE DRY
FUELS...WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ERRATIC FIRE
BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE SHOULD START.

COZ221-222-225>237-230230-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0019.090322T1800Z-090323T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
420 AM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 25 MPH OR HIGHER...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW
15 PERCENT AND DRY FUELS...WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE
SHOULD START.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 221826 AAA
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1226 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
225 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS...TELLER...FREMONT...EL PASO...HUERFANO...PUEBLO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT...KIOWA...PROWERS AND BACA
COUNTIES...THROUGH 2100 LOCAL TIME TODAY FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE
25 TO 35 MPH AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW
15 PERCENT. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH THE DRY
FUELS...WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ERRATIC FIRE
BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE SHOULD START.

COZ221-222-225>237-230300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090323T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
1226 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 25 MPH OR HIGHER...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW
15 PERCENT AND DRY FUELS...WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE
SHOULD START.

AS OF 12 NOON TODAY...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS
MANY AREAS WHERE THE RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 222059
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
259 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
225 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS...TELLER...FREMONT...EL PASO...HUERFANO...PUEBLO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT...KIOWA...PROWERS AND BACA
COUNTIES...THROUGH 2100 LOCAL TIME TODAY FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227 THROUGH
223 AND 235 AND 237 WHICH INCLUDES SOUTHERN EL PASO...
HUERFANO...PUEBLO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT...AND BACA
COUNTIES...FROM 1200 TO 1800 LOCAL TIME MONDAY FOR STRONG WIND
GUSTS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE
25 TO 35 MPH AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW
15 PERCENT. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH THE DRY
FUELS...WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ERRATIC FIRE
BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE SHOULD START.

IN ADDITION...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY FOR
MOST OF THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO OCCUR ONCE AGAIN TOMORROW. RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
15% DURING THE AFTERNOON TIME PERIOD. BY LATE IN THE DAY...A
STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH DECREASING THE
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING THE RH VALUES. 

COZ227>233-235-237-231300-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0015.090323T1800Z-090324T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090323T0300Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
259 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH THE
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. WIND GUSTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 25 TO 35 MPH AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
CONTINUE BELOW 15 PERCENT. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COMBINED
WITH THE DRY FUELS...WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE
SHOULD START.

IN ADDITION...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY FOR
MOST OF THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO OCCUR ONCE AGAIN TOMORROW. RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
15% DURING THE AFTERNOON TIME PERIOD. BY LATE IN THE DAY...A
STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH DECREASING THE
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING THE RH VALUES. 

&&

$$

COZ221-222-225-226-234-236-230300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090323T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
259 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH THE
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. WIND GUSTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 25 TO 35 MPH AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
CONTINUE BELOW 15 PERCENT. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COMBINED
WITH THE DRY FUELS...WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE
SHOULD START.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HODANISH

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 230259
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
859 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227
THROUGH 233 AND 235 AND 237 WHICH INCLUDES SOUTHERN EL PASO...
HUERFANO...PUEBLO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT...AND BACA
COUNTIES...FROM 1200 TO 1800 LOCAL TIME MONDAY FOR STRONG WIND
GUSTS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS...

.WINDS HAVE GRADUALLY DECREASED THIS EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST 
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS.  ALTHOUGH PERIODIC GUSTY WINDS WILL 
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE CRITICAL 
LEVELS AS TEMPERATURES COOL.  THUS THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE 
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS WILL EXPIRE.  

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY FOR MOST OF THE
SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ONCE
AGAIN TOMORROW. RH VALUES MAY DROP TO AROUND 15% DURING THE
AFTERNOON TIME PERIOD. THIS MAY ALLOW A PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS TO RETURN FOR THE AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY DECREASE THE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING THE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

COZ227>233-235-237-231900-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090323T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0015.090323T1800Z-090324T0000Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
859 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

THE WATCH AREA INCLUDES SOUTHERN EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT AND BACA COUNTIES.

THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE AREA WILL EXPIRE AT 900 PM THIS
EVENING AS COOLING TEMPERATURES ALLOW HUMIDITY LEVELS TO RISE
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.

WINDS WILL REMAIN PERIODICALLY GUSTY OVERNIGHT...AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN POOR. AS WINDS INCREASE
TOMORROW...THESE CONDITIONS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR THE POSSIBILITY
FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO RETURN. WEST WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. COMBINED WITH
THE DRY FUELS...THIS WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE
SHOULD START.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ221-222-225-226-234-236-230400-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090323T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
859 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AS TEMPERATURES COOL
OVERNIGHT. THUS THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
456 AM MDT SAT MAR 21 2009

.SHORT TERM...
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

MAIN CONCERN IS THE PCPN CHANCES. UPR RIDGE OVR THE AREA WL SHIFT
EASTWARD DURING THE DAY AS AN UPR TROF APPROACHES THE WEST COAST.
TONIGHT AS THE UPR TROF MOVES TO ALONG THE WEST COAST...THE WINDS
ALOFT WL BECOME SWRLY AND INCREASE. THERE WL BE SOME MID AND UPR
LEVEL MSTR ACRS THE AREA TODAY AND WITH THE DAYTIME HEATING AND
LAPSE RATES BECOMING 8-9C/KM ACRS THE AREA...SOME ISOLD SHOWERS OR
TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP. AFTERNOON CAPE VALUES OVR THE MTS AND HIGH
VALLEYS ARE FORECAST TO ONLY BE 100-200 J/KG...WITH 300-700 J/KG OVR
THE SE PLAINS. ALTHOUGH THE SE PLAINS WL HAVE SOME CIN TO OVERCOME.
WL CONTINUE TO CONFINE TSTM WORDING TO JUST THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND SE
PLAINS. TEMPS TODAY WL AGAIN BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE UPR
60S TO MID 70S ON THE PLAINS AND MID TO UPR 60S IN THE HIGH VALLEYS.
THE SHOWERS/TSTMS WL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...BUT BY LATE NIGHT
SHOULD SEE MOST OR ALL OF IT COME TO AN END. THE GFS CONTINUES TO
SHOW SOME PCPN DEVELOPING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CONTINENTAL DVD LATE
TONIGHT...WHILE THE NAM HAS BACKED OFF ON THIS.

