Special Marine Warning 64, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1019 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL THEN COME DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST AND CROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT BEFORE STALLING TO THE SOUTH. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND MIGHT MAKE IT A BIT
FARTHER SOUTH INTO DELMARVA THAN ITS PREDECESSORS BEFORE
DISSIPATING. THIS WOULD PERMIT A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BUILD
DEEPER INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LATEST MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS A VERY STRONG THETA-E RIDGE EXTENDING
THROUGH DELMARVA. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
TRAVERSING THE CWA ALREADY TODAY DROPPING A COPIOUS AMOUNT OF
RAINFALL AND PLENTY OF CG LIGHTNING. PWATS ARE GREATER THAN 1.75 INCHES
BASED OFF THE KLWX 12Z SOUNDING.

OTHERWISE, MODELS CORRECTLY SHOWED A WEAK SHORT WAVE OVER THE AREA
WHICH HELPED THE INITIATION OF THIS MORNINGS SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
MEANWHILE, ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WAS MOVING EAST FROM
WV AND KY. THIS WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A BETTER ORGANIZED SHORT WAVE
ALOFT. ALTHOUGH MODEL TIMING ON THE SHORT WAVES IS NOT IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT, THERE WAS ENOUGH TO GIVE ME CONFIDENCE THAT THERE WILL
BE CONTINUED SHOWERS AND TSTMS INTO THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT
SHOULD MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT, PUSHING ALL THE SHOWERS
AND TSTMS OUT TO SEA.

SPC HAS ALSO PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK DUE TO THE
INSTABILITY AND OUR POSITION VS THE UPPER JET LIFTING OUT TO THE
NW.

FCST TEMPS WERE GENERALLY CLOSER TO THE MET THAN THE MAV.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE AREA, BUT WE REMAIN IN WEAK CYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT. FOR NOW I WENT WITH A DRY FORECAST, BUT IF ANY
SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH ALOFT, ISOLATED TSTMS COULD FORM MONDAY
AFTN.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THERE IS INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AS THE NEXT
COLD FRONT APPROACHES. FROM WEDNESDAY DAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WE
KEPT A NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST POP GRADIENT BECAUSE OF THE FORECAST
LOCATION AND THEN PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT TO OUR CWA. WE WENT DRY
EVERYWHERE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH DRY NW FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

WELL, THE TAFS GOT COMPLICATED IN A HURRY THIS MORNING AS THERE ARE
SEVERAL FACTORS THAT ARE COMING INTO PLAY.  FIRST, LATEST RADAR
IMAGERY SHOWS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ERN PA AND DOWN TOWARDS
WASHINGTON DC.  THE STORMS IN ERN PA ARE OBVIOUSLY, THE MORE
IMMEDIATE THREAT AND HAD TO INCLUDE VCTS AND TSRA AT KRDG AND VCTS
AT KABE.  NOT SURE HOW FAR EAST THESE STORMS WILL GET OR IF THE
STORMS NEAR DC WILL EVENTUALLY IMPACT THE PHILLY METRO TERMINALS.
THE NEXT CONCERN IS THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THAT ARE BEGINNING TO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE REGION.  MOST LOCATIONS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
KABE AND KRDG HAVE IFR TO LIFR CIGS THIS MORNING.  MOST AREAS STILL
HAVE MVFR VSBYS, BUT IT APPEARS THAT SOME IFR AND EVEN LIFR VSBYS
MAY FOLLOW AS WELL.  THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG SHOULD BURN OFF SHORTLY
AFTER DAYBREAK.  THEN, MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND TSRA ARE EXPECTED
LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTN.  THE LATEST GUIDANCE APPEARS
THERE MAY BE A BREAK LATER IN THE AFTN BEFORE MORE SHOWERS AND
STORMS IN THE EVENING.  THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FCST WRT THE TIMING
OF THE PRECIP AS MUCH OF THIS FCST IS BEING INFLUENCED BY UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND EACH COMPUTER MODEL HANDLES THEM
DIFFERENTLY.  THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH
ANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.  HOWEVER, IT DOES APPEAR THAT VFR CONDS
WILL GENERALLY BE PREVALENT OUTSIDE OF ANY SHWRS/TSRA WHERE MVFR AND
IFR WILL CERTAINLY BE THE RULE.  OVERALL, NOT THE BEST DAY TO BE
FLYING IN THE LOCAL AREA.

