Alert archive / New Jersey / Gale Watches in 2009
Gale Watch 11, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this gale watch at Nov 10, 2009, 4:01 PM EST. It took effect at Nov 11, 2009, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 10, 2009, 4:01 PM EST (21:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 11, 2009, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 11, 2009, 9:21 AM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
861 WHUS71 KPHI 102101 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 401 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ANZ452>455-110945- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.091111T0600Z-091111T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0018.091111T1800Z-091113T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 401 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL PRODUCE A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AS WELL. THE INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY WIND WILL SIGNIFICANTLY BUILD THE SEAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ431-110945- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.091111T0600Z-091111T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0018.091111T1800Z-091113T1100Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 401 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL PRODUCE A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AS WELL. THE INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY WIND WILL SIGNIFICANTLY BUILD THE SEAS, ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE MOUTH OF THE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450-451-110945- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.091111T0600Z-091111T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0011.091111T1800Z-091113T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 401 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL PRODUCE A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AS WELL. THE INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY WIND WILL SIGNIFICANTLY BUILD THE SEAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ430-110945- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.091111T0600Z-091113T1100Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 401 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL PRODUCE A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AS WELL. THE INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY WIND WILL BUILD THE SEAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GORSE
3 follow-up statements
585 WHUS71 KPHI 110940 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 440 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ANZ431-452>455-112200- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-091111T1800Z/ /O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0018.091111T0940Z-091113T1100Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 440 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6:00 AM ON FRIDAY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH, A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND. OCEAN WAVES OFF THE COAST ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AROUND 15 FEET OR HIGHER. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ451-112200- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-091111T1800Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.GL.W.0018.091111T0940Z-091113T1100Z/ /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0011.091111T1800Z-091113T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 440 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6:00 AM ON FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH, A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND. OCEAN WAVES OFF THE COAST ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AROUND 15 FEET OR HIGHER. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ450-112200- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-091112T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KPHI.GL.A.0011.091112T2300Z-091113T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 440 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6:00 PM ON THURSDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH, A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED FROM TODAY INTO THURSDAY. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING ON THURSDAY NIGHT. OCEAN WAVES OFF THE COAST ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD AROUND 12 FEET OR HIGHER. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION REMAINS UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ430-112200- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-091112T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.GL.A.0011.091112T0600Z-091113T1100Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 440 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1:00 AM ON THURSDAY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH, A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED FROM TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING ON TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION REMAINS UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ IOVINO
763 WHUS71 KPHI 111110 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 610 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ANZ431-451>455-112200- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 610 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6:00 AM ON FRIDAY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH, A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND. OCEAN WAVES OFF THE COAST ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AROUND 15 FEET OR HIGHER. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ ANZ450-112200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-091112T2300Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0011.091112T2300Z-091113T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 610 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6:00 PM ON THURSDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH, A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED FROM TODAY INTO THURSDAY. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING ON THURSDAY NIGHT. OCEAN WAVES OFF THE COAST ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD AROUND 12 FEET OR HIGHER. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION REMAINS UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ430-112200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-091112T0600Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0011.091112T0600Z-091113T1100Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 610 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1:00 AM ON THURSDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH, A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED FROM TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION REMAINS UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ IOVINO
396 WHUS71 KPHI 111421 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 921 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ANZ431-453>455-112230- /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SR.W.0001.091111T1421Z-091113T1100Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 921 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH...A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY WITH STORM FORCE GUSTS DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY. OCEAN WAVES OFF THE COAST ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AROUND 15 FEET OR HIGHER. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. && $$ ANZ450-112230- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-091112T2300Z/ /O.EXA.KPHI.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/ /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0011.091112T2300Z-091113T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 921 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH...A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY. OCEAN WAVES OFF THE COAST ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AROUND 12 FEET OR HIGHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-112230- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-091112T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KPHI.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/ /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0011.091112T0600Z-091113T1100Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 921 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH...A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ451-452-112230- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-091113T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 921 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH...A STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE INTO THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY. OCEAN WAVES OFF THE COAST ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AROUND 10 FEET OR HIGHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE REMAIN IN PORT. && $$ RNS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Nov 10, 3:25 PM EST, 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 3:25 PM EST, 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE
SOUTHEAST STATES AND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THESE TWO SYSTEMS
SHOULD WEAKEN AND MOVE AWAY ON SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT FROM THE NW
SHOULD CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
TONIGHT WILL BE A TRANSITION PERIOD FROM MILD TEMPERATURES TO MUCH
COOLER WEATHER. THE REASON IS DUE TO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONTS INTIAL EFFECTS WERE JUST TO
SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTH.
TONIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING TO ONTARIO IN CANADA AS IT
EXTENDS SOUTH OVER THE REGION. MEANWHILE, A TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHEAST STATES THAT WAS AT ONE TIME IDA, WILL BE CAUSING A NEW
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO FORM OFF THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THIS NEW
LOW WILL BE EXTRATROPICAL. HOWEVER, IT WILL ALSO EVENTUALLY AFFECT
OUR REGION LATER THIS WEEK.
MEANWHILE, MOISTURE FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL BE STREAMING
EAST NORTHEAST OVERTOP OF THE DRYING AND COOLING FLOW COMING FROM
AROUND THE HIGH TO THE NORTH. THIS MEANS THE MOISTURE WILL TEND TO
DISSIPATE AS IT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND SHOULD NOT MAKE
IT INTO AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF PHL WHERE ONLY SPRINKLES ARE
FORECAST LATE TONIGHT. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO SEE SOME RAIN OR
SHOWERS IS OVER SOUTHERN DELAWARE.
FORECAST TEMPS WERE GENERALLY A BLEND OF MET/MAV.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
THE REGION WILL BE IN BETWEEN TWO SYSTEMS. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL BRING
A PROLONGED PERIOD STRONG NE WINDS TO THE COASTAL REGION,
ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF LITTLE EGG INLET. WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH
ON THE COAST TO EVENTUALLY NEED WIND ADVISORIES. IN ADDITION,
COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. PLEASE SEE THE SECTION ADDRESSING
THIS BELOW.
OVERALL, THE AREA WILL SEE DRY WEATHER NORTH IN THE POCONOS
AND WET WEATHER TO THE SOUTH IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE. A GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE DRY AIR TO THE NORTH AND THE MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH
WILL EXTEND FROM TTN TO DOV AND WILL PROBABLY MOVE LITTLE ONCE IT
SETS UP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS IS WETTER AND FARTHER TO THE
NORTH THAN THE NAM WITH THE ECMWF IN BETWEEN AND GENERALLY USED TO
MAKE THIS FCST. SINCE THE BEST DYNAMICS REMAIN TO THE SOUTH, HEAVY
RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. A CHANGE OF 50 MILES TO THE NORTH OR SOUTH
WILL HAVE A LARGE IMPACT ON THE OBSERVED WEATHER, THEREFORE, I
WENT A BIT HIGHER ON THE PROBABILITIES DUE TO THIS POSSIBILITY
FROM TTN-DOV THAN I WOULD HAVE OTHERWISE BASED PURELY ON THE
PATTERN.
FORECAST TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE AT OR BELOW THE COOLER OF
THE MAV/MET TEMPS FOR HIGHS DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND POTENTIAL PCPN
SOUTH. OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS THEY LOOK MORE REASONABLE AS THERE
WILL PROBABLY BE SOME SUNSHINE. FOR NIGHTTIME LOW, A BLEND OF
MET/MAV TEMPS WERE USED.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY SOME SHOWERS ACROSS
THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY AS THE UPPER AND SFC LOW OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST FINALLY MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA LATER SAT THROUGH SUN WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED. A DRY FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUN. TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND WITH LOW TO MID
60S FOR HIGHS BOTH DAYS, EXCEPT MID TO UPPER 50S IN THE SOUTHERN
POCONOS.
