Small Craft Advisory 45, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

610 
WHUS71 KPHI 010110
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
910 PM EDT THU APR 30 2009

ANZ450>455-011000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.090501T1000Z-090502T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
910 PM EDT THU APR 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 600 AM ON FRIDAY
UNTIL 600 AM ON SATURDAY.

AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING WIND
GUSTS UP AROUND 25 KNOTS ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. WAVE HEIGHTS
ARE FORECAST TO BUILD INTO THE 4 TO 7 FOOT RANGE DURING THAT TIME
PERIOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ431-011000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.090501T1000Z-090502T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
910 PM EDT THU APR 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 600 AM UNTIL 800 PM
ON FRIDAY.

AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING WIND
GUSTS UP AROUND 25 KNOTS ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

IOVINO

650 
WHUS71 KPHI 010618
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
218 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

ANZ430-012000-
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.090501T0618Z-090502T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
218 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING WIND GUSTS OF
25 KNOTS TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-012000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.090501T0614Z-090502T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
218 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY. 

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING WIND GUSTS OF
25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD
INTO THE 4 TO 7 FOOT RANGE DURING THAT TIME PERIOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ431-012000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.090501T0618Z-090502T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
218 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING WIND GUSTS OF
25 KNOTS TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

331 
WHUS71 KPHI 011342
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
942 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

ANZ450>455-020000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-090502T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
942 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY.

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING WIND GUSTS OF
25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD
INTO THE 4 TO 7 FOOT RANGE DURING THAT TIME PERIOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-020000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-090502T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
942 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING WIND GUSTS OF
25 KNOTS TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

TFG

002 
WHUS71 KPHI 011956
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
356 PM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

ANZ450>455-020400-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-090502T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
356 PM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY.

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH WIND GUSTS
UP TO AROUND 25 KNOTS THROUGH TONIGHT. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO
ALSO REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. AS THE COLD FRONT NEARS
AND PASSES THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT, WINDS WILL DECREASE
AND SEAS SUBSIDE. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED
INTO SATURDAY MORNING IF SEAS DO NOT SUBSIDE IN TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-020000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-090502T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
356 PM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WIND GUSTS CLOSE
TO AND AROUND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING. AS THE COLD FRONT NEARS THE REGION, WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA LATER THIS
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

TFG

111 
WHUS71 KPHI 020045
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
845 PM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

ANZ450>455-021000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-090502T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
845 PM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM ON SATURDAY.

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT, WITH
WIND GUSTS UP AROUND 25 KNOTS. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE 
FROM 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

IOVINO

330 
WHUS71 KPHI 020821
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009

ANZ450>455-021400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-090502T1400Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING...
WITH WIND GUSTS UP AROUND 20 KNOTS. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO
RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

205 
WHUS71 KPHI 021343
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
943 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009

ANZ450>455-022000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-090502T2000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
943 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WHILE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 25 KNOTS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON, SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED. ON AVERAGE, SEAS
WILL BE 4 TO 5 FEET THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

GORSE

636 
WHUS71 KPHI 021931
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
331 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009

ANZ450>455-022045-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-090502T2000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
331 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1125 AM EDT THU APR 30 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT BROUGHT THE COOLER CONDITIONS TO THE
AREA YESTERDAY HAS PASSED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. LOW PRESSURE
WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND EASTERN
CANADA TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW WILL CROSS OUR AREA SATURDAY BEFORE STALLING ACROSS THE
DELMARVA. A FEW WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE WEATHER
UNSETTLED THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
WHILE THE WARM AIR ADVECTION ACROSS THE AREA WILL PRODUCE A FAIR
AMOUNT OF CLOUDINESS TODAY, THE BEST UPSLOPE AND MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN TO OUR NORTHWEST. FOR THIS REASON, POPS HAVE BEEN DROPPED A
BIT, RANGING FROM 40 PERCENT ACROSS NORTH AND WESTERN SECTIONS TO 20
PERCENT FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN.

WITH THE SKIES NOT COMPLETELY OVERCAST NOR OPAQUE, TEMPERATURES HAVE
BEEN CLIMBING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. WITH TEMPERATURES ALREADY
IN THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 IN SPOTS, IVE BUMPED AFTERNOON HIGHS
UP A CATEGORY OR TWO AND CLOSER TO WHAT STAT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS.
WHILE MUCH OF THE INTERIOR SHOULD SEE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMB
TO AT LEAST 60 DEGREES, THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP COASTAL
COMMUNITIES IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. AN ILL-
DEFINED WARM FRONT WILL PUSH BACK ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AS LOW
PRESSURE ADVANCES INTO SOUTHERN CANADA. A WARMER AND MORE HUMID
AIR MASS WILL RETURN TONIGHT AND WITH SEVERAL WEAK VORT MAXES
MOVING BY, SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE POPS WILL BE
GREATEST NORTH WITH CHC POPS OVER MOST AREAS TONIGHT.