OUTLOOK...
THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, WITH A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.  HOWEVER, IT APPEARS THAT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE MORE ORGANIZED BY WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER CDFNT
APPROACHES THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SEVERAL WEATHER FEATURES WILL IMPACT THE AREA TODAY AS SEVERAL UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND FRONTAL BOUNDARIES BRING UNSETTLED WX TO THE
AREA.  THE LATEST MDLS  BRINGS A SFC LOW AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
THROUGH OUR AREA THIS AFTN INTO TONIGHT.  HOWEVER, THE GFS IS
STRONGER WITH THE SFC LOW BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE CSTL WATERS
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  AS A RESULT, THE WAVEWATCH, WHICH IS BASED ON
THE GFS INDICATES SOME POTENTIAL FOR SCA WITH 5 FT SEAS TONIGHT.
HOWEVER, NONE OF THE OTHER MODELS ARE AS ROBUST WITH THIS LOW AND
WITH A MARGINAL CASE FOR SCA, WILL HOLD OFF ATTM AND CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN FOR MONDAY
THROUGH MIDWEEK.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION ABOUT
WEDNESDAY.  IT APPEARS THAT WINDS AND SEAS OUTSIDE OF TSTMS WILL
REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA MONDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 2 INCHES AND GRIDDED FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME AREAS IN THE NEWLY ISSUED WATCH NOT EVEN
NEEDING 1 INCH IN AN HOUR OR 2 INCHES IN 3 HOURS. RAINFALL RATES
FROM SOME SHOWERS AND TSTMS SHOULD REACH 2 INCHES AN HOUR.
THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS ISSUED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     067>071.
NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NJZ001-007>010-012-
     013-015-017>019.
DE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR DEZ001.
MD...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MDZ008.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...STAUBER
NEAR TERM...HEAVENER/STAUBER
SHORT TERM...STAUBER
LONG TERM...GIGI/STAUBER
AVIATION...NIERENBERG
MARINE...NIERENBERG
HYDROLOGY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
243 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015-017>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-
067>071-031000-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
243 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

ALSO, THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE REGION UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE
STRONG GUSTY WINDS, VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NJZ014-024>026-031000-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
243 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD HAVE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE REGION
UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ016-020>023-027-031000-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-OCEAN-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
243 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD HAVE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE
REGION UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ004-031000-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
243 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD HAVE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE
REGION UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-031000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
243 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS TODAY COULD HAVE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL AS WELL AS DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

RNS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
920 AM EDT SUN AUG 02 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 NW EWING              40.29N 74.83W
08/02/2009  E64.00 MPH       MERCER             NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            64 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT TRENTON/MERCER COUNTY
            AIRPORT. A COUPLE OF PLANES WERE FLIPPED ON THEIR SIDE
            AND THERE WAS DAMAGE TO A HANGAR.

&&

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
946 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ016-017-PAZ060-067-068-070-021545-
BERKS PA-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-KENT MD-
MONTGOMERY PA-NEW CASTLE DE-SALEM NJ-
946 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BERKS...CECIL...CHESTER...
DELAWARE...GLOUCESTER...KENT...MONTGOMERY...NEW CASTLE AND SALEM
COUNTIES...

AT 943 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF
READING TO 21 MILES WEST OF ELKTON TO 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MIDDLETOWN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
ROCK SPRINGS...RICHARDSMERE...MORGNEC...KENNEDYVILLE AROUND 950 AM...
LORANE...WEST NOTTINGHAM...ELVERSON...ATGLEN AROUND 955 AM...
BIRDSBORO AND MOUNT VERNON AROUND 1000 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.
ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

EXPECT INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER
TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

TFG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1112 AM EDT SUN AUG 02 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 NW EWING              40.29N 74.83W
08/02/2009  E64.00 MPH       MERCER             NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            64 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT TRENTON/MERCER COUNTY
            AIRPORT. A COUPLE OF PLANES WERE FLIPPED ON THEIR SIDE
            AND THERE WAS DAMAGE TO A HANGAR.

