Alert archive / New Jersey / Low Water Advisories in 2009

Low Water Advisory 3, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

February 11, 2009

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this low water advisory at Feb 11, 2009, 3:01 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 12, 2009, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 26 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2009, 3:01 PM EST (20:01 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 12, 2009, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 13, 2009, 3:03 PM EST
In force
26 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

685 
WHUS71 KPHI 112001
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
301 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

ANZ430-431-452>455-121115-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0005.090211T2001Z-090213T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0018.090211T2100Z-090212T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.090212T1800Z-090213T1800Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
301 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THURSDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A LOW WATER ADVISORY. IT
IS IN EFFECT FROM 100 PM ON THURSDAY UNTIL 100 PM ON FRIDAY.

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM ON THURSDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION TONIGHT TO CANADA'S MARITIME PROVINCES LATE ON THURSDAY.
THE LOW WILL PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
EVENING.

THE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BLOWOUT TIDES AND
LOW WATER LEVELS. THE GREATEST IMPACT WILL OCCUR AROUND THE TIMES
OF LOW TIDE FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING,
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK
SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-121115-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0005.090211T2001Z-090213T1100Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0018.090211T2100Z-090212T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.090212T1800Z-090213T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
301 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A LOW WATER ADVISORY. IT
IS IN EFFECT FROM 100 PM ON THURSDAY UNTIL 100 PM ON FRIDAY.

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM ON FRIDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION TONIGHT TO CANADA'S MARITIME PROVINCES LATE ON THURSDAY.
THE LOW WILL PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT.

THE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BLOWOUT TIDES AND
LOW WATER LEVELS. THE GREATEST IMPACT WILL OCCUR AROUND THE TIMES
OF LOW TIDE FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING,
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK
SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

IOVINO
6 follow-up statements
750 
WHUS71 KPHI 120934
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
434 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009

ANZ450>455-122130-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.090212T1800Z-090213T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
434 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. A LOW
WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY. 

STRONG LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION EARLY TODAY TO THE CANADIAN MARITIME PROVINCES THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION EARLY
TODAY. 

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COASTLINE TODAY AND OVER ALL OF THE WATERS TONIGHT.

THE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BLOWOUT TIDES AND
LOW WATER LEVELS. THE GREATEST IMPACT WILL OCCUR AROUND THE TIMES
OF LOW TIDE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...AND
AGAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-122130-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.090212T1800Z-090213T1800Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
434 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. A LOW
WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY. 

STRONG LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION EARLY TODAY TO THE CANADIAN MARITIME PROVINCES THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION EARLY
TODAY. 

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL
GUSTS TO STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BAY SHORE 
TODAY. 

THE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BLOWOUT TIDES AND
LOW WATER LEVELS. THE GREATEST IMPACT WILL OCCUR AROUND THE TIMES
OF LOW TIDE FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING...
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$
972 
WHUS71 KPHI 121950
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
250 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

ANZ450>455-131100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090213T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
250 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM ON FRIDAY. A LOW
WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM ON FRIDAY.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS ACROSS CANADA'S ATLANTIC PROVINCES 
FROM TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEFORE MOVING OUT OVER THE NORTH
ATLANTIC. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.

THE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BLOWOUT TIDES.
WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME LOW WATER ISSUES AROUND THE TIMES OF LOW
TIDE THIS EVENING, MORE WIDESPREAD LOW WATER PROBLEMS ARE
ANTICIPATED AROUND FRIDAY MORNING'S LOW TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-131100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090213T1800Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
250 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM ON FRIDAY. A LOW
WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM ON FRIDAY.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS ACROSS CANADA'S ATLANTIC PROVINCES 
FROM TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEFORE MOVING OUT OVER THE NORTH
ATLANTIC. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.

THE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BLOWOUT TIDES.
WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME LOW WATER ISSUES AROUND THE TIMES OF LOW
TIDE THIS EVENING, MORE WIDESPREAD LOW WATER PROBLEMS ARE
ANTICIPATED AROUND FRIDAY MORNING'S LOW TIDE.

IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE LOW WATER ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY NEED TO
BE EXTENDED INTO FRIDAY EVENING FOR DELAWARE BAY AND FOR THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

IOVINO
418 
WHUS71 KPHI 130155
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
855 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

ANZ450>455-131200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090213T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
855 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. A LOW
WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY. 

STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS ACROSS CANADA'S ATLANTIC PROVINCES
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEFORE MOVING OUT OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC. GALE
FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

THE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BLOWOUT TIDES.
MORE WIDESPREAD LOW WATER PROBLEMS ARE ANTICIPATED AROUND FRIDAY'S
EARLY MORNING LOW TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-131200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090213T1800Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
855 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. A LOW
WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY. 

STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS ACROSS CANADA'S ATLANTIC PROVINCES
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEFORE MOVING OUT OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC.
GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
MORNING.

THE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BLOWOUT TIDES.
MORE WIDESPREAD LOW WATER PROBLEMS ARE ANTICIPATED AROUND FRIDAY
MORNING'S LOW TIDE.

IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE LOW WATER ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY NEED TO
BE EXTENDED INTO FRIDAY EVENING FOR DELAWARE BAY AND FOR THE
TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

TFG
944 
WHUS71 KPHI 130936
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
436 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

ANZ430-431-131500-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0019.090213T0936Z-090213T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090214T0200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
436 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE LOW WATER
ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-131500-
/O.EXT.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090213T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
436 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$
208 
WHUS71 KPHI 131107
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
607 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

ANZ450>455-132300-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090213T1500Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090213T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-090214T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
607 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-132300-
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090214T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-090213T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
607 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
498 
WHUS71 KPHI 132003
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
303 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

ANZ430-431-140300-
/O.CAN.KPHI.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090214T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-090214T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
303 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE LOW
WATER ADVISORY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST OVER 25
KNOTS THROUGH THE EVENING. CHOPPY SEAS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-140315-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-090214T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
303 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SATURDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL OCCASIONALLY
GUST OVER 30 KNOTS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHOPPY SEAS WILL BE
HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-140300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-090214T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
303 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST
OVER 30 KNOTS THROUGH THE EVENING AND THEN DECREASE BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
CHOPPY SEAS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this low water advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this low water advisory went out at Feb 11, 11:00 AM EST, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 11:00 AM EST, 4 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1100 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GREAT
LAKES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. IT SHOULD PULL A COLD FRONT
THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER
THE REGION FRIDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO SKIRT JUST
TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY, WHILE HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST
TO BUILD SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE LAST OF THE MORNING SHOWERS WERE LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
POCONO REGION AND EXTREME NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AT 1100 AM.  NO
ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED IN OUR FORECAST AREA UNTIL TONIGHT.

THE CLOUD COVER HAD BECOME QUITE THIN OVER OUR REGION BY LATE
MORNING.  LOOKING UPSTREAM, WE ARE EXPECTING NO MORE THAN SOME
CIRRUS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.  AS A RESULT, WE HAVE CHANGED THE
FORECAST TO PARTLY CLOUDY.

BASED ON THE LATE MORNING OBSERVATIONS, WE DID NOT MAKE MUCH CHANGE
TO THE TEMPERATURE AND WIND FORECASTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
MOST OF THE ACTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE IN THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD OF TONIGHT, THURSDAY, AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
FIRSTLY, WITH FAIR INSTABILITY AROUND TONIGHT, ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MORE GENERAL SHOWERS IS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT, MAINLY LATER TONIGHT. SPC HAS OUR AREA IN SEE
TEXT AND MENTIONS SPORADIC DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WEAKENING OHIO VALLEY SQUALL LINE MOVING INTO OUR AREA
OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER CONCERN WOULD BE THE TRANSFER OF STRONG WINDS
ALOFT TO OR NEAR THE SURFACE THROUGH WEAK CONVECTION. YET ANOTHER
CONCERN IS THE ULTIMATE NEGATIVE MOMENTUM FLUX IN THE POST-COLD
FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT LATE TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS COULD NEAR 50 KNOTS,
AS BOTH THE NAM AND GFS 925 HPA WINDS ARE OF SIMILAR STRENGTH LATE
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE BEST AREAS FOR STRONG WINDS ARE THOUGHT
TO BE NEAR THE OCEAN AND DELAWARE BAY. SOME OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES MAY BE VULNERABLE ALSO. AT
THIS TIME, IT WAS DECIDED THAT THERE WAS NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO
ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH. INSTEAD, THE THINKING WAS THAT WIND
ADVISORY TYPE WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR LATE IN THE SECOND PERIOD AND
THIRD PERIOD, NECESSITATING A WIND ADVISORY FOR LATE TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY, AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS CAN BE ISSUED BY THE NEXT
SHIFT, WHO WILL HAVE THE ADVANTAGE OF ANOTHER MODEL RUN.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE WELL BEYOND NOVA SCOTIA. THE STRENGTH OF
THE LOW WILL DRAG DOWN COLD AIR BUT NOT TOO FAR SOUTH OF THE CFA.
TEMPERATURES AT 80H DROP TO -8C AS AN WEST-EAST BOUNDARY SETS UP.
MEANWHILE ANOTHER COMPACT 50H LOW WILL DEVELOP ON THE FRONT RANGE
OF THE ROCKIES AND TRACK EAST DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE WILL REACH THE WESTERN OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AS A
SECONDARY LOW FORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO
40 KNOTS AT 80H WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT FOR PRECIPITATION TO
BREAK OUT OVER THE MID ATLANTIC. WELL HAVE A MIX OF RAIN AND WET
SNOW AS THE LOW TRACKS EAST BUT THE QPF AMOUNTS WILL ONLY BE ABOUT
1/3RD INCH. MOST OF THE STRONGER DYNAMICS AND VERY HEAVY QPF
AMOUNTS WILL BE CARRIED EAST WITH THE SECONDARY LOW AND OFF THE
COAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE SOUTHERN LOW TRIES TO DEVELOP WHILE
MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE COAST BUT THE WINDS ALOFT APPEAR
TO BE TOO HOSTILE FOR THE LOW TO DEVELOP IN TIME TO CAUSE MUCH OF
A PROBLEM EXCEPT FOR THE MIXED PRECIPITATION. THE WORST CASE WOULD
BE FOR A 1/2 INCH QPF SWATH TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST COASTAL NEW JERSEY
AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE SATURDAY NIGHT. EVEN AT THAT...THE
TEMPERATURES WITH THE MAX QPF WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING WITH THE
RESULT BEING ALL RAIN SOUTH AND A MIX CONTINUING NORTH INTO
SUNDAY.

THE LOW CONTINUES EAST WHILE DEVELOPING AND PULLING DOWN COLDER
AIR WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH A BRISK
NORTHERLY WIND. HIGH PRESSURE DIGGING SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
WHILE INTERACTING WITH THE DEPARTING LOW OFFSHORE CONTINUE THE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS INTO TUESDAY.

THE GFS IS FAR MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS SCENARIO WHILE THE ECMWF
IS FAR LESS IMPRESSIVE WITH THE DEVELOPING WEST ATLANTIC LOW.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THIS AFTERNOON, WITH A SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WIND UP AROUND 10 KNOTS AT TIMES.

FOR TONIGHT, A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE
FRONT IS SLATED TO MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 03Z AND 09Z.
THERE IS SOME INSTABILITY FORECAST WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT, SO
ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT IS ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT MAY LAST
UNTIL IT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. IT IS A SMALL CHANCE AT THIS
POINT, SO WE WILL ONLY MENTION A CB IN THE TAF GROUPINGS AT THIS
TIME. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY GET NEAR IFR WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT, ESPECIALLY WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY, SO THIS IS REPRESENTED AS
WELL. WINDS WILL GET GUSTY JUST AHEAD AND WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT AND WITH ANY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS, WE COULD HAVE SOME EVEN
STRONGER GUSTS.

OUTLOOK...
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE ENDING BY THURSDAY MORNING AFTER THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA, BUT THEN WINDS WILL BE INCREASING DURING THE
DAY THURSDAY WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 35-40 KTS. WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH FRIDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN.
SATURDAY HOWEVER, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO OUR SOUTH, WHICH
MAY PRODUCE SOME PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA AND COULD POSSIBLY
REDUCE CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE INCREASING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM
SYSTEM. WE WILL START SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES THIS AFTERNOON, AND
INCREASE TO GALE WARNINGS OVERNIGHT. SEAS ARE 3 FEET NOW ALONG THE
OCEAN, AND WITH A STEADY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY, THEY SHOULD
SLOWLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE DAY
AS WELL, AND WILL GET EVEN STRONGER AS THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS INCREASE
ACROSS THE AREA. WE MAY NOT MIX DOWN THE GALE FORCE WINDS UNTIL
AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, BUT THERE COULD BE SOME STRONGER WINDS
WITH ANY SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THE STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO LAST AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING, THEN THE
WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE BEGIN TO DIMINISH, SO WE WILL CUT THE GALE
WARNING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. AFTER THE GALE FORCE WINDS DIMINISH, WE
MAY HAVE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THAT LAST THROUGH FRIDAY. A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PASS TO OUR SOUTH OVER THE
WEEKEND, AND WHILE IT MAY BRING SOME PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA, AND
CHANGING WIND DIRECTIONS, IT SHOULD STAY FAR ENOUGH TO OUR SOUTH SO
THAT THE WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS.

&&

.TIDES...
THE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW ON THU ARE IDEAL
FOR BLOWOUT TIDE CONDITIONS. PRESENT GUIDANCE IS INDICATING ENOUGH
OF A NEGATIVE TIDAL DEPARTURE FOR BLOWOUT TIDES LATER THU THROUGH
THU NIGHT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAIN WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT TRACKS
THROUGH THE REGION. EVEN SOME FEBRUARY THUNDERSTORMS CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. BASIN-WIDE RAINFALL AVERAGES OF
A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES (AND DEW POINTS) AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND GUSTY
WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED.

THE COMBINATION OF THE RAIN, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AND THE
GUSTY WINDS WILL EFFICIENTLY MELT OUR REMAINING SNOW PACK. WHILE
THERE ISNT MUCH OF ANY SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE
CWA, THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA HAS UP TO TWO INCHES OF WATER
EQUIVALENT LOCKED UP IN THE SNOW PACK. FURTHER NORTH INTO THE
HEADWATER REGION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER BASIN, UP TO THREE INCHES OF
WATER EQUIVALENT IS PRESENT. WITH THIS SAID, A THREE TO FIVE FOOT
RISE ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY.

IN ADDITION, ICE OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE MAIN STEM DELAWARE INDICATE
THAT ICE IS COVERING THE CHANNEL DOWN INTO THE DELAWARE WATER GAP. A
CHANNEL OPENS NEAR THE I-80 TOLL BRIDGE AND QUICKLY WIDENS FURTHER
TO THE SOUTH. ONLY BORDER ICE IS BEING REPORTED DOWN NEAR THE
PORTLAND-COLUMBIA TOLL BRIDGE AND THE EASTON-PHILLIPSBURG BRIDGE.

THE OVERALL FLOOD POTENTIAL WITH THIS RAIN/MELTING SNOW EVENT IS
LOW, MAINLY BECAUSE OF THE LOW QPF VALUES AND THE FACT THAT THE
RIVER ICE IN PLACE HAS BEEN ABLE TO SOFTEN. STILL, ICE MOVEMENT IS
ANTICIPATED, ESPECIALLY BELOW PORT JERVIS. THE ICE ABOVE PORT JERVIS
IS COLDER AND SHOULDNT RELEASE, OR RELEASE AS MUCH. ICE COULD BEGIN
TO MOVE AS SOON AS TONIGHT AND LAST INTO THE WEEKEND. ICE JAMS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER, NORTH OF I-80, WHERE SHARP
BENDS OCCUR IN THE CHANNEL OR WHERE RESTRICTIONS SUCH AS BRIDGES
ARE IN PLACE.

AGAIN, THE OVERALL FLOOD POTENTIAL INTO THE WEEKEND IS LOW. AT THIS
TIME, ONLY A HALF TO THREE-QUARTER BANKFULL RISE IS EXPECTED.

&&

.CLIMATE...
HERE ARE THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 11TH:

ALLENTOWN.......61 DEGREES SET IN 1981.

ATLANTIC CITY...63 DEGREES SET IN 1960.

GEORGETOWN......67 DEGREES SET IN 1990.

MOUNT POCONO....54 DEGREES SET IN 1981.

PHILADELPHIA....66 DEGREES SET IN 1887.

READING.........61 DEGREES SET IN 1981.

TRENTON.........67 DEGREES SET IN 1960.

WILMINGTON......66 DEGREES SET IN 1960.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.
     GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ430-
     431-450>455.

&&

NEAR TERM...IOVINO
AVIATION...ROBERTSON
MARINE...ROBERTSON
TIDES...OHARA/ROBERTSON
HYDROLOGY...KRUZDLO
CLIMATE...GORSE/ROBERTSON
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 4:10 AM EST, 10 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-121000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
410 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT. SOME WIND GUSTS MAY BE NEAR 50
MILES AN HOUR NEAR ANY STRONGER SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. GENERAL
WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AS WELL...WITH WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 50 MILES AN HOUR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT MAY GUST
TO 45 TO 55 MPH...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LIKELY CLOSER TO THE
OCEAN AND DELAWARE BAY, AS WELL AS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
POCONOS AND NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-121000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
410 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 11, 3:54 AM ESTGale WarningPHI50 hr
Feb 11, 2:50 PM ESTWind AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 10 more13 hr

Nearby

Low Water Advisories in New Jersey, 2009Every low water advisory in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.