.LONG TERM...
(SUNDAY-FRIDAY)

LONG TERM CONCERNS INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN MTS AND PLAINS SUNDAY ALONG WITH THE
TRACK AND EFFECTS OF STRONG STORM MOVING ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY.

SUNDAY-MONDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE INCREASING SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY AS AN EASTERN PACIFIC SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO DIG ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WITH 120 KT JET CORE
ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE SYSTEM INTO THE DESERT SW SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
MINOR WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS SE COLORADO
SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH LEE TROUGHING ACROSS THE I-25 CORRIDOR SUNDAY
MORNING KICKING OUT ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WITH CONTINUED STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES...SHOULD SEE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH MIXING
DOWN ACROSS THE EASTERN COLORADO WITH DRY LINE MIXING OUT INTO
WESTERN KANSAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THAT SAID...HAVE ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR THE LOWER SLOPES OF THE EASTERN MTS THROUGH THE
FAR SE PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAVE STAYED ABOVE
CURRENT GUIDANCE WITH EXPECTED HIGHS SUNDAY IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS...WHICH IS CLOSER TO THE EC SOLUTION WITH
H7 AND H85 TEMPS AROUND 8C AND 20C RESPECTIVELY. FOR SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY...GFS AND EC CONTINUE TO TREND FURTHER NORTH WITH THE
GREAT BASIN SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO SUNDAY NIGHT AND
CLOSING OFF ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING
TO DRIFT NORTH AND EAST INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA MONDAY NIGHT. LATEST
NAM RUNS CONTINUE TO TRACK A TAD FURTHER SOUTH WITH LOW CLOSING OFF
ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST COLORADO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DRIFTING NORTH AND EAST
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST KANSAS MONDAY NIGHT. AT ANY RATE...ALL MODELS
CONTINUE INDICATE GOOD UPPER SUPPORT WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND UVV
ALONG WITH H7 FRONT MOVING ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO SUNDAY NIGHT AND
HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MTS AND FOR THE EASTERN SAWATCH AND WESTERN
MOSQUITO RANGES (ZONES 66 AND 68 AND 58 AND 60) FROM 00Z MON TO 00Z
TUE. COULD SEE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET OF SNOW THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH
SNOW PROBABLY CONTINUING ACROSS THE CENTRAL MTS BEYOND 00Z TUE WITH
GOOD CAA AS STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS BEHIND PASSING SYSTEM.
WITH TRACK OF SYSTEM STILL UNCERTAIN...HAVE NOT CHANGED MUCH ACROSS
THE REST OF THE AREA WITH BEST CHANCES OF PRECIP SPREADING ACROSS
THE UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY THROUGH THE PIKES PEAK AND PALMER
DVD REGIONS WITH POSSIBLE DEFORMATION BAND AND WRAP AROUND PRECIP
SHIELD...ESPECIALLY IF THE FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION OF THE NAM PANS
OUT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS AGAIN ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE
FURTHER NORTH SOLUTION PANS OUT...THOUGH WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING
ANY ADDITIONAL FIRE HIGHLIGHTS ATTM.

TUESDAY-FRIDAY...AGAIN DID NOT CHANGE MUCH IN THE CURRENT FORECAST
THROUGH THIS PERIOD AS COOL NORTHWEST WITH OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW KEEPING BEST CHANCES OF PRECIP
ACROSS THE CENTRAL MTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. LATEST MODELS...HOWEVER
ARE INDICATING A FEW STRONGER SYSTEMS AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE STATE BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER TO ALL OF THE
AREA WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TIME WELL TELL.

&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES. SOME SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACRS THE AREA WITH SOME BRIEF GUSTY WINDS
POSSIBLE.  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE SE PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR COZ221-222-225>237.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
FOR COZ058-060-066-068.

&&

28/23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
635 AM MDT SAT MAR 21 2009

COZ058>089-093>099-221245-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
635 AM MDT SAT MAR 21 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
OVER THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS.  THE MAIN THREATS FROM ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS MONDAY...WITH EXPECTED WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH
AND PERSISTENT DRY VEGETATION.

A DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN REGION
EARLY SUNDAY LOOKS TO BRING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO THE SOUTHWEST
AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WITH STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN 12 AND 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE EASTERN PLAINS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...AS THE SYSTEM
LIFTS OUT ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS. THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT
THIS TIME WHICH COULD LEAD TO MORE OR LESS SNOW ACROSS THE AREA.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM
AS IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO
OTHER AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...ESPECIALLY
THE UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY THROUGH THE PIKES PEAK AND PALMER
DIVIDE REGIONS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RAIN AND
SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND EASTERN
PLAINS WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

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