LOW PRESSURE WILL ADVANCE FROM THE PLAINS TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FAIRLY SLOW AS THE UPPER LOW
OVER THE PLAINS DEEPENS. IT MAY TAKE UNTIL LATER TUE OR TUE NIGHT
FOR ANY RAINS FROM THIS SYSTEM TO ARRIVE OVER OUR AREA...SO I WILL
KEEP A DRY FCST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES MON AND TUE WILL BE CLOSER TO
NORMAL FOR MID NOV. WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 50S AND LOW IN THE 40
TO 45 DEGREE RANGE.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTHWARD ACROSS OUR AREA INTO
THIS EVENING. A SHARP LOW-LEVEL INVERSION KEPT THE SURFACE LIGHT FOG
AND HAZE AROUND LONGER, HOWEVER THIS HAS JUST ABOUT MIXED OUT. A
CHECK WITH THE KPHL PERSONNEL EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON INDICATED THAT
THE LINGERING HAZE WAS NOT HAVING AN IMPACT AS THE AIRCRAFT CAN SEE
THEM 5 MILES OUT. SOME HAZE ALOFT THOUGH WILL LIKELY LINGER FOR
AWHILE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS, ALTHOUGH LIGHT, HAVE MOSTLY
SETTLED TO A NORTH AND NORTHEAST DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT
AND THEN HAS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR NORTHWEST. AS THIS
EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM POSITIONS ITSELF TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES WELL TO OUR SOUTH, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
TIGHTEN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT, A NORTHEAST WIND WILL
INCREASE WITH SOME GUSTS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MOSTLY DURING
WEDNESDAY. WE INCREASED THE SUSTAINED WINDS SOME DURING TONIGHT,
THEN BROUGHT IN GUSTS STARTING WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST GUSTS
SHOULD BE CONFINED TO KACY AND KMIV GIVEN THE NORTHEAST FLOW, AND WE
DID NOT CARRY GUSTS AT KRDG AND KABE AS THE WINDS MAY TEND TO BE
LIGHTER HERE. PLENTY OF MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
STREAM ACROSS OUR AREA, HOWEVER THESE CLOUDS WILL TEND TO LOWER SOME
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY FROM THE KPHL METRO AREA ON SOUTH
AND EASTWARD. THE CEILINGS THOUGH WERE KEPT VFR.
MOISTURE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD MAY GET ENHANCED SOME AS A STORM FORMS
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST. THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH SHOULD TEND TO HOLD MOST OF THIS RAIN TO OUR
SOUTH, HOWEVER SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE
BEST CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING APPEARS TO BE AT KMIV AND KACY. SINCE
THERE IS LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING AND WHETHER ANY RAIN REDUCES
THE VISIBILITY OR CEILINGS, WE OPTED TO NOT CARRY ANY PRECIPITATION
AT THE TERMINALS.
OUTLOOK...
MOST OF THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
NORTH AND LOW PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH/SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A
NORTHEASTERLY WIND, GUSTY AT TIMES. OVERALL, VFR CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW, PERHAPS SOME LOWER
CEILINGS OCCUR AT TIMES ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. GRADUALLY
THIS WEATHER SETUP GETS PUSHED EASTWARD AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO
THE AREA LATE SATURDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
ALL IS QUIET NOW, HOWEVER THIS WILL BE CHANGING IN A BIG WAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES INVOLVE A STRONG SURFACE HIGH
BUILDING TO OUR NORTHWEST WHILE LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES OFF THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST. THE SURFACE LOW LOOKS TO MEANDER
AROUND TO OUR SOUTH THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH CLOSES OFF AND CAPTURES IT. MEANWHILE, A STRONG SURFACE HIGH
WILL BE TRYING TO BUILD SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA.
THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPING BETWEEN THESE TWO
FEATURES WILL CAUSE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
SETUP, HOWEVER THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH THE DETAILS. THE
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE PLENTY OF WIND ENERGY DEVELOPING JUST
ABOVE THE SURFACE DURING WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS. THEREFORE IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH VERTICAL MIXING
TO BRING STRONGER WINDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE WITH TIME. OUR SOUTHERN
WATERS HAVE A BETTER CHC OF EXPERIENCING GALE FORCE WINDS, AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTH MAY BE A LITTLE MORE LOOSE AND
SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION. SINCE OUR CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED ACROSS THE
SOUTH, WE WILL GO AHEAD AND MAINTAIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE IT THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY. THIS START TIME MAY BE A LITTLE EARLY UP ACROSS THE NORTH
HOWEVER. FROM LITTLE EGG INLET, NEW JERSEY ON SOUTHWARD, A GALE
WARNING WILL GO INTO EFFECT STARTING AT 18Z WEDNESDAY. TO THE NORTH
OF THIS AREA, A GALE WATCH WILL GO INTO EFFECT AT THIS SAME TIME
SINCE CONFIDENCE IS LOWER ON GALES THE FARTHER NORTH ONE GOES. WE
DECIDED TO ADD THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY INTO THE GALE WARNING GIVEN
THE ONSHORE FLOW AND THE IDEA THAT STRONG GUSTS COULD REACH AT LEAST
THE MOUTH OF THE BAY. WE WILL MAINTAIN A STRONGER ADVISORY FOR NOW
FOR THE UPPER BAY.