FRIDAY...OUR FORECAST AREA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE
SYSTEM. WHILE THE 00Z MODELS INDICATE THAT FAIRLY HIGH RHS WILL
BE OVER THE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS, A FEW BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE. THE AIR MASS WILL BE SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE, AND
ANY SURFACE HEATING MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE SOME DECENT
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. WIND FIELDS STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT
AND THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME SVR WEATHER IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. HAVING SAID THIS, THE OFFICIAL FCST FROM SPC DOES NOT
HAVE OUR AREA IN A CATEGORICAL SVR OUTLOOK FOR FRI. IT WILL BE
SOMETHING TO WATCH HOWEVER.

FRIDAY NIGHT...THE COLD FRONT ATTACHED TO THE CANADA LOW WILL
ADVANCE ACROSS OUR AREA LATE. THIS FRONT SHOULD CAUSE SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO CROSS THE AREA WITH THE HIGHER POPS
ONCE AGAIN FAVORED NORTH. THE POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH MAY HAVE TO BE
RAISED TOO, BUT THE NAM IS HOLDING OFF THE STEADIER RAIN ACROSS
THE DELMARVA UNTIL SATURDAY, SO I WILL JUST KEEP THE POPS IN THE
CHC RANGE FOR NOW.

SATURDAY...THE FRONT STALLS TO THE SOUTH. WEAK IMPULSES IN THE
UPPER ATMOSPHERE WILL WORK ALONG WITH THE MOISTURE IN PLACE TO
CREATE SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS IS SHOWING A CWA-WIDE
POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS SAT AFTERNOON, WHILE THE NAM IS HOLDING THE
RAINS CLOSER TO THE FRONT OVER THE DELMARVA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST IS A WET ONE, BUT MOST LIKELY WILL NOT
BE A COMPLETE WASH OUT DURING THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO PASS OFFSHORE SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING, AND STALL JUST TO OUR SOUTH INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THE
SAME TIME HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE JUST TO OUR NORTH FOR
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WITH A FEW UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE EXTENDED, THERE MAY BE A CHANCE OF SOME
SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER, IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
OVER THE NEXT FEW FORECAST PACKAGES, THE SHOWER ACTIVITY AFTER
MONDAY MAY BE ABLE TO BE TAKEN OUT IF MODEL TRENDS SHOW A DRIER
FORECAST. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME, WE
HAVE DECIDED TO FOLLOW CLOSELY TO HPCS FORECAST, WHICH PREFERS A
SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE ECMWF.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

ALTHOUGH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AREA AT 2
AM, SOME CLOUDS WERE SPREADING IN FROM THE WEST WITH HEIGHTS OF 4-6
THSD FT. THESE CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST OVERNIGHT AND
SHOULD COVER ALL TAF SITES BY SUNRISE. DURING THE DAY, ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST AND WHEN COMBINED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING, CIGS SHOULD LOWER TO MVFR OR 2-3 THSD FT THIS AFTN. THROUGH
THIS AFTN, VSBY SHOULD REMAIN UNRESTRICTED, HOWEVER, SOME SHOWERS
MIGHT DEVELOP AT ABE/RDG WITH VSBY PSBLY AROUND 5 MI.

TONIGHT...THE CIGS AND VSBYS WILL LOWER TO IFR AND POSSIBLY LIFR
AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS
ANTICIPATED AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MAKE IT TO NEAR
PHL BY 12Z FRI. ONCE THE WARM FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTH, CIGS AND
VSBY SHOULD IMPROVE TO MVFR. SOME DRIZZLE AND RAIN IS POSSIBLE
TONIGHT DUE TO THE WARM FRONT.

OUTLOOK...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THEY SHOULD PEAK NEAR THE TIME OF THE COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE WHICH IS SCHEDULED FOR SATURDAY. WITHIN ANY SHOWERS
AND ESPECIALLY ANY TSTMS...IFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.
ALTHOUGH SHOWERS MAY STILL BE AROUND THE AREA ON SUNDAY, CIGS AND
VSBYS SHOULD BE IMPROVED TO MVFR OR VFR. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
MIGHT RETURN ON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS HAVE COME DOWN TO 5 FT, BUT FROM LONG PERIOD SWELLS, THEREFORE,
SCA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN SCA CONDITIONS TODAY, BUT THEN WINDS
SHOULD PICK UP LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT IN A S TO SW FLOW.
SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON THE OCEAN. A COLD FRONT
IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST SATURDAY MORNING. BEHIND
THE FRONT THE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE ONCE AGAIN. HOWEVER, SEAS MAY
STILL BE 5 FT ON THE OCEAN THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING SAT
NIGHT. SUNDAY AND MONDAY LOOK LIKE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS PREVAIL.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ROBERTSON/OHARA
NEAR TERM...KRUZDLO
SHORT TERM...OHARA
LONG TERM...ROBERTSON
AVIATION...STAUBER
MARINE...STAUBER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
329 PM EDT THU APR 30 2009

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-011930-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
329 PM EDT THU APR 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-011930-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
329 PM EDT THU APR 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-011930-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
329 PM EDT THU APR 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ431-011930-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
329 PM EDT THU APR 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.