1020 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PERRYVILLE              39.57N 76.07W
08/02/2009                   CECIL              MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN PERRYVILLE.

1035 AM     FLASH FLOOD      OXFORD                  39.79N 75.98W
08/02/2009                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROADWAY FLOODING IN OXFORD.

1100 AM     HAIL             WILMINGTON              39.73N 75.53W
08/02/2009  E0.50 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL IN WILMINGTON.

1100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WILMINGTON MANOR        39.73N 75.53W
08/02/2009                   NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SMALL BRANCHES DOWN IN WILMINGTON.

&&

HEAVENER

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
106 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 NW EWING              40.29N 74.83W
08/02/2009  E64.00 MPH       MERCER             NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            64 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT TRENTON/MERCER COUNTY
            AIRPORT. A COUPLE OF PLANES WERE FLIPPED ON THEIR SIDE
            AND THERE WAS DAMAGE TO A HANGAR.

1020 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     PERRYVILLE              39.57N 76.07W
08/02/2009                   CECIL              MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN PERRYVILLE WITH FUNNEL CLOUD
            REPORTED.

1035 AM     FLASH FLOOD      OXFORD                  39.79N 75.98W
08/02/2009                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLASH FLOODING IN PINE GROVE.

1035 AM     FLASH FLOOD      OXFORD                  39.79N 75.98W
08/02/2009                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROADWAY FLOODING IN OXFORD.

1055 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 E ANNANDALE           40.64N 74.84W
08/02/2009  M0.56 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.56 INCHES IN 10 MINUTES.

1100 AM     HAIL             WILMINGTON              39.73N 75.53W
08/02/2009  E0.50 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL IN WILMINGTON.

1100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WILMINGTON MANOR        39.73N 75.53W
08/02/2009                   NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SMALL BRANCHES DOWN IN WILMINGTON.

1113 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ELKTON                  39.60N 75.82W
08/02/2009  E1.75 INCH       CECIL              MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.75 INCHES IN ONE HOUR.

1120 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DREXEL HILL             39.95N 75.30W
08/02/2009  M1.00 INCH       DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 INCH AND HOUR AND 1.65 IN 40 MINUTES.

1120 AM     TSTM WND DMG     DREXEL HILL             39.95N 75.30W
08/02/2009                   DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES AND BRANCHES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.

1120 AM     FLASH FLOOD      DREXEL HILL             39.95N 75.30W
08/02/2009                   DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER RESCUES WERE PREFORMED IN HAVERFORD AND UPPER
            DARBY.

1128 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SPRINGTOWN              40.56N 75.29W
08/02/2009  E2.00 INCH       BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 INCHES AND ROAD FLOODING.

1148 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ELKTON                  39.60N 75.82W
08/02/2009                   CECIL              MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.

1150 AM     FLASH FLOOD      AMBLER                  40.16N 75.22W
08/02/2009                   MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BUTLER PIKE FLOODED WITH LANDSLIDE INTO THE ROAD.

1210 PM     HEAVY RAIN       EWING                   40.27N 74.80W
08/02/2009  E1.00 INCH       MERCER             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OVER 1 INCH AND HOUR RATES.

1215 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LANGHORNE               40.18N 74.92W
08/02/2009                   BUCKS              PA   PUBLIC

            NESHAMINY CREEK STARTING TO FLOOD.

1215 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HIGH BRIDGE             40.67N 74.90W
08/02/2009                   HUNTERDON          NJ   AMATEUR RADIO

            CINDER BLOCKS SWEPT AWAY FROM CONSTRUCTION SITE.

0100 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 N EDINBURG            40.32N 74.62W
08/02/2009  E1.00 INCH       MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OVER 1 INCH AND HOUR RATES.

&&

HEAVENER/ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
124 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

NJZ020-022>026-021830-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-OCEAN NJ-
124 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE JERSEY SHORE...

AT 120 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE JERSEY SHORE FROM THE
WEST.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT COMMUNITIES ALONG THE JERSEY
SHORE BETWEEN 130 PM AND 230 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER
TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

EXPECT INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS.  LEAVE THE BEACH AND
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

IOVINO