THE HEADLINES FOR NOW WILL RUN THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE SLOW
MOVING SURFACE LOW TO OUR SOUTH COMBINES WITH THE HIGH TO OUR NORTH
TO PRODUCE A PERSISTENT GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WIND. GIVEN THE BETTER
MODEL AGREEMENT, WE INCREASED THE SEAS THROUGH THE PERIOD MUCH
CLOSER TO THE 12Z WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE. THIS ALSO LED TO A NOTICEABLE
INCREASE IN SEAS FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. AS WE GO THROUGH
SATURDAY, THE ENTIRE SYSTEM SHOULD BE KICKED TO OUR EAST AS A COLD
FRONT ARRIVES FROM THE WEST. THIS BOUNDARY THEN LOOKS TO CROSS THE
AREA SUNDAY.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
STARTING TONIGHT AND LINGERING THROUGH THE WEEK. THE WINDS WILL
INCREASE QUITE A BIT WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND OVER THE MARINE AREA AND
ALONG THE COAST. THIS WILL BUILD THE WAVES SIGNIFICANTLY AND ALSO
PUSH WATER TO THE COAST. THE TIDAL DEPARTURES THEREFORE WILL BE
INCREASING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WE ARE BETWEEN MOON PHASES,
HOWEVER THE NEW MOON OCCURS ON MONDAY. SINCE WE ARE APPROACHING THE
NEW MOON, THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL BE GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH
THE WEEK. BASED ON THE LATEST STORM SURGE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS
/WHICH IS STILL A LITTLE STRONGER WITH THE SYSTEM THAN SOME OTHER
GUIDANCE/, DEPARTURES ARE FORECAST TO NEAR +2.0 FEET BY THE END OF
THE WEEK. THIS WOULD RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. SINCE THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL, THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT, AND THERE IS
CONCERN THAT THE WATER BACKING UP INTO THE BACKBAYS MAY HAVE TROUBLE
DRAINING, WE WILL GO WITH A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM ATLANTIC COUNTY
ON SOUTHWARD INCLUDING PARTS OF DELAWARE BAY. THIS WATCH WILL BEGIN
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND GO THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT FOR NOW. THE THREAT
FOR TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS TO CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AS WELL SO ANY
HEADLINES WILL PROBABLY NEED TO BE EXTENDED. NORTH OF THE WATCH
AREA, CONFIDENCE IS LOWER REGARDING THE STRENGTH OF THE ONSHORE FLOW
AND THEREFORE THE WATER LEVELS SO WILL NOT GO WITH A WATCH ATTM.
BACKING UP A LITTLE BIT TO WEDNESDAY, WATER LEVELS WILL BE ON THE
RISE AND SOME POCKETS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE. FOR NOW, WE WILL JUST START THE
WATCH WEDNESDAY EVENING AND LET LATER SHIFTS OBSERVE TRENDS AND
ISSUE AN ADVISORY FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IF NEED BE. THE INCREASING
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF BEACH EROSION THROUGH THE
WEEK.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR NJZ021>025.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR DEZ002>004.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
ANZ431-450>455.
GALE WARNING FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ431-
452>455.
GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT FOR ANZ450-451.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY
FOR ANZ430.
&&
SYNOPSIS...STAUBER
NEAR TERM...STAUBER
SHORT TERM...STAUBER
LONG TERM...OHARA
AVIATION...GORSE
MARINE...GORSE
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...GORSE/GIGIHazardous weather outlook, Nov 10, 3:26 PM EST, 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-112030- SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS- LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ002-003-NJZ021>023-112030- KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012-013-016>020-027-PAZ070-071- 112030- NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, A PROLONGED PERIOD OF NE WINDS WILL OCCUR AND MAY CAUSE TIDES TO INCREASE. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE DURING THIS PERIOD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ014-026-112030- EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN- 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, A PROLONGED PERIOD OF NE WINDS WILL OCCUR AND MAY CAUSE TIDES TO INCREASE. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE DURING THIS PERIOD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ004-NJZ024-025-112030- DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC- 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL COASTAL FLOODING, IT WILL BECOME VERY WINDY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ431-452>455-112030- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ450-451-112030- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. GALE WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-112030- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 326 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 4:00 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | PHI | 29 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:26 PM EST | Coastal Flood Watch | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more | 36 hr |
| Nov 10, 4:01 PM EST | Gale Warning | PHI | 